Sea of Cortez/Baja Weather for 09/27/13

By: Geary , 1:09 PM GMT on September 27, 2013

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Friday, September 27, 2013

Voice to Text

Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see in general the skies have been clear in the Sea for the past 24 hours. There has been some cloudiness around the cape area from remnant clouds from cells working along Mexican Riviera in the past 24 hours. Nothing over the peninsula that looks like any rain though. That being said, Los Barrales reported almost a half inch of rain since midnight.
Looking south along the Mexican Riviera this morning, as I mentioned there was, and still is, a large tall cell between Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan that continues to grow in size this morning. Further south it is almost solid thunderbumpers from there to almost Acapulco this morning.
In our Tropical Kitchen this morning there are a couple of lows in our hood. One is embedded in the ITCZ/Monsoon trough around 92W and is forecast to continue moving west with little or no chance of any tropical development.
The other low is a rain-maker moving slowly along the west coast and was 148 miles west of Zihuatanejo this morning. The good folks at the National Hurricane Center are giving it a very slim chance of developing into a named storm: it will most likely spend it’s life as a low being tagged as invest 92E. It is forecast to start a swing to the west today and all of the models show it staying well south of the cape as it slowly moves west over the next couple of days. Meantime it’s close proximity to land is producing heavy rain in places from Puerto Vallarta south to Zihuatanejo this morning. Several reporting locations reported 2-3 inches of rain in the past 24 hours.
There are a couple of Tropical Wave that have moved off the African coast and are now heading across the Atlantic. One is around 48W and the other is approaching the Leeward Islands and is too far to the north to make it into the Pacific. I noted a low popping up in the Caribbean this morning that could attract the attention of this wave.
That’s what is going on in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where a potent fall storm will set up off the British Columbia coast this weekend and bring prolonged moderate to heavy rain to southwest Washington and northern Oregon. This is a unusual storm from September and has the potential for producing record rains, up to 10 inches in the Cascades. In addition, gusterly conditions are expected to arrive tomorrow with gusts to at least 55 mph are possible along the coastal headlands and beaches.
Mostly sunny skies are forecast for northern California today and tomorrow then on Sunday an approaching trough will usher in an increase in colder weather and produce showers through Monday night and the front should exit to the east on Tuesday. High pressure will fill in the wake of the departing low bringing on a slight warming trend.
In southern California those strong westerly winds in the deserts and mountains will continue to weaken as a trough of low pressure moves east through the Great Basin today. Tomorrow high pressure will fill in the wake of the departing low bringing drying and much warmer weather for the weekend.
Looking over to the southwest this image is showing some cloudiness mostly in the NW corner of the state but the forecast is for party cloudy skies with a few light showers today in the Tucson area. I did note that the “Weather Owl” was wet this morning with just a trace of rain at Hereford.
As the low in the Great Basin moves off to the east high pressure will fill in bringing a warming trend to the southwest over the weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the northern Sea will be seeing strong NW winds all day today. Tomorrow moderate and Sunday light.
The rest of the Sea mostly in the moderate ranges for the 3-day forecast period.
Here are the wind details for the 3-day forecast period.
The northern Sea: Strong to 26 today, 18 tomorrow, and light on Sunday.
The Guaymas side of the central Sea: Sunday around 20, but today and tomorrow moderate NW.
The Baja side of the central Sea: mostly moderate NE for the next 3 days.
The southern Sea, the San Lorenzo Channel, La Paz and the nearby islands. Light to moderate for the 3-day forecast period.
The East Cape: moderate NW today then light NE over the weekend.
The Mexican Riviera: Mazatlan to Puerto Vallarta mostly light SE for the next 3 days. South of Cabo Corrienties we have invest 92E that is producing a lot of rain along the coast with the potential for strong gusts as these cells move though. The forecast however says moderate NW for the next 3 days.

73s Y’all



Friday, September 27, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, September 27, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: N 13-17
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
TOMORROW: Saturday, September 28, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, September 27, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
TOMORROW : Saturday, September 28, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 14-18
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 9/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 11 seconds
Saturday 9/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday 9/29 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: WSW 3 feet at 15 seconds

Point San Quintin
Sunday 4/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 7 feet at 11 seconds
Saturday 9/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday 9/29 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: W 4 feet at 15 second

Turtle Bay
Friday 9/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: NW 4 feet at 12 seconds
Saturday 9/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: NW 3 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday 9/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: NW 2 feet at 16 seconds

Cedros Island
Friday 9/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 12 seconds
Saturday 9/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday 9/29 Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Seas: W 2 feet at 16 second

ABREOJOS
Friday 9/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 12 seconds
Saturday 9/28 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday 9/29 Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Seas: SW 3 feet at 16 seconds

Mag Bay
Friday 9/27 Afternoon Winds: N 6-8
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday 9/28 Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-12
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday 9/29 Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-12
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 10 second

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

Friday 9/27 Morning Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 13 seconds
Saturday 9/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday 9/29 Afternoon Winds: SSE 4-5
Seas: SW 4 feet at 10 seconds


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 69 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NNW 20 to 28 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 19-25
Sunrise Temp.: 71 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNW 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 20-26
Sunrise Temp.: 63 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-12

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé : WU Station closed 8/1/13
Morning Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-12

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 12-15

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 65 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-7

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 71 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 8-10
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 11 seconds

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 2.29 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: N 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 3.02 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 81 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Seas: SW 4 feet at 17 seconds


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About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

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Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 103.3 °F
Dew Point: 64.9 °F
Humidity: 29%
Wind: 5.0 mph from the ENE
Wind Gust: 5.0 mph
Updated: 3:40 PM MDT on July 23, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations