Sea of Cortez/Baja Weather for 09/16/13 Mexican Independence Day

By: Geary , 1:37 PM GMT on September 16, 2013

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Monday, September 16, 2013

Voice to Text

Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the Sea of Cortez have been pretty much cloud free for the past 24 hours. Well, I can see a few fluffys hear and there in the southern Sea this morning but that is it.
Looking over to Sonora; the 24 hour loop is showing not a cloud in the sky for the entire state.
Looking now south to the west coast of Mexico and the Mexican Riviera. We have the remnants of tropical storm Manuel parked over Cabo Corrienties this morning and from there south heavy cloud cover and thunderbumpers are all along the coast to South America.
What an interesting storm Manuel has been. From a lowly low just three days ago to a tropical storm in 9 hours then dumping copious amounts of rain along the coast from Acapulco to Cabo Corrienties . Making landfall yesterday and heading north inland, paralleling the coast and exiting early this morning on the north side of Cabo Corrienties as a remnant low where he is forecast to park for few days.
Even though Manuel has dissipated very heavy rains are expected to continue along the southwestern coast of Mexico for another day or
so. These rains could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides especially in mountainous terrain. Manuel remains to be a dangerous storm.
The fat lady may not have sung yet. Model guidance continues to suggest that a weak surface low could form in this area just to the north of Cabo Corrienties in a few days so we will be keeping a weather eye on Manuel’s remnants for signs of regeneration.
That’s what is going on in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where a front moving through Washington will keep showers in the forecast for Seattle into mid week.
In northern California where autumn is arriving in the bay area. After a summer of foggy days on the bay they are looking forward to the sunny days that autumn brings. Inland is also shaping up to be very pleasant all week.
In southern California coastal communities will see morning fog lift at the beaches in the early afternoons. Inland; warm temperatures on tap for all week.
Looking now over to the southwest where there still remains enough moisture in the region to justify isolated to scattered showers and thunderbumpers mainly to the east and south of Tucson this afternoon and evening. There is also a slight chance of some thunderbumper activity late tonight across the White Mountains, otherwise dry conditions will occur.
Tuesday and Wednesday there could be some thunderbumper activity along the Fence in the afternoons and evenings.
Briefly taking a look over in the Caribbean where Hurricane Ingrid has just been plutoed to a tropical storm as it made landfall around La Pesca. She is forecast to move west across Mexico today producing 10-15 inches of rain over a large part of eastern Mexico with isolated amounts of 25 inches possible especially in the mountains terrain. Flash flooding and mud slides are already being reported and there have been reports of about a dozen deaths so far. She should extend almost ¾ the way across Mexico by Wednesday.
That is what is happening to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like this could be the last day for these NW winds. Tomorrow swinging to the east then southerlies on Wednesday.
Here are the wind details for the 3-day forecast period.
The northern Sea: moderate NW today then light SE for the rest of the 3-day forecast period.
The Guaymas side of the central Sea: the mid to high teens from the NW today then light southerlies on Tuesday and Wednesday.
The Baja side of the central Sea: moderate NE today, light southerlies tomorrow and moderate southerlies on Wednesday.
The southern Sea, the San Lorenzo Channel, the nearby islands. Light SE for the 3-day forecast period. La Paz light SE today and tomorrow and then on Wednesday moderate SE.
The East Cape: ballpark 20 knots in the afternoons for the next 3 days. Today WNW, Tomorrow ESE, and Wednesday WNW again.
The Mexican Riviera: The remnant clouds associated with former tropical storm Manuel are spread out from around Manzanillo to Los Mochas this morning. Cabo Corrienties is forecast to have ballpark 20 knot winds today but the rest mostly in the low to mid teens. To the south of Cabo Corrienties it is pretty much sold thunderbumpers all the way to South America this morning.

73s Y’all


Monday, September 16, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, September 16, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: N 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
TOMORROW: Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, September 16, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
TOMORROW : Tuesday, September 17, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Monday 9/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SW 4 feet at 14 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 9 second

Point San Quintin
Sunday 4/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Seas: W 6 feet at 14 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 12 seconds

Turtle Bay
Monday 9/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 4 feet at 12 secon

Cedros Island
Monday 9/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 seconds
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 14 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: W 4 feet at 12 second

ABREOJOS
Monday 9/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 seconds
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: WSW 5 feet at 13 seconds

Mag Bay
Monday 9/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 seconds
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: WSW 5 feet at 13 seco

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

Monday 9/16 Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 seconds
Tuesday 9/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 14 seconds


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 92 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 91 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NNW 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 106 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé : WU Station closed 8/1/13
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-15

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: N 0 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 seconds

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.15 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 73R °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.15 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 77R °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-20
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 8 seconds


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About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

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Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 72.1 °F
Dew Point: 51.3 °F
Humidity: 48%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 4.0 mph
Updated: 1:55 PM MST on December 25, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations