Sea of Cortez/Baja Weather for 06/14/13

By: Geary , 1:18 PM GMT on June 14, 2013

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The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
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After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.


This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click the “Listen to” button on the webpage


Friday, June 14, 2013

Voice to Text

Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that in general the skies over the Sea of Cortez have been clear for the past 24 hours.
Yesterday morning there were several locations that had morning fog and even though I am unable to see it with this satellite I’m sure there is a bit of fog in the normal places like Santa Rosalia and Point Concepción this morning.
Looking south along the west coast of Mexico where most of the thunderbumper activity is over land with just a few thumpers working off shore.
The Tehuantepec is clear this morning but it has had several thunderbumpers working over it during the night.
Looking out into the Eastern Pacific basin this morning I can see that the monsoon trough is fairly active this morning.
There is nothing cooking in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. That low embedded in the ITCZ/Monsoon trough that was given the designation 93 Echo has had the designation removed and is now just listed as a 1010 low out there around 120W.
There is a Tropical Wave moving through Honduras and Nicaragua this morning bringing a lot of rain. The wave is moving into El Salvador so they also can expect considerable rain today. It is forecast to continue moving along the ITCZ/Monsoon trough at around 10 knots and move out into the basin in a weakened state by early tomorrow morning. There has been no discussion yet of this becoming something tropical.
There is also another Tropical Wave in the Atlantic out about 64W. You can watch the progression on the Sonrisanet website tropical page.
This might be a good time to discuss Tropical Waves.
Normally a tropical wave starts off as a sand storm in the Sahara Desert. Especially in the summer months there is a significant temperature gradient between the hot desert and the cooler waters along the Gulf of Guinea Coast. So this hot, dust and sand filled wind starts moving west and developing into a trough of low pressure. The wave, now bow shaped, is now being transported by the African Eastern Jet which moves east/west across the Atlantic at around 8-10 knots.
A new tropical wave departs western North Africa about every 2-4 days between April and November, with about 60-65 waves per year, on average.
Over in the Atlantic 85% of all their major hurricanes have their origins traceable to these African waves and about 60% of all tropical storm and cat 1-2 hurricanes are spawned by these waves.
Those waves that make it across the Atlantic and the Caribbean without tropical development normally cross Central America and end up in the Eastern Pacific basin where they are looking for a low to stimulate in waters warmer than 80 degrees.
And we all know what can happen when a lonely low gets stimulated; it becomes depressed. Once depressed it can develop into a tropical storm and before you know it you have the big H.
OK, So endity Tropical Waves 101.
That’s what is going on in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where at the very top of this image I can see a good sized low swirling in the Gulf of Alaska. It’s progged to moving down the British Columbia coast into Great Northwest later in the week but in the meantime Oregon and Washington will have a chance of some showers and possibly periods of sunshine.
In northern California brief high pressure will bring a slight warming trend today but tomorrow a low will settle in along the west coast and bring the temperatures down a few degrees and deepen the marine layer along the coast.
In southern California the day to day variations of the weather will be minor through early next week as a nearly stationary low hovers along the coast. This will be bringing the fog deeper inland most of the week and retreating to almost the beaches in the afternoons.
That cold low moving out of the Gulf of Alaska late next week should not bring any rain to the state but it should enhance the marine layer along the coast.
Looking now over to the southwest where hot and dry are still the headlines through early next week. There has been a lot of convection building in northern Mexico and along the Sierra Madre Occidental range. Some of this moisture will spread up into eastern Arizona, mainly along the New Mexico border, today bringing a chance of some mountain thunderbumpers in the eastern part of the state.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like today and tomorrow the Sea will be having light to moderate southerlies and then on Sunday light northerlies.
Here are the wind details for the 3-day forecast period.
The northern Sea: light to moderate SE today and tomorrow and then light northerlies on Sunday.
The central Sea: The Guaymas area will continue to see light southerlies today and tomorrow and light northerlies on Sunday. The Baja side moderate mostly easterly for the next two days then light northerlies on Sunday.
The southern Sea, the San Lorenzo Channel, La Paz and the nearby islands should see mostly light to moderate SW winds for the next 3 day
The East Cape: light winds over the 3-day forecast period. Today from the WNW, tomorrow the SSW and then on Sunday from the east.
The Mexican Riviera: mostly moderate NW winds for the next 3 days.

73s Y’all

Friday, June 14, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, June 14, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
TOMORROW: Saturday, June 15, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: NNE 4-5
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, June 14, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 4-5
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
TOMORROW : Saturday, June 15, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 6/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday 6/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 seconds
Sunday 6/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 seconds

Point San Quintin
Sunday 4/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday 6/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 16 seconds
Sunday 6/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 second

Turtle Bay
Friday 6/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: NW 3 feet at 10 seconds
Saturday 6/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: NW 3 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday 6/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 seconds

Cedros Island
Friday 6/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 18 seconds
Saturday 6/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 seconds
Sunday 6/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 seconds

ABREOJOS
Friday 6/14 Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 seconds
Saturday 6/15 Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 seconds
Sunday 6/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 second

Mag Bay
Friday 6/14 Afternoon Winds: WSW 15-20
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Saturday 6/15 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Seas: WSW 1 feet at 3 seconds
Sunday 6/16 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 9 seconds

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: n/a °
Daily High Temperature: %
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0

Friday 6/14 Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 seconds
Saturday 6/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 seconds
Sunday 6/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 seconds


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-12

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: n/a °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 66 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: n/a °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ESE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 14 seconds

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: SW 4 feet at 16 seconds


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About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

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Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 90.3 °F
Dew Point: 71.9 °F
Humidity: 55%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 4.0 mph
Updated: 5:03 AM MDT on July 24, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations