Tropical Depression

By: HadesGodWyvern , 2:40 AM GMT on March 01, 2012

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Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
T201201.Pakhar - 998 hPa

April
Tropical Depression "90C" - 1004 hPa
Tropical Depression - 1008 hPa


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========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department


Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================


------------------------------------------------- --

=======================
Southeastern Pacific Ocean
=======================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Nadi Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
14F.NONAME - 1005 hPa
15F.NONAME - 1005 hPa
16F.NONAME - 1003 hPa
17F.NONAME - 999 hPa
18F.NONAME - 1004 hPa
19F.Daphne - 985 hPa

April
20F.NONAME - 1009 hPa

------------------------------------------------- --

==========================
Southwestern Pacific Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Bureau of Meteorology

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
17U.NONAME - 991 hPa


------------------------------------------------- ---


==========================
Southeastern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Bureau of Meteorology

Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
---------------------------------------------

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
15U.Koji - 993 hPa (moved west of 90E)
16U.LUA - 932 hPa

------------------------------------------------- -----

==========================
Southwestern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Mauritius Meteorological Services
Seychelles Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

March
11R.Irina - 979 hPa
12R.NONAME - 996 hPa
13R.Joni - 980 hPa (Entered from TCWC Perth - TC Koji)


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Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
6:00 AM FST April 1 2012
======================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (999 hPa) located at 15.8S 165.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots. The depression is reported as moving east southeast at 12 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved and convection remains persistent in the past 24 hours. Low level circulation center difficult to locate. Tropical depression 19 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment and is moving into an area of decreasing shear. The system is steered southeastwards by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature is around 30C. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA.

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains MODERATE TO HIGH

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 2:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #29
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
3:00 AM JST April 1 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.8N 109.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.9N 106.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- Overland Vietnam --
48 HRS: 12.5N 104.6E - Tropical Depression -- Overland Cambodia --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 21:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
0:00 AM FST April 1 2012
======================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (1003 hPa) located at 14.2S 165.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots. The depression is reported as moving east southeast at 5 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved and convection remains persistent in the past 24 hours. Low level circulation center is difficult to locate. Tropical depression 19 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment. The system is steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature around the center is 30C. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA.

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 20:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #27
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
21:00 PM JST March 31 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.7N 109.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.5N 107.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- Overland Vietnam --
48 HRS: 12.1N 105.2E - Tropical Depression -- Overland Cambodia --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 15:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18F
18:00 PM FST March 31 2012
=================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 18F (1002 hPa) located at 18.3S 170.0E is reported as moving southeast slowly. Position poor based on multisatellite infrared/visible imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has not changed much in the past 24 hours. Convection has not increased much in past 12 hours. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 700 HPA. Tropical depression 18 lies just to the south of an under ridge axis in a low to moderate sheared environment.

Few global models pick up the system and move it southeast with some intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #26
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
18:00 PM JST March 31 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.7N 109.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.3N 107.4E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- South China Sea --
45 HRS: 11.2N 105.7E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- Overland Cambodia --
69 HRS: 12.6N 103.4E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression) -- Overland Cambodia --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 12:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
18:00 PM FST March 31 2012
======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (1001 hPa) located at 14.6S 162.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots. The depression is reported as moving east southeast at 15 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports.

Organization has improved slightly in past 24 hours. Convection remains persistent to the equatorward of the system center but has not developed over the low level circulation center. Low level circulation center is difficult to locate. Tropical depression 19 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment. The system is steered southeastwards by the lower tropospheric westerlies south of the subtropical ridge into an area of decreasing shear. Sea surface temperature is around 30C. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA.

Global models have picked up the system and move it southeastward with further intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains MODERATE TO HIGH.

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 14:30 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #25
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
15:00 PM JST March 31 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.7N 109.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.4N 107.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- South China Sea --
48 HRS: 11.2N 105.7E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- Overland Cambodia --
72 HRS: 12.6N 103.4E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression) -- Overland Cambodia --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 9:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #24
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
12:00 PM JST March 31 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.7N 109.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southwest slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.3N 107.9E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- South China Sea --
45 HRS: 11.1N 106.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- Overland Vietnam --
69 HRS: 12.5N 103.7E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression) -- Overland Cambodia --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 6:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19F
12:00 PM FST March 31 2012
======================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 19F (1002 hPa) located at 13.2S 160.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots. The depression is reported as moving southeast at 10 knots. Position poor based on multisatellite infrared/visible imagery with animation.

Organization has improved slightly in past 24 hours. Convection has increased in the last 24 hours. System lies under upper diffluent region in a moderate sheared environment. Tropical depression 19 is moving into an area of decreasing shear. Sea surface temperature is around 30C. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA.

Most global models have picked up the system and move it southeast with further intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a cyclone in the next 24-48 hours is MODERATE TO HIGH.

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services will be issued at around 8:30 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #23
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
9:00 AM JST March 31 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.7N 110.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.2N 108.2E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- South China Sea --
48 HRS: 11.1N 106.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- Overland Vietnam --
72 HRS: 12.5N 103.7E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression) -- Overland Cambodia --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 3:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18F
9:00 AM FST March 31 2012
=================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 18F (1004 hPa) located at 16.0S 169.0E is reported as moving southeast slowly. Position poor based on multisatellite infrared/visible imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has not changed much in the past 12 hours. Convection has slightly increased in the past 24 hours. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 700 HPA. Tropical depression 18 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate to high sheared environment.

GFS has picked up the system and are moving it southeast with some intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours is LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17F
9:00 AM FST March 31 2012
=================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 17F (1000 hPa) located at 22.1S 175.0E is reported as moving south southwest slowly. Position fair based on multisatellite infrared/visible imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 27C.

Organization has not changed much in the past 12 hours. Low level circulation center exposed to the west of deep convection. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 500 HPA. Tropical depression 17 lies to the west of upper diffluent region. Tropical depression 17 lies in a moderate to high sheared environment with increasing shear to the south of current position.

Most global models have picked up the system and are moving it south with no or little intensification.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17F IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE THEREFORE THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR THIS SYSTEM.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #22
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
6:00 AM JST March 31 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.9N 110.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.2N 108.5E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 10.8N 106.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 12.2N 104.3E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 0:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
3:00 AM JST March 31 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.9N 110.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.2N 108.7E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) -- South China Sea --
48 HRS: 10.8N 106.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) -- Overland Vietnam --
72 HRS: 12.2N 104.3E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression) -- Overland Cambodia --

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 21:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
0:00 AM JST March 31 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 15:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.9N 110.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.1N 109.3E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 10.7N 108.1E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 12.0N 106.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 18:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
21:00 PM JST March 30 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.9N 110.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.0N 109.6E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 10.7N 108.1E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 12.0N 106.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 15:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17F
18:00 PM FST March 30 2012
=================================

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 17F (1000 hPa) located at 21.4S 175.6E is reported as moving south at 10 knots. Position fair based on multisatellite infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has not changed much in the past 12 hours. Low level circulation center exposed to the west of deep convection. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 500 HPA. Tropical depression lies to the east of an eastward moving upper trough. Tropical depression lies in a moderate to strongly sheared environment with increasing shear to the south of current position.

Most global models have picked up the system and are moving is south with little intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #18
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
18:00 PM JST March 30 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.8N 110.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.0N 109.7E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 10.5N 108.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 11.3N 106.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 12:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
15:00 PM JST March 30 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (998 hPa) located at 9.8N 111.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.9N 110.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 10.5N 108.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 11.3N 106.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

Additional Information
=======================

Tropical storm will move at the same speed for the next 72 hours

Tropical storm will move west for the next 24 hours then move west northwest

Tropical storm will keep present intensity for the next 24 hours

Final initial Dvorak number will be 3.0 after 24 hours

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 9:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
FORECAST FOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA REGION BETWEEN 142E-160E SOUTH OF 10S
2:30 pm EST March 30 2012
===================================

At 1:00pm EST, A low pressure system was located to the south of the Solomon Islands near 11.5S 157.5E. The low is forecast to move to the east of 160E, out of the Coral Sea outlook area, during Saturday. The low is expected to gradually intensify, but is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours. This system is expected to remain well away from the Queensland coast.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

Saturday: Low
Sunday: Very Low
Monday: Very Low
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
12:00 PM JST March 30 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1000 hPa) located at 9.7N 111.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.0N 110.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 10.7N 109.1E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 11.3N 107.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 6:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
9:00 AM JST March 30 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1000 hPa) located at 9.8N 111.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.2N 110.5E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 10.7N 109.1E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 11.3N 107.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

Additional Information
=======================

Tropical storm will move at the same speed for the next 72 hours

Tropical storm will move west northwest for the next 72 hours

Tropical storm will keep present intensity for next 24 hours

Final initial Dvorak number will be 3.5 after 24 hours

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 3:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17F
9:00 AM FST March 30 2012
=================================

At 21:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 17F (1000 hPa) located at 19.5S 176.2E is reported as slowly moving southward. Position fair based on multisatellite visible/infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has slightly improved in the past 12 hours. Deep convection lies to the east of low level circulation center. Tropical depression 17 lies under an upper diffluent region in a moderate to high sheared environment. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 500 HPA.

Most global models have picked up the system and are moving it south with little intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #14
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
6:00 AM JST March 30 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1004 hPa) located at 9.8N 111.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.2N 110.8E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 10.5N 109.8E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 11.6N 108.2E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 0:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471


definitely stronger than last advisory states..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)

3:00 AM JST March 30 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1004 hPa) located at 9.8N 111.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.2N 110.9E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 10.5N 109.8E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 11.6N 108.2E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 21:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
0:00 AM JST March 30 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 15:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1004 hPa) located at 9.8N 111.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.0N 111.1E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 10.3N 110.2E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 11.0N 108.9E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 18:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
21:00 PM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1004 hPa) located at 9.8N 111.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.0N 111.1E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 10.3N 110.2E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 11.0N 108.9E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 15:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17F
18:00 PM FST March 29 2012
=================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 17F (1000 hPa) located at 17.9S 175.9E is reported as slowly moving. Position poor based on multisatellite infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has improved slightly past 24 hours. Convection remains persistent. Tropical depression 17 lies under an upper diffluent region in a high sheared environment. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 500 HPA.

Most global models have picked up the system and are moving it south with little intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
18:00 PM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1004 hPa) located at 9.8N 111.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.0N 111.2E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 10.3N 110.5E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 10.8N 109.4E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 12:50 PM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
15:00 PM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1006 hPa) located at 9.8N 112.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 10.0N 111.4E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 10.3N 110.5E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 10.8N 109.4E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 9:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
FORECAST FOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA REGION BETWEEN 142E-160E SOUTH OF 10S
2:30 pm EST March 29 2012
===================================

At 1:00pm EST, a broad low pressure system was located to the south of the Solomon Islands near 10.2S 156.1E. The low is forecast to slowly intensify over the coming three days and will begin to take a more southeasterly track during Friday. This system is expected to remain well away from the Queensland coast.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
===================================

Friday: Low
Saturday: Moderate
Sunday: Moderate
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
12:00 PM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1006 hPa) located at 9.4N 112.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.5N 112.3E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 9.7N 112.0E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 10.0N 111.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

Additional Information
=====================

Tropical storm will be stationary for the next 72 hours

Tropical storm will keep present intensity for next 24 hours

Final initial Dvorak number will be 3.0 after 24 hours

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 6:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR (T1201)
9:00 AM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Pakhar (1006 hPa) located at 9.3N 112.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.4N 112.4E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 9.7N 112.0E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 10.0N 111.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency on TC Pakhar will be issued at 3:50 AM UTC..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17F
9:00 AM FST March 29 2012
=================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression 17F (1000 hPa) located at 18.4S 175.7E is reported as slow moving southward. Position fair based on multisatellite visible/infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has improved slightly past 12 hours. Convection remains persistent to the east of the partially exposed low level circulation center. Tropical depression 17 lies under an upper diffluent region in a low to moderate sheared environment and is expected to move into an area of increasing shear. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 500 HPA.

Most global models have picked up the system and are moving it south with little intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 4-48 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02
6:00 AM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.2N 112.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.3N 112.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02
3:00 AM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.2N 112.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.3N 112.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02
0:00 AM JST March 29 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 15:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.3N 112.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.3N 112.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02
21:00 PM JST March 28 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.3N 112.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.3N 112.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02
18:00 PM JST March 28 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.3N 114.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.3N 113.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02
15:00 PM JST March 28 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea


At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.3N 114.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 9.3N 113.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17F
18:00 PM FST March 28 2012
=================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 17F (1000 hPa) located at 18.5S 178.9E is reported as slow moving southward. Position poor based on multisatellite infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization remains has improved slightly in the past 12 hours. Convection remains persistent. Tropical depression 17 lies under an upper diffluent region in a low to moderate sheared environment and is expected to move into an area of increasing shear. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 500 HPA.

Most global models have picked up the system and are moving it south with little intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
2:30 PM EST March 28 2012
=======================================

A broad area of low pressure currently exists to the south of the Solomon Islands. The monsoon flow and trade winds are expected to strengthen over the northeastern Coral Sea over the next few days, increasing the likelihood of development of the low. This system is expected to remain well away from the
Queensland coast.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
==================================

Thursday: Very Low
Friday: Low
Saturday: Moderate
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST March 28 2012
=================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1010 hPa) located at 10.0N 114.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 17F
9:00 AM FST March 28 2012
=================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 17F (1003 hPa) located at 16.1S 179.0E is reported as slow moving southward. Position poor based on multisatellite infrared/visible imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization remains poor in the past 12 hours. Convection has increased. Tropical disturbance 17F lies under an upper diffluent region in a low to moderate sheared environment and is expected to move into an area of increasing shear. CYCLONIC circulation extends up to 500 HPA.

Most global models have picked up the system and are moving it south with little intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST March 28 2012
=================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.0N 113.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
15:00 PM JST March 27 2012
=================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.0N 114.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 17F
18:00 PM FST March 27 2012
=================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 17F (1003 hPa) located at 15.0S 178.0E is reported as slow moving. Position poor based on multisatellite infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization remains poor in the past 12 hours. Convection has not increased much. Tropical disturbance 17 lies to the east of an upper trough in a low to moderate sheared environment and is expected to move into an area of increasing shear. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 500 HPA.

Most global models have picked up the system and are moving it southeast with little intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours remains LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST March 27 2012
=================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.0N 115.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50471

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