Sea of Cortez Weather for 09/17/13

By: Geary , 1:08 PM GMT on September 17, 2013

Share this Blog
0
+

The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather including hurricanes during the season..
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez


After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.


This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click the “Listen to” button on the webpage


Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Voice to Text

Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the Sea has been virtually cloud free for the past 24 hours.
Looking south I can see that a very large cell developed back in the mountains to the east of Puerto Vallarta last night and by this morning it had grown to a huge size and strength and it appears to have merged with Invest 91, formally tropical storm Manuel which is parked around the Tres Marias Islands west of Puerto Vallarta. It now extends from Puerto Vallarta to almost Los Mochas blanketing about half of the southern crossing. The outer clouds extending north to La Paz on the peninsula. It’s hard to tell any forward or northern movement because it just keeps growing. This is a storm that will bear watching develop today.
Looking in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. Yesterday I said, “The fat lady ain’t sung yet.” I’m sticking to that even though Manuel is officially history, it has emerged from land in is now in the vicinity of the Tres Marias islands west of Puerto Vallarta as invest 91Echo. This morning the low seems to be loosing definition and will most likely merge with the trough that has been in the Sea all summer. The National Hurricane Center is giving it only a slight chance of redevelopment to a tropical storm again.
Yesterday The Florida Water District published models showing this system moving directly up the Sea of Cortez. The only model they did not show was the official one from the National Hurricane Center’s charts that showed a few of the tracks entering the Sea and most skirting over or to the west of the cape in the next couple of days.
The fly in the ointment this morning may be this huge cell that the invest appears to have merged with. It will certainly bear watching today. My crystal ball is really foggy about what will develop, perhaps nothing. It’s like Godzilla meets Bubby, you sort of expect something to happen.
Further south it is thunderbumper city all the way to Central America this morning.
That’s what is going on in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where the Great Northwest will see off and on showers all week then a Pacific storm will arrive on Friday bringing another round of wet and unsettled weather to the northwest.
In Northern California the work week looks very pleasant however that Pacific storm may not bring rain but it will be bringing in the cold this weekend. The pattern for next week looks dry with the jet stream keeping the storms to the north.
In southern California areas of dense fog are probable all along the coast lifting in the late afternoons. The next couple of days will be gusterly in the mountain and deserts.
Looking now over to the southwest where the can expect to have a few thunderbumpers along the Fence this afternoon and evening. Thereafter a drying trend will limit the thunderbumpers too mainly across the White Mountains into Sunday. Temperatures will generally be a few degrees above normal into the weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence where in general it looks like light southerlies for the 3-day forecast period.
Here are the wind details for the 3-day forecast period.
The northern Sea: light southerlies today and tomorrow and light NE on Thursday.
The central Sea: light to moderate SE for the next 3 days.
The southern Sea, the San Lorenzo Channel, La Paz and the nearby islands. The mid teens from the SE for the 3-day forecast period.
The East Cape: light to moderate SE for the next 3 days.
The Mexican Riviera: Cabo Corrienties to Mazatlan 21-25 today from the SE. then light to moderate SW for the next two days.
South of Cabo Corrienties light SW winds for the 3-day forecast period.

73s Y’all


Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
TOMORROW: Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, September 17, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SE 19-25
TOMORROW : Wednesday, September 18, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SE 19-25
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: SW 5 feet at 14 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 9 second

Point San Quintin
Sunday 4/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 20-26
Seas: Seas: W 7 feet at 14 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 12 seconds
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 9 seconds

Turtle Bay
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: NW 4 feet at 12 seconds
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 9 seconds

Cedros Island
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 14 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: W 4 feet at 12 seconds
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 11 second

ABREOJOS
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 21-27
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: WSW 5 feet at 13 seconds
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: W 4 feet at 11 seconds

Mag Bay
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: WSW 5 feet at 13 seconds
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 12 seconds

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

Tuesday 9/17 Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WSW 5 feet at 12 second


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 105 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: N 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé : WU Station closed 8/1/13
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-15

La Paz:
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 seconds

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: ESE 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 19-25
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 2.24 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SSE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 82 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 2.81 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 2.2 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 82 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
Seas: SW 5 feet at 16 seconds


Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

1. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
12:57 PM GMT on September 18, 2013
Geary has created a new entry.

Viewing: 1 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

Top of Page

About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 91.0 °F
Dew Point: 78.5 °F
Humidity: 67%
Wind: 13.0 mph from the SE
Wind Gust: 13.0 mph
Updated: 9:12 PM MDT on July 12, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations