Tropical Depression

By: HadesGodWyvern , 2:40 AM GMT on March 01, 2012

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========================
Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
T201201.Pakhar - 998 hPa

April
Tropical Depression "90C" - 1004 hPa
Tropical Depression - 1008 hPa


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-------------------------------------------------
========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department


Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================


------------------------------------------------- --

=======================
Southeastern Pacific Ocean
=======================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Nadi Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
14F.NONAME - 1005 hPa
15F.NONAME - 1005 hPa
16F.NONAME - 1003 hPa
17F.NONAME - 999 hPa
18F.NONAME - 1004 hPa
19F.Daphne - 985 hPa

April
20F.NONAME - 1009 hPa

------------------------------------------------- --

==========================
Southwestern Pacific Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Bureau of Meteorology

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
17U.NONAME - 991 hPa


------------------------------------------------- ---


==========================
Southeastern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Bureau of Meteorology

Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
---------------------------------------------

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
15U.Koji - 993 hPa (moved west of 90E)
16U.LUA - 932 hPa

------------------------------------------------- -----

==========================
Southwestern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Mauritius Meteorological Services
Seychelles Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
11R.Irina - 979 hPa
12R.NONAME - 996 hPa
13R.Joni - 980 hPa (Entered from TCWC Perth - TC Koji)


=================================================

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256. HadesGodWyvern
2:48 AM GMT on April 30, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST April 30 2012
===================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1010 hPa) located at 6.0N 125.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
255. HadesGodWyvern
9:12 PM GMT on April 29, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST April 30 2012
===================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 7.0N 125.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
254. HadesGodWyvern
1:03 PM GMT on April 29, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
15:00 PM JST April 29 2012
===================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 6.0N 127.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
253. HadesGodWyvern
4:17 AM GMT on April 29, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST April 29 2012
===================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1010 hPa) located at 5.0N 128.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
252. HadesGodWyvern
10:30 PM GMT on April 28, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST April 29 2012
===================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 5.0N 129.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
251. HadesGodWyvern
6:35 AM GMT on April 25, 2012
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST April 25 2012
==================================

A low pressure area has formed over Comorin Area and neighborhood and vortex centered within half a degree of 6.5N 76.0E. Dvorak intensity is T1.0.

Associated broken moderate to intense convection over Kerala adjoining south Tamil Nadu, Gulf of Mannar, Palk Strait, Comorin, southeast Arabian Sea, and Indian ocean between the equator to 14.0N and 67.0E to 79.0E (including Maldives).
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
250. nigel20
5:03 PM GMT on April 24, 2012
Whats up HGW......When do you think we'll see the first atlantic and eastern pacific storm?
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7873
249. HadesGodWyvern
6:26 AM GMT on April 21, 2012
Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
2:15 PM CST April 21 2012
=========================================

A weak Tropical Low (1007 hPa) is located in the Timor Sea northwest of the Tiwi Islands. The low is expected to continue moving slowly west southwest during the next three days and gradually weaken.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
248. HadesGodWyvern
4:27 PM GMT on April 20, 2012
Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
2:15 PM CST April 20 2012
=========================================

A weak Tropical Low (1006 hPa) is located in the Timor Sea north of the Tiwi Islands. The low is expected to move slowly west southwest during the next three
days and weaken.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
247. HadesGodWyvern
5:22 AM GMT on April 18, 2012
Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
2:15 PM CST April 18 2012
=========================================

A weak Tropical Low (1006 hPa) is located in the Arafura Sea well north of the Top End coast. The low is expected to move slowly west southwest during the next three days.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
246. HadesGodWyvern
6:42 AM GMT on April 17, 2012
Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
2:15 PM CST April 17 2012
=========================================

A weak Tropical Low, (1006 hPa) is located in the eastern Arafura Sea near West Papua. The low is expected to move west southwest during the next three days.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
245. HadesGodWyvern
8:46 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
2:15 PM CST April 16 2012
=========================================

A weak Tropical Low, 1007 hPa, is located in the eastern Arafura Sea near West Papua. The low is expected to move west southwest during the next three days.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
244. HadesGodWyvern
6:48 PM GMT on April 11, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
21:00 PM JST April 11 2012
=====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1010 hPa) located at 21.0N 170.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
243. HadesGodWyvern
5:07 AM GMT on April 11, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST April 11 2012
=====================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 20.0N 169.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving north northwest slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
242. HadesGodWyvern
12:02 AM GMT on April 11, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 20F
9:00 AM FST April 11 2012
=====================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 20F (1009 hPa) located at 23.5S 168.6E. The disturbance is reported as slowly moving. Position POOR based on multisatellite infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has not improved much in the last 6 hours. Convection remains persistent but is displaced to the east of the low level circulation center. Tropical disturbance 20 lies to the south of an upper ridge in a moderately sheared environment.

Few global models have picked up the system and are moving it southeastward and gradually weakening it.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
241. HadesGodWyvern
11:59 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST April 11 2012
=====================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 19.0N 169.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
240. HadesGodWyvern
3:22 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
21:00 PM JST April 10 2012
=====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 19.0N 170.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwet at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
239. HadesGodWyvern
12:46 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 20F

18:00 PM FST April 10 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 20F (1009 hPa) located at 21.7S 166.8E. The disturbance is reported as slowly moving. Position FAIR based on infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 28C.

Organization has improved slightly in the last 6 hours. Convection remains persistent. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 700 HPA. Tropical disturbance 20 lies to the south of an upper ridge in a moderately sheared environment.

Few global models have picked up the system and are moving it southeastward with little intensification.

The potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
238. HadesGodWyvern
3:44 AM GMT on April 10, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 20F

9:00 AM FST April 10 2012
=====================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 20F (1009 hPa) located at 19.5S 163.5E is reported as slowly moving. Position FAIR based on multisatellite visible imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 28C.

Low level circulation center is partially exposed with deep convection displaced to the east. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 850 hPA. Tropical disturbance 20 lies to the south of an upper ridge in a moderately sheared environment. Few global models have picked up this system and are moving it southeastward with slight intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-36 hours is LOW
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
237. HadesGodWyvern
3:34 AM GMT on April 10, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST April 10 2012
=====================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 18.0N 171.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
236. HadesGodWyvern
6:06 PM GMT on April 09, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
21:00 PM JST April 9 2012
=====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 19.0N 173.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
235. HadesGodWyvern
8:50 AM GMT on April 09, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
15:00 PM JST April 9 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 19.0N 175.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
234. HadesGodWyvern
3:59 AM GMT on April 09, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST April 9 2012
=====================================

Tropical Depression Near Midway Island

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 18.3N 175.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 8 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
233. HadesGodWyvern
10:25 PM GMT on April 08, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST April 9 2012
=====================================

Tropical Depression Near Midway Island

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 17.7N 176.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west southwest at 18 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
232. HadesGodWyvern
2:35 PM GMT on April 08, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
21:00 PM JST April 8 2012
=====================================

Tropical Depression Near Midway Island

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 18.2N 178.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
231. HadesGodWyvern
2:03 PM GMT on April 08, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
15:00 PM JST April 8 2012
=====================================

Tropical Depression Near Midway Island

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 18.1N 179.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
230. seflagamma
4:31 PM GMT on April 07, 2012
Hello HGW,

Have a Blessed and Happy Easter Weekend!

Hallelujah Egg image
Easter Christian Graphics
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 297 Comments: 40882
229. HadesGodWyvern
3:41 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wellington
0:00 AM NZST April 5 2012
==========================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Low, Former Daphne (994 hPa) located at 36.0S 169.0W is reported a moving slowly
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
228. HadesGodWyvern
7:52 PM GMT on April 03, 2012
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wellington
6:00 AM NZST April 4 2012
==========================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Low, Former Daphne (997 hPa) located at 33.0S 171.W is reported a moving southeast at 15 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
227. HadesGodWyvern
1:36 PM GMT on April 03, 2012
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wellington
Storm Force Warning
TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE (19F)
18:00 PM NZST April 3 2012
==============================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Daphne (986 hPa) located at 29.8S 174.5W has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east southeast at 35 knots.

Gale Force Winds
=================
180 NM of the center in the southeast quadrant and within 90 NM of cener in the sector from south trough west to northwest and within 240 NM of center in sector from northwest through northeast to east

The next Storm Warning from TCWC Wellington will be issued at 13:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
226. HadesGodWyvern
2:09 AM GMT on April 03, 2012
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wellington
Storm Force Warning
TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE (19F)
12:00 PM NZST April 3 2012
==============================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Daphne (985 hPa) located at 27.8S 178.0W has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 25 knots.

Storm Force Winds
=================
within 90 NM from the center in the sector from north though east to southeast and 30 NM of the center in the sector from southeast through southwest to north


Gale Force Winds
=================
240 NM of the center in the southeast quadrant and within 120 NM of center in the sector from south through west to northwest and within 300 NM of center in the sector from northwest through northeast to east

The next Storm Warning from TCWC Wellington will be issued at 7:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
225. HadesGodWyvern
8:21 PM GMT on April 02, 2012
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wellington
Storm Force Warning
TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE (19F)
6:00 AM NZST April 3 2012
==============================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Daphne (985 hPa) located at 25.6S 179.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 30 knots.

Storm Force Winds
=================
30 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=================
300 NM from the center in northeast quadrant
240 NM form the center in southeast quadrant
90 NM from the center in southwest quadrant
240 NM from the center in northwest quadrant

The next Storm Warning from TCWC Wellington will be issued at 1:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
224. HadesGodWyvern
5:09 PM GMT on April 02, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #11
TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE, CATEGORY 1 (19F)
0:00 AM FST April 3 2012
======================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VITI LEVU, YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, SOUTHERN LAU GROUP, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.


At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Daphne, Category One (992 hPa) located at 22.9S 176.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 27 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS enhanced infrared radar imagery and peripheral surface reports.

Gale Force Winds
================
240 NM in northeast quadrant
240 NM in southeast quadrant
60 NM in southwest quadrant
240 NM in northwest quadrant

Overall organization remains good in past 24 hours. Convection increased with primary bands wrapping around the low level circulation center. System lies under an upper diffluent region. Outflow restricted to the west of the system center but remains good elsewhere. The system lies in a low to moderate sheared environment and is being steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature is around 28C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.7 wrap giving DT=3.0, MET and PT agree. Final Dvorak based on MET.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further development.

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 27.6S 180.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 30.5S 177.5W - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 34.0S 174.4W - 30 knots (TROPICAL DEPRESSION)

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services on TC Daphne will be issued at around 20:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
223. HadesGodWyvern
8:43 AM GMT on April 02, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #10
TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE, CATEGORY 1 (19F)
18:00 PM FST April 2 2012
======================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VITI LEVU, YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, SOUTHERN LAU GROUP, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.


At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Daphne, Category One (995 hPa) located at 21.3S 173.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 20 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS enhanced infrared radar imagery and peripheral surface reports.

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM in northeast quadrant
180 NM in southeast quadrant
120 NM in southwest quadrant
150 NM in northwest quadrant

Overall organization remains good past 24 hours. Convection increased with primary bands wrapping around the low level circulation center. System lies under an upper diffluent region. Outflow restricted to the west of the system center but remains good elsewhere. The system lies in a low sheared environment and is being steered southeastwards by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature is around 28C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.6 wrap giving DT=3.0, MET and PT agree. Final Dvorak based on DT.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 25.0S 177.9E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 29.1S 178.3W - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 34.1S 172.5W - 30 knots (TROPICAL DEPRESSION)

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services on TC Daphne will be issued at around 14:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
222. HadesGodWyvern
3:03 AM GMT on April 02, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #9
TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE, CATEGORY 1 (19F)
12:00 PM FST April 2 2012
======================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VITI LEVU, YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, SOUTHERN LAU GROUP, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.


At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Daphne, Category One (995 hPa) located at 19.8S 172.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 18 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS enhanced infrared and visible imagery with peripheral surface reports.

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM in northeast quadrant
180 NM in southeast quadrant
120 NM in southwest quadrant
150 NM in northwest quadrant

Overall organization remains good in past 24 hours. Convection increased with primary bands wrapping around low level circulation center. System lies under an upper diffluent region. Outflow restricted to the west of the system center but remains good elsewhere. The system lies in a low to moderate sheared environment and is being steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.6 wrap giving DT=3.0. MET and PT agree. Final Dvorak based on DT

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further development.

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 22.4S 176.7E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 26.5S 179.6W - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 33.9S 173.0W - 35 knots (CAT 1)

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services on TC Daphne will be issued at around 8:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
221. HadesGodWyvern
1:00 AM GMT on April 02, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #39
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER PAKHAR (T1201)
9:00 AM JST April 2 2012
================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Pakhar (1004 hPa) located at 13.0N 107.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots.

This is the final tropical cyclone advisory from the Japan Meteorological Agency..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
220. HadesGodWyvern
10:25 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #38
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
6:00 AM JST April 2 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Overland Vietnam

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1002 hPa) located at 11.9N 106.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots

Dvorak Intensity: OVERLAND

Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.7N 104.1E - Tropical Depression

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 0:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
219. HadesGodWyvern
9:28 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #8
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
6:00 AM FST April 2 2012
======================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VITI LEVU, YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, SOUTHERN LAU GROUP, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.


At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (997 hPa) located at 17.6S 169.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving southeast at 10 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved and convection has increased in the past 24 hours. Tropical depression 19 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment. The system is being steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.4 wrap giving DT=2.5, MET=2.5. Final Dvorak based on DT.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 2:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
218. HadesGodWyvern
7:31 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #37
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
3:00 AM JST April 2 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Overland Vietnam

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1002 hPa) located at 11.5N 106.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots

Dvorak Intensity: OVERLAND

Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.4N 104.5E - Tropical Depression Overland Cambodia ~

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 21:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
217. HadesGodWyvern
6:31 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #36
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
0:00 AM JST April 2 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Overland Vietnam

At 15:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1002 hPa) located at 11.2N 107.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots

Dvorak Intensity: OVERLAND

Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.3N 104.9E - Tropical Depression

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 18:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
216. HadesGodWyvern
6:23 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
0:00 AM FST April 2 2012
======================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VITI-LEVU, YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS INCLUDING SOUTHERN LAU GROUP.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.


At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (997 hPa) located at 16.5S 167.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. The depression is reported as moving southeast at 10 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved and convection has increased in the past 24 hours. Primary bands trying to wrap around the low level circulation center. Low level circulation center difficult to locate. Tropical depression 19 lies under and upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment. The system is being steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.25 wrap giving DT=2.0, MET=2.5, and PT=2.0. Final Dvorak based on DT.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 20:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
215. HadesGodWyvern
1:27 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #35
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
21:00 PM JST April 1 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Overland Vietnam

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1002 hPa) located at 10.9N 107.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots

Dvorak Intensity: OVERLAND

Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.0N 105.2E - Tropical Depression

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 15:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
214. HadesGodWyvern
1:23 PM GMT on April 01, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #34
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
18:00 PM JST April 1 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 9:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1000 hPa) located at 10.3N 107.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 11.7N 105.3E - Tropical Depression

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 12:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
213. HadesGodWyvern
8:31 AM GMT on April 01, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #6
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
18:00 PM FST April 1 2012
======================================

A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAIN IN FORCE FOR FIJI.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR FIJI.


At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (997 hPa) located at 16.0S 166.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. The depression is reported as moving southeast at 12 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved and convection has increased in the past 24 hours. Primary bands trying to wrap around the low level circulation center. Low level circulation difficult to locate. Tropical depression 19 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment. The system is being steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind into an area of decreasing shear. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.3 wrap giving DT=2.0, MET and PT agree. Final Dvorak based on DT.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 14:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
212. HadesGodWyvern
6:48 AM GMT on April 01, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #33
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
15:00 PM JST April 1 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1000 hPa) located at 10.0N 108.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 11.7N 105.6E - Tropical Depression

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 9:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
211. HadesGodWyvern
4:15 AM GMT on April 01, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #32
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
12:00 PM JST April 1 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.9N 108.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 11.4N 106.1E - Tropical Depression

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 6:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
210. HadesGodWyvern
2:55 AM GMT on April 01, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
12:00 PM FST April 1 2012
======================================

A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT IS NOW IN FORCE FOR FIJI

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR FIJI


At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (999 hPa) located at 15.7S 166.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. The depression is reported as moving southeast at 12 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared/visible imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved and convection has increased in the past 24 hours. Tropical depression 19 lies under an upper diffluent region in a low to moderate sheared environment. Tropical depression 19 is moving into an area of decreasing shear. The system is being steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature is around 30C. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.3 wrap yielding T2.0. Final Dvorak based on DT, MET, and PT agree.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 8:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
209. HadesGodWyvern
1:12 AM GMT on April 01, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #31
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
9:00 AM JST April 1 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.8N 108.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 11.3N 106.2E - Tropical Depression -- Overland Vietnam --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 3:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
208. HadesGodWyvern
1:03 AM GMT on April 01, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 17F
9:00 AM FST April 1 2012
=================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 17F (1000 hPa) located at 24.9S 176.5E is reported as moving southeast slowly. Position good based on multisatellite infrared/visible imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 27C.

Organization has not improved in the past 24 hours. Low level circulation center exposed with deep convection displaced to the east. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 700 HPA. Tropical disturbance 17 lies just to the south of an upper level ridge axis in a high sheared environment.

Global models pick up the system and move it south with no further intensification.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
207. HadesGodWyvern
9:57 PM GMT on March 31, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #30
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
6:00 AM JST April 1 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.8N 109.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 11.3N 106.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- Overland Vietnam --
45 HRS: 12.5N 104.6E - Tropical Depression -- Overland Cambodia --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 0:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791
206. HadesGodWyvern
8:16 PM GMT on March 31, 2012
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
6:00 AM FST April 1 2012
======================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (999 hPa) located at 15.8S 165.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots. The depression is reported as moving east southeast at 12 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved and convection remains persistent in the past 24 hours. Low level circulation center difficult to locate. Tropical depression 19 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment and is moving into an area of decreasing shear. The system is steered southeastwards by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature is around 30C. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA.

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains MODERATE TO HIGH

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 2:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44791

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