Sea of Cortez/Baja Weather for 08/25/13

By: Geary , 12:57 PM GMT on August 25, 2013

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This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

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Sunday, August 25, 2013

Voice to Text

Looking down into the Sea this morning at 4am I can see the Sea is overcast from the cape to San Filepe.
Using the 24 hour loop I can see Ivo moving down the outside of the Baja peninsula. Around midnight a tall wet cell broke off of Ivo a bit south of Mag Bay and crossed the peninsula moving into the Sea, going north up the Sea and then it looked like it passed over Guaymas and at 5am was over Hermosillo. This cell was more intense than Ivo on the west coast. Puerto Escondido reported the most rain accumulation in the Sea with 1.78 inches of rain last night. Los Barriles had almost an inch. The station here at el Burro winked out at midnight so no data from Concepcion Bay.
Right now it looks like Ivo is spread out over the outside of the peninsula from around Abreojos to inside Turtle Bay.
Moisture from Ivo is spreading northward across the northern portion of the Baja peninsula, northwestern Mexico and the southwest. Locally heavy rains and flash flooding will be possible for these areas during the next couple of days. Flash flood advisories have already been posted for Yuma.
The official forecast shows the depression degenerating to a remnant low within 24 hours. That low is then expected to dissipate by 72 hours so all this wetness will be with us a while.
It looks like about the time we will be saying good by to Ivo we will be saying hello to Juliette. She is the latest item in our Tropical Kitchen and is currently just an area of disorganized thunderbumpers working a couple hundred miles SW of the Gulf to Tehuantepec. This system is progged to develop slowly and probably become a Tropical Depression during the next 48 hours and a hurricane by mid week.
That’s what is going on in our hood this morning. Looking now north to the west coast of America where again the Great Northwest is the only location along the west coast that will see any rain today and they will see only light showers.
The rest of the north coast typical August temperatures and weather.
Southern California will start to see moisture from the remnants of Tropical Depression Ivo today through Monday. This will bring showers and thunderbumpers to the mountains and deserts and a chance of showers to the west of the mountains. Lingering moisture will bring a good chance of showers and thunderbumper into next week about the time when the next tropical system is progged to move into southern California.
Looking over to the southwest where flash flood advisories have been posted for the deserts in southeast California and southwest Arizona today. Heavy rain and thunderbumper are anticipated into early next week. There will be enough lingering moisture to lead to a good chance of thunderbumpers for most of next week. Temperatures in the Tucson area will drop around 10 degrees today from 105 yesterday to around 95 today.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like we may see the southern Sea clearing later this morning. The central Sea looks like it will remain cloudy as long as Ivo is parked due west of Concepción Bay on the west coast of the peninsula.
The northern Sea will most likely see periods of rain today and have 100% cloud cover all day.
As far as winds, here in the cove we had some 20 knot winds that lasted until around 1am this morning then along with the rain stopped.
Here are the wind details for the 3-day forecast period.
The forecast for the northern Sea is for light NE winds for the 3-day forecast period. It looks like Ivo will be passing the northern Sea later today and tomorrow so the winds will probably pick up a bit. Rain is probable.
The Guaymas side of the central Sea had a big honk’n cell pass over it early this morning and the winds are forecast to be around 24 knots this afternoon from the SE. I’m a bit iffy about the strength of those winds but I’m posting the data from the models. The next two days light SW.
The Baja side of the central Sea: Strong SE winds today to 24 but I’m also doubtful that we will see these winds. The next two day light NE winds.
The southern Sea, the San Lorenzo Channel, La Paz and the nearby islands. From around Puerto Escondido into the San Lorenzo Channel 18 know winds are forecast today then light southerlies for the next 2 days.
La Paz ballpark 10 knot SW winds for the next 3 days.
The East Cape: light southerlies today and tomorrow and then light NE on Tuesday.
The Mexican Riviera: light mostly SW winds for the 3-day forecast period.

73s Y’all


Sunday, August 25, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 25, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 23-30
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SE 18-24
TOMORROW: Monday, August 26, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 25, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
TOMORROW : Monday, August 26, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Sunday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 3 feet at 14 seconds
Monday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 seconds
Tuesday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 4 feet at 18 seconds

Point San Quintin
Sunday 4/21 Afternoon Winds: N 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 seconds
Monday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 seconds
Tuesday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 seconds

Turtle Bay
Sunday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: SSE 19-25
Seas: SE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Monday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 7 seconds

Cedros Island
unday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-20
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Monday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 13 seconds
Tuesday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 17 seconds

ABREOJOS
unday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: SSE 19-25
Seas: SSE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Monday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 seconds
Tuesday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 seconds

Mag Bay
unday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: SW 14-18
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 8 seconds
Monday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: W 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 seconds

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

unday 8/25 Morning Winds: S 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
Seas: Seas: SW 6 feet at 9 seconds
Monday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 seconds
Tuesday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 seco


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SE 19 to 25 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 22-29
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.16 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 19 to 26 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 17-22

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: SE 18 to 24 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 18-24
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé : WU Station closed 8/1/13
Morning Winds: SE 16 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: S 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.44 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 17 to 24 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 18-24

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: SE 16 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: n/a °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.76 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 14-18

La Paz:
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.94 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 seconds

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: S 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.28 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.2 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1016

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 seconds


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About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

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Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 88.4 °F
Dew Point: 73.7 °F
Humidity: 62%
Wind: 4.0 mph from the East
Wind Gust: 5.0 mph
Updated: 9:38 AM MDT on July 14, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations