Sea of Cortez Weather

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/29/11

By: Geary, 2:09 PM GMT on July 29, 2011


Friday, July 29, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that there was a major storm over Sonora last night. This storm was actually forecast by the National Weather Service.
At one time last night there were clouds spread out from west Texas to Guerro Negro on the west coast of Baja.
There was some thunderbumper activity in the northern Sea last night but this morning there is mostly remnant cloud cover.
The storm moved up from Sonora into New Mexico and Arizona during the night. This image is showing that there is still some thunderbumper activity and it is now south of Sierra Vista across the border in Sonora. It appears to be diminishing fairly rapidly now this morning.
Guaymas has some cloud cover this morning but in the Sea from about Santa Rosalia south it looks clear.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera I can see a line of squalls hugging the coast from Mazatlan to Puerto Vallarta this morning. They started about a 3am this morning.
Further south from about Manzanillo south to Acapulco I can see lots of thunderbumper working along the coast this morning.
Looking now at the Tehuantepec isthmus I can see there has been numerous thumpers move thought the isthmus from south to north during the night. Currently there is a big honker right on top of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Looking now at the monsoon trough that is about 10N this morning. I can see a couple of embedded lows in the trough this morning. Yesterday morning I saw the one low that is located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Guatemala. There is not as much convection around it this low this morning and the conditions are not too favorable for any additional development at this time. However this could change in a couple of days as this low slowly drifts northwest. We’ll see?
In the meantime I’m putting this low on the very back burner in our tropical kitchen.
Taking a quick look over into the Gulf of Mexico I can see TS Don headed for west Texas. He’s forecast to make landfall this weekend.
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America were Seattle may get a shower on Sunday but the rest of the west coast is forecast to have seasonal warm temperatures and clear skies as high pressure builds over the western conus.
Southern California could see some monsoonal moisture move up from the southwest and give cause to some thunderbumper activity in the deserts and mountains for the next couple of days.
Looking now over to the southwest where they had a lot of stormy weather last night and this morning. This image is showing the storms just starting to diminish at 5 O’clock this morning.
This weekend looks like the southwest will see a lot of stormy weather with another storm forecast to move up from Sonora tomorrow.
In the meantime monsoonal moisture is spreading back into Arizona helping to increase the thunderbumper activity today and this weekend.
Then a slow drying trend will occur Monday through Wednesday with storm chances decreasing each day.
Back on this side of the border these storms that are forecast for Sonora this weekend could very possible encroach into the northern Sea as Chubbascos. So be advised….tis the season!
As far as today’s’ winds: The northern Sea light southerlies, the central Sea light to moderate northerly winds and the southern Sea will continue to see a western component to their southern winds.
Temperatures today will be in the mid to high 90s.

73s Y'all

Friday, July 29, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 29, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
TOMORROW: Saturday, July 30, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 29, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: N 3-4
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
TOMORROW : Saturday, July 30, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/30 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/31 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 15 sec.

Point San Quintin
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/30 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SW 6 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/31 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WSW 6 feet at 15 sec.

Turtle Bay
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 11 sec.
Sunday 7/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 10 sec.

Cedros Island
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/30 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Sunday 7/31 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.

ABREOJOS
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Sunday 7/31 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.

Mag Bay
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 12 sec.
Sunday 7/31 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
high Daily High Temperature: 79%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1008

Friday 7/29 Morning Winds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/31 Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: High
#VALUE!

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: E 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: W 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: SSW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 4-5

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1014

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 3-4
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 107 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.06"
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.01"
Sunrise Bar: 1014
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: SW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/27/11

By: Geary, 2:11 PM GMT on July 27, 2011

The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage

After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.


This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report


Tuesday, August 02, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that as advertized there was not a lot of thunderbumper activity in Sonora or the Sierra Madre’s yesterday and last night.
The 24 hour loop is showing a few brief storms moving out of Sonora and into the Sierra Vista area that were not too moisture laden early this morning. It does not look like any made it as far as Tucson. There was also some activity east of Guaymas but no rain has been reported in the Guaymas/San Carlos area in the past 24 hours.
So in general the Sea looked to be pretty calm last night. I can see some morning fluffys hear and there but that’s it for most of the Sea.
Looking to the southern Sea I can see some remnant clouds drifting into the southern crossing from thunderbumper activity pretty much centered over Puerto Vallarta this morning.
This storm over Puerto Vallarta extends well out into the Sea and to the south to Manzanillo where it almost merges with another big honker over Manzanillo. That storm extends south to Lazaro Cardenas. From Lazaro Cardenas south to Central America is almost a solid line storms hugging the coast.
In our tropical kitchen this morning we have Himicane Eugene. He is a cat 1 and forecast to intensify later today to a cat 2 with winds in the 96 to 110 knot ranges. It should remain a cat 2 until Thursday when it will be plutoed to a category one again.
This himicane will pass well to the south of the cape. My calculations show it getting no closer than about 660 miles tomorrow. The cape may get some surf but that’s about all.
Well that’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where today will be starting a transition period.
There will still be enough monsoonal moisture for a chance of some showers and thunderbumper this afternoon in southern California. That low moving down the coast is bringing drier air and for the rest of the week will bring a return of the coastal fog and morning cloudiness along the coast.
Looking now over to the southwest where a decline in the monsoonal moisture will lead to storm chances being confined primary to the higher terrain of South-central Arizona for the rest of the week. Temperatures will climb a tad tomorrow before a slow decrease in the afternoon temperatures starting Thursday.
Bottom line is the monsoonal faucet will be mostly off for the rest of this week. When this drier air moves into Arizona during the summer the real meteorologists in Arizona call this a “Break” opposed to “Bursts” when the monsoon faucet is fully on.
Back on this side of the border it looks like the Sonoran coast will be seeing 20-24 knot winds this afternoon. The rest of the northern and central Sea will be well within the moderate ranges with a northern flavor. The southern Sea mostly light northerlies.
Then starting tomorrow, with low pressure making inroads into the Great Basin the gradient will support southern winds most likely into next weekend.
Today’s temperatures will be in the mid to high 90s.

73s Y'all



Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 7-9
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
TOMORROW: Thursday, July 28, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, July 27, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
TOMORROW : Thursday, July 28, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.

Point San Quintin
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Seas: Seas: S 6 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.

Turtle Bay
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 13 sec.

Cedros Island
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 sec.
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.

ABREOJOS
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 16 sec.
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.

Mag Bay
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 18 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 14 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
high Daily High Temperature: 86%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1008

Wednesday 7/27 Morning Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 18 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 11 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1002

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 3-4

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: N 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 3-4
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 18 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.14"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.04"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 78+ °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Sea of Cortez Weathe

Updated: 2:20 PM GMT on August 02, 2011

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/26/11

By: Geary, 2:10 PM GMT on July 26, 2011


Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning the eye is drawn to a big honk’n thunderbumper that started around midnight right over Mazatlan and has been building ever since. At 5 O’clock it was about half way across the southern crossing extending from just south of Los Mochas to just north of Puerto Vallarta. By 7:30 it was almost all the way across from along the east cape to La Paz. It continues to grow.
The 24 hour loop is showing some cloudiness in the Sea yesterday, mostly high whispys though. Looking over at Sonora I can see that there was a rather moderate flow of monsoon moisture moving up into Arizona yesterday and last night. This loop is not showing any thunderbumper activity in the rest of the Sea last night.
With the exception of “Bubba” sitting in the southern crossing the rest of the Sea looks to be pretty much cloud free this morning.
Looking now south of “Bubba” along the Mexican Riviera I can see a nice thumper working around Lazaro Cardenas and another over Acapulco this morning and that’s it for the Riviera this morning.
Looking further south to the Tehuantepec I can see that during the night there has been heavy thunderbumper activity from the Caribbean side of the Tehuantepec isthmus to several hundred miles west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. At 5:30 most of the activity was in the Gulf or to the west of the Gulf.
Looking now at the ITCZ and the monsoon trough. I can see the monsoon tough is quite small this morning and is only from 85-95W along 10N this morning.
Nothing cooking in our tropical kitchen this morning. Dora is now what the real meteorologists call “Post Tropical”, meaning Dora is seriously depressed and will linger about 300 miles off the Baja peninsula for a few days with 20-25 knot winds before heading to Hawaii.
One final note on Dora. No rain or wind at the cape as she passed to the west but huge breakers took 10 vertical feet of sand from the beaches along the East Cape around San Jose del Cabo. 10 vertical feet!
Yesterday a Taxi driver told me some of the ranches back in the mountains had a bit of rain and here on the beach my palapa sitter told me that we a sprinkle on Saturday morning.
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where at the top of this image I can see a low trough off the coast that is influencing the entire west coast this morning.
For the Great Northwest there is a chance of some sprinkles today. It should be overcast until probably Thursday.
Northern California overcast along the coast and sunny inland until the end of the week
Southern California will continue to have a heavy marine layer with the fog lasting until late mornings into the weekend.
Looking now over to the southwest where dryer air from the west will bring reduced thunderbumper activity through Thursday. Then as high pressure rebuilds over the west the monsoon faucet will turn on again this weekend. This loop is showing some thunderbumper activity yesterday afternoon in southwest Arizona.
Across the border our delightful summer continues today. As far as the winds they will be light to moderate. What I’m having a problem with is the central Sea and why two of my three models show a northern flow. My logic is saying light to moderate southerlies. I went with the Virtual Buoys this morning with there northern flow. I think most of our winds today, this afternoon, will be thermally driven anyway.
Temperatures look like they will be in the mid to high 90s today.

73s Y'all



Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 7-9
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: NW 6-7
TOMORROW: Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 12-16
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 26, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
TOMORROW : Wednesday, July 27, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Seas: Seas: WSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.

Point San Quintin
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: Seas: W 5 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Seas: Seas: S 6 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.

Turtle Bay
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 15 sec.

Cedros Island
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: Seas: WSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 sec.

ABREOJOS
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 16 sec.

Mag Bay
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 18 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
high Daily High Temperature: 59%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010

Tuesday 7/26 Morning Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 18 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Morning Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 12-16

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-7

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-12

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 10 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.14"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.08"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.85"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 18 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Sea of Cortez/Baja Weather

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/22/11

By: Geary, 2:09 PM GMT on July 22, 2011

Friday, July 22, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning, actually over to Sonora, I can see a large thunderbumper developed between Los Mochas and Hermosillo this morning. The storm stretched almost all the way across the Sea. Probably coming the closest to Loreto the morning. The storm is dissipating right now and leaving the Sea with a lot of remnant clouds all the way north to the Middrifts. I just looked at this storm a few minutes ago and it is slow in dying. It is still producing clouds that are blanketing the central and southern Sea this morning with big fluffys with dark bottoms.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera where the Mexico government has tropical storm warnings posted fro Agua Blanca to Buenavista including the cape.
This morning Dora has hit cooler waters and slowed way down and is now a category 2 hurricane moving about 8 mph. Her wind speeds are diminishing rapidly and probably by the time of the National Hurricane Center’s morning 1500Z report (that’s 9am our time) she will be a category 1. By tomorrow morning she will be plutoed to a tropical storm and be about 135 miles SW of the Cape. Late Sunday she will become depressed about 360 miles West of Abreojos and meander out there as a tropical depression for the early part of next week.
The bottom line is, “Do we have anything to worry about?” San Jose Del Cabo and Cabo San Lucas will get some rain and wind. How much, I don’t know, but I’d be prepared to see 30 knot winds along the cape and west cape tomorrow and have my umbrella handy. From the looks of things the cape area should expect to see good size breakers tomorrow and perhaps on Sunday. Baja Sur will most likely see some cloudiness starting late Saturday into early next week from the remnants of Dora.
That’s about it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America were the west coast has an elongated low off the coast that is the cause for the unseasonably cool temperatures in California.
High pressure will return briefly from the east this weekend and then another trough is due off the coast by mid next week. So it looks like things will warm up briefly over the weekend then cool back down again by mid week.
Looking over to the southwest where most of the thunderbumper activity will be in the higher terrain today. Saturday should see a return of high pressure which will encourage moisture to move up from Mexico and Moisture from Dora will also be in the pipeline across Sonora to Arizona this weekend so expect to see an increase in thunderbumpers this weekend especially over south-central Arizona. Best chances will be on Sunday.
Back down here in paradise I’m not sure when these clouds will burn off. That thumper in the southern Sea near Los Mochas is still making clouds
As far as winds today, it looks like brisk southerlies for most locations. Tomorrow strong southerlies are on tap.

73s Y'all
I leave you in the capable weather hands of the Boys in Arizona.



Friday, July 22, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 22, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
TOMORROW: Saturday, July 23, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 21-27
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 21-27
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SE 19-25
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 22, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
TOMORROW : Saturday, July 23, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 20-26
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-19
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/24 Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 12 sec.

Point San Quintin
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday 7/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 8 sec.

Turtle Bay
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Sunday 7/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 se

Cedros Island
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 12 sec.
Sunday 7/24 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSE 2 feet at 11 sec.

ABREOJOS
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSE 6 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSE 5 feet at 11 sec.
Sunday 7/24 Afternoon Winds: SSE 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSE 10 feet at 10 sec.

Mag Bay
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SE 7 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Seas: Seas: SE 8 feet at 11 sec.
Sunday 7/24 Afternoon Winds: SSW 14-18
Seas: Seas: S 7 feet at 7 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
high Daily High Temperature: 61%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010

Friday 7/22 Morning Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 13-17
Seas: Seas: SE 11 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: SE 24-31
Seas: Seas: S 14 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday 7/24 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: Seas: S 6 feet at 11 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: High
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 7 to 10 knots
Morning Winds: E 7 to 10 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 105 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 17 to 22 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 19-25
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: SE 16 to 22 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 21-27

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 14-18

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17

La Paz:
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 109 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Seas: SSE 8 feet at 12 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.2"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.04"
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.05"
Sunrise Bar: 1014
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.05"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 15 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 19-25
Seas: WSW 7 feet at 9 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/21/11

By: Geary, 2:08 PM GMT on July 21, 2011


Thursday, July 21, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that again that area around Los Mochas generated a lot of thumpers last night and this morning. Most of these storms stayed mostly along the Sonoran coast but the outer edges extended well into the Sea. The big storms have dissipated this morning and much like yesterday the remnant clouds pretty much blanket the central and southern Sea. I can see that a lot of last nights thumpers crossed the border and the area around Sierra Vista and Tucson had some thunderbumper activity last night.
Looking at the southern Sea: I can see that a rather large thumper developed between Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan this morning and is now winding down around Mazatlan and extending out into the southern crossing about a quarter of the way across to Baja. It will be leaving a lot of remnant clouds in that area.
And Just SW of Cabo Corrienties is sister Dora. Dora has become a major hurricane. She is about 225 miles west of Cabo Corrienties this morning.
The computer models show about 6 different tracks with most of them tracking Dora SW of the Cape this weekend. There is always the “wild hair” model that goes against the rest of the models. I be remiss if I did not mention that one “wild hair” has a hit on the cape Saturday and the other Mazatlan on Sat. There is 90% chance that the “Wild Hairs” are wrong.
In the meantime she will become a very powerful Category 4 storm.
Here is her probable current schedule of events. She skipped step 2 and went straight from a cat 1 to a category 3 yesterday. This afternoon she will be upgraded to a Major Storm as a Category 4 with 180 mph winds. She will stay as a cat 4 today and tomorrow. Late tomorrow, a cat 3, Sat morning, a cat 1 and Sunday she is forecast be plutoed to a tropical storm passing around 200 miles WSW of the Cape. Hopefully the west cape will get some rain from Dora.
In the meantime, Mexican news said there has been12-15 foot waves pounding the coast between Acapulco and Cabo Corrienties. Yesterday during the News on NPR they actually give a report on Dora.
In this image I can see a very defined eye that is about 25 miles across.
Meantime looking north to the west coast of America where Portland and Seattle are again the only place in the western conus that is have a little sprinkle this morning.
The rest of the west coast is unseasonably cool and dry. Southern California should warm up briefly over the weekend before another trough approaches the west coast early next week.
Looking over into the southwest I can see that this low moving in from the west coast is putting a damper on the Arizona monsoon. There will still be enough moisture to have a chance of some thunderbumpers in the afternoons and evenings into the weekend. The return of the high this weekend will bring moisture up from Mexico to get the monsoon kick started again.
Back on this side of the border with the exception of the East Cape the rest of the Sea should be seeing light southerlies. The East Cape light northerlies.
The remnant storm clouds should burn off by late morning or early afternoon providing mostly sun this afternoon.

73s Y'all



Thursday, July 21, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, July 21, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
TOMORROW: Friday, July 22, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, July 21, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
TOMORROW : Friday, July 22, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-7
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.

Point San Quintin
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 sec.

Turtle Bay
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 12 sec.

ABREOJOS
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSE 5 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSE 5 feet at 12 sec.

Mag Bay
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: S 6 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SE 7 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: SE 18-23
Seas: Seas: SE 8 feet at 11 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 92 °
high Daily High Temperature: 62%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010

Thursday 7/21 Morning Winds: NW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: Seas: SE 9 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: ENE 14-18
Seas: Seas: SE 11 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday 7/23 Afternoon Winds: SE 21-28
Seas: Seas: S 14 feet at 10 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: High
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: S 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 111 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 5-6

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: NNE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 4-5

La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 106 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Seas: SE 6 feet at 14 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.31"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.13"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 19 to 26 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 21-28
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Seas: SSW 9 feet at 9 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/20/11

By: Geary, 2:15 PM GMT on July 20, 2011


Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that there was a big honker develop over Los Mochas about 10 last night and mosey up the along the coast toward Guaymas but not really moving out into the Sea. It dissipated early this morning. I would imagine Baja cruisers could have seen lightning from this storm.
This morning the Sea is scattered with the remnant clouds from this storm.
Looking south where much like the day before a large storm developed between Cabo Corrienties and Mazatlan and as it moved over water into the general area of the southern crossing it is just sitting there with no northern movement for the past several hours. I just checked the satellite and it was still sitting there at 7:30 this morning and not quite as strong as it was an hour ago.
Looking now at the rest of the Mexican Riviera. With hurricane Dora about 225 miles SSE of Acapulco the Mexican government has posted a tropical storm watch from Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrienties this morning.
Dora is a fast mover! Moving along at around 16 knots I can’t remember a storm moving that fast before. I’ll have to look it up. Anyway she just made Cat 1 hurricane status with sustained winds at 70 knots and gusts to 85. I’d expect her to reach cat 2 by tomorrow for a short period. The models are still tracking her to pass SW of the cape on Saturday giving that area some much needed rain. Satellite images as now showing the counterclockwise swirl and I can just start to see the eye developing.
One last look around the region and I can see a tropical wave moving across the Gulf of Mexico this morning. Too little too late!
That’s about it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where I can see a small low moving through the Great Northwest this morning bringing rain to Portland and Seattle today.
The rest of the west coast is overcast this morning but sun is the forecast for this afternoon.
Southern California will be affected by an upper level low that will be building along the west coast during the next few days bringing additional cooling to California for the remainder of the week. High pressure is forecast to reassert itself by this weekend into early next week bringing a gradual warming trend.

Looking over into the southwest they can expect mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderbumpers into at least early next week. The local forecasters are saying watch out for heavy rain and strong gusty winds. This image is showing the Tucson area having a nice thumper over it yesterday.
Back on this side of the fence it looks like light southerlies in the northern Sea. Light northerlies in the central Sea to about Loreto. Puerto Escondido south to La Paz should be seeing light southerlies today. The East Cape light northwesterlies.
There is a lot of moisture in the air and most of the Sea is still full of these remnant clouds many with dark bottoms. Most of the fluffys will most likely be gone by mid morning with the whispys remaining most of the day.

73s Y'all

Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 9-11
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SSW 3-3
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
TOMORROW: Thursday, July 21, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, July 20, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
TOMORROW : Thursday, July 21, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WSW 3-4
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.

Point San Quintin
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 9 sec.

Turtle Bay
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.

ABREOJOS
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.

Mag Bay
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: S 6 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SE 6 feet at 13 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
high Daily High Temperature: 85%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1012

Wednesday 7/20 Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SE 7 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 7/22 Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Seas: Seas: SE 11 feet at 12 sec


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: High
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 92 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-7

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Morning Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: S 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11

La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Seas: S 3 feet at 14 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.31"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: N 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: ESE 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Seas: SSE 9 feet at 13 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/19/11

By: Geary, 2:10 PM GMT on July 19, 2011

Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that there has been a lot of thunderbumper activity over in Sonora in the past 24 hours. I can see a steady stream of moisture moving up into Arizona keeping their monsoon season active.
I can see a lot of remnant clouds that are a mix of whispys and fluffys around the Sea this morning. I would imagine that the fluffys will burn off by early morning and the whispys could be with us through the afternoon. Mostly sunshine though.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera I can see several off shore squalls between Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan moving toward the cape at 6am. By 7am they had merged into one and lost some intensity however the storm was taking dead aim on the cape. The webcam at the Cabo showed heavy clouds and it looked like it was starting to rain there.
Earlier this morning a good size storm moving through the southern crossing and dissipated around Los Mochas. This storm is the one that is leaving most of the remnant clouds in the Sea this morning.
Looking further south, all along the west coast of Mexico I can see very heavy thunderbumper activity.
As advertized we have a tropical storm this morning. Perhaps by the time I report this she will be hurricane Dora. Anyway I’m thinking sometime this morning she will be upgraded to cat 1 hurricane status. The models continue to show her passing the cape to the SW. Much the same as Calvin. This current image suggests that the cape will see some rain from this system this weekend. We’ll see.
Dora is now about 300 miles west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec and moving NW at around 14 mph with 55 mph winds. The satellite image is not showing much of a cyclonic pattern yet.
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where it is cloudy or overcast all along the coast this morning. Inland mostly sunny.
Southern California will continue to be warm and sunny today as high pressure persists over the region. There will be a slight dip in the temperatures mid week as a trough deepens along the west coast but by the weekend high pressure will again be dominate over the region.
Looking now over to the southwest where the monsoon will be active into the upcoming weekend. Some storms will generate strong gusterly winds and local forecasters are saying watch out for heavy rain today perhaps some flash flooding. This image is showing Arizona is mostly overcast this morning.
Well, no rain in Baja today. Yesterday afternoon it looked like we might have some thunderbumper activity back in the mountains but alas….no joy.
Today’s winds very moderate southerlies in the Sea today. The northern and central Sea will have an eastern component and the southern Sea a western component to the southern winds.

73s Y'all



Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
TOMORROW: Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 19, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: S 5-6
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
TOMORROW : Wednesday, July 20, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.

Point San Quintin
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.

Turtle Bay
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.

ABREOJOS
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 sec.

Mag Bay
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
high Daily High Temperature: 82%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010

Tuesday 7/19 Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 7/21 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSE 6 feet at 13 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: n/a °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 0


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-7

La Paz:
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SSE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SSE 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.17"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.8"
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/18/11

By: Geary, 2:06 PM GMT on July 18, 2011



Monday, July 18, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that there was a nice flow of thunderbumper activity moving up through Sonora into Arizona last night and early this morning. One of these passed just to the east of Guaymas and it does not look like they saw any rain.
None of these storms encroached into the Sea.
Looking now to the southern Sea. Two rather large thumpers moved into the southern crossing last night. The first started to the east of Mazatlan drifted over Mazatlan and into the Sea. At 5:30 this morning it looked like it was winding down. The heaviest rain was several hours ago.
The other storm started off as several individual storms between Puerto Vallarta and Manzanillo. The built off shore and joined and moved NW toward the cape. At 5:30 this now rather large storm was taking dead aim on the East Cape and Cabo. At 7:30 this storm was still going strong and now SW of the cape. The storm in the Eastern portion of the Southern Crossing was winding down but looked like there was still some rain in the clouds.
Looking further south it looks like the entire coast from Mazatlan south to South America is having thunderbumper activity this morning.
There are a couple of items of interest in our tropical kitchen this morning. The first is a 1004 low that is embedded in the monsoon trough about 109W this morning. There is a lot of convection flairing around that area right now but the National Hurricane Center is saying most likely nothing will develop from this low.
The other item: The models are saying the low we have been looking for the past couple of days is now about 250 miles south of the El Salvador/Guatemala border and will most likely become depressed in the next 24 hours and become tropical storm Dora within the next 48 hours. It’s currently moving westward at around 10 mph. The tracking models show it following the path of Calvin which passed well to the SW of the cape. We’ll see?
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where it is overcast for most of the west coast this morning.
High pressure has returned following a short visit to the plains states today. It will continue to build over the western conus through tomorrow bringing warmer daytime temperatures and shrinking the marine layer along the coast. This will allow some tropical moisture to edge into southern California today bringing a small chance of isolated showers or a perhaps a thunderbumper.
The high will weaken later in the week making the southern California warm-up short lived. Cooler temperatures are forecast for the later part of the week.
Looking now over to the southwest the returning high brought moisture back however the weather guys in the southwest were not impressed, expecting to see somewhat larger amounts of rainfall.
Many locations only saw one tenth of an inch of storm totals.
Hopefully today they won’t be disappointed. The water vapor imagery is showing Sonoran monsoon moisture starting to move deeper into central and eastern Arizona. This image is also showing a weak weather disturbance moving up from Mexico increasing the threat of afternoon thunderbumpers over central and eastern Arizona today and tomorrow. We’ll see?
Back down here in Baja it looks like another delightful day in Baja. Most of the Sea will see very moderate southerlies with an eastern component in many locations. The winds will be mostly thermally driven.
We should see the temperatures rise a few degrees today and be in the mid to high 90s.

73s Y'all



Monday, July 18, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, July 18, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
TOMORROW: Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, July 18, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
TOMORROW : Tuesday, July 19, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 16 sec.

Point San Quintin
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec

Turtle Bay
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SW 3 feet at 19 sec.
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.

ABREOJOS
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.

Mag Bay
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
high Daily High Temperature: 60%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1008

Monday 7/18 Morning Winds: SSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Tuesday 7/19 Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 7/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: ☺
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 13-17

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 13-17

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11

La Paz:
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Seas: S 2 feet at 13 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SSW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: E 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.01"
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.02"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 3.37"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 17-22
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/17/11

By: Geary, 2:14 PM GMT on July 17, 2011

Sunday, July 17, 2011

Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see there was not a lot to thunderbumper activity over in Sonora last night or this morning but there was a lot of building clouds that did not quite make to thunderbumper status. Perhaps sprinkle status along the Sonoran coast. Many on these clouds drifted out and crossed the Sea from the cape to about Guaymas.
Again this morning there was heavy thunderbumper activity between Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan with a large cell entering the southern crossing last evening. It has now dissipated leaving just some scattered remnant clouds in the southern sea.
From Cabo Corrienties south to South America the coast has been very active with thunderbumpers for the past 24 hours.
The monsoonal trough is normally aligned with the ITCZ which is normally at this time of year around 8N. For the past two weeks the monsoonal trough has a big hump in it around 110 taking it up to around 18 north. In the next few days the monsoon trough will be realigning itself more to the south. In the meantime abundant moisture will continue to pour in from the Caribbean across Central America bringing wide spread heavy rainfall especially in the hilly and mountainous areas. Flash flooding and mudslides are in their forecast through the weekend.
On the Pacific coast of Costa Rica there is a low that is embedded in the monsoonal trough. I can see that area having wide spread thunderbumper activity. There is a tropical wave working its way across the Gulf of Mexico this morning that will be looking for a lonely low to stimulate. This low off of Costa Rica is a good target.
The National Hurricane Center is saying that there will nothing cyclonic develop in our hood for at least the next 48 hours but this low has some potential for further development. Even if it does it is way too far south of have any affect on Baja.
The satellite image of the low off of Manzanillo that I saw yesterday morning was a no show this morning. Be interesting to see if it shows up again.
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where the entire west coast is under cloudy skies this morning. No rain in the forecast fro today just cloudiness from this unseasonably cold low pressure system off the California coast.
This system will continue to influence southern California today with slightly below normal temperatures. Starting today high pressure will start to move in from the east and strengthen resulting in a warming trend through mid week.
Over in the southwest with the return of high pressure into the Great Basin and the southwest increasing moisture will be moving up from Mexico and the Gulf of Mexico basically bringing the return of the summer thunderstorm regime back to Arizona. It has brought back the heat as well. Tucson will see 107 today and Yuma, under that thermal low, will be near 111. The National Weather Service is saying that today’s thunderbumpers could be very strong with locally heavy rainfall.
Back on this side of the border it does not look like we will be getting any rain in Baja today.
We will be seeing very moderate winds in the Sea today. Southerlies in the northern Sea. Northerlies in the central Sea and in general southerlies in the southern Sea.
Temperatures will continue to be in the chilly ranges…low to mid 90s during the today and in the 70s at night. Almost blanket weather!

73s Y'all


Sunday, July 17, 2011

Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see there was not a lot to thunderbumper activity over in Sonora last night or this morning but there was a lot of building clouds that did not quite make to thunderbumper status. Perhaps sprinkle status along the Sonoran coast. Many on these clouds drifted out and crossed the Sea from the cape to about Guaymas.
Again this morning there was heavy thunderbumper activity between Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan with a large cell entering the southern crossing last evening. It has now dissipated leaving just some scattered remnant clouds in the southern sea.
From Cabo Corrienties south to South America the coast has been very active with thunderbumpers for the past 24 hours.
The monsoonal trough is normally aligned with the ITCZ which is normally at this time of year around 8N. For the past two weeks the monsoonal trough has a big hump in it around 110 taking it up to around 18 north. In the next few days the monsoon trough will be realigning itself more to the south. In the meantime abundant moisture will continue to pour in from the Caribbean across Central America bringing wide spread heavy rainfall especially in the hilly and mountainous areas. Flash flooding and mudslides are in their forecast through the weekend.
On the Pacific coast of Costa Rica there is a low that is embedded in the monsoonal trough. I can see that area having wide spread thunderbumper activity. There is a tropical wave working its way across the Gulf of Mexico this morning that will be looking for a lonely low to stimulate. This low off of Costa Rica is a good target.
The National Hurricane Center is saying that there will nothing cyclonic develop in our hood for at least the next 48 hours but this low has some potential for further development. Even if it does it is way too far south of have any affect on Baja.
The satellite image of the low off of Manzanillo that I saw yesterday morning was a no show this morning. Be interesting to see if it shows up again.
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where the entire west coast is under cloudy skies this morning. No rain in the forecast fro today just cloudiness from this unseasonably cold low pressure system off the California coast.
This system will continue to influence southern California today with slightly below normal temperatures. Starting today high pressure will start to move in from the east and strengthen resulting in a warming trend through mid week.
Over in the southwest with the return of high pressure into the Great Basin and the southwest increasing moisture will be moving up from Mexico and the Gulf of Mexico basically bringing the return of the summer thunderstorm regime back to Arizona. It has brought back the heat as well. Tucson will see 107 today and Yuma, under that thermal low, will be near 111. The National Weather Service is saying that today’s thunderbumpers could be very strong with locally heavy rainfall.
Back on this side of the border it does not look like we will be getting any rain in Baja today.
We will be seeing very moderate winds in the Sea today. Southerlies in the northern Sea. Northerlies in the central Sea and in general southerlies in the southern Sea.
Temperatures will continue to be in the chilly ranges…low to mid 90s during the today and in the 70s at night. Almost blanket weather!

73s Y'all

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/16/11

By: Geary, 2:20 PM GMT on July 16, 2011


Saturday, July 16, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that a large thumper developed over Los Mochas early this morning and worked it’s way north up the coast but not moving out into the Sea. The storm is gone now however remnant clouds remain scattered over most of the southern Sea from about Concepcion Bay to the southern crossing. From about Santa Rosalia north the Sea looks to be cloud free. Guaymas is showing a mix of fluffys and Whispys over it this morning.
Looking now south I can see that several storms in the area between Mazatlan and Puerto Vallarta merged and moved out into the southern crossing during the night and this morning. They extended about half way across and have further filled the southern Sea with scattered remnant clouds this morning.
Looking further south all along the Mexican Riviera there has been thunderbumper activity all night.
We have a couple of things cooking in out tropical kitchen this morning. The first is a low that is centered offshore from Manzanillo.The National Hurricane Center is saying It is ripe for tropical cyclonic development.
The second item is a low bordering Costa Rica and Nicaragua that is producing very heavy rains there. It has been bombarded with at least two tropical waves in the past several days. When it exits into the Eastern Pacific Basin the models are nearly unanimous in showing tropical cyclonic development during the first part of next week.
So either one of these systems could become our 4th named storm of the season. She would be Dora. The next would be Eugene, which I though was kind of dorky name for a himicane.
That’s about it for down here so looking north now to the west coast of America where a low off the California coast is causing some rain from Eureka to Seattle this morning and it looks like that will continue throughout the weekend.
The rest of the west coast remains unseasonably cool and dry.
As I mentioned when looking at the surface charts this low hugging the west coast will move further inland today and another upper lever trough will move into the Pacific Northwest and reside there for a couple of days before moving inland on Tuesday.
By midweek models are suggesting that the ridge of high pressure currently centered over the central US will shift westward bringing warmer temperatures Wednesday and Thursday. This could be short lived as the models are also showing another upper trough affecting the west coast by next weekend. We’ll see?
Southern California will continue to see dense coastal fog and gusterly winds in the afternoon.
Looking over to the southwest where that high pressure over the great plains will slide west this weekend. Temperatures will warm considerably and the flow over the southwest will swing to the southeast which will bring moisture back into the region and the monsoon should again begin in earnest early next week. Tomorrow evening could possibly see some thunderbumper activity in the southwest.
Back on this side of the border it looks like the central Sea, mainly the northern crossing area will have strong northerlies again today. The rest of the Sea in the moderate ranges.
That being said, one of my models is not showing those 20 knot winds in the center of the Northern crossing. Never-the-less, I always go with the higher values.
And finally I suspect that the reason I’m not seeing some thunderbumper activity back behind me in the mountains are these cooler temperatures.

73s Y'all



Saturday, July 16, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, July 16, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: N 16-21
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
TOMORROW: Sunday, July 17, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, July 16, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
TOMORROW : Sunday, July 17, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 12 sec.
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 19 sec.

Point San Quintin
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: NW 6 feet at 6 sec.
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SW 6 feet at 19 sec.

Turtle Bay
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.

Cedros Island
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SW 3 feet at 19 sec.

ABREOJOS
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 19 sec.

Mag Bay
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 21-27
Seas: Seas: WNW 7 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 7 sec.
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 19 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
high Daily High Temperature: 58%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1004

Saturday 7/16 Morning Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 7 sec.
Monday 7/18 Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 19 se


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1002

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: W 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-12

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NNW 12 to 17 knots
Morning Winds: NNW 12 to 17 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 13-17

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNW 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 7-9

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1002


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-12
Seas: S 2 feet at 13 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.49"
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.51"
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: SE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.38"
Sunrise Bar: 1006
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 2.17"
Sunrise Bar: 1006
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 12 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/15/11

By: Geary, 2:09 PM GMT on July 15, 2011

Friday, July 15, 2011
Beam me up Scotty could be right around the corner. They now have a replicator almost like the one on Star Trek. It’s made by the Z corp in Burlingame Mass. It’s called a 3D printer. I watched a demo where that put a 12 inch crescent wrench in the printer and a few minutes later a perfect replica in hard plastic wrench was there that worked.. Amazing.
They are a bit pricy. You can pick on up for about $30,000. Jay Leno has one and uses it to make parts molds for his old cars. The 3D part can be fit exactly in place and if correct he then sends the part to the machinists to mill the new part.
I think I’ll wait until I can request a apple pie. Probably not too far off.



Friday, July 15, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 15, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: N 16-21
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
TOMORROW: Saturday, July 16, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: N 17-22
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 15, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
TOMORROW : Saturday, July 16, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 12 sec.

Point San Quintin
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 21-28
Seas: Seas: NW 7 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: NW 6 feet at 6 sec.

Turtle Bay
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 5 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 7 sec.

Cedros Island
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 15 sec.

ABREOJOS
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 21-27
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 21-27
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.

Mag Bay
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 21-27
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: Seas: WNW 7 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 7 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
high Daily High Temperature: 66%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1006

Friday 7/15 Morning Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday 7/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 7 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 7-9

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Morning Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNW 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 17-22

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 13-17

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 6-8

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/14/11

By: Geary, 2:13 PM GMT on July 14, 2011

Thursday, July 14, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see the northern and central Sea have just a scattered mix of isolated fluffys and whispys drifting around this morning.
The southern Sea from about Puerto Escondido to La Paz still has a lot of remnant clouds in the area from thunderbumpers that came over from the Mazatlan area.
AT 4am this morning there was a big honk’n thumper centered on Mazatlan with heavy thunderbumper activity from Cabo Corrienties north to around La Cruz extending out into the southern crossing almost all the way to the east cape.
Remnant clouds from this storm are scattered around the southern Sea this morning.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera I can see there has been and still is a lot of thunderbumper activity all along the west coast of Mexico south into Central America all night long.
The thunderbumper activity extends well into South America as well this morning.
The folks with the tropical models and the PHDs are still expecting the monsoon trough to become more active and better organized over parts of Central America and SE Mexico during the next couple of days. This will bring in abundant tropical moisture and the potential for heavy rain, flash floods and mudslides in the hills and mountains.
A similar condition happened several years ago with a resulting mudslide burying an entire town.
OK, that’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where Portland and Seattle will see light rain this weekend but the rest of the west coast is dry and under a cooling trend.
This will last until the weekend when the low off the west coast weakens and allows the high currently over the plains states to move back to the west and rebuild.
In the meantime big-time fog from about Turtle Bay to the Oregon border this morning that probably won’t be clearing until early afternoon.
Temperatures today will be 10-20 degrees cooler than last week at this time for most locations along the west coast.
Looking inland and over to the southwest I can see that dry air has pushed most of the moisture to the east of Arizona. There is still a slight chance of afternoon thunderbumpers mainly on the east side of the New Mexico border through Friday.
This weekend, with the return of high pressure over the Great Basin, Arizona will see the return of their afternoon and evening monsoonal showers and thunderbumpers. This weekend will also usher in hotter daytime temperatures through the middle of next week.
Back on this side of the border everything should be just about like yesterday. The northern Sea: Light southerlies. The Central Sea: Moderate northerlies: The southern Sea (Puerto Escondido to La Paz) light southerlies. The East Cape: Light northerlies.
The local fishermen are finally catching limits of nice size dorado.
Temperatures in the mid to high 90s today.


73s Y'all



Thursday, July 14, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, July 14, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
TOMORROW: Friday, July 15, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: N 15-19
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, July 14, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NE 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
TOMORROW : Friday, July 15, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 8-10
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 sec.

Point San Quintin
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 21-28
Seas: Seas: NW 7 feet at 6 sec.

Turtle Bay
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 6 sec.

Cedros Island
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.

ABREOJOS
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 sec.

Mag Bay
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: Seas: NW 7 feet at 7 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
high Daily High Temperature: 91%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1008

Thursday 7/14 Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 7/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 7 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 4-5

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Morning Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: N 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 15-19

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-12

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: SSW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 106 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 5-6
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.310
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.460
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.390
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 13 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/13/11

By: Geary, 2:17 PM GMT on July 13, 2011

Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see there was a lot of thunderbumper activity in Sonora and along the Sonoran coast last night and this morning. Almost no south/north flow and so these storms drifted toward the coast. No Monsoonal moisture moving up into Arizona or New Mexico this morning.
From about Los Mochas to Puerto Escondido the Sea is scattered with remnant clouds from last night thunderbumper activity over in Sonora and in the Sea between Los Mochas and La Paz. I would think that the East Cape, Cabo and La Paz had impressive lightning shows last night. Perhaps even a shower however no stations reported any rain.
North of Loreto in general the sky looks pretty clear. There are a few remnant fluffys here and there but mostly clear. Here in Concepcion Bay we have dark overcast off to the southeast. The satellite images are showing it clearning but we could still be seeing some cloudiness late in the morning. We’ll see?
Looking now at the Mexican Riviera I can see that it is almost solid thunderbumpers between Mazatlan and Central America.
I can see the tropical wave that was just to the west of Guatemala has moved a bit west but is still hugging the Eastern Guatemala coast.
Other than that there is nothing tropical cooking in our tropical kitchen for at least the next 48 hours.
As I mentioned yesterday there is a unusually storng monsoon trough expected to set up over southern Mexico and Central America over the next couple of days that will be bringing big-time rains with the potential of flash flooding and mudslides especially over hilly and mountainous terrain.
I’ll keep you updated on that situation as it develops down there.
Looking out into the Eastern Pacific Basin I can see it’s pretty much clear all the way out to Hawaii.
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where temperatures have dropped 10-20 degrees from last week. The low off the west coast is getting the blame for this cool, dry weather. It is also building a deep marine layer along the coast from Turtle Bay north to the Oregon border this morning. At places it is around 3000 ft thick.
The high that has been nudged out of the area will return this weekend bringing back warmer temperatures along the west coast.
Looking now over to the southwest where this dry air from the west will shunt the moisture plume off to the east toward New Mexico leaving just a chance of some thunderbumper back in the mountains until this weekend when the monsoonal moisture will move back in and the southwest will see an upswing in thunderbumper activity especially early next week.
Back across the border in Baja it looks like the next two days will be delightful with very moderate northerly winds. Friday right now looks like the northerlies will be brisk, ballpark 20 knots. We’ll see?
Temperatures will be in the mid to high 90s today.

73s Y'all

Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-8
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7
TOMORROW: Thursday, July 14, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: N 6-7
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, July 13, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
TOMORROW : Thursday, July 14, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.

Point San Quintin
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 21-27
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 21-27
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 14 sec.

Turtle Bay
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 7 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 5 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 6 sec.

Cedros Island
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.

ABREOJOS
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 21-27
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 13 sec.

Mag Bay
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 13 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
high Daily High Temperature: 63%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1008

Wednesday 7/13 Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 7/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 13 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Morning Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9

La Paz:
Morning Winds: S 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 107 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.110
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.120
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/12/11

By: Geary, 2:08 PM GMT on July 12, 2011

Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can’t see any clouds or remnant clouds from thunderbumpers.
Looking over to the mainland I can see that the thunderbumpers generated back in the mountains moved north into New Mexico during the night and early morning hours. None came close to the coast.
Looking over to the Mexican Riviera I can see some passing clouds over Mazatlan this morning. Puerto Vallarta south all along the coast saw thunderbumpers at one time or another during the night. Interesting there were thunderbumpers all around the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning but the Gulf is pretty much clear.
Looking further south to Central America I can see very heavy thunderbumper activity. It has nothing to do with out weather however I mention this because an unusually strong monsoon trough is expected to set up over southern Mexico and Central America over the next couple of days bringing in abundant tropical moisture. This will set up a potentially very dangerous situation with prolonged heavy rainfall which will lead to flash flooding and mudslides especially in areas of hilly or mountainous terrain. I’ll keep you posted.
Nothing cooking in our tropical kitchen today. I can see a tropical wave spreading out over the east coast of Guatemala this morning. It will most likely pass on through to the Pacific looking for a lonely low to stimulate however there are none in the area.
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where I can see a plume of moisture moving into Oregon and Washington this morning. The forecast is for Portland and Seattle to have showers the rest of the work week.
The rest of the west is being affected by an unusually strong July low parked just off the coast. This is thickening the marine layer along the coast from Turtle Bay north to San Francisco.
Inland temperatures have cooled off considerably. This dry cool air will last the work week then high pressure will move from the east back into the west again.
Looking now over to the southwest where this dryer air will start to move in from the west today lowering thunderbumper chances from Tucson westward. This drier air will shunt the moisture plume further east through the end of the work week with only a slight chance of showers or thunderbumpers.
This weekend will see the return of the normal monsoonal pattern with an upswing in thunderbumper activity especially early next week.
That’s what’s going on to the north of us. South of the border, here in Baja the northern Sea will see light to moderate southerlies. The central Sea wil have moderate northerlies today. The southern Sea mostly light winds however the East Cape will see light northerlies today.
This is the time of year that we will start to see fluffys building up along the east coast of the Baja peninsula in Sea of Cortez. Most times they will have dark bottoms along with thunder and lightning and unfortunately only occasionally will we get any rain from these.
Temperatures will again be in the mid to high 90s today.

73s Y'all



Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
TOMORROW: Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 12, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 5-6
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
TOMORROW : Wednesday, July 13, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSW 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.

Point San Quintin
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 21-27
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 15 sec.

Turtle Bay
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 8 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 6 sec.

Cedros Island
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.

ABREOJOS
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.

Mag Bay
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 14 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
high Daily High Temperature: 75%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010

Tuesday 7/12 Morning Winds: NW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 7/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 105 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1014

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 4-5

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Morning Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: S 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 3-4

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 3-4
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1014

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 3-4
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/11/11

By: Geary, 2:07 PM GMT on July 11, 2011


Monday, July 11, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can’t see any clouds or remnants of any thunderbumper clouds in the Sea.
Looking over at Sonora in the 24 hour loop I can see that has been a lot of thunderbumper development along the length of Sonora. All these storms have moved north into Arizona with just a few reaching the coast but not encroaching into the Sea.
This image is not showing any thunderbumpers developing over the Baja peninsula over the past 24 hours as well.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera where I can see lots of clouds along the coast but no thunderbumper activity on the coast last night or this morning all the way to just south of Acapulco.
There was a large thumper that moved across the Tehuantepec last night south to north and this morning at 4am it was parked over Salina Cruz on the northern shore of the Gulf.
There is nothing cooking in out tropical kitchen this morning. However I can see a tropical wave in the western Caribbean taking aim at the bay of Campache and it looks like it will cross the Tehuantepec isthmus sometime tomorrow.
The remnants of himicane Calvin are over by isla Clarion, that’s about 415 miles SW of the cape. This image is showing some convection in that area and there is always a possibility that the cape area could see thunderbumper activity back in the mountains from the moisture left in Calvin as it passes the cape. We’ll see?
That’s about it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where the Great Northwest will see a few showers later this week but the rest of the west coast will be a bit cooler than normal and dry.
That upper level low that is building off the west coast will be keeping the west coast cool throughout the week with warmer temperatures returning next weekend.
That low is deepening the marine layer along the southern California coast and it will be well late in the morning before the coast sees any sunshine.
Looking over into the southwest where favorable conditions remain for monsoonal afternoon and evening thunderbumpers today. Tomorrow dryer air will start to move in from the west lowering the chances of thunderbumper activity throughout the week. The weekend will bring back warmer temperatures and the return of the monsoonal conditions.
Back on this side of the fence the strongest southerlies will be in the northeast corner of the Sea. Puerto Paneseo and Bahia Kino Nuevo will have ballpark 20 knot winds this afternoon.
The rest of the Sea can expect moderate, 15 knots or less, winds this afternoon. It looks like the next three day will be having pleasant southerlies as well.
The only fly in the ointment could be active thunderbumpers in the Mazatlan area of the southern crossing. If you are planning a passage keep a weather eye out.
Today’s temperatures will be in the mid to high 90s with several locations passing the century mark. .

73s Y'all



Monday, July 11, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, July 11, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
TOMORROW: Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: NNE 3-4
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, July 11, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
TOMORROW : Tuesday, July 12, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Monday 7/11 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.

Point San Quintin
Monday 7/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 21-27
Seas: Seas: SSW 8 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec

Turtle Bay
Monday 7/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 7 sec.

Cedros Island
Monday 7/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.

ABREOJOS
Monday 7/11 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.

Mag Bay
Monday 7/11 Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
high Daily High Temperature: 80%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1012

Monday 7/11 Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 19 sec.
Tuesday 7/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 7/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 15 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 9 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 105 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: S 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 10-13

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86

Loreto :
Morning Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1016

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 3-4
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 20 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: N 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1014
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: N 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 18 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)


Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/08/11

By: Geary, 2:12 PM GMT on July 08, 2011


Friday, July 08, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can’t see any clouds or remnant clouds from any thunderbumper activity in the Sea.
I can see that there were some thumpers that build over in central Sonora and worked their way north into Arizona last night but none encroached into the Sea.
Looking south now I might as well talk about Calvin. Yesterday morning we had invest 93 SW of Acapulco. At 2:30 yesterday afternoon the National Hurricane Center upgraded it to a tropical depression three echo. At 8:30 last nigh they upgraded it to a tropical storm. Calvin is now about 400 miles southeast of Manzanillo. The current tracking models continue to show a northwest track and around 15N it make a hard left and head toward Hawaii. Wind speed won’t get more than about 75 before it reaches the colder waters and heads west this weekend.
Calvin is well off the Mexican coast and no warnings or advisories have been issued by the Mexican Government. Satellite imagery is showing clouds in the outer swirl passing from about just south of the southern crossing to Manzanillo this morning.
There should be no danger to Baja.
That’s about it for down here so looking north now to the west coast of America where it remains hot along the west coast.
Seattle will see some light showers today.
Northern California cloudy along the coast and sunny and hot inland.
Southern California will continue to see subtropical moisture advect from the south bringing thunderbumpers to the mountains and deserts.
A low pressure trough will be building along the west coast this weekend and will be pushing most of that moisture to the east. There will still be enough moisture to cause some isolated thunderbumpers.
Looking now over to the southwest where there is enough moisture in the air to maintain thunderbumpers in the afternoons and evenings into next week. Some of these thumpers will generate strong winds and heavy rain.
That trof I mentioned off the California coast will push dryer air into Arizona by mid week. This will result in more thunderbumpers along the Arizona/New Mexico border and a respite for the Tucson area. There will a slight chance of afternoon and evening thunderbumpers in the areas east to the lower Colorado River valley today through Monday.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. back on this side of the border today we will continue to see moderate northerlies in the northern and central Sea. Light southerlies in the southern Sea.
Saturday and Sunday we will be seeing brisk to strong southerlies in the northern and central Sea.
Skies look clear this morning and today’s temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s. Looking outside at 7am the bay was an absolute mirror. Not a breath of wind.

73s Y'all


Friday, July 08, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 08, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
TOMORROW: Saturday, July 09, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 16-21
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 08, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 3-4
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
TOMORROW : Saturday, July 09, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/10 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.

Point San Quintin
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 17 sec.

Turtle Bay
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday 7/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SW 3 feet at 19 sec.
Sunday 7/10 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.

ABREOJOS
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Sunday 7/10 Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.

Mag Bay
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Sunday 7/10 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
high Daily High Temperature: 54%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1008

Friday 7/8 Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: S 7-9
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 18 sec.
Sunday 7/10 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 5-6

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Morning Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 85

Loreto :
Morning Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: NNE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 3-4
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 108 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 10 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 82 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.010
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Seas: SW 6 feet at 19 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/07/11

By: Geary, 2:10 PM GMT on July 07, 2011


Thursday, July 07, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that a thunderbumper developed just northeast of Guaymas early this morning and moved north along the coast not really encroaching into the Sea until just east of the Bay of La. So those folks in the Bay of La area most likely saw some lightning this morning. As it continued to move north it lost strength and by Puerto Penasco it was almost extinguished.
That was the only thunderbumper activity I could see in the Sea last night. This morning there are just a few morning whispys in the Sea. The Webcam at La Bay was showing a heavy mix of whispys off to the east this morning.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera I can see a little thumper moved out of the mountains behind Puerto Vallarta and probably gave Puerto Vallarta a little shower this morning.
Further south from about Zihuatanejo south to the Tehuantepec it is virtually solid thunderbumpers along the coast.
About 250 miles south of Acapulco is invest 93 that’s moving northwestward at about 15 mph. Yesterday a tropical wave traveling all the way from the Sierra Desert on the African coast crossed the Tehuantepec isthmas and moved into the Pacific and stimulated that 1006 low. This morning there is surface shear that has temporally displaced the convection around the low but it is forecast to move into an area where environmental conditions are more favorable for cyclonic development probably later this morning.
Tracking models are showing this system to continue to head northwest and then around 15N hook a hard left and head out toward Hawaii. No time frame on the plots at this time.
When this system becomes a named storm he will be Calvin.
So it looks like we will be moving this item to the front burner in our tropical kitchen later today.
I can see lots of convection along the ITCZ and along the Central American coast this morning.
That’s about it for our hood so looking north now to the west coast of America where high pressure is keeping the western conus hot.
Northern California valleys will again see triple digit temperatures today.
Southern California will remain overcast all day and moisture moving up from the south will give cause to thunderbumpers in the mountains and southern California deserts this afternoon.
Looking over to the southwest where some moisture is still moving over Arizona and southeast California from the southeast in the clockwise flow around the high over the Great Basin. This means more thunderbumpers are on tap for the southwest today.
As that low that is moving down the west coast deepens it will nudge the high off its post on the 4 corners and into New Mexico this weekend and then drier air is expected to gradually move into the desert areas with only a slight chance of showers and thunderbumper through early next week.
Back on this side of the border it looks like we will be having two days of very moderate northerlies in the northern and central Sea then Saturday brisk southerlies.
The southern Sea and crossing will continue to see light southerlies over the next 3 days.
This image is showing most of the clouds over Sonora and the Sea have dissipated now and it looks like sunshine in on tap for the entire Sea.

73s Y'all

Thursday, July 07, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, July 07, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
TOMORROW: Friday, July 08, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-12
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, July 07, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
TOMORROW : Friday, July 08, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 12 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 14 sec.

Point San Quintin
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 12 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 14 sec.

Turtle Bay
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SW 3 feet at 19 sec.

ABREOJOS
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 19 sec.

Mag Bay
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 19 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
high Daily High Temperature: 74%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010

Thursday 7/7 Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/9 Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 18 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Morning Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 85

Loreto :
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7

La Paz:
Morning Winds: NW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 81 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 10 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/06/11

By: Geary, 2:11 PM GMT on July 06, 2011


Wednesday, July 06, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that most of the remnants of last nights thunderbumper over on the Sonoran coast have dissipated and the Sea is pretty much clear this morning. There are some remaining morning fluffys here and there but it looks like the Sea will be seeing mostly sunshine today.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera where I can see that back in the mountains to the east of Mazatlan there was some thunderbumper activity last night and the remnant clouds are still hanging around Mazatlan and south to around Puerto Vallarta. I would expect these to dissipate later this morning.
Looking further south I can see that has not been much in the way to thunderbumper activity until you get a little to the south of Acapulco. I can see a rather large thumper moving north out of the Gulf of Tehuantepec along the coast toward Acapulco.
A tropical wave is working its way through the Tehuantepec isthmus this morning. It is trying to catch up and stimulate a lonely low that is about 200 miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning. It looks like this is going to happen right in the middle of the monsoon trough. Well, as you would expect this now happy low will most likely become out next tropical storm sometime within the next 48 hours or sooner. So sayith the good folks at the National Hurricane Center.
So it looks like we have something cooking in out tropical kitchen this morning.
That’s about it for down here so looking now north to the west coast of America where high pressure over the western conus is keeping things hot. Today will see triple digit temperatures in many northern California inland locations.
The Great Northwest will remain warm and dry into the weekend.
Southern California will continue to have subtropical moisture move up from the south. I still can’t see any evidence of the remnants of tropical storm Arlene anywhere on any chart or satellite image, but the southern California forecasters are saying this is where their moisture is coming from. I was tempted, in my ignorance, to call it mystery moisture but that’s a bit of stretch, even for me.
OK, enough silliness. Looking now over to the southwest where moisture will continue moving over Arizona and southeast California from the southeast today in the clockwise flow around high pressure aloft just east of the 4 corners. This means a continued chance of mainly late afternoon and evening showers and thunderbumpers and desert blowing dust.
That low I mentioned earlier that is moving down the British Columbia coast this morning will arrive off the California coast Friday and nudge the high over the 4 corners over into New Mexico. This should cool things off a bit and limit the thunderbumper activity in the southwest over the weekend until early next week. We’ll see?
Back on this side of the fence: light easterly winds in the northern Sea today.
Light northeast winds in the central Sea today with the exception of the central Sonoran coast which will see light southwesterly winds this afternoon.
The southern Sea: light winds with a southern flavor.
After the morning fluffys dissipate…. abundant sunshine for the Sea of Cortez.
Temperatures in the low to mid 90s today.


73s Y'all



Wednesday, July 06, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, July 06, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
TOMORROW: Thursday, July 07, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, July 06, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
TOMORROW : Thursday, July 07, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 12 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 11 sec.

Point San Quintin
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 12 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.

Turtle Bay
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.

ABREOJOS
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.

Mag Bay
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
high Daily High Temperature: 79%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1012

Wednesday 7/6 Morning Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 7/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 15 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.130
Sunrise Bar: 1010


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 85

Loreto :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8

La Paz:
Morning Winds: SW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WSW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1016

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: E 0 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
Seas: S 3 feet at 16 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.030
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 78 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Seas: SW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/05/11

By: Geary, 2:18 PM GMT on July 05, 2011

Tuesday, July 05, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea I can see that starting late yesterday afternoon a large thunderbumper starting building around the Los Mochas area and moved out into the Sea and moved north during the night finally ending up just east of the Bay of La. Lightning was seen here in the bay last night and this morning at this storm passed to the east.
Several locations reported light sprinkles during the night.
This morning the only place in the Sea that is NOT overcast is around San Filipe.
A national forecast is saying that this moisture is from the remnants of Tropical Storm Arlene. Several days ago the National Hurricane Center mentioned that a weak low that was the remnant of sister Arlene was SW of the cape. Yesterday and this morning, using the views of several satellites, I am unable to locate anything that could be Arlene’s remnants. So I’m going to challenge their forecast and say that this is not Arlene’s remnants but just the beginnings of the normal summer pattern.
Looking south it looks like the southern crossing is overcast this morning with remnant clouds.
It looks like just about every location along the Riviera had a thumper over it sometime last night or this morning including the Gulf of Tehuantepec further south. Most of the thunderbumper activity was along the southern shores. They are forecast to have 20+ knots of wind today and tomorrow.
Looking at the monsoon trough and the ITCZ it looks like there is a bit more convection building along the zone this morning that the past few days going out to around 130.
Satellite imagery and the National Hurricane Center are saying that low that developed off the coast of Guatemala yesterday is now gone and it looks like there is nothing else in our tropical kitchen to alarm us for at least the next 48 hours.
So with that looking north now to the west coast of America where the heat wave continues with high pressure blanketing the western conus. Triple digit afternoon temperatures are again forecast for inland California cities.
Tropical moisture continues to drawn into the swirl around the high over the Great Basin the outer edges are bringing in subtropical moisture into southern California along with the chance, er probability of afternoon thunderbumpers in the mountains and deserts.
A trough of low pressure just leaving the Gulf of Alaska this morning will dig along the west coast late in the week bringing dry and cooler conditions to southern California.
Looking now over to the southwest where along with the triple digit temperatures the National Weather Service has issued blowing dust advisories with winds forecast to be in the 30-50 mph ranges with visibilities around a quarter of a mile.
Abundant moisture in the area will provide afternoon and evening monsoonal thunderbumpers for most of the southwest today.
Back on this side of the border in the northern Sea moderate southerlies. The central Sea (Santa Rosalia to Concepcion Bay) will have a northern component. Puerto Escondido south to the cape the moderate winds will have a southern flavor.
As these remnant clouds from last night thunderbumpers dissipate we should be seeing some clearing later this morning or early afternoon.
Temperatures will be in the mid low to 90s today.

73s Y'all



Tuesday, July 05, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 05, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
TOMORROW: Wednesday, July 06, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-7
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 05, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
TOMORROW : Wednesday, July 06, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 3-4
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 12 sec.

Point San Quintin
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 12 sec.

Turtle Bay
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.

ABREOJOS
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.

Mag Bay
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 11 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
high Daily High Temperature: 90%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010

Tuesday 7/5 Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 11 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 7/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 17 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: High
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Morning Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 85

Loreto :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10

La Paz:
Morning Winds: E 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1018

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 11 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: E 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.610
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 80 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.940
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.430
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 3-4
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/04/11

By: Geary, 2:24 PM GMT on July 04, 2011

Monday, July 04, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that most of the Sea is overcast.
From Mazatlan to Guaymas all along the west coast of Mexico thunderbumpers are now being forecast daily. What we are looking at this morning are either the outer edges of a thunderbumper or the remnants of one. Satellite imagery is showing that last nights storms developed off shore and moved north paralleling the Sonoran coast. Most of the thunderbumper activity did not get more than half way across the Sea last night and this morning.
These squalls can become what we call Chubbascos. Not all squalls are Chubbascos. The meteorological definition of a Chubbasco is a strong storm along the west coast of Mexico and Central America and to a lesser extent the northern coast of South America.
For my purposes I have defined Chubbascos as microbursts that are associated with a squall. Remember a squall is just a thunderbumper over water. A macroburst is a strong downburst as opposed to a tornado which is an upburst. So a Chubbasco would have very strong winds moving down the center of the squall and fanning out in all directions. Depending on how far you are from the center of the squall would determine the strength of the winds and if you had rain or not.
Don’t chisel MY definition in stone. I have talked with a couple of PHDs that just shrug their shoulders and say it’s just a strong storm.
I digress! Looking south along the Mexican Riviera I can see actually heavier thunderbumper activity along the coast than the past few days. These storms are building the late afternoon and going all night.
The Tehuantepec also has a large squall that pretty much blankets the entire Gulf this morning.
The forecast is for these thunderbumper to continue for several more days.
Looking at the monsoon trough and the ITCZ I can see rather moderate convection building along the zone this morning.
Taking a look inside out tropical kitchen this morning. There is a broad area of low pressure located about 300 miles south of the border of Guatemala and El Salvador that is producing a lot of clouds but not much rain. However the National Hurricane Center is saying that environmental conditions appear favorable for some gradual development of this disturbance as it moves west-northwest over the next couple of days. They are giving it only a 10% chance of developing into anything cyclonic in the next 48 hours. So we have something cooking on the back burner in our tropical kitchen this morning.
Yesterday I noted two tropical waves headed our way moving across the Gulf of Mexico. One must have got lost because this morning all I can see is one.
That’s it for our hood so looking north now to the west coast of America where the heat wave continues. Triple digit temperatures are forecast for inland California locations today. La La Land is forecast to see triple digit temperatures this afternoon along with the chance of some thunderbumper activity in the mountains.
Moisture swirling around the high over the 4 corners is providing the San Diego area with clouds and a chance of afternoon showers and thunderbumpers back in the mountains and in the deserts.
Looking now over to the southwest. It looks like the Arizona monsoon season has started in earnest as there appears to be adequate moisture to provide scattered afternoon and evening thunderbumper all week. They really need the rain, however with these thunderbumpers comes the chance that they will produce damaging wind gusts. This image is showing overcast over most of Arizona this morning.
OK, that’s it for north of the border. On this side we can expect moderate southerlies today and for that part for the rest of the week.
With the forecast for Sonora to continue to produce abundant afternoon and evening thunderbumpers along the coast that have the potential to move across the Sea as squalls during the night it would be prudent to pay close attention to ground tackle, canvas and loose items on deck that could be blow away. I just checked the satellite a few minutes ago and most if not all the thumpers are gone now with just the remnants remaining. Based on this I would think we should be seeing partial clearing today.
Otherwise it sounds to be like a great day to have a picnic on this Independence Day.

73s Y'all



Monday, July 04, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, July 04, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
TOMORROW: Tuesday, July 05, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, July 04, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 15-20
TOMORROW : Tuesday, July 05, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 11 sec.
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.

Point San Quintin
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 11 sec.
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 10 sec.

Turtle Bay
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.

Cedros Island
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 11 sec.
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WSW 3 feet at 10 sec.

ABREOJOS
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: Seas: WSW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 10 sec

Mag Bay
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 12 sec.
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 11 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 10 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
high Daily High Temperature: 92%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010

Monday 7/4 Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 12 sec.
Tuesday 7/5 Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 11 sec.
Wednesday 7/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 10 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: High
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: E 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1012

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1016

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 85

Loreto :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9

La Paz:
Morning Winds: NNE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1016

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 11 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 3-4
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 5-6
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 11 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

Permalink

Sea of Cortez Weather 07/02/11

By: Geary, 2:08 PM GMT on July 02, 2011


Saturday, July 02, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see a few whispys passing over the cape. These are remnant clouds from thunderbumpers working along the Riviera. The webcams in both ends of the Sea showed a mix of morning whispys and fluffys in those areas.
Looking over to Sonora I can see some cloudiness back in the mountains in Sonora but it does not look like they developed into thunderbumpers.
Looking now at the Mexican Riviera. If you drew a line from Mazatlan east to Tampico on the Gulf of Mexico everything south of this line to Central America is has been experiencing heavy thunderbumper activity over the past 12 hours. The exception is the Yucatan Peninsula, but for the rest it’s Thunderbumper City.
Not only are the thumpers lined up along the Pacific coast. Tropical Storm Arlene which made landfall two days ago in Tampico has worked her way across Mexico and now resides as a weak low between Cabo Corrienties and Manzanillo this morning. The National Hurricane Center is giving it just a 10% chance of any re-development. They are also saying there is nothing else out there that could develop into anything tropical for the next 48 hours. So this morning the only thing cooking in our tropical kitchen is sitting on the back burner on low.
That’s it for our hood so looking north now to the west coast of America where the heat wave continues and the forecast is for it to continue well into next week.
Triple digit temperatures for most of inland California. 70s and 80s along the coast along with coastal fog lasting into late mornings.
The California deserts will see temperatures in 117-118 ranges today.
Heat advisories have again been posted for this afternoon over most of the southwest.
Looking over at the southwest now it looks like another hot day with Tucson looking at 111 this afternoon. Thunderbumpers will show up mostly in the White Mountains today and to the south and southwest of Tucson. About the same for tomorrow, then as the high becomes centered over the 4 corners on Monday monsoonal activity will begin in earnest.
Back on this side of the border this is what our weekend should look like.
Today the northern end of the Sea will see moderate northerlies. The northern Sonoran coast a bit stronger.
The central Sea today 18-20 knot easterly or south-easterlies this afternoon.
The southern Sea today moderate south-easterlies less than 15.
Tomorrow:
The northern Sea, Gonzaga and the Bay of La ballpark 20K winds in the afternoon.
The central Sea: 20-24 southerlies
The southern Sea: 10-15 knot southerlies.
THE 4TH OF JULY.
GREAT DAY FOR A PICKNIC! Moderate southerlies throughout the Sea.

73s Y'all ………… I’m off to buy some hotdogs.




Saturday, July 02, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, July 02, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
TOMORROW: Sunday, July 03, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 18-23
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 21-27
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, July 02, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
TOMORROW : Sunday, July 03, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-19
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 11 sec.

Point San Quintin
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: NW 20-26
Seas: Seas: WNW 7 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 12 sec.
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Seas: Seas: WNW 6 feet at 11 sec.

Turtle Bay
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 12 sec.
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 11 sec.

Cedros Island
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: WSW 14-18
Seas: Seas: W 3 feet at 12 sec.
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 11 sec.

ABREOJOS
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Seas: Seas: WSW 4 feet at 12 sec.
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 11 sec.

Mag Bay
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 13 sec.
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 12 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
high Daily High Temperature: 56%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1002

Saturday 7/2 Morning Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Monday 7/4 Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 12 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: ☺
Sunrise Bar: 1002

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 106 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1000


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1000

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: N 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNW 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1002

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 105 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1002

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 17 to 22 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 88

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: SE 15 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 18-23

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1002
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 85

Loreto :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1002

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11

La Paz:
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1000


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 106 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 14-18
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 10 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1002

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.750
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.240
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 12 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

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Sea of Cortez Weather 07/01/11

By: Geary, 2:14 PM GMT on July 01, 2011


Friday, July 01, 2011
I found this interesting this morning.
The St. Louis Post-Dispatch investigation of voter rolls since 2000 in East St. Louis, Ill., identified 27 specific dead people who voted in various elections, complete through the 2010 primary. Inspiringly, two men who had never cast a single vote while alive apparently decided to begin participating in the democratic process once they had died, and Mr. Willie E. Fox Sr., who has voted six times since his death in 1987, this year (2011) he mysteriously switched registration from Republican to Democrat.
Well, its nice to see the seniors ah..senior seniors get involved with the democratic processes.



Friday, July 01, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 01, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NNW 14-18
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
TOMORROW: Saturday, July 02, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 17-22
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 18-23
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-20
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, July 01, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
TOMORROW : Saturday, July 02, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 14-18
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 15-19
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 7/1 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 11 sec.

Point San Quintin
Friday 7/1 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: Seas: W 6 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: NW 21-27
Seas: Seas: WNW 7 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Seas: Seas: WNW 7 feet at 12 sec.

Turtle Bay
Friday 7/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: WSW 15-19
Seas: Seas: NW 5 feet at 12 sec

Cedros Island
Friday 7/1 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: Seas: NW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: SW 15-19
Seas: Seas: W 4 feet at 12 sec.

ABREOJOS
Friday 7/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: SW 11-14
Seas: Seas: WSW 4 feet at 12 sec.

Mag Bay
Friday 7/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WSW 5 feet at 13 sec.

*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
high Daily High Temperature: 53%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
bae Sunrise Bar: 1004

Friday 7/1 Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 10 sec.
Saturday 7/2 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 7/3 Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.


. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1000


*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1002

*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 14-18

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
#VALUE!

*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Morning Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 14 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1002

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 17-22

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 13-17

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 85

Loreto :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WSW 0 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 3-4

La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 70 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1000


*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: N 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 3-4
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 3-4
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 10 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1002

MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SSE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004

*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1014

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1006
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0
Sunrise Bar: 1004
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Click here for today's Sonrisa (Smile)

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About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

Sunrise over Mazatlan December 18, 2015
18 ft Whale Shark
Winter Sunrise
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Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 67.3 °F
Dew Point: 58.7 °F
Humidity: 74%
Wind: 1.0 mph from the East
Wind Gust: 7.0 mph
Updated: 10:48 AM MST on March 03, 2015

About Personal Weather Stations