Sea of Cortez Weather for 02/03/13

By: Geary , 2:15 PM GMT on February 03, 2013

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After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.


This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
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Sunday, February 03, 2013

Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning first with the jet stream amylases I can see that the southern jet has moved north overnight and is now stretches from the ITCZ/Monsoon trough to central California. The moisture plume that is slowly dissipating is still being steered by the jet. Most, but not all of the heavy moisture laden clouds are being transported into Southern California, southern Nevada and SW Arizona this morning. In this image I can see several dark bottomed clouds passing over the central Sea. I’d expect to hear reports of some sprinkles in the Concepción Bay Mulegé area this morning. That being said it still looks like the Sea of Cortez will see another hazy day of high whispys along with patches of sun.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera where it is clear this morning all the way to Central America.
Father south the Tehuantepecker is still brewing with gale force winds. They are forecast to diminish to less than 20 knots by tomorrow.
Looking now out into the Eastern Pacific basin I can see the ITCZ/Monsoon trough is not quite as active as it has been for the past week. The only area of any convection is around 130 and it is still pumping out a few clouds but not the abundance of moisture laden clouds that has been the pattern for the past several days.
That’s what is gong on in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where there will be a series of weak systems moving though the Great Northwest all week. Today’s will bring a chance of light rain with a better chance tomorrow.
Extreme Northern California will most likely see a little rain on Tuesday as a system passed through to the north, but otherwise it should be warm and dry well into next week.
Southern California has a low moving in from the Pacific in the wake of the departing high that has been parked along the coast for a week. This will bring showers to the LA basin early this morning and then the next best chance of any rain will be later in the week when another system is proged to move through the southland.
Looking now over to the southwest where in this image I can see considerable cloudiness from the Pineapple Express moving into the SW corner of Arizona this morning. They have a slight chance of some light showers in SW Arizona this morning expanding east during the day and evening. The best chances are in the higher terrain. It will taper off this evening as the clouds dissipate and mostly clear skies will continue into mid week when the next Pacific storm will bring a better chance of more rain. Temperatures will remain mild throughout the week.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the fence the forecast is still calling for 20 knot winds in the central and southern Sea for today diminishing just a bit Monday and Tuesday.
Here are the details.
The northern Sea will continue to see moderate NW winds in the mid teens over the 3-day forecast period.
The forecast for the central Sea is for the 20 knot winds to continue today diminishing to just below 20 on Monday and Tuesday.
The southern Sea: La Paz today high teens, light tomorrow and mid teens on Tuesday. The East Cape around 20 knots today, mid teens tomorrow and high teens on Tuesday.
As I mentioned the outside passage the honeymoon is over for the very moderate winds along the outside. The 3-day forecast period is for ballpark 20K NW winds to return.
The Mexican Riviera light to moderate NW winds Mazatlan to Cabo Corrienties and light SW winds Manzanillo south.
Now that being said for the past 3 days the winds in the Sea according to the real-time reporting stations have not reached their forecast values. Most have been 4-8 know below what has been forecast so I’m going to stick my neck out a bit and suggest that the same will happen today and the 20 knot winds that are forecast for the Sea this afternoon will be less than that. We’ll see.
As far as temperatures most locations in the Sea inched toward 80 degree mark and here in the cove was the only station that reported 80 degrees. It looks like today south from Santa Rosalia on the Baja side and Guaymas on the Sonoran coast will see the 80 degree mark broken.
So it looks like a nice warm February day albeit a bit hazy is on tap for today.
I may have mentioned in the past, that I use an old weatherman trick before giving my weather and that is to take a look outside. I looked up and could see the moon through the haze and at the same time a few sprinkles hit my face. I’m still forcasting a great Super Bowl Sunday.


73s Y’all

Sunday, February 03, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, February 03, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NNW 16-21
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
TOMORROW: Monday, February 04, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: N 14-18
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, February 03, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
TOMORROW : Monday, February 04, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: NNW 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Sunday 2/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: WNW 8 feet at 17 sec.
Monday 2/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: WNW 7 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 2/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 13 sec.

Point San Quintin
Sunday 2/3 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: WNW 9 feet at 18 sec.
Monday 2/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: WNW 8 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 2/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 13 sec.

Turtle Bay
Sunday 2/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Monday 2/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 16 sec.
Tuesday 2/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 13 s

Cedros Island
Sunday 2/3 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 18 sec.
Monday 2/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Tuesday 2/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 14 sec.

ABREOJOS
Sunday 2/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Monday 2/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 16 sec.
Tuesday 2/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 14 sec.

Mag Bay
Sunday 2/3 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Monday 2/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Tuesday 2/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 14 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 68 °
Daily High Temperature: 53%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Sunday 2/3 Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 20 sec.
Monday 2/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 17 sec.
Tuesday 2/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 15 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 58 °
Daily High Temperature: 71 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1wnw
#VALUE!

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 68 °
Daily High Temperature: 73 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1016


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 66 °
Daily High Temperature: 70 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1018

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 64 °
Daily High Temperature: 72 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 64 °
Daily High Temperature: 70 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.1 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1016

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 16-21

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 62 °
Daily High Temperature: 77 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 68 °
Daily High Temperature: 79 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1016

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 14-18

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 16-21

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 63 °
Daily High Temperature: 81 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1024
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 67 °
Daily High Temperature: 81 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1016

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-12

La Paz:
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 60 °
Daily High Temperature: 76 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1018

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 66 °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: N 4 feet at 6 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 62 °
Daily High Temperature: 79 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 60 °
Daily High Temperature: 74 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 65 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1016

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 65 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 19 sec.


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About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 89.3 °F
Dew Point: 79.9 °F
Humidity: 74%
Wind: 8.0 mph from the SE
Wind Gust: 8.0 mph
Updated: 2:31 PM MDT on September 15, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations