GTstormChaserCaleb's Blog

Time Lapse of Haiyan

By: GTstormChaserCaleb, 11:05 PM GMT on November 07, 2013

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Category 5 Super Typhoon Haiyan

By: GTstormChaserCaleb, 3:36 PM GMT on November 07, 2013

Good morning an update on the serious situation unfolding on the other side of the world. Category 5 Super Typhoon Haiyan continues to strengthen with top sustained winds now estimated at 190 mph (165 knots) (305 kmh). The structure continues to improve with a perfectly symmetrical shape and DVORAK Estimates of 8.0/8.0. Never seen a storm break through the top of those estimates before. Minimum Central (Barometric) Pressure from the last DVORAK estimate was 862 millibars (mb.) which if confirmed would make it the strongest cyclone in any basin observed since record keeping began in 1850. Advisory from the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) keeps the pressure at 895 (mb.) and the Joint Typhoon Weather Center keeps the pressure at 890 mb. Maximum wave heights estimated to be upwards to 50 feet. The Cyclone is located approximately 543 nautical miles east-southeast of Manila, Philippines and has tracked west-northwestward at 22 knots over the past six hours.

Fig 1. RBTOP IR Satellite Image of Haiyan from NOAA



Fig 2. Enhanced Meteo SAT-7 IR from RAMSDIS



Fig 3. Cone of Uncertainty from Wunderground



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.5
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 07 NOV 2013 Time : 143000 UTC
Lat : 10:30:50 N Lon : 127:54:23 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 904.5mb/155.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.4 7.5 7.5

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 25 km

Center Temp : +19.2C Cloud Region Temp : -84.7C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 118km
- Environmental MSLP : 1005mb

Satellite Name : MTSAT1
Satellite Viewing Angle : 18.7 degrees

Link

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Tropical Transitions Analytical Report

By: GTstormChaserCaleb, 5:00 AM GMT on November 03, 2013

I was wondering if someone it can be more than 1 person had some extra time on their hands and could give me some feedback on my research paper. My email address is mastercaleb727@yahoo.com if anyone is interested in giving me a peer review or suggestions on how I can improve the paper. You don't know how much I would appreciate it. I would literally love you guys forever. I need to get a C or better on this paper to pass this class. The paper is in APA format, 2000 words, and the important point is that I make this more analytical rather than informative. Please let me know if you are interested in taking a look over it for me. Thanks

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