My name is George Abagis, about to start school online but I have a huge compilation of research and thoughts I would like to share.
By: George1938 , 8:12 PM GMT on August 20, 2014
Okay, the other day I was looking at Invest 96L and I couldn't help but get this reminiscent feeling of Irene, I really don't know why it was just there and stuck. Remember how it was originally going towards the gulf, then Florida, then Georgia, then BANG.
Looking at all the new model outputs now it has become more in the favor of that reminiscent feeling and what I was ranting about last night with that high over the Atlantic. At this time I only have time and because I want to wait for the 18z models to come out before I go more in depth I will touch on the 12z GDFL for now.
Okay this is the latest GFDL Cyclone Model at 12z it depicts a developing low northeast of the Bahamas. See that high over New England, if that can move just to our east shortly after this time, it would be sufficiently blocked and have no where else to go but into land. This image is after moving over mountainous Hispaniola. Cristobal which would be the designated name would then move north and with a now warm anomaly in the Atlantic, especially the gulf stream which runs up to our south in some cases over 3.C above normal and favorable conditions there would be plenty of potential. This will be closely monitored.
ADDITION: I will also go through the years and specific storms tonight, but there are certain years where storms like to group on their tracks in certain regions, the most well known are 1954. Carol, Edna, Hazel all ravaging the East Coast, Carol hit New England as a cat 3 and Edna as well as a cat 2. Then 2004, Charley, Francis, Ivan, and Jeanne all into Florida as Hurricanes This year we had Aurthur off the coast, then Bertha, though further away it is still in the same vicinity when you break the ocean down into zones.
Thanks for reading,
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