Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/22/12

By: Geary , 1:09 PM GMT on August 22, 2012

Share this Blog
0
+

The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez


After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.


This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website


Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning with first the 24 hour loop. I can see that late yesterday morning into the afternoon numerous thunderbumper developed in the mountains along the cape area. The East Cape as well. It looks like most were to the west of La Paz though.
During the evening hours the skies cleared up over the cape area then around mid night a cell developed around los Mochas and moved out into the Sea toward the East Cape pretty much blanketing the Sea by 5am.
None of the reporting stations around the cape reported any rain accumulations though. The latest sat image was showing that system dissipating and shrinking back toward the mainland. There is however another cell building from Los Mochas north to north of Hermacillo at this time. This looks like the start of a MSC.
The rest of the Sea saw mostly clear skies yesterday and last night.
Looking over at Sonora there were several cells that developed and moved north into Arizona bringing heavy rain and thunderbumpers to SW Arizona. I did note that Bob’s station at 5000 feet did not receive any rain accumulations last night.
Starting early this morning the Sea started to see some cloudiness move from the mainland into the Sea and at 5am the Sea from around Santa Rosalia south to the cape were overcast. That had not changed much at 7am.
The only station that reported any rain and that was a trace in Puerto Escondido at Juncalitoville.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera I can see that there was a lot of thumpers develop back in the mountains all along the Riviera during the nigh and move toward the coast. At this time the coast is pretty much clear with all the storms off shore.
Looking not at the ITCZ/Monsoon trough where there are a couple of insignificant low in the zone this morning. No development is expected from either of these.
If fact there is absolutely nothing cooking in our Tropical Kitchen
This morning and the next 48 hours look to be the same. As I mentioned yesterday there is a Tropical Wave moving across the Caribbean that will most likely cross Mexico and enter the Pacific probably late tomorrow. We’ll see?
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking not north to the west coast of America where at the top of this image I can see a low moving down the British Columbia coast. This cold front will most likely bring rain along the Washington/British Columbia border this weekend. My evil twin brother Larry said the weather in Seattle has been awful this summer. Last week they had afternoon temperatures in the 90s and today the forecast is for the low 70s. He said his tomato plant has yet to produce any salad material.
Looking south now to California where a low is moving though the state bringing cooler temperatures. It is also mingling with the monsoon moisture in the region enhancing the thunderbumper activity in the deserts and mountains in southern California. The low is forecast to have move east by tomorrow.
Looking now over to the southwest where that low is arriving from California and will give cause to significant rain and thunderbumpers to the SW today. Flash flood advisories have been issued in several counties in SW Arizona for today.
The National Weather Service is forecasting MCSs (there is that term again. Mesoscale convective systems) to develop over Sonora this afternoon.
The low will move through the area this evening leaving some lingering showers tomorrow and then a drying period this weekend.
As far as the MCSs, we will have to wait and see how they affect the Sea of Cortes this afternoon and evening. I’ve only seen a couple and these are very powerful and enormous storms stretching perhaps a thousand miles in length. That’s a very significant storm. So far I don’t have any data on winds or rainfall accumulations from these systems.
OK, that’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the very moderate winds will continue in the Sea today. Southerlies in the northern and southern Sea and it looks like easterly in the central Sea around the northern crossing.
That is the forecast. That being said, for the past week we have had storms move across the Sea to the cape region. There is probably a good chance that will continue today. There will be some butt-ugly weather in Sonora this afternoon and there is the possibility that we could see some outflow from these storms enter the Sea. All of this is conjecture on my part of course. My best advise is to keep a wary weather eye to the east today.
A final note. All these charts is I use in my forecast are available on the Sonrisanet website. Perhaps a little brag but I think I have the best Tropical weather page in the region. One other thing: As of this week the website has now had over 80,000 hits. To me that pretty amazing.

73s Y’all


Wednesday, August 22, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 22, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: E 17-22
TOMORROW: Thursday, August 23, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 22, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
TOMORROW : Thursday, August 23, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec

Point San Quintin
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.

Turtle Bay
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Seas: E 1 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Seas: E 1 feet at 10 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: ENE 13-17
Seas: E 1 feet at 10 sec.

Cedros Island
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: S 2 feet at 13 sec.

ABREOJOS
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.

Mag Bay
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: SE 9-12
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 12 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 80%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

Wednesday 8/22 Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Seas: Seas: SSE 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: S 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 14 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.


Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

No reader comments have been posted for this blog entry yet.

About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 91.8 °F
Dew Point: 73.9 °F
Humidity: 56%
Wind: 3.0 mph from the West
Wind Gust: 5.0 mph
Updated: 8:54 PM MDT on August 29, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations