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By: DocNDswamp , 6:15 PM GMT on August 30, 2011

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LOL, okay... had to put up new entry, stale predecessor nearly year old! No promises when I'll update next... ;)

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SE LA obs: Gorgeous early Fall wx, record low temps across LA in Lee's aftermath... Watching Nate in BOC...

TGIF Sep 9 2011 12:30 PM...

And it's another winner of a day across SE LA weatherwise - more low records were set this morn, nice stable, comfortable early Fall conditions... KHUM dropped to 59 for 4th day in row in 50's, slow moderating ahead, back to more typical thru mid next week... expecting next cold front about Thu-Fri...

Despite a well-developed circulation and otherwise favorable conditions, TS Nate unavoidably slurping up dry air... Rather amazing to consider the far-reaching effect the TX / continental dry air has had on tropical cyclones this season - chewed up Don, reached all way over to impact Irene, got pulled into / dry slotted Lee, and now working it's magic on Nate... Glad to see models shifted back to more logical E MX track - essentially a counterclockwise arc / loop over BOC as mentioned in comment #83 - after playing with the Cen US trof connection a bit yesterday but too far S to get lifted... all in due diligence... Latest 12Z GFS today is even farther S, perhaps might just remain lower BOC, go in below Veracruz about Sun night / Mon morn - tracking about what it had initially indicated when began forecasting development... And maintaining a recurving Maria E of Bahamas / off E coast... By late next week may be watching what I'm assuming is the ELY wave behind Maria to potentially come into / across Caribbean as med-long range hints development as nears W Carib...


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Thu Sep 8 2011, 12:10 PM... Watching Nate in BOC...

Another fine early-Fall day in SE LA, w bluebird clear skies adding a few faint puffs of fair-wx clouds, very low humidity, cool below norm temps, calm to N winds 5-13... as KHUM dropped to 57.2F, close to record 56 and should climb into L 80's (had 80.6F high Wed)...

Saints-Packers to kick off the NFL season this eve, looking forward to it, hope it's a great game!

Meanwhile the other season continues in full swing... and latest set of model runs not encouraging for either those who desperately want one of these damn things to bring relief, or us who already had a tropical impact... Good agreement Nate will get lifted generally NWD over next 3 days as Atl ridge builds WWD over Carib / S GOM, beyond that all but ECMWF on board for continued N track toward N Cen Gulf and even the ECM keeps shifting more NWD as well, but have yet to see one run break the Texas anti-moisture force field in place... stay tuned, might get to the wishcasting realm yet as 12Z GFS brings it toward S LA, appears to stall / wander a bit toward and offshore S Cen or SE TX coast thru 192 hrs.. and we can't assume any confidence beyond 72-96 hrs much less at that time frame, so a bear watch is in effect... Accordingly, the NHC has shifted it's cone further N as well... and notes much uncertainty ahead...

Several of the models this morn were close to a N Cen GOM solution of SE LA delta / MS-AL border or Mobile landfalls incl the 06 GFS, CMC (which oddly enough has been most consistent on similar track!), HWRF and HFIP (which did fairly well last two storms)... Most runs seem to shift the W MX ridge farther west to not capture Nate into a MX landfall, ala Lee, being more influenced by WWD building Atl ridge and the deep-layered trof pattern stuck over Cen US - which has also kept Lee remnant dousing more folks with flooding rains... Bottom line is wait / watch carefully, get ready / stay prepared for Nate to hit anywhere from E MX to NE GOM by early-mid next week...

And gotta say, seeing what's happened to Maria getting sheared / weakened has me a bit on edge it might just track a lot farther west than earlier anticipated, and restrengthen to strong hurricane as gets past Leewards / E Greater Antilles or just above nearing Bahamas - akin to Irene - but will it recurve ahead of another trof, just dunno... All about that wonderful dance of strength / timing of trofs / ridges as usual...
We'll see...


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Wed Sep 7 2011 1:30 PM CDT: SE LA obs: Gorgeous early Fall wx, record low temps across LA in Lee's aftermath... Watching 96L in BOC...

Our 1st taste of Fall has been a welcome change following Lee... Clear, sunny skies, very low humidity, breezy NW / N winds and quite noticeably cooler temps arrived. On both Tue Sep 6 and today Wed Sep 7, several locations across LA have set new record low temps in the 50's, our coolest since mid-May... Locally on Tue KHUM airport fell to 59F... and this morn Sep 7th got down to 55F low which could be a new record - too bad this station is not to NWS standards to dependably record such, as Houma's historical record low on this date is 58F... tsk, tsk, so it goes... Beautiful Fall wx will continue this week across our area, although keeping an eye on Invest 96L getting better organized in BOC which will become our next TC soon, now that large 95L became TD 14 / Maria in Atlantic... And it's good news as Katia became our 1st Cat 4 135 mph storm, but as a weakened storm now will harmlessly bypass the US and Bermuda, relatively speaking...

Hybrid Tropical / Subtropical Storm Lee delivered the promised flooding rainfall with widespread 10-15" amts across S LA in the Sep 1-5 period... while winds on it's backside made situation worse over Texas, fanning deadly wildfire flames as rainfall barely extended much past the TX-LA border... Was interesting to note Lee's structure and wind field pattern with some of the strongest tstm bands / embedded tornadoes (at least one confirmed by KLIX w damage), highest winds, storm tides and surge of 3-5 ft occurring far away to right of it's center offered evidence of STS / hybrid characteristics esp on Sunday as lifted inland over SW / S Cen to E Cen LA... Also in the wind field, noted a bit higher than avg sustained to gust ratio in reports, as sustained were often in the 15-28 range while gusts to 40-60 mph were recorded by several stations well over a hundred miles away from LLC. NHC advised TS winds extended 275 miles from center, and again we had another good example (like Irene) of why focusing on the exact track or center line, expecting highest winds around the apparent LLC as in more typical TC's can be deceiving, and especially true of hybrid storms like Lee (and Frances!).

Sadly the truth is we're left with an incomplete meteorological record of Lee over SE LA, as what few wx stations we have in my local area failed to transmit data thru Lee - Numerous NDBC buoy stations not reporting or have failed sensors, all 3 LUMCON stations quit transmitting, and KHUM airport offered spotty reportage at best, with wind reports missing a majority of the period - although it did briefly report a 44 mph gust midday Sun, and later indicated lowest pressure to 29.39"... This particularly aggravates me due to LSU Ag Center's decision to close HUML1 station back in June, leaving this area without the only accurate, reliable, storm-hardened station capable of such... And I knew damn well this would result!

However, we did have one station provide instantaneous wind data, the USGS Caillou Lake DCLL1 located in coastal Terrebonne, just below Dulac / Dularge, showed TS force winds for several hours with each 15 min interval, several reaching over 50 mph with a peak of 58 mph from SSW at 9:15 AM Sun - all but one interval over a 6 hr period had TS force winds.

Compared to past TC events, overall faired well yet most locations in Terrebonne were inundated by extremely hvy rainfall that was fortunately offset by a very dry August / prolonged drought prior to Lee - IMO, the most critical period being on Sun, another 2-3 inches could have overloaded the system as drainage capacity was full and surge wasn't allowing any additional loading - upper Bayou Terrebonne well inland nearby was at bankfull, in several spots overflowing into yards, close to threatening homes / businesses... Worse off was below, with combined hvy rains, storm tides / surge flowing N, our coastal locations were inundated by several inches to 2-3 ft water from Lee... Yet, with the strong cold front that swept extratropical Lee into MS / AL / TN bringing equally strong NW / N winds on it's back side - and - thanks to dry conditions prior to event, water levels / runoff have fallen relatively fast and noted the ground, despite it's saturated appearance, continues to quickly absorb the hvy rainfall... Wind damage in my immediate area has been minimal - lot of leaves, small-mod size limbs stripped from trees, signs blown down, but did see one cluster of 3 trees along saturated Bayou Terrebonne west bank blown over... however admittedly, haven't toured much else other than seeing HTV footage covering the flooding.

As for my own rain tallies from Lee at two locations, was right at my expectations of a foot of rain... already nearly twice the September avgs of 6.28" for Houma area... LOL, was run ragged keeping up with this much rain at two locations.

Bayou Cane home Cocorahs Storm Total: 11.67"
(Note: older "A" gauges tallied 12.46")
Gray / Bayou Blue Cocorahs Storm Total: 12.27"
(Note: "A" gauge overflowed / lost reliability between Sat-Sun)

Bayou Cane Cocorahs rain gauge:
(all daily to midnight readings except last as noted) / (ST = multi-day Storm Totals)

Thu Sep 1 2011: .28"
Fri Sep 2 2011: 5.01" / (ST: 5.29")
Sat Sep 3 2011: 4.29" / (ST: 9.58")
Sun Sep 4 2011: 2.05" / (ST: 11.63")
Mon Sep 5 2011 (to 10 AM obs): .04" / (ST: 11.67")

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Gray / Bayou Blue Cocorahs rain gauge:
(read / reset daily, obs time varied as noted)

Thu Sep 1 2011 (7 PM obs): .17"
Fri Sep 2 2011 (7 PM obs): 1.39" / (ST: 1.56")
Sat Sep 3 2011 (9 PM obs): 7.21" / (ST: 8.77")
Sun Sep 4 2011 (9 PM obs): 3.38" / (ST: 12.15")
Mon Sep 5 2011 (to 10 AM obs): .12" / (ST: 12.27")


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SE LA Obs... Watching Lee in Gulf as September arrives...

Newly declared TS Lee threatens Louisiana...

Fri Sep 2 2011 1:30 PM CDT...

Good day all,

TD 13 has been upgraded to TS Lee at 1 PM CDT... 40 mph... 27.4N 91.5W... NW OR 325 Degrees AT 2 MPH... 1003 MB / 29.62 inches...

Despite close proximity, hasn't been too bad here yet, shwrs w light amts up to now w bulk hvy stuff just offshore approaching / moving inland... winds actually been bit lesser inland for most of morn, subject to change quickly...

TS Lee getting slowly better organized w deeper convection closer over it's center, which has shifted more NW, perhaps relocated more than actually moved... ULL still there doing it's interaction thing and while forecasted to drift more W / weaken, GFS would suggest some influence might continue at least into tomorrow ... Up to this point has given TD 13 / Lee an odd, lopsided appearance and - not that matters to most - might offer questions on this system's characterization... I'm certain it's been a sheared tropical cyclone, however due to ULL's effect there's some resemblances to large subtropical storm, although it did not originate from it / not centered directly under, so I'm discounting that... And today, we can observe on sat imagery other than the notch on the W side from the ULL, Lee's anticyclone aloft is expanding out... Given the really large circulation envelope continuing to expand / develope from sfc to mid level it even has a monsoon depression type appearance, particularly viewing the evolving large 500 mb vorticity field (which subtropical storms often have too)... This is projected to slowly tighten up next 24-36 hrs into bit more typical concentrated / aligned vort along with LLC and more notable strengthening is likely as it does... But the slow progression up to this point to consolidate from wandering / looping vort max - at both low-mid levels - to a more tightly defined / aligned center does remind me of such development, but equally true with all large tropical systems... Oh well, I do like to ponder these things, lol...

Still have weak steering concerns / slow movement expected, but it should track NWD with expected landfall Sat night / Sun morn into S Cen LA as NHC and model guidance indicates... Expected impacts remain same with highest concern for hvy rainfall / inland flooding w tropical storm conditions, hopefully won't get organized into a strengthening hurricane toward eventual landfall... LOL, I might be wishcasting as that is a possibility... Good low level shear also maintains threat of embedded fast moving / short-lived tornadoes in spiraling bands esp on N / NE side of circulation.

TS Warnings / Flood watches in place across all of LA-MS coasts, extending well inland...


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Wed Aug 31 2011 11 AM CDT

A few shwrs starting to pop up off LA coast to hint what's ahead... Otherwise, started off calm, sunny, hazy smokey as marsh / swamp fire goes on but not too bad here... ELY winds to increase steadily with tropical disturbance shaping up...

Tallied up my meager August rainfall this morn - both sets gauges right at 1.6", over 5" deficit from 6.73" avgs... YTD on same gauges used all year thru yesterday Aug 30th - 34.51"... or 10.82" yearly deficit despite receiving July deluge of 17.67"... typically should tally a YTD avg / mean of 45.33" thru August here... Nope, don't desire it making up in short order with flood!

Keeping close eye for Gulf tropical development...
First real cold front to pass?


Viewing vis sat loop imagery this morning shows increasing moisture lifting NW from Caribbean... over Gulf seems to indicate two tropical waves (and, having two features as such might be complicating the forecast as which will be dominant) - seems weaker one over SW / BOC, more notable wave coming thru Yucatan... can see some hint of cyclonic turning in S / SE Gulf lifting NW with Yucatan feature, which might lend credence to last 3 cycles of GFS solution of development more over N Cen GOM, off SE LA... Best two models remain in total opposites, as ECMWF persists having a slow but stronger low developing off or near S Cen TX coast, lingering around into next week - somewhat resembling the TS Frances scenario... while GFS hints at quicker solution N Cen GOM w stronger frontal trof lifting it NE as a weaker system... Also note in upper level forecast, if the trop system forms near SE LA coast / mouth MS River would lie closer to favorable anticyclone aloft, E of weak ULL feature projected near E TX / W LA, simply to clarify of trop origin, not subtropical as I'd pondered briefly while trying guess where formation would occur... Regardless... Don't know who / where, but some folks are gonna get dumped on w hvy rains... and one way or another (or by both), cooler temps are coming!

Checking around varied regional forecast offices AFD's it's almost funny where / who are favoring the ECMWF forecast - everyone in throes of drought, claiming more consistency although might be wishcasting it out of desperation, lol... Lot of calls of GFS being an outlier (outliar) right now, but... just don't know, perhaps it might be too quick / off target too far N, although as mentioned above, sat imagery may support such... And yet, even those forecasters leaning toward the euro (or something in between the two which is sorta prudent), are now seeing the cold front coming in Sun-Mon time frame or so, potentially picking the tropical system up / off to NE... Time will be told... Could have our first real taste of Fall esp with cooler morn temps in 60's behind the front early next week if GFS solution is close...


******************************

Tue Aug 30 2011 greetings,

And in today's news...
NCEP MAG transition day as old page is goner, clicked today to blank white page w old Camino browser - although I set up a coded page as bypass workaround that's doable but inconvenient - and many know I complained over the forced transition, being relegated to the dinosaur heap... However, much more positive news as it new MAG page DOES work on my (also old) version of Safari... and NCEP has greatly improved model output and functions - as most of you already know, lol! Not so good with You Tube's latest changes - got nothing with either browser, oh well... oddly, if a YT is posted on another site it often works fine.
LOL, aren't you glad ya got a newer computer?
Yep, imagine few are still using a near 9 year old machine / OS... If I disappear for extra extended period, well... you'll know why...

SE LA weather - Wet times ahead as watch the Gulf for possible subtropical / tropical development...

Nice sunny, hot and dry with smoke over the area again today from E NOLA marsh fire burning away... LOL, more than enough relief a'coming... What's about to happen is a complete shift from dry Aug to a very wet 1st half September, some relief of course for SE TX but SE LA appears might bear the brunt of our brewing tropical trouble with possible hvy flooding rains, extended period of high tides / winds... as we'll prolly see a TD / TS Lee (or some name!) try take shape this weekend... As GFS / ECMWF are hinting, this might be a FORECASTING NIGHTMARE to pinpoint beyond any given 3-4 day period... In many ways resembles a monsoon trof in the LL field set-up, if an anticyclone aloft held true, however, expected upper trof development over NW Gulf region could enhance subtropical storm development initially.. Mid level progression looks sympathetic and favorable, but also see offering weak steering, holding promise this broad low pressure regime will be stuck with us for a while... can see that in projections of vort development / possible counterclockwise track over N Cen / NW / W Gulf region... LOL, that kinda motion, we might call this one TS Wanderlust ot TS Rover! Meanwhile by that time (early next week), upper trof weakens or shifts away / anticyclone high replaces / rebuilds aloft and could transition to pure TS (or stronger) perhaps finally lifted out to the NE w a cold front late next week! No guarantees / confidence on exact development right now, but a wild ride ahead with possibilities - it definitely looks WET here!!! And a very busy next few days for me with much to prepare ahead for - oh, the procrastination on a few issues is about to bite me in da ***... ;)

Sheeesh, all this homegrown action coming, I can't even concern myself with Atlantic's Katia at this time, but it sure looks impressive and a candidate for next major H.

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128. LakeWorthFinn
5:08 AM GMT on September 20, 2011
Dear Doc, I know it wasn't a plea for help, please don't regret sharing the story. A sorrow shared is less burden and hopefully our words and love helped you with your heavy heart.
It also may have served to raise awareness of this happening, so that another pet can be saved in the future by some lurker who will, instead of buying his/her next dog at a store, go to a rescue shelter and adopt an unwanted one. There are 200.000 abandoned pets in USA today and knowing the reality will help some of them find loving homes.
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7354
127. DocNDswamp
8:52 PM GMT on September 19, 2011
Hey g'day Finn!

Thanks... Well, probably till end of this week, I may check back w shelter around Wed. Have had several email's generously wanting to help on this, much like you... Gotta tell ya, remains concerns on his desirability / adoptability as - appears about 2-3 yo, a smallish beagle-mutt hound mix, and of most concern - there has been no real evaluation to extent of injuries he's suffered, especially internal... Sure, I indicated he regained ability to walk, even run for a brief trot, but clearly he's "crooked" along spine where meets hips... doubtful a vet has examined him to any degree... Maybe so, maybe not, but could be costly medical bill involved...

I really don't know what else to say... it is what it is... I somewhat regret bringing this to light as wasn't pleading a call for action... This situation has been repeatedly heaped upon us for over 20 years at that location alone, and more or less throughout my lifetime - I can't remember all the dogs / cats we've adopted as pets or cared for temporarily, every single one was an unwanted or stray, none ever came from a pet store... Prolly three times as many we had to have picked up, brought to the pound.

Gotta go...
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
126. LakeWorthFinn
7:49 PM GMT on September 19, 2011
Doc, a couple came to the store today with an a rescue dog. We started talking about dogs, rescues etc. I shared the story of Brownie, and they said that someone in their family had just lost a beloved dog and was looking to adopt a new one. How long does Brownie have left at the pound?
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7354
125. LakeWorthFinn
2:36 AM GMT on September 19, 2011
I see your guilt is still haunting you... so I will let you know THE TRUTH to ease that:
I never loose sleep over anything or anybody...lol
Dau, Jamie and I were playing cards till late and I just came to shut my lappie off, popped in to say hi, saw what you were going through, and wanted to share what has eased my own pain :)

I have mailed you some Felix, that should make Lil Guy run in to your house and jump on your lap. I would... ROTF
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7354
124. DocNDswamp
9:48 PM GMT on September 18, 2011
Good aftn {{{Finn}}}

Thank you so much!
And seeing how late it was you posted, I'm sorry if caused you to lose sleep over this... But I appreciate what you relayed so well, very touching and comforting wisdom rings true... plus I know all the effort you've put forth helping save so many of our lil friends!

On the way now, heading out.
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
123. LakeWorthFinn
8:09 AM GMT on September 18, 2011
{{{{{{{Doc}}}}}}}
I know what you went through with Brownie, all the feelings, tears and rage. I know. And you know I share your heartache.

I believe that, as my Tibetan Lama friend explained to me, you gave Brownie the greatest of all: LOVE. He also said, that giving a spark of love to an animal is a very powerful thing and far more meaningful than we are aware of, because it transforms the animal's soul.

Like Siddharta, I became aware of suffering, cruelty and death when I went to India for the fist time in 1982 and saw a dog dying on a dump site. I approached him, touched his head, and he opened his eyes. I saw in them the reflection of my love. Then he died. That dog's suffering affected me more than the human suffering I saw around me and I felt guilt. On that same trip I went to see my Lama friend, who is an illuminated saint-like being, and asked him why seeing animals in pain touched me more than seeing humans in pain. He answered that all humans have an affinity with a certain group of souls, mine obviously was close to the animal group and that I should not feel guilt, because we are most of the time powerless to help, but have the power to love. Then he added, that the question "why?" was not important. Instead "What does this experience want to tell me?" is important. And I found the answer... it's in my heart, on my blog, it's in my home with Max & Sophie, and it's present in my everyday life. I would have a thousand dogs if I could, but I can't. We can't save them all, like Bug said. But I can click websites every day, post stuff on my Facebook page, donate a few dollars a month to rescue groups, rally to raise awareness and inspire others to help too. ASPCA sends us pictures of the animals that have been saved with the small donation we send them every month. I want to focus on that and try not to think of the ones that they didn't have time to rescue.

Brownie will carry your love in his soul to the whatever you believe awaits us in the hereafter, because you gave it to him and his soul is immortal - as immortal as ours are.

And Lil Guy is being loved, he knows it and you have him to give love to.
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7354
122. DocNDswamp
6:18 AM GMT on September 18, 2011
Hey Pat,
OMG they're beautiful pups, love the portrait!

Long as NOLA Roux approves, you're good to go!

Oh yeah... I see by da ticking of da clock - it's NFL Sunday already! I best get some beauty rest and prepare for Bears!

Pass a great time in da morrow, brother Pat!
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
121. Patrap
5:30 AM GMT on September 18, 2011
We have 2 new Jack Chi's Doc..,litter mates

3 months old now

Martha left, Toulouse, right

...or as I call dem, da "Terrible Two's"

Nola Roux is da Big Sista to both of um.


Have a Good Sunday too.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128663
120. DocNDswamp
5:23 AM GMT on September 18, 2011
Good evening, much love back to you {{{ALL}}}!

On the bright side, got some work done and at last check, Mom was fine as was Lil Guy, da roadcat. Actually he's become Big Guy now, lean but quite muscular build at that...

Bug,
I was smiling / wincing at your telling of Thor, remember many of our previous cat conversations of his ornery nature, and yet of course, how tough was to see him go... Hubby and you both deserve high marks for extraordinary efforts seeing that Thor had as good a life as could! LOL, I could say it was because he was a male cat he acted such, but you may well be right about the strain endured in early initial life stages affecting their disposition - I saw similar with female cat Missy I had in '88-91, rescued as a tiny newborn kitten discovered laying in the middle of busiest intersection in town early one morn on way to work! God only knows how it got there and wasn't run over before picked her up... She grew up a sweet and loyal lil friend, but always had a feisty streak too. Strange and ironic as fate is, she eventually died - run over by a car.

Gams, thanks!
And Harley's a lucky fellow too!
Give Harley a hug for me and B'day congrats.
Absolutely, nearly all I know here have wonderful lasting / loving relationship with animals, understandably we talk about 'em a lot! Heck, they're family... ;)

Pat, thanks for offering that quote!
What an incredibly true revelation measuring our character... I trust we still form a majority on the plus side! But yeah, lotta ugliness and callous disregard displayed around us...
Equally, my respect to you!

Code, thanks for your compassion!
And your kind / generous offer per EM! But I tell ya, it wasn't just Brownie, it was ALL of them there that tore me up, knowing the numbers they take in daily... Maybe had 2-3 mean dogs there barking or aggressive, rest were friendly unwanteds or pets owners gave up... Two of the cats looked like some of mine from past as well, didn't help emotionwise... Sadly, not 1st time I've had strays, throwaways or "litter leftovers" picked up, or been to the shelter, and know this is a huge problem everywhere... The shelter works with pet stores, several others on adoption... I'll probably check with them again later this week.

Yes, I know all of us here love animals, guess why related the incidents, but prolly should apologize for letting out my drama knowing would rile and incite... just sorting it out...
;)
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
119. code1
1:42 AM GMT on September 18, 2011
Damn, damn, damn Doc! Animal lovers cry with you. One dog/cat at a time is my motto now. Stupid people abound. I support pet rescue every chance I get. You've done well, you can only do what able to. I'd like to "throw the throwers" out myself!
Member Since: September 18, 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 13872
118. Patrap
10:45 PM GMT on September 17, 2011
The greatness of a nation can be judged by the way its animals are treated.


Mohandas Gandhi


Your a Good Man Doc.

Such sad tragedy.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128663
117. seflagamma
10:28 PM GMT on September 17, 2011
Oh Doc,
I have tears in my eyes reading what you went through.

Don't you get so pissed at the way some sub-humans treat animals.
I mean if you don't want any puppies or kittens around your place, get your pets spade/nutered.
and don't dump them on the side of the road to die. Be responsible for goodness sakes!

As a pet lover that is so sad...


so your weekend is not going well at all...

Our Harley was almost a "rescue" pet, he was already 5 mos old when we found him at the pet store, he was not even kept out front with the puppies, they had him in the back at a "discount price"...his next step was to the Animal Shelter if he did not get adopted.


But one look at that Harley and it was love..
he had such a rough first 5 mos he did not even know how to bark and was so trusting ..

Well Harley was 15 last Thursday, 105 in human years... and he has always been the love of the family.

And I dread the time which will probably come soon that he has to leave us..
I break up just thinking of that time..

but for now, he is nearly blind, only has one eye and cannot see good out of it, sometimes cannot hear well, sometimes had bladder control problems, but good grief, we hope if we make it to 105 we are in as good of shape as Harley!

He still has spells when he is as spunky as a puppy and he still wags his tail and eats well and his vet and groomer thinks he looks and acts much younger than his years..

Oh my goodness, now I have gone on and on about our Harley.. but us Animal Lovers understand.


Hope you get to enjoy some of this weekend!!!

Take care,

Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 299 Comments: 40917
116. palmettobug53
9:55 PM GMT on September 17, 2011
Hubby's cat, Thor, was a throw away. Hurricane Bertha was within 24-36 hours away and we weren't quite sure if she was going to be an issue for us or not. This was back in 1996.

You know us Southerners. Any weather crisis and the first question is, "Do we have bread?" Anything is survivable if you have a loaf of bread.

Hubby went to the grocer and came back with a newborn kitten, closed eyes, umbilical cord and all.

Hubby was coming out of the grocer and heard something. He looked all around, then lifted the lid off the trash can near the grocer's front entrance. There he was, screaming his head off. The little bugger had a set of lungs on him, I'll tell ya.

So, Hubby comes home with him because "If I told you, you'd be right over there, getting him."

If he didn't want another cat (we had two, Miss Kitty and Daisy Mae), why would he leave it, then come home and tell me?

Uh huh... right. It was all him, despite his stance that he doesn't want pets. Of course, if he left it there and then told me, yeah, I would've been over there in two seconds, retrieving it.

The cashier said there were several of them, thrown out on the pavement. I don't recall if they said the others were dead, if someone took them or if they knew who put one in the trash. Hubby didn't see any others.

He came home with the kitten and the folks at the grocer gave him a pint of whole milk.

I told him that a newborn couldn't drink whole milk like that; they needed formula. I told him to call the vet's office, on the off chance that they were still open. They were and off he went. He got back with a couple of cans of formula and a bottle.

Then, I had to teach him how to bottle feed and set up our feeding schedule. I took the 6 am, the 6 pm, the 9 pm and the 11 pm feedings. He had to take on the 2 am, the 12 noon (or as soon as he got home from work; there was a bit of unavoidable lag, there) and 3 pm feedings.

He grew up to be a big, mean SOB, too. Liked to be around you but you did not pick him up. He liked to be petted; a little bit. You had to watch his ears; if they went back, you had to back off, right then.

A real pain in the butt to try to take to the vet. They usually took him straight back to the OR, put him in The Chamber and knocked him out, just to give him his annual checkup and shots. Even neutered, he was always getting into fights with the neighbor's cats. Normally, vets these days won't treat long distance but with Thor they would. I'd call 'em up and get antibiotics for all his abcesses, with the stipulation that I'd bring him in, if there was no improvement. I could generally sneak up behind him at the food pan and get liquid meds squirted in his mouth before he slashed me.

When he was 15, he finally developed some type of neurological problem and we put him down. Came on real fast; just a matter of days. They think it was something with his brain, possibly a tumor. His behavior was really odd; constant walking with no real destination, not sleeping, not eating much.

He was moody and unpredictable all his life and I often wondered if he had some brain damage from being tossed out, when he was a kitten.

I've got all kinds of scars on my arms and legs from that cat. He'd ambush me, grab on with teeth and claws and then run away, leaving me to hobble back in the house, dripping blood. People would ask me why did we kept him, if he was like that. My reply: We took him in and took on that responsibility. Besides, who else was going to take him?

Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 234 Comments: 25128
115. DocNDswamp
9:25 PM GMT on September 17, 2011
{{{Bug}}}

Thanks a bunch... WU will ban me if I say what's gonna happen if I ever catch 'em in the act...

And thanks for that suggestion, might be the approach needed...

Okay, heading out...

Good day to ya Miss Bug!
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
114. palmettobug53
9:06 PM GMT on September 17, 2011
OH, crap, crap, crap..


Poor lil puppy.... Poor Doc.....


Bless yer heart. You do what you can but you just can't take 'em all in.

*&&^%$&* jack@$$e$ that dump animals. I'd like to take their butts off out in the middle of nowhere and dump them and see how THEY like it. Then go back, haul 'em in, throw 'em in a pen with the gas chamber just down the aisle and an execution date looming.

Have you considered using a live trap for Lil Guy? I know he'll freak once he's inside but maybe if you put it out with a cover over it, like a cave, bait it and check it hourly. Then, if you have an enclosed area that you could put him until he settles down some. Storage room? Box stall in the barn? Garage? You'd have to set out a litter pan temporarily, if you have him inside.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 234 Comments: 25128
113. DocNDswamp
8:48 PM GMT on September 17, 2011
Weatherwise, going as expected...
saw KHUM bottomed at 62.6 low, a far cry from mid-50's w last front... Still overall pleasant but humidity / moisture values rising, and better chances of off / on rain this week coming... Texans most likely to appreciate this week's wx as disturbances come across in largely zonal W / SW flow aloft... Next slightly decent frontal passage by end of week as GFS depicting mid-up trof to carve out, perhaps cut-off over S Plains / Cen US while ridge builds N Rockies / N Plains with polar jet forced far N... No deep arctic plunge in sight...
And I hope I'm not still repeating that in December!

***

Read the following if you dare, it's not pretty... and not attempting to sound heroic, as I'm equally plagued by a sense of guilt -

Okay, gonna relate what peaked into an emotional roller-coaster yesterday concerning our 4-legged friends... and how our Gray location has been used as a dump by inconsiderate trash humans... Back in freezing conditions of January, once again some heartless asswipe dumped 4 kittens off up the road - 1 survived, been feeding / befriending him at same location since he refused to leave that area he's established as his roadside home, living among the trees / weeds and an old culvert for shelter... So he's become sort of a dependent, only somewhat domesticated / partly wild as he clearly hunts adjacent area... Couldn't bring myself to call animal control, couldn't bring him to Mom's while still had Spot, so 9 months have passed repeating same everyday as Lil Guy (as I call him) faithfully awaits my arrival, showing plenty love and affection, but has had no other human contact...

So fast forward to 2 weeks ago Fri eve as TS Lee began drenching us... Lil Guy cat was entrenched and okay weathering the storm, but as I left was shocked to find another unwanted thrown out at front of our driveway - a poor beagle-mix little dog! Left there in the rain to die, as discovered next day, was pitifully starved, one of worst cases of extremely malnourished I've seen, also injured perhaps been run over by car at some point in his recent past... He could only drag himself a few feet, and appeared near death, but he ate / drank well what I brought to him...

To our amazement, "Brownie" recovered, not only gaining needed weight as he's eaten prodigiously, but was walking again - albeit clearly his spine seems bent or healing from a break as his frame is kinda crooked... Of course, he began following me even as worked on tractor or in the car - heck he's even running now! ... and the love seen in his brown eyes and happy, healthy panting smile is enduring and endearing... Unlike Lil Guy the roadcat, Brownie quickly found his way to the house and Mom loved the little fellow as well...

But was a dilemma, as neither of us felt could commit to keeping a dog given the already tenuous situation with her health, mine, other responsibilities, etc, etc, AND I still need to resolve the situation with Lil Guy the roadcat - now that Spot has gone, perhaps could try introduce him to more domesticated life (although reading between the lines, not sure of Mom's feelings toward having ANY more animals, as know she's still heartbroke over Spot's death - other than know a cat can be more self-reliant / lower maintenence than a dog anyday, should something happen to it's human caregivers)... So Wed eve we made a tough decision calling animal control and Thu aftn they picked him up, and immediately after both of us felt like shit having done what was forced on us by someone else's irresponsible, inhumane actions... AC was gonna check to see if had an owner implant or try get him adopted as is customary...

But Brownie was on my mind as I left the house yesterday as he'd gotten picked up before I had a last chance to see him... and I found myself driving over to the animal control shelter... No, he had no implant chip and sadly learned he'll have 7 days before getting put to sleep, but sure, I was welcome to go see him... and there he was, in a cage with 3 other similar size dogs, his tail wagging a hundred mph when he saw me, happily licking my hand as greeted him thru the fence, peering intently at me with those loving, trusting eyes... God dammit I felt like a f*cking traitor to him! And all the others there, the place was full of 'em... Plus the cage after cage of beautiful cats / kittens so longing as well, all... all most likely with a mere 7 days of life to go... Overwhelmed - and as I am now writing this - I broke down with a flood of tears streaming, and walked out, pathetically crying / babbling incoherently as I tried briefly to thank the workers there... Suppose they understood, they must have tougher skin than I seeing this daily...

Oh my oh my, what a mess I was...
So drove out to Gray, parked the car at house, and walked back up the mile or so to where Lil Guy roadcat stays, determined to try walk him to the house, thru the short territory he's never bothered to venture... Was going well, I'd slow he'd catch up, but he slowed once past familiar range... Had got him to within 40 ft of our driveway, when outta the blue our newspaper delivery person running late came flying down the damn road, freaked the living shit outta Guy, sending him flying from one side, in front of the car for a near miss and onto other side and over a fence... What absolute rotten timing, I accepted the newspaper from the person and begrudgingly thanked her, while tried answering her question of why I was walking a cat along the road while also holding a 44 magnum revolver, but one word - cottonmouths - told her all she needed to know... Sad to admit after she left, I repeatedly cursed her into oblivion for screwing up my effort... Managed to get Guy back from other side and made mistake of picking him up to bring him onto our road, did okay at 1st but freaked when neared spot where that car had come up, scratched the hell outta me ripping my shirt drawing blood, running back into hiding... Now not trusting me either, I spent hours after trying convince Lil Guy to come out, but he was totally terrified, out of his safe zone and panting so rapidly I though he might have a heart attack... Went got his food, and finally lured him outta hiding, walked back to his "place" up the road...

What an ironic pisser of a day, all my worktime was lost and didn't gain anything...
I'll try again, as not happy with the cat's situation either, but dammit, I know Lil Guy wouldn't have lived this long had I earlier condemned him to the fate poor little Brownie faces... Just sad...

Okay, enough blabbering my life issues on the internet... shoulda just said "had a rough day" and left it at that - I know you all deal with 'em too!

Later, over and out of here...
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
112. palmettobug53
5:51 PM GMT on September 17, 2011
Doc, that thing looks like something out of one of those 10,000 BC movies. Giant mosquito swooping down to carry off a screaming cave man.

When Dad and Mama first lived in Sumter, there were woods behind the house. We'd get these huge things we just called wood mosquitos. Have no idea if they were gallinippers or what. Whatever they were, they were much, much larger than the run-of-the-mill skeeters commonly found in our back yard.

Once all those woods were cleared out and a duplex apartment subdivision put in, they disappeared. The little ones stayed, though, dag nab it.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 234 Comments: 25128
111. DocNDswamp
4:36 PM GMT on September 17, 2011
LOL Bug!

Nah, haven't got that bad yet, but was surprised seeing them in such numbers... But it's a horror movie alright, of disturbed / PO'd skeeters going into the tall bahia-on-steroids that lot of our property is infested with - perfect habitat for da blood-suckers... Meanwhile, my own nearly grass-free backyard in B Cane harbors shade tree-loving skeeters a fraction of the size but even more vicious... LOL, no escape, one or other will get ya in SE LA...

Did some checking outta curiosity, a very high chance this sudden appearance of huge "Lee-Skeeters" were shaggy-legged gallinippers, or psorophora ciliata species, largest known of the blood-feeders in US and matched my obs and description...

Sheeeshhh, what a mess of insect ID confusion the internet is - found references or folk names assigned to crane flies as gallinippers... and crane flies being called mosquitohawks... oh hell no!
;)
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110. whitewabit (Mod)
8:29 PM GMT on September 16, 2011
LOL bug ... hummmmm ... Great story line ...
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109. palmettobug53
7:43 PM GMT on September 16, 2011
GOOD GOD, Doc!

Are you sure you aren't on the set of one of those '50's B grade horror movies?

"The Attack of the Killer Mosquitos"

Starring DocNDSwamp as Dr. L.A. Bayou. Radiation experiment goes wrong during hurricane, spawning giant, mutant, man-eating mosquitos. The fate of mankind rests on Dr. Bayou's shoulders.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 234 Comments: 25128
108. DocNDswamp
7:05 PM GMT on September 16, 2011
Good aftn Wabit,

Was just about to head out, saw your post...

LOL, yes quite a wingspan on these suckers of late, very large ones - in all seriousness, a half to 3/4 inch body length... and leave a large welt on ya! Don't see these too often... Oddly enough, the ones in my backyard (been around thru the drought) are very small but pack a punch with a painful bite that's worse!

Yes sir, appears Winter closing in on y'all.
Enjoy before gets intolerably cold!

BBL...
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
107. whitewabit (Mod)
6:46 PM GMT on September 16, 2011
Doc ... Don't let them skeeters carry you away ... I know the size you get down there ...

Yes am enjoying this cool down again this week!!! forecast is for another coolin off next week too ...

Alot of people out working in their yards this past week ... getting things in shape for the winter weather which will be just around the corner soon for us ... the rest just enjoying the cooler temps ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 364 Comments: 31566
106. DocNDswamp
5:01 PM GMT on September 16, 2011
Good day Friday Sep 16,

Cool mid 60's from weak CAA earlier, temps slow rising in 70's and still mostly overcast here w light NLY wind... as front drifted down barren of rain, and as expected, stalling just offshore... (Add) And soon as posted, the cloud deck has cleared to m sunny now... Chances for iso / w scat shwrs return Sun off / on thru most next week w boundary nearby, ELY winds / incr moisture values returning, daytime heating, minor short wave disturbances passing as await next front to visit late week... Hey, as previously advertised, the better rain chances during this period may lie across Texas for a welcome change!

***

Hiya Shore,
Nope no drought-buster in sight for E TX, but at least decent chances for iso / w scat shwrs / tstms over lot of TX until next front passes late week does offer encouragement... Sad to think it's gotten so bad we're excited about what would normally be trivial rainfall, but about the best seen modelled over TX in some time... And right on - no tropical concern over GOM thru next week either!

Hey Finn,
Ya caught me... sleeping / snoring as charged!
Indeed, glad the summer rains returned to FL and yes, 72 sure is preferable to those muggy 79-80 lows...
I'm gonna try donate my forecasted rain to TX - had a nasty and very abundant proliferation of mosquitoes hatched after Lee / showed up past week, don't need any more! Skeeters hadn't been too bad this Summer, in fact way less than usual, but made up lost time quickly under perfect breeding circumstances... LOL, need a flash-freeze to restrain 'em as they've been active throughout the daytime...

G'day!
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
105. LakeWorthFinn
5:46 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
Late as always, everybody snoring... but hope yalls have sweet dreams - and get rain. We had to prime the garden pump to start the sprinklers today, been many many weeks we haven't needed them.
Nice "cool" night here, 72F.
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7354
104. shoreacres
3:19 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
Hiya, Doc,

Just read your post #101 - sure enough, that's what they were talking about on the radio today. You know things are bad when the radio weather dudes are talking about La Nina.

My hope is that even if we don't get the "drought buster" soon, we at least can get some scattered inches. There started to be some impulses moving across the panhandle last night, and up into OK - saw barefoot got some rain. At this point, it doesn't make any difference who gets the rain, as long as it starts to happen.

You're right, though. It does beat worrying about a tropical system - I just laughed when I looked at your radar tonight. That nice, clear GOM - good grief.
Member Since: October 4, 2004 Posts: 205 Comments: 15288
103. DocNDswamp
7:47 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Heya Wabit!

Well, set your largest fan outside aimed SWD, send it down, lol!

It's very slowly filtering thru toward us here today, drier but won't be as cool as last one... Our temps were almost same as yours the last time when had such a deep-layered trof forcing it down, no such luck this time...

But for September, it sure beats having a tropical system to worry about... and it's still a nice change from the summer heat...

Enjoy it Wab!
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
102. whitewabit (Mod)
6:20 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Doc ... this front is about 8 degrees cooler then the one last week ... and way too early in the season ... about a month early ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 364 Comments: 31566
101. DocNDswamp
6:06 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Wed Sep 14

Hey Finn,

A bit late on this response, but as I mentioned in last post, still nothing of concern showing up... funny isn't it, we hit the typical peak of tropical season activity and it's gone into a big lull... Models have backed off the slow W Carib development even farther out in time, but ya know it becomes the prime area to watch thru October... Otherwise more of same generally for your area, chance seabreeze shwrs / tstms that might be enhanced by weak ELY wave late weekend / next week passing by...

To ramble on further -

And models have backed off the strong cold front pushing in here next week... Current front coming across to offer minor cooling by Fri-weekend as stalls / washes, perhaps some scat shwrs here / there cont into next week perhaps enhanced some from weak short waves moving across a mostly zonal flow... Otherwise, more same late summer here with heat slowly dwindling... Might be hard to convince anyone in E TX / W LA of that considering more 100 plus temp records set yesterday - Shreveport hit 107... more fires popping up... Sheeeeeshhhh...

Luckily only risen back near 90 / low 90's here past couple days... And we've rapidly dried out again, hard to believe had a foot of rain with Lee...

Who knows what temps we'll see this Winter - to no one's surprise La Nina is back, certainly more continued dryness expected, "usually" offers warm-mild temps for Gulf coast region, however THAT will depend more on the AO / NAO pattern as past two years proved... The NAO which can quickly switch either positive / negative in a 1-2 week period - or lock in longer - will be the unpredictable wildcard to either enhance or trash an ENSO-based seasonal temp forecast for our region... and perhaps temporarily the precip distribution.

La Nina coming back, combined with longer term major oceanic-atmospheric climate influences of a positive AMO / negative PDO indicates a potential of worsening long-period drought for lot of the S tier states... The ugly triple-whammy I posted about earlier this year never really diminished... :(
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
100. LakeWorthFinn
4:46 AM GMT on September 13, 2011
I also like the fall, and love to put on long sleeves. But not to the extent that I'd wish for any temps below freezing point! Wearing warm woollen slippers just makes one feel so good :)

I hope you get cold weather so no storms can come your way, just don't like the looks of what the models are hinting around the South Caribbean. Any thoughts on that Doc?
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99. DocNDswamp
8:31 PM GMT on September 12, 2011
Mon Sep 12,

Nice sunny wx continues although losing our record coolth this week... Reinforcing upper trof swung thru as digs farther E just adding to subsident NWLY flow pattern as still dominated by ridging centered W of area... Strong cold front sweeping down by late week not likely to clear out / cool down here as significantly as last one w more zonal flow over area likely to have it stall nearby accompanied with some scat precip around... However, might be a silver lining beyond into following week as some suggestion enhanced rain chances for - dare I say - Texas! May finally see mid level ridge shift SWD back into MX where it originated (and belongs!) as another frontal trof coming across may become more pronounced over S Cen US, combined focusing along higher moisture return flow / developing frontal line may help induce rain where needed... but talking in the 168-192 hr time frame (next Mon-Tue), so fingers crossed truly significant rains materialize there... Will be watching the W Carib for slow development over time, nothing of concern appears tropically in short term, to a week away from now when a monsoon trof type pattern may again set up over W Carib... Most of that depicted goes well into long range outlooks, so...

*****

Thanks Finn, dang it's a miracle... he has risen!
;)

And thanks, Ms Code!
Ditto on both sentiments, was quite uncertain period we went thru...
and -
Might ease by later, don't wanna scare him off!

Hey Wabit,
Sure appears Fall has indeed arrived for you! I know you're loving it... Prolly only a taste with this one for us, as you mentioned a few degrees, with it expected to hang up nearby this weekend - might be next push behind it for us here...

As for the "40's rule", would take lot of research / downloading files from IPS site for clear confirmation, but I can't recall any major hurricane hitting after we cooled into up 40's, but some have after dropped into 50's like the last front, which was my point... and I guess climo indicates we're often done with such a strong threat as reach 2nd week Oct on avg, as another general rule... Only late major comes to mind is Hilda in '64, hit about Oct 3rd and the 40's rule held true - none prior, but strong front on it's heels did drop us into 40's after... I kinda added confusion in mentioning late-Oct '85 Juan, as it peaked at 85 mph... yet was very destructive Cat 1 with flooding issues, so as we often see, category means little in it's potential threat and the "40's rule" means even less there... And like Lee, Juan was another hybrid subtropical system, both with tendency to stall / loop as very hvy rain makers! I checked and did find - we had dropped into 40's briefly mid-Oct in '85, so non-major but significant storms can hit S LA after!

Back to work,
Cheers and G'day!
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
98. whitewabit (Mod)
6:49 PM GMT on September 12, 2011
Hey Doc ...cold front coming through ... daytime temps cooling down until Thursday which has a high of 63º and low of 43º .. lows all week in the lower 40's temps recovering just in time for the weekend ...

I haven't looked to see how far south it will dig but might cool you down a few degrees ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 364 Comments: 31566
97. whitewabit (Mod)
6:42 AM GMT on September 12, 2011
Doc ... that's a very interesting Rule you could take it back buy finding the date when your area went below 40 degrees and see if it continues back some years ...

Was great up here the last 2 days ... highs in the lower 80's and light winds and party cloudy bright blue skies ...

Fall is here saw a farmer taking out a field of corn ...

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 364 Comments: 31566
96. code1
11:27 PM GMT on September 11, 2011
Just read your last post....I too, was watching TWC that morn from hotel room in Savannah on vacation. Saw second plane hit & watched as world stopped turning. Daughter, home working. Mom and Nana had scary trip back to the mountains to be with her. Gas rations started because of the unknown in the south. $10 was max in many places. Thank God Camry's ran on fumes. For the innocents, their families, the hero's...esp fire and police officers, our gradtitude is great as is our sympathies. For the hero's of flight 93? Hope your walking the Street's of Gold.
Member Since: September 18, 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 13872
95. code1
11:17 PM GMT on September 11, 2011
Hell fires, damnation, & storms be damned! Guitar fingers itching? Feel need to take boat out on moonlight SE trip? Time for a little levity on this day of horror and remberance. Yes, we are resilient. Thank God and the USA!! Take a walk about the blogs Doc. THE music man is about. :-)
Member Since: September 18, 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 13872
94. DocNDswamp
7:44 PM GMT on September 10, 2011
Sat Sep 10th

And 46 years ago was digging thru aftermath of H Betsy on this date... remains about the worst or near the top on my local area hit list along with Andrew and Gustav from wind damage... and along with Rita and Ike for extensive inland surge... Big-Eye, Billion Dollar Betsy had it all! To best of my knowledge the 948 mb is lowest pressure ever recorded at Houma...

Gladly, nothing of the sort today, had another morn low in up 50's as KHUM fell to 59 for several hrs, showed a 57.2 at one interval but I might question that reading. Sad have to rely on an airport station not up to NWS standard compliance, but apparently the NWS office in Slidell doesn't give a sh*t that Houma metro is not being officially represented - there's a lot more to this story, but the NWS deserves and should share blame / further scrutiny of their actions (inactions) for the loss of HUML1 as they intentionally ignored that excellent station! Arrrgghhh... Anyhow, more of same wx with cool nights / quite warm sunny days, moderating ahead as humidity slowly rises...

AND, want to make note - after all that flooding rain from Lee, it has been unbelievable how fast it's flat-out disappeared here... B Terrebonne was at bankful, has dropped all / back to norm level within 4 days and more impressive is how fast the ground continues to absorb it / dry out.. Sure, the cold front was great timing w strong NLY winds / dry air deserves credit, but it's also a sure sign just how low our water table has gotten from overall prolonged drought influence... Meanwhile and predictably, local politicians are taking credit for improved drainage / flood protection projects, and some truth there, but... ya know how that goes... LOL, they were also very quickly (and quietly) knocking down / making cuts thru many of those temp levees put up back during the river flood as was holding up rainfall runoff! I tell ya, this fragile ecosystem has had great fortune this year of preceeding conditions minimizing such potentially disastrous events - walking a tightrope between it all...

***

Howdy folks,

Wabit,
Indeed, it's been a very welcome change! Nice to have an early taste of coolth, thanks for sending it down... ;) But yeah, back into 90's soon here too...
Agree - far too early in game to write off more GOM action, even though when look at projected upper winds on GFS see westerlies digging more SWD, generally speaking...

I have another "rule" to gauge chances for a strong TC hitting my area as season winds on that works well a majority of years - We often see cold fronts pass, only to have a TC come after or in between 'em (as occurred in '02 with Isidore / cold front / Lili), BUT once have strong enough cold front drop overnight lows into the 40's, the serious threat drops here... LOL, since flooding Juan came at end of Oct, I might need check data from that year, see how "da rule" held up!

Huri,
Hope you're out enjoying the day and ocean view!
Keep on conjuring those visions, prolly a few more yet may come close will need to ward off... Best wishes to ya! ;)

Gams,
And a great weekend at ya, even if ya may be working today! LOL, not sure what our version of paradise wx is anymore as it's been a wild ride of ironic swings - months deep into drought building record heat by June 1st while watching a major-record MS River flood pass by harmlessly with no impact... a month of record rainfall w below avg temps in July... another bout of drought / heat August... flip the switch in Sep to record rainfall w Lee, followed by a full week of record lows!!! Wheeeee!!! LOL...

Finn,
Dang right, that's cold by any standard, no surprise ya love FL wx! Hmmm, think it was only -10 / -15F on my only skiing trip to Colorado long time back... Hey, some things ya gotta do at least once, even for a web-footed swamp homeboy like moi!

OGal,
Thanks for that!
Wow, it's hard to believe 10 years has flown by so fast, isn't it? ... One of those times we all remember what we were doing that morn as unfolded - no surprise I 1st heard on TWC and tuned to it live as 2nd plane hit... Lot of tributes this weekend commemorating the terrible loss, watched a few last night...

Over and out,
G'day all!
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93. OGal
11:00 AM GMT on September 10, 2011



We will never forget....

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92. LakeWorthFinn
7:50 AM GMT on September 10, 2011
This IS a paradise gams - for any Finn who has been skiinging in -40F Brrrrrr... Never again lol

Hi Yas all, glad Nate turned the other way :)
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7354
91. seflagamma
10:23 PM GMT on September 09, 2011
Hi Ya Doc,

clear skies and 82 degrees, that does sound really nice.
Hope you are enjoying your Friday!

We are still in our summer pattern of hot, humid, and daily thunderstorms...
it is our "rainy season"..
it is dry for 6 mos and it rains for 6 mos! LOL
our version of Paradise.

Take care,
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 299 Comments: 40917
90. hurigo
10:14 PM GMT on September 09, 2011
HiYa Doc,
It sure makes me happy to hear you talk about the beautiful weather you have. It is very nice here too, though there has been horrible flooding in northern Virginia. I suppose I might get up early and visit my beloved Atlantic tomorrow. Not sure if the Katia waves will still be there, but might see some Maria waves or a mix of the two. Good thing is that I will be able to conjure a vision and wave them adieu.
Member Since: October 9, 2005 Posts: 100 Comments: 6730
89. whitewabit (Mod)
9:26 PM GMT on September 09, 2011
Doc ... bet you are loving this cooler weather down there !!! Some are saying that Nate will be the last one in the gulf this year be I can hardly believe that ... some models hinting at something in the southern Caribbean Sea out about 160 hours ... will have to see if it materializes or not ...

enjoy the cool while you can ... back into the 80s up here next week ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 364 Comments: 31566
88. DocNDswamp
6:30 PM GMT on September 09, 2011
And in the misery loves company / might as well establish all-time record headlines -

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1010 AM CDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...FOUR STATE AREA SUMMER OF 2011 SETS ALL TIME UNITED STATES RECORDS...

THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER HAS DECLARED FOR THE SUMMER OF 2011...THREE STATES IN THE FOUR STATE AREA TOOK 3 OF THE 4 TOP SPOTS AS THE HOTTEST SUMMER EVER FOR ANY STATE IN THE UNITED STATES.

HERE ARE THE NEW ALL TIME RECORDS...FOR TOP 4 HOTTEST SUMMERS PER STATE...FOR ANY STATE IN THE UNITED STATES...

1. TEXAS 2011 - 86.8 DEGREES
2. OKLAHOMA 2011 - 86.5
3. OKLAHOMA 1934 - 85.2
4. LOUISIANA 2011 - 84.5

IN ADDITION...OKLAHOMA SET AN ALL TIME RECORD FOR THE HOTTEST MONTH EVER...FOR ANY STATE IN THE UNITED STATES IN JULY 2011...WITH AN AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 88.9 DEGREES.
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
87. DocNDswamp
5:38 PM GMT on September 09, 2011
TGIF Sep 9th,

And it's another winner of a day across SE LA weatherwise - more low records were set this morn, nice stable, comfortable early Fall conditions... KHUM dropped to 59 for 4th day in row in 50's, slow moderating ahead, back to more typical thru mid next week... expecting next cold front about Thu-Fri...

TS Nate unavoidably slurping up dry air... Rather amazing to consider the far-reaching effect the TX / continental dry air has had on tropical cyclones this season - chewed up Don, reached all way over to impact Irene, got pulled into / dry slotted Lee, and now working it's magic on Nate... Glad to see models shifted back to more logical E MX track - essentially a counterclockwise arc / loop over BOC as mentioned in #83 - after playing with the Cen US trof connection a bit yesterday but too far S to get lifted... all in due diligence... Last 12Z GFS is even farther S, perhaps might just remain lower BOC, go in below Veracruz about Sun night / Mon morn - tracking about what it had initially indicated when began forecasting development... And maintaining a recurving Maria E of Bahamas / off E coast...

***

Hiyas Code and Barefoot,
Yep, the TX drought situation is beyond pathetic, beyond hope or wishcasting... Not surprised haven't seen BL much lately, I'd similarly be too disgusted to wanna discuss wx when all ya get is more of same - a fat ZERO of months on end of daily intolerable record heat and desert dryness... Perhaps their only chance in weeks ahead will be a slow moving cold front... So close - 300 miles between Houma-Houston - to have such a world of difference in atmospheric response like had with Lee and July's phenomenal rainfall, although our August wx was more connected with Texas...

True enough BF, don't know the numbers but bet vast percentage of systems forming in BOC continue to track into surrounding MX.

Saints-Packers?
By all estimates, a heluva game to kick off the NFL season! Woulda preferred a result like LSU put on Oregon, but not to be... a few costly Saints mistakes for sure, but the reigning / defending Champion home team was the better, clearly... Congrats to Rogers and da Pack! I came away happy with our newest aquisitions in Ingram and esp Darren Sproles... Reggie who, lol?

Work calls,
G'day!

Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
86. Barefootontherocks
4:23 AM GMT on September 09, 2011
Good eve, DocNDswamp.
Nate's just crouched in his corner, waiting to pounce. I don't know what the models are looking like. Just seems like many systems that form in BOC go into Mexico. I'd like to wishcast this into Texas and Oklahoma, but I don't see it.

Maria looked scrawnier than all get out earlier today...
Tomorrow is another day. Have a good one. Glad Lee was reasonably kind to you. Maybe the Saints will do better next week.
:)
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 154 Comments: 18746
85. code1
12:29 AM GMT on September 09, 2011
Who dat wants some cheddar on plate tonite! Strange power outtage in Cali this eve. No reason. Coincidence? Hmmm
Agree on wishcasting big rain w/out big winds for TX. Just horrific news & images.
Member Since: September 18, 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 13872
84. DocNDswamp
5:08 PM GMT on September 08, 2011
Thu Sep 8 greetings,

Another fine early-Fall day in SE LA, w bluebird clear skies adding a few faint puffs of fair-wx clouds, very low humidity, cool below norm temps, calm to N winds 5-13... as KHUM dropped to 57.2F, close to record 56 and should climb into L 80's (had 80.6F high Wed)...

Saints-Packers to kick off the NFL season this eve, looking forward to it, hope it's a great game!

Meanwhile the other season continues in full swing... and latest set of model runs not encouraging for either those who desperately want one of these damn things to bring relief, or us who already had a tropical impact... Good agreement it will get lifted generally NWD over next 3 days as Atl ridge builds WWD over Carib / S GOM, beyond that all but ECMWF on board for continued N track toward N Cen Gulf and even the ECM keeps shifting more NWD as well, but have yet to see one run break the Texas anti-moisture force field in place... stay tuned, might get to the wishcasting realm yet as 12Z GFS brings it toward S LA, appears to stall / wander a bit toward and offshore S Cen or SE TX coast thru 192 hrs.. and we can't assume any confidence beyond 72-96 hrs much less at that time frame, so a bear watch is in effect... Accordingly, the NHC has shifted it's cone further N as well... and notes much uncertainty ahead...

Several of the models this morn were close to a N Cen GOM solution of SE LA delta / MS-AL border or Mobile landfalls incl the 06 GFS, CMC (which oddly enough has been most consistent on similar track!), HWRF and HFIP (which did fairly well last two storms)... Most runs seem to shift the W MX ridge farther west to not capture Nate into a MX landfall, ala Lee, being more influenced by WWD building Atl ridge and the deep-layered trof pattern stuck over Cen US - which has also kept Lee remnant dousing more folks with flooding rains... Bottom line is wait / watch carefully, get ready / stay prepared for Nate to hit anywhere from E MX to NE GOM by early-mid next week...

And gotta say, seeing what's happened to Maria getting sheared / weakened has me a bit on edge it might just track a lot farther west than earlier anticipated, and restrengthen to strong hurricane as gets past Leewards / E Greater Antilles or just above nearing Bahamas - akin to Irene - but will it recurve ahead of another trof, just dunno... All about that wonderful dance of strength / timing of trofs / ridges as usual...
We'll see...

But for now, too nice outside to be sitting at a computer on da internets!
;)

Duties a'calling,
G'day!
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
83. DocNDswamp
6:46 AM GMT on September 08, 2011
Quoting Barefootontherocks:
Nate


So soon? ... Sheeesh....
;)

Slow drift, maybe LL reformation, counterclockwise loop S / SE BOC / W Yuc next couple... strengthens, lifts / curves ina NW-W-WSW arc into E MX below Tampico Tue night... Nice tight wound little Cat 2 before landfall?
Shall see...

Texas... forgitta baddit, not even worthy of wishcasting ATT... :(

G'nite!

Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
82. Barefootontherocks
8:21 PM GMT on September 07, 2011
Nate
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 154 Comments: 18746
81. DocNDswamp
7:37 PM GMT on September 07, 2011
And hello Gams, Code, Wabit, Finn, Huri and Pat!

Good day at yas... and thanks for your posts!

Wanted to post a follow-up recap of Lee, took bit of time, not much available to blog right now... Roof work calls, lol! I stripped off all older tarps yesterday, further repairs requiring my diligent attention... A ton of stuff awaiting work elsewhere after as well, so very limited time... Ya know the drill here...
;)

But yeah, while enjoying this absolutely wonderful wx and trying make most of it, keeping an eye on BOC but trusting the GFS outlook most at this point, certainly in short term... as usual from me, lol... Subject to change! BTW - anyone offer a truly fair evaluation of which of the two models have performed best - I'm still waiting for TS Lee to hit TX as much overly-hyped ECMWF kept insisting as late as Sep 1 00Z before the shift N / NE into LA / across inland MS as GFS did in all but two cycles that toyed with the TX-MX connection... guess individual perception is everything... We'll see how 96L plays out, as before either scenario could occur the longer it sits in weak steering over BOC / SW GOM...

BBL as can...
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4794
80. Patrap
9:46 PM GMT on September 06, 2011
er,..there's dis here 96L thing-a-ma-bob now..


AL962011 - INVEST

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128663
79. hurigo
9:02 PM GMT on September 06, 2011
Glad to hear from you Doc.
Member Since: October 9, 2005 Posts: 100 Comments: 6730
78. whitewabit (Mod)
8:59 PM GMT on September 06, 2011
Hey Doc ... Know your busy but hope your drying out some after Lee has gone north ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 364 Comments: 31566

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