November 1, 2011 - December 31, 2011

By: HadesGodWyvern , 11:26 PM GMT on October 31, 2011

Share this Blog
6
+

========================
Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Japan Meteorological Agency

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

November

TROPICAL DEPRESSION - 1004 hPa
JTWC25W - 1000 hPa

December

TROPICAL DEPRESSION - 1004 hPa
T201121.Washi/Sendong - 996 hPa
TROPICAL DEPRESSION - 1004 hPa
TROPICAL DEPRESSION - 1008 hPa


-------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------

Northeast Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: RSMC Miami - National Hurricane Center

National Hurricane Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

November
EP132011.Kenneth - 943 hPa

------------------------------------------------- --

------------------------------------------------- --

========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

November
ARB02.Keila - 996 hPa
ARB03.NONAME - 1000 hPa
ARB04.NONAME - 998 hPa

December
BOB05.Thane - 976 hPa

------------------------------------------------- --

=======================
Southeastern Pacific Ocean
=======================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Nadi Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

November
01F.NONAME - 1004 hPa

December

02F.NONAME - 1002 hPa

------------------------------------------------- --

==========================
Southwestern Pacific Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Bureau of Meteorology

Brisbane Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
---------------------------------------

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

December

02U.Fina - 995 hPa
04U.Grant - 978 hPa


------------------------------------------------- ---


==========================
Southeastern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Bureau of Meteorology

Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
---------------------------------------------

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

December

01U(01R).Alenga - 968 hPa (moved east of 90E)
03U.NONAME - xx hPa

------------------------------------------------- -----

==========================
Southwestern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Mauritius Meteorological Services
Seychelles Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

December

01R.Alenga - 982 hPa
02R.NONAME - 998 hPa
03R.NONAME - 1000 hPa
04R.Benilde - 968 hPa

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

Sign In or Register Sign In or Register

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 10 - 1

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 — Blog Index

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
15:00 PM JST November 2 2011
=============================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Low Pressure Area (1004 hPa) located at 7.0N 120.0E is reported as moving west at 10 knots
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
CYCLONIC STORM KEILA (ARB02-2011)
8:30 AM IST November 2 2011
=========================================

SUBJECT: Deep Depression Intensified Into A Cyclonic Storm KEILA Over West Central Arabian Sea .

At 3:00 AM UTC, The deep depression over west central Arabian Sea moved westward and intensified into a cyclonic storm. Cyclonic Storm Keila lays centered over west central Arabian Sea near 16.0N 55.0E, or about 2150 km west-northwest of Mangalore (India), 400 km north-northeast of Socotra Island (Yemen) and 150 km southeast of Salalah (Oman).

The system is likely to move westwards and cross south Oman and adjoining Yemen coast to south of Salalah around Thursday night/evening.

The convection has increased during past 12 hours. The Dvorak intensity is T2.5. Associated broken intense to very intense convection is seen over area south Oman adjoining Yemen between 13.5N to 20.0N and 52.5E to 58.0E and moderate to intense convection over northeast Oman adjoining northwest Arabian Sea. The lowest cloud top temperature due to convection is around -85C.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 35 knots with a central pressure of 998 hPa. The state of the sea is very rough to high around the system center.

Storm Surge Guide
=================

Storm surge of height 1.0 meter above astronomical tide is expected near the landfall point.

The relative vorticity and low level convergence at 850 HPA level do not show significant change in past 12 hours and upper level divergence shows no change during past 12 hours. Sea surface temperature is around 26-27C around the center. The ocean heat content is less (<40 kj/cm2) around the center and not favorable for intensification over Gulf of Aden and adjoining Arabian Sea. Vertical wind shear of horizontal wind over the region has decreased and favorable as it is low to moderate (10-20 knots) There is negative 24 hour tendency of vertical wind shear (-5 to -10 knots) around the center. The system lies to the south of upper tropospheric ridge, which runs roughly along 18.0N in association with anticyclonic circulation to the northeast of center. 24 hour pressure tendency is positive along Oman coast. The lowest mean sea level pressure has been reported by Salalah of 1004 hPA. Buoy near 16.5N 55.1E reported sea level pressure of 999.2 hPa.

Forecast and Intensity
======================

09 HRS: 16.0N 54.0E - 35 to 40 knots (Cyclonic Storm)
21 HRS: 16.0N 53.0E - 35 to 40 knots (Cyclonic Storm)
36 HRS: 16.0N 52.0E - 35 to 40 knots (Cyclonic Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
9:00 AM JST November 2 2011
=============================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Low Pressure Area (1006 hPa) located at 8.0N 121.0E is reported as moving west northwest slowly
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
3:00 AM JST November 2 2011
=============================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Low Pressure Area (1004 hPa) located at 8.0N 123.0E is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
DEEP DEPRESSION ARB02-2011
17:30 PM IST November 1 2011
=========================================

SUBJECT: Deep Depression Over West Central Arabian Sea.

At 12:00 PM UTC, Deep Depression ARB02-2011 over west central Arabian Sea moved westward and lays centered over west central Arabian Sea near 16.0N 55.5E, or about 2100 km west-northwest of Mangalore (India), 400 km north-northeast of Socotra Island (Yemen) and 200 km southeast of Salalah (Oman).

The system is likely to intensify further into a cyclonic storm and move west-northwestwards and cross south Oman and adjoining Yemen coast close to south of Salalah around Wednesday evening/night.


The depth of convection shows no change during past 12 hours. The Dvorak intensity is T2.0. Associated broken intense to very intense convection is seen over area from 13.5N to 20.0N and 50.5E to 57.0E, southeast Oman. Moderate to intense convection over rest northwest Arabian Sea, res north Oman between 19.0N to 24.0N and 55.0E to 65.0E and adjoining Gulf of Oman. The lowest cloud top temperature due to convection is around -82C.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 30 knots with a central pressure of 1000 hPa. The state of the sea is very rough around the system center.

The relative vorticity and low level convergence at 850 HPA level do not show significant change in past 12 hours and upper level divergence shows no change. Sea surface temperature is around 26-27C. The ocean heat content is less (<40 kj/cm2) around the system and not favorable for intensification over Gulf of Aden and adjoining Arabian Sea. Vertical wind shear of horizontal wind over the region has decreased and favorable as it is low to moderate. There is negative 24 hour tendency of vertical wind shear 9-5 to -10 knots around the system center. The system lies to the south of upper tropospheric ridge, which runs roughly along 18.0N in association with an anticyclonic circulation to the northeast of system. 24 hours pressure tendency is negative along Oman coast. The lowest mean sea level pressure has been reported by Salalah of 1001.2 hPa. Though most of the models suggest movement towards Gulf of Aden/Oman coast, there is large variation in track and intensity forecast. ECMWF model shows west northwestward movement during next 48 hours

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

6 HRS: 16.1N 55.2E - 30 to 35 knots (Deep Depression)
24 HRS: 16.7N 54.2E - 40 to 45 knots (Cyclonic Storm)
48 HRS: 17.5N 52.8E - 30 to 35 knots (Deep Depression)
72 HRS: 18.N 51.0E - 20 knots (Low Pressure Area)

Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
DEEP DEPRESSION ARB02-2011
8:30 AM IST November 1 2011
=========================================

SUBJECT: Deep Depression Over West Central Arabian Sea

At 3:00 AM UTC, The depression over west central Arabian Sea moved westward and intensified into deep depression. Deep Depression ARB02-2011 lays centered over west central Arabian Sea near 16.0N 56.0E, or about 2000 km west-northwest of Mangalore (Karnataka), 450 km north-northeast of Socotra Island (Yemen) and 230 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman).

The system is likely to move west-northwestwards cross south Oman and adjoining Yemen coast close to south of Salalah around Wednesday morning.

The depth of convection has increased during past 12 hours. The Dvorak intensity is T2.0. Associated broken intense to very intense convection is seen over area between 13.0N to 18.5N and 51.5E to 58.0E and between 18.5N to 22.5N and 55.0E to 63.0E, including adjacent Oman coast. The lowest cloud top temperature due to convection is around -84C.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 30 knots with a central pressure of 1000 hPa. The state of the sea is very rough around the system center.

The relative vorticity and low level convergence at 850 HPA level do not show significant change in past 12 hours and upper level divergence shows no change during the past 12 hours. Sea surface temperature is around 26-27C. The ocean heat content is less (<40 kj/cm2) around the system center and is not favorable for intensification over gulf of aden and adjoining Arabian Sea. Vertical wind shear of horizontal wind over the region has decreased and favorable as it is low to moderate (5-10 knots). There is negative 24 hour tendency of vertical wind shear around the system. The system lies to the south of upper tropospheric ridge, which runs roughly along 18.0N in association with an anticyclonic circulation to the northeast of system. 24 hours pressure tendency is negative along Oman coast. The lowest mean sea level pressure has been reported by Salalah of 1004.0 hPa.

Though most of the models suggest movement towards Gulf of Aden/Oman coast, there is large variation in track forecast. ECMWF model show west northwestward movement during the next 48 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
9:00 AM JST November 1 2011
============================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Low Pressure Area (1006 hPa) located at 7.0N 127.0E is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
3:00 AM JST November 1 2011
============================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Low Pressure Area (1004 hPa) located at 6.0N 128.0E is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970
Re-posted from previous blog...

India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
DEPRESSION ARB02-2011
17:30 PM IST October 31 2011
=========================================

Depression Over West Central Arabian Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, DEPRESSION ARB02-2011 over west central Arabian Sea moved northwestward and lay centered over west central Arabian Sea near 16.0N 57.5E, about 1900 km west-northwest of Mangalore (India), 550 km northeast of Socotra Island (Yemen) and 400 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman).

The depth of convection has increased during past 12 hours. The Dvorak intensity is T1.5. Associated broken intense to very intense convection is seen over area between 14.0N to 21.0N west of 65.0E and adjoining Saudi Arabia. The lowest cloud top temperature due to convection is around -79C.

3 minute sustained wind near the center is 25 knots with a central pressure of 1002 hPa. The state of the sea is rough to very rough around the center.

The relative vorticity and low level convergence at 850 hPa level shows slight increase in past 12 hours and upper level divergence show no change during past 12 hours. Sea surface temperature is around 26-27C to the western side of system. The ocean heat content is less (<40 kj/cm2) around the system and not favorable for intensification over Gulf of Aden and adjoining Arabian Sea. Vertical wind shear of horizontal wind over the region is favorable as it is low to moderate. There is positive 24 hours tendency of vertical wind shear to the east of system and no significant change on western side of system. The system lies to the south of upper tropospheric ridge, which runs roughly along 17.0N in association with an anticyclonic circulation to the northeast of system. 24 hours pressure tendency is negative along Oman coast. The lowest mean sea level pressure has been reported by Salalah of 1003.0 hPa.

The system is likely to intensify further into a deep depression and move west-northwestwards cross south Oman and adjoining Yemen coast close to south of Salalah around Wednesday morning.

The depression is not expected to cause adverse weather along and off west of coast of India. However, the system is under constant watch for its further development
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 54 Comments: 47970

Viewing: 10 - 1

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 — Blog Index

Top of Page

About HadesGodWyvern

HadesGodWyvern's Recent Photos

Guilmon
A Wyvern
Wyvern
Super Cyclonic Storm Gonu