Sea of Cortez/Baja Weather for LUCKY FRIDAY The 13th.

By: Geary , 1:07 PM GMT on September 13, 2013

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After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.


This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

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LUCKY FRIDAY THE 13TH

Voice to Text

Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that with the exception of the cape region the Sea of Cortez has been cloud free for the past 24 hours.
Over in Sonora back in the hills between Mazatlan and Los Mochas just about every day this time of year thunderbumpers develop there and move toward the coast. Sometimes, like this morning, they break-up before entering the Sea and send mostly remnant clouds toward the cape with just enough moisture to give cause to the possibility of some thunderbumper activity in the cape region.
When they continue to build as they get to open water we call them chubbascos and they are normally associated with high winds, not necessarily any rain though.
Well, it took all that to tell you that it is cloudy in the cape region this morning. Yesterday afternoon Accuweather said La Paz had fog. Not sure what that was all about. The web cam showed lots of sun and little wind on the bay.
Looking now south along the west coast of Mexico and the Mexican Riviera it looks like just remnant clouds from long-gone thunderbumpers from Mazatlan to Manzanillo, then its sold thunderbumpers all the way to Central America.
The ITCZ/Monsoon trough snaking along 11 north this morning is very active out to around 120.
Looking in our Tropical Kitchen this morning we have invest 90 Echo. It is around 109 miles SW of Acapulco this morning and the good folks at the National Hurricane Center are giving it a much better chance of development to a Tropical Depression than they did yesterday. It could very likely become a Tropical Depression over the weekend and perhaps a named storm early next week. This system is very close to shore and in combination with Tropical Depression 10 passing through the Yucatan and the Bay of Campeche will likely bring heavy rain along he coast. Interests along the coast should be aware that these heavy rains could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.
Tropical Depression 10 in the Caribbean is expected to produce 10-15 inches of rain over a large portion of east Mexico with isolated amounts of 25 inches in the mountainous terrain. Flash floods and mud slides are a major concern.
These two systems will both move north at about the same speed and will pretty much parallel each other for the next couple of days.
That’s what is going on in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where it looks like the entire west coast from Seattle to San Diego will be having a very pleasant weekend with abundant sunshine in the afternoons. Coastal communities will see morning fog burn off early. Northern California could see some rain next week. But that’s for a future report.
Looking over to the southwest where to the north in the Great Basin, Salt Lake area a low is moving though and it is raining there this morning. Until this low exits to the east it will allow some moisture to remain through the weekend giving a chance of some isolated showers and thunderbumpers in the mountains mainly to the east of Tucson. Temperatures will slowly rise through the weekend bringing triple digit highs to the lower deserts by Sunday.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like these strong NW winds will be with us again today and to a lesser extent tomorrow.
Here are the wind details for the 3-day forecast period.
The northern Sea: NW for the next 3 days. 20 today, 18 tomorrow and 14 knots on Sunday.
The Guaymas side of the central Sea: 19-21 for the next 3 days all from the NW.
The Baja side of the central Sea: 16-19 NW today and mid teens tomorrow. Sunday could see the winds swing to the NE.
The southern Sea, the San Lorenzo Channel, La Paz and the nearby islands. NE for the next 3 day. Today around 13-14 knots and over the weekend light NE.
The East Cape: Strong winds in the 20-23 knot ranges for the 3-day forecast period. Perfect winds for the kite boarders at Baja Joe’s. A bit lumpy the sailing community.
The Mexican Riviera: mostly light winds for the 3-day forecast period depending on how close that invest gets to the coast. The forecast is for NW winds to the north of Cabo Corrienties and to the south SW winds. Be advised for the potential for heavy rain along the coast over the next 3-5 days.

73s Y’all




Friday, September 13, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, September 13, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-19
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
TOMORROW: Saturday, September 14, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, September 13, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
TOMORROW : Saturday, September 14, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 5-6
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 9/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WSW 5 feet at 14 seconds
Saturday 9/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 12 seconds
Sunday 9/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 9 seconds

Point San Quintin
Sunday 4/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: Seas: W 6 feet at 14 seconds
Saturday 9/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WSW 6 feet at 12 seconds
Sunday 9/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: W 5 feet at 11 second

Turtle Bay
Friday 9/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: NW 3 feet at 14 seconds
Saturday 9/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 13 seconds
Sunday 9/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 11 seconds

Cedros Island
Friday 9/13 Afternoon Winds: N 13-17
Seas: N 1 feet at 3 seconds
Saturday 9/14 Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-12
Seas: N 1 feet at 2 seconds
Sunday 9/15 Afternoon Winds: NE 9-11
Seas: NNW 0 feet at 3 seconds

ABREOJOS
Friday 9/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: SW 5 feet at 14 seconds
Saturday 9/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 13 seconds
Sunday 9/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 11 second

Mag Bay
Friday 9/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 seconds
Saturday 9/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 13 seconds
Sunday 9/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 12 seconds

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

Friday 9/13 Morning Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 17 seconds
Saturday 9/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 14 seconds
Sunday 9/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 12 second


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNW 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 13-17

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé : WU Station closed 8/1/13
Morning Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-15

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13

La Paz:
Morning Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 seconds

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1004
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 16 seconds


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About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

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Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 65.8 °F
Dew Point: 40.2 °F
Humidity: 39%
Wind: 12.0 mph from the ENE
Wind Gust: 23.0 mph
Updated: 12:25 PM MST on December 28, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations