Sea of Cortez Weather for 01/17/13
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that there are still a lot of mostly whispys passing over the extreme cape area and as far south as Manzanillo this morning.
The Jet Stream Analysis has been showing the southern jet shrinking for the past couple of days and this morning it has completely disappeared.
There is still a lot of cloudiness out in the Eastern Pacific basin but with no steerage they will spread out and drift with the west/east flow in the basin toward Baja. I’d imagine that by tomorrow morning most of the central and southern Sea will have high whispys overhead. To a lesser extent the northern Riviera. We’ll see?
South of Manzanillo the skies are clear all the way to Central America this morning.
Looking now at the Gulf of Tehuantepec where a full blown Tehuantepecker with winds to 50 knots are forecast to last until this evening when the winds should drop back to around 30 knots into tomorrow and less than 30 on Saturday.
That’s what is going on in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where high pressure is bringing a modest warming trend to the west. Because of the gradient between the Nevada plateau and southern California they will be seeing Santa Ana winds for a few days.
Otherwise not much is going to change in the west until the next low comes in from the Pacific and the models are a bit iffy about when that is going to happen. Perhaps some time later next week, maybe.
Although the days will warm up in the west, without any cloud cover the nights will remain cool.
Over in the southwest they too will have a warming trend as high pressure remains in place for at least to the end of next week.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the fence that high pressure will keep the winds brisk at least through the weekend.
The low that was centered over south-central Mexico is now gone with high pressure filling in. The only lows in our hood are south of the cape and that will keep the isobars stacked well into the weekend.
Over the past few days most of the winds on the Baja side of the northern crossing have not reached their forecast values. Hopefully that will be the case this weekend when the Big Art show takes place at El Burro. The winds are currently forecast to be in the high teens Sunday afternoon so we will need a little luck from the wind gods that afternoon.
Here is what is happening today.
The northern Sea should see ballpark 20 knot winds over the 3-day forecast period.
The central Sea the mid 20s today and then 20 or a bit less Friday and Saturday.
The southern Sea around 15-19 over the 3-day forecast period.
The Sea should start to see a modest warming trend starting today.
The outside passage light to moderate over the next 3 days.
The Mexican Riviera light to moderate winds with a southern flavor through Saturday.
73s Y’all
Thursday, January 17, 2013
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, January 17, 2013
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
TOMORROW: Friday, January 18, 2013
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NNW 16-21
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, January 17, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
TOMORROW : Friday, January 18, 2013
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: NN 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 1/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 1/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: W 3 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 1/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 24 sec.
Point San Quintin
Thursday 1/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Seas: Seas: WSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 1/18 Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 1/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 25 sec.
Turtle Bay
Thursday 1/17 Afternoon Winds: NE 9-12
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 1/18 Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-7
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 1/19 Afternoon Winds: N 8-10
Seas: NW 2 feet at 25 sec.
Cedros Island
Thursday 1/17 Afternoon Winds: NE 9-12
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 1/18 Afternoon Winds: NNE 4-5
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 1/19 Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-8
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 25 sec.
ABREOJOS
Thursday 1/17 Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Seas: SW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 1/18 Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 1/19 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 26 sec.
Mag Bay
Thursday 1/17 Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Seas: SW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 1/18 Afternoon Winds: SW 5-6
Seas: W 3 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 1/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 27 sec
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 66 °
Daily High Temperature: 59%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1016
Thursday 1/17 Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Seas: Seas: SSW 2 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 1/18 Afternoon Winds: E 4-5
Seas: W 3 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 1/19 Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Seas: W 3 feet at 15 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 40 °
Daily High Temperature: 64 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Sunrise Temp.: 57 °
Daily High Temperature: 62 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1020
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNW 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 53 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1024
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NNW 17 to 23 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 50 °
Daily High Temperature: 61 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 54 °
Daily High Temperature: 57 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1022
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NNW 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 17-22
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NNW 16 to 22 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NNW 17 to 23 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Sunrise Temp.: 41 °
Daily High Temperature: 66 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 49 °
Daily High Temperature: 67 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1018
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 16-21
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NNW 16 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNW 17 to 23 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Sunrise Temp.: 59 °
Daily High Temperature: 67 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1020
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: NNW 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 51 °
Daily High Temperature: 70 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1018
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: N 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 12-16
La Paz:
Morning Winds: N 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 60 °
Daily High Temperature: 68 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1018
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: NNW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 0
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 58 °
Daily High Temperature: 69 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Seas: ENE 2 feet at 7 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 58 °
Daily High Temperature: 71 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 59 °
Daily High Temperature: 67 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1014
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 69 °
Daily High Temperature: 80 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1016
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 71 °
Daily High Temperature: 82 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1020
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 61 °
Daily High Temperature: 80 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 7-9
Seas: SW 3 feet at 16 sec.
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