May 1 2012 - June 30 2012

By: HadesGodWyvern , 12:46 AM GMT on May 01, 2012

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Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2012 season
=================================================

Information used for this blog are from

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

-----------------
Northwestern Pacific
-----------------
Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
Hong Kong Observatory: China
Typhoon 2000: Philippines
PAGASA: Manila, Philippines

------------------
Northern Indian Ocean
--------------------
India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
Thailand Meteorological Department

------------------------
Northeastern Pacific Ocean
------------------------
National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL

-------------------------
Central Northeastern Pacific
----------------------------
Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii

---------------------------
Southern Indian Ocean
---------------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia
Mauritius Meteorological Service
Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center

--------------------------
Southern Pacific Ocean
-----------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington

=========================================

CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD



-------------------------------------------------


=======================
Northeast Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Miami National Hurricane Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May
EP012012.Aletta - 1003 hPa
EP022012.Bud - 960 hPa

June
EP032012.Carlotta - 976 hPa


------------------------------------------------- ---

=======================
North Central Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Honolulu National Hurricane Center

Central Pacific Hurricane Center


========================
Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May
T022012.Sanvu - 975 hPa
T032012.Mawar/Ambo - 960 hPa

June
T042012.Guchol/Butchoy - 930 hPa
T052012.Talim/Carina - 985 hPa
T062012.Doksuri/Dindo - 992 hPa

-------------------------------------------------

========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department

-------------------------------------------------

==========================
Southeastern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Warning Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

"Jakarta" Tropical Depression - 1000 hPa

==========================
Southwestern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Mauritius Meteorological Services
Seychelles Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

14R.Kuena - 990 hPa

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Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #11
TYPHOON BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 AM PhST June 18 2012
================================================

Typhoon "BUTCHOY" has slightly weakened as it moves in a north northeast direction

At 10:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Butchoy (Guchol) located at 22.7°N 127.7°E or 580 km east northeast of Basco, Batanes has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northeast at 13 knots.

Additional Information
========================

Typhoon "Butchoy" is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over Luzon especially over the western section, and over western Visayas which may trigger flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 500 km diameter of the Typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon and Visayas due to the big waves generated by the combined effects of Typhoon "Butchoy" and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL STORM TALIM (1205)
9:00 AM JST June 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Talim (992 hPa) located at 18.8N 112.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.1N 114.2E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
48 HRS: 23.4N 118.4E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Taiwan Strait
72 HRS: 28.0N 123.8E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - East China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #57
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
9:00 AM JST June 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea South Of Okinawa

At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (950 hPa) located at 22.2N 127.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 14 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
200 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 29.2N 131.3E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South southeast of Yakushima
48 HRS: 38.1N 138.6E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Near Sado
72 HRS: 41.7N 146.5E - Extratropical Cyclone east of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
TROPICAL STORM TALIM (1205)
6:00 AM JST June 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Talim (994 hPa) located at 18.9N 111.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.7N 114.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
45 HRS: 22.5N 116.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
69 HRS: 24.9N 120.2E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Taiwan Strait
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #56
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
6:00 AM JST June 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea South Of Okinawa

At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (950 hPa) located at 21.5N 127.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 13 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
200 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 28.1N 130.0E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South of Amami Islands
45 HRS: 36.0N 135.6E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - West of the city of Fukui
69 HRS: 41.6N 146.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - East of Hokkaido
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #10
TYPHOON BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 PM PhST June 17 2012
================================================

Typhoon "BUTCHOY" has maintained its strength as it continues to move northward

At 10:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Butchoy (Guchol) located at 20.2°N 126.9°E or 460 km east of Basco, Batanes has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 12 knots.

Additional Information
========================

Typhoon "Butchoy" is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon that will bring rains over Luzon especially over its western section, and over western Visayas which may trigger flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 500 km diameter of the typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon and Visayas due to the big waves generated by the combined effects of Typhoon "Butchoy" and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
TROPICAL STORM TALIM (1205)
3:00 AM JST June 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Talim (994 hPa) located at 19.1N 111.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.5N 113.8E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
48 HRS: 22.5N 116.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
72 HRS: 24.9N 120.2E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Taiwan Strait
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #55
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
3:00 AM JST June 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea South Of Okinawa

At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (950 hPa) located at 20.8N 127.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
200 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 27.3N 129.4E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South of Amami Islands
48 HRS: 36.0N 135.6E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - West of the city of Fukui
72 HRS: 41.6N 146.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - East of Hokkaido
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06
21:00 PM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (996 hPa) located at 19.3N 111.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.0N 113.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #53
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
21:00 PM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (940 hPa) located at 19.6N 127.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 13 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
200 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 25.4N 128.4E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - Southeast of Naha
48 HRS: 32.8N 133.9E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Off northeastern Honshu
72 HRS: 40.1N 143.5E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Off northeastern Honshu
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06
18:00 PM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (996 hPa) located at 19.3N 111.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 19.9N 112.9E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #52
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
18:00 PM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 9:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (930 hPa) located at 19.1N 127.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
200 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 24.5N 128.0E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South of Okinawa
45 HRS: 30.3N 132.3E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - East of Yakushima
69 HRS: 37.7N 143.1E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Off northeastern Honshu
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06
15:00 PM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (996 hPa) located at 19.3N 111.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 19.9N 112.9E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #51
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
15:00 PM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (930 hPa) located at 18.3N 127.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 11 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
200 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 23.5N 127.6E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South of Okinawa
48 HRS: 30.3N 132.3E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - East of Yakushima
72 HRS: 37.7N 143.1E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Off northeastern Honshu
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06
12:00 PM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (996 hPa) located at 19.3N 111.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 19.9N 112.9E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #50
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
12:00 PM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (935 hPa) located at 17.7N 127.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 22.8N 127.2E - 115 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon) - South of Okinawa
45 HRS: 28.8N 130.7E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South of Yakushima
69 HRS: 34.4N 138.6E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Off the coast of southeastern Honshu
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #9
TYPHOON BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 AM PhST June 17 2012
================================================

Typhoon "BUTCHOY" has intensified further as it accelerates in a north northwest direction

At 10:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Butchoy (Guchol) located at 17.6°N 127.3°E or 490 km east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 11 knots.

Additional Information
========================

Typhoon "Butchoy" is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over Luzon and Visayas especially over the western section which may trigger flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15 - 25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 500 km diameter of the typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and eastern Mindanao due to the big waves generated by the combined effects of Typhoon "Butchoy" and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORMER CARLOTTA (EP032012)
8:00 PM PDT June 16 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: "CARLOTTA" NOW A REMNANT LOW OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS..

At 0:00 AM UTC. Tropical Depression, Ex-Carlotta (1006 hPa) located at 18.1N 100.3W or 80 NM east northeast of Zihuatanejo, Mexico has sustained winds of 20 knots with gusts of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 4 knots.

THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06
9:00 AM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (996 hPa) located at 19.3N 111.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.0N 112.9E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea

Additional Information
======================

Tropical Depression will move east northeast for the next 24 hours

Tropical Depression will be upgraded to tropical storm within 24 hours

Tropical Depression will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area.

Final initial Dvorak number will be 2.0 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #49
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
9:00 AM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (935 hPa) located at 17.2N 127.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 22.4N 127.0E - 115 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon) - South of Okinawa
48 HRS: 28.8N 130.7E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South of Yakushima
72 HRS: 34.4N 138.6E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Off the coast of southeastern Honshu

Additional Information
======================

Typhoon will move at the same speed for the next 24 hours then accelerate

Typhoon will recurve within 12 hours

Typhoon will move north-northwest for the next 24 hours then move to northeast

Final initial Dvorak number will be 7.0 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06
6:00 AM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (996 hPa) located at 19.3N 111.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 19.7N 112.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #48
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
6:00 AM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (935 hPa) located at 16.7N 128.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 21.8N 127.0E - 115 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon) - South of Okinawa
45 HRS: 27.1N 129.6E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - Coastal waters of Okinawa
69 HRS: 32.6N 135.0E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORMER CARLOTTA (EP032012)
2:00 PM PDT June 16 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: "CARLOTTA" EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT.TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE..

At 18:00 PM UTC. Tropical Depression, Ex-Carlotta (1005 hPa) located at 17.9N 99.8W or 60 NM north of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 4 knots.

Dvorak Intensity:

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 18.0N 101.0W - 20 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06
3:00 AM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (998 hPa) located at 19.3N 111.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 19.7N 112.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #47
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
3:00 AM JST June 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (935 hPa) located at 16.2N 128.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 21.1N 127.0E - 115 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 27.1N 129.6E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - Coastal waters of Okinawa
72 HRS: 32.6N 135.0E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORMER CARLOTTA (EP032012)
8:00 AM PDT June 16 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: "CARLOTTA" BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE

At 12:00 PM UTC. Tropical Depression, Ex-Carlotta (1000 hPa) located at 17.5N 99.5W or 45 NM north northeast of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity:

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 18.0N 101.0W - 30 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #8
TYPHOON BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 PM PhST June 16 2012
================================================

Typhoon "BUTCHOY" has maintained its strength as it continues to move in a north northwest direction

At 10:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Butchoy (Guchol) located at 15.2°N 128.6°E or 430 km east northeast of Virac, Catanduanes has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 10 knots.

Additional Information
========================

Typhoon "Butchoy" is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over Luzon and Visayas especially over the western section which may trigger flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 500 km diameter of the typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and eastern Mindanao due to the big waves generated by the combined effects of Typhoon "Butchoy" and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06
21:00 PM JST June 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (998 hPa) located at 19.2N 111.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 19.3N 112.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #45
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
21:00 PM JST June 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (935 hPa) located at 14.9N 128.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 19.7N 127.1E - 115 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 25.0N 128.3E - 115 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
72 HRS: 30.4N 131.6E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10A
TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
5:00 AM PDT June 16 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA Weakens To A Tropical Storm Over The Mountains Of Southern Mexico

At 9:00 AM UTC. Tropical Storm Carlotta (995 hPa) located at 17.2N 99.3W or 40 NM northeast of Punto Maldonado, Mexico has sustained winds of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Punta Maldonado to Acapulco
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #44
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
18:00 PM JST June 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 9:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (950 hPa) located at 14.5N 129.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0

Storm Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 18.6N 127.5E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 23.4N 127.7E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
69 HRS: 28.4N 130.3E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South of Kyushu
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
2:00 AM PDT June 15 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL AREAS AND MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO

At 6:00 AM UTC. Hurricane Carlotta (985 hPa) located at 16.6N 98.4W or 20 NM north northeast of Punto Maldonado, Mexico has sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 11 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.0

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 17.8N 100.3W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9A
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
11:00 PM PDT June 15 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO...HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS

At 3:00 AM UTC. Hurricane Carlotta (982 hPa) located at 16.4N 97.9W or 110 NM east of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 13 knots.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #43
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
15:00 PM JST June 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (950 hPa) located at 14.0N 129.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 18.3N 127.3E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 23.4N 127.7E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
72 HRS: 28.4N 130.3E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South of Kyushu

Additional Information
=======================

Typhoon will move at the same speed for the next 24 hours then accelerate

Typhoon will move north northwest for the next 24 hours then move north

Final initial Dvorak number will be 6.5 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
southwestern Japan islands look to be in terrible situation in the next 72 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #42
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
12:00 PM JST June 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (965 hPa) located at 13.4N 129.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 17.7N 127.5E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 20.9N 127.0E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
69 HRS: 25.4N 128.2E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
268. whitewabit (Mod)
Guchol has developed a strong eye and has increased its size and now appears to be rapidly increasing in strength ... will be a nightmare for some !!!

Hope we get some rain from this line of storms !!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #7
TYPHOON BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 AM PhST June 16 2012
================================================

"BUTCHOY" has intensified into a typhoon and is now moving in a north northwest direction

At 10:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Butchoy (Guchol) located at 13.2N 129.9E or 470 km east northeast of Borongan, eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Additional Information
========================

Typhoon "Butchoy" is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over Luzon and Visayas especially over the western section which may trigger flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 500 km diameter of the typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and eastern Mindanao due to the big waves generated by the effects combined effects of Typhoon "BUTCHOY" and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
8:00 PM PDT June 15 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA Making Landfall Near Puerto Escondido, Mexico

At 0:00 AM UTC. Hurricane Carlotta (978 hPa) located at 15.9N 97.2W or 8 NM northwest of Puerto Escondido, Mexico has sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 17.0N 99.0W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)- Inland
48 HRS: 17.5N 100.0W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #41
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
9:00 AM JST June 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (965 hPa) located at 12.9N 130.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
140 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 16.6N 127.9E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 20.9N 127.0E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
72 HRS: 25.4N 128.2E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa

Additional Information
========================

Typhoon will move at the same speed for the next 24 hours then accelerate

Typhoon will move north-northwest for the next 24 hours then move to north

Final initial Dvorak number will be 5.5 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #40
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
6:00 AM JST June 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 21:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (975 hPa) located at 12.3N 130.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
140 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 15.3N 128.0E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 18.9N 126.7E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 23.1N 127.0E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #6
TROPICAL STORM BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
5:00 AM PhST June 16 2012
================================================

Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY" has maintained its strength and is now moving in a north northwestward direction.

At 4:00 AM PhST, Tropical Storm Butchoy (Guchol) located at 12.2°N 130.5°E or 480 km east northeast of Guiuan, eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Additional Information
========================

All Public Storm Warning Signals are now lowered.

Tropical Storm "Butchoy" is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over Luzon and Visayas especially over the western section which may trigger flashfloods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 450 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and eastern Mindanao due to the big waves generated by the effects combined effects of Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY" and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
2:00 PM PDT June 15 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: Hurricane Hunters Report That CARLOTTA Is Now Rapidly Intensifying.. Now A Category Two Hurricane

At 18:00 PM UTC. Hurricane Carlotta (976 hPa) located at 14.8N 96.3W or 55 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 110 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 16.4N 98.5W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1) - Inland
48 HRS: 16.8N 100.2W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)- Ovevland
72 HRS: 16.5N 100.0W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Acapulco

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

The pacific coast of Mexico west of Acapulco to Tecpan de Galeana
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #39
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
3:00 AM JST June 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 18:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (975 hPa) located at 11.9N 130.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
140 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 14.8N 128.2E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 18.9N 126.7E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 23.1N 127.0E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7A
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
11:00 AM PDT June 15 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT CARLOTTA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN

At 15:00 PM UTC. Hurricane Carlotta (979 hPa) located at 14.4N 96.2W or 80 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Acapulco

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

The pacific coast of Mexico west of Acapulco to Tecpan de Galeana
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #5
TROPICAL STORM BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 PM PhST June 15 2012
================================================

Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY" has maintained its strength for the past six hours.

At 10:00 PM PhST, Tropical Storm Butchoy (Guchol) located at 11.2°N 130.6°E or 480 km east southeast of Guiuan, eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 6 knots.

Signal Warnings
================

Signal Warning #1
-----------------

Visayas Region
================
1. Eastern Samar

Additional Information
========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 450 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and eastern Mindanao due to big waves generated by the effects of the southwest monsoon and Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY".

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
8:00 AM PDT June 15 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA Becomes A Hurricane

At 12:00 PM UTC. Hurricane Carlotta (985 hPa) located at 14.0N 96.0W or 105 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.0

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
20 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.9N 97.8W - 85 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 2)
48 HRS: 16.6N 99.5W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 16.5N 100.0W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect of the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Acapulco

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

The Pacific coast of Mexico west of Acapulco to Tecpan de Galeana
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #37
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
21:00 PM JST June 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 12:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (975 hPa) located at 11.2N 130.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
140 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 13.5N 128.8E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 17.6N 126.8E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 21.6N 126.5E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #4
TROPICAL STORM BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
5:00 PM PhST June 15 2012
================================================

Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY" has maintained its strength as it moves closer to eastern Samar

At 4:00 PM PhST, Tropical Storm Butchoy (Guchol) located at 10.4°N 130.9°E or 500 km east southeast of Guiuan, eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 6 knots.

Signal Warnings
================

Signal Warning #1
-----------------

Visayas Region
================
1. Eastern Samar

Additional Information
========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 450 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and eastern Mindanao due to big waves generated by the effects of the Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY".

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #36
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
18:00 PM JST June 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 9:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (975 hPa) located at 10.6N 131.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
140 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 13.2N 128.9E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 16.9N 126.8E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 20.9N 126.3E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
2:00 AM PDT June 15 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA Expected To Become A Hurricane Later Today

At 6:00 AM UTC. Tropical Storm Carlotta (993 hPa) located at 13.2N 95.3W or 165 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
45 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.2N 97.3W - 80 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.3N 99.1W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 16.5N 99.7W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

The Pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco, Mexico
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45302

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