GavsWeatherVids

First UK Autumn 2012 Forecast

By: GavinPartridge, 11:51 AM GMT on June 18, 2012

Hey folks,

Here's my first forecast video for autumn 2012:

Link

Long range models generally painting a picture for rather a cool autumn at the moment, though very early days.

BTW, if you stick around the end theres a little sneak peak at winter 12/13 - JFF

Next months update should see the global long range models getting a better handle on where things are going for autumn 2012.

Updated: 11:52 AM GMT on June 18, 2012

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El Nino For 2012/2013

By: GavinPartridge, 8:08 PM GMT on June 13, 2012

Hi all,

The Australian Weather Bureau has said that El Nino is coming from October 2012 lasting through 2012/2013;

Link


I predicted back in February that we'd have an El Nino in the coming winter. You can see my forecast from February here;

Link

You can also see the subsequent video update I did in April on this page.

I'll get another done later this month to see where we stand, but right now it does certainly look like El Nino's coming.

Updated: 8:15 PM GMT on June 13, 2012

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NAO Forecast For Winter 2012/2013

By: GavinPartridge, 6:21 PM GMT on June 12, 2012

Hello all,

I'm a British based amateur weather forecaster.

I've recently made an NAO Forecast for winter 2012/2013 based *just* on sea surface temperature anomalies in the Atlantic Ocean during May 2012 - This methodology has been widely used by the UK Met Office for several years (though they have now stopped making public their long range forecasts)

Anyway, I thought you might like to see my forecast for the NAO in winter 2012/2013:

Link

I should just warn you, its a video forecast and its quite a long video, so a comfy chair and a cup of tea (hey I am British ) is a must while watching this.

Regards

Gavin

Updated: 6:22 PM GMT on June 12, 2012

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About GavinPartridge

Amateur UK Weather Forecaster.

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