Sea of Cortez Weather for 09/18/13

By: Geary , 1:15 PM GMT on September 19, 2013

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After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.


This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
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Thursday, September 19, 2013

Voice to Text

Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that with the exception of a himicane in the Sea of Cortez the skies are clear to the north of this swirl in the south.
This image is showing this storm, then a tropical storm, moving into the center of the mouth of the Sea of Cortez yesterday morning. Flipping a coin and going right. The forecasts of course said he would go left and pass over La Paz.
I believe I said this a couple of days ago, “What an interesting storm”. It has gone from a low to a Tropical Depression twice, a tropical storm twice and is now a category one himicane with the eyewall around 60 miles north of Los Mochas over land with half the storm still over water along the Sonoran coast. This storm has dumped a lot of very heavy rain along the west coast of Mexico flooding coastal several cities. Around 60 deaths are now attributed to this storm. A friend living just north of Mazatlan reported she had 8 inches of rain in less than 12 hours yesterday. I noted that yesterday all the forecasters were ending the forecast with things like, “needless to say, confidence remains quite low in the track forecasts”. These are folks with PhD’s and a house full of gazillion dollars computers. It was amazing the tracks were changing by the hour. The current popular track this morning has Manuel to continuing moving inland again today. We’ll see? An alternate scenario is for Manuel to linger along the Sonoran coast in the southern Sea for a couple of days. Who knows?
The fat lady has warmed up twice but has had to sit down twice as Manuel has fooled all the computers scenarios and sort of danced to its own tune. I’m thinking we’ll call her when we need her.
As Manuel has been producing heavy rain and mud slides on the west coast of Mexico Sister Ingrid was doing the same thing on the eastern seaboard. Now another low has popped up in the Bay of Campeche and is forecast to pretty much follow the same track as Ingrid up the Mexican coast dumping more rain, more flash flooding and more mud slides.
This will be like a triple hit for Mexico in the past 6 days. I feel like saying, “Hey enough is enough.” The Mexicans are probably saying, “Que sera”.
Well that is what is going on in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where the Great Northwest will see a day of warm temperatures and sunshine. Tomorrow the rain will return into the weekend.
In northern California the jet stream is keeping most of the storm activity to the north however they could see some sprinkles tomorrow but the weekend looks like clear and warm.
In southern California weak high pressure will keep the southland warm and dry into the weekend.
Looking now over to the southwest where the forecast is suggesting some thunderbumper activity along the Fence this afternoon and evening and possibly some thunderbumper activity over near the California border on Saturday. This image however is showing the region to be pretty much free of any clouds this morning.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it sort of depends on where you are. You could have NE, NW or SW.
Here are the wind details for the 3-day forecast period.
The northern Sea: ballpark 10 knots for the 3-day forecast period. Today from the NE. tomorrow SE, and Saturday SW.
The Guaymas side of the central Sea: moderate NW today, light SW tomorrow and light westerly’s on Saturday.
The Baja side of the central Sea: Santa Rosalia to Concepcion Bay moderate NE for the 3-day forecast period.
The southern Sea, the San Lorenzo Channel, La Paz and the nearby islands including the Puerto Escondido area. Light to moderate SW winds for the next 3 days.
The East Cape: light SE today, light NW tomorrow and Saturday.
The Mexican Riviera: in the Mazatlan area moderate SE today and tomorrow and light SW on Saturday. Puerto Vallarta and south light to moderate mostly SW winds for the next 3 days.
And the Sonoran coast from Los Mochas south to around half way between Mazatlan and Guaymas, say 80 miles on either side of Los Mochas hurricane warning are posted.

73s Y’all

Thursday, September 19, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, September 19, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
TOMORROW: Friday, September 20, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, September 19, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
TOMORROW : Friday, September 20, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-7
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 9 seconds
Friday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 seconds
Saturday 9/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 12 seconds

Point San Quintin
Sunday 4/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 9 seconds
Friday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday 9/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 14 seconds

Turtle Bay
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 9 seconds
Friday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday 9/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: NW 2 feet at 9 seconds

Cedros Island
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday 9/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: W 2 feet at 15 seconds

ABREOJOS
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: W 5 feet at 11 seconds
Friday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: W 4 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday 9/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: S 4 feet at 11 seconds

Mag Bay
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 12 seconds
Friday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday 9/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 10 seconds

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

Thursday 9/19 Morning Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 12 seconds
Friday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: W 5 feet at 11 seconds
Saturday 9/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SW 4 feet at 10 seconds


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: W 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 70 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé : WU Station closed 8/1/13
Morning Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-12

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1002
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.62 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 3-4
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.79 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Seas: NE 3 feet at 7 seconds

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.71 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SSE 17 to 23 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 77R °
Daily High Temperature: 79 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 4.92 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 seconds


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About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

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El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 65.5 °F
Dew Point: 53.0 °F
Humidity: 64%
Wind: 2.0 mph from the NNW
Wind Gust: 11.0 mph
Updated: 8:10 PM MST on December 19, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations