Sea of Cortez Weather for 05/15/12

By: Geary , 1:28 PM GMT on May 15, 2012

Share this Blog
0
+

The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez


After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.


This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website


Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning it looks like we have had another 24 hours of cloudless skies over the Sea of Cortez.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera I can see that the area from around Manzanillo south to Acapulco continues to see scattered bands of clouds pass over the region. That will continue today.
The genesis of these clouds is that area of very heavy convection that has been off the mainland coast for almost a week.
Yesterday just as I was finishing the weather the National Hurricane Center announced that a tropical depression formed about 700 miles SW of Manzanillo. Around 8:30 last night it became the first named storm of 2012, Aletta. It’s not much of a storm with only 35 knot winds right now and they are forecast to increase to around 45 knots before dissipating late tomorrow and becoming depressed again and head out toward Hawaii.
Following the weather yesterday I went searching for anyone who was posting their forecast for the Eastern Pacific basin hurricane season. Most I’ve found will wait until June. I found only one guy in Texas that goes by the handle of HurricaneDean07. I have no idea what his credentials are but here is his forecast for the Eastern Pacific basin.
“The 2012 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season should be more active than the two previous. Unlike the Atlantic, the Basin is amped up when El Nino conditions come into play. This season should be about average in most cases, and there shouldn't be anything truly special about it.(The Eastern Pacific seasonal averages are 16-9-4). My numbers for this EPAC season are...15 Named Storms, 9 Hurricanes and 5 Major Hurricanes”
OK that’s it for the first seasonal forecast. Looking now at the Gulf of Tehuantepec where winds continue to whistle through the Chivela pass and through the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning. They should diminish to less than 20 by this evening.
That’s about it for our hood, just a little early season tropical activity, so looking now north to the west coast of America where it continues to be very pleasant along the west coast with Ballpark 70s along the coast and 80s inland. Coastal fog hugs the coast from San Francisco bay south to just short of Turtle Bay this morning.
For southern California seasonal fair weather will continue all week. A low system on Thursday and Friday will be moving through the area increasing the winds in the mountains and deserts.
Looking now over to the southwest where low humidity and high temperatures will continue all week. Later in the week a low will move through the region dipping temperatures a bit. As high pressure fills in the wake the temperatures will sour again this weekend.
That’s what’s going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like today and tomorrow the northern Sea will see moderate southerlies then pick up on Thursday.
The southern Sea should see moderate E or SE today and tomorrow picking up on Thursday.
The southern Sea will see light to moderate southerlies over the 3-day forecast period.
Temperature-wise many locations will see the century mark today in the central Sea and southern Sea. The Marina de La Paz reported 91 degrees yesterday and the airport 105. I’m inclined to go with the Marina.

73s Y’all


Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
TOMORROW: Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 16-21
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, May 15, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
TOMORROW : Wednesday, May 16, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-15
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 5/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 5/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 5/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 7 sec.

Point San Quintin
Tuesday 5/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 23-30
Seas: Seas: SSW 8 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 5/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 5/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 17 sec.

Turtle Bay
Tuesday 5/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 7 sec.
Wednesday 5/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 7 sec.
Thursday 5/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 7 sec.

Cedros Island
Tuesday 5/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 5/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 5/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.

ABREOJOS
Tuesday 5/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 5/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 5/17 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.

Mag Bay
Tuesday 5/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 5/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 5/17 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 16 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 22%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Tuesday 5/15 Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 5/16 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 5/17 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 16 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station


*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 67 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 78 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 0 to 0 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 69 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1016

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 16-21

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
Daily High Temperature: 107 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0

Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10

La Paz:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
#VALUE!


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 766oc °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 In.
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.


Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

Sign In or Register Sign In or Register

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

No reader comments have been posted for this blog entry yet.

About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

Sunrise over Mazatlan December 18, 2015
18 ft Whale Shark
Winter Sunrise
Summer Fun

Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 91.8 °F
Dew Point: 81.1 °F
Humidity: 71%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 8:08 PM MDT on September 01, 2015

About Personal Weather Stations