Sun, Earth

By: Danube , 9:15 PM GMT on September 01, 2014

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Time data, photos regarding the occurence of M-class or stronger solar flares, Kp5-level or greater geomagnetic storm activity, big or slow solar wind speed, etc. Possibly about some quakes, volcano activity.


2014/09/17 14:00 UT. Sun Solar activity: at low levels.
Flares: eruptive; chance for M-class flares.
Space Solar wind speed's minimum for the past 24 hours: about 370 km/s.
Protons: warning.
Earth (Update): Geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 1)

2014 09 16 14:00 UT. Sun Chance for M-class flare. X-class solar flare: slight chance.
Space Solar wind's speed: decreasing. It reached a minimum of 380 km/s.
Protons: warming.
Earth Geomagnetic field: at quiet levels (Kp= 1). Active conditions may be reached.

2014 09 15 14:00 UT Sun Flares: eruptive. Chance for M-class flares: less likely. Slight chance for an X-class solar flare.
Space Solar wind's speed: decreasing.
Protons: warming
Earth geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 1)

2014 09 14 02:16 UT. Sun M1.5-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2157.
00:00 UT - 03:00 UT. Space Fluctuation of solar wind's speed; its increased value about 610 km/s, which later decreased to about 460 km/s.
2014 09 14 12:00 UT. Sun Sunspots number 2157 and 2158 continue their decay.
M-class solar flares remain possible.
Earth Quiet geomagnetic conditions
21:00 - 24:00 UT Sun Solar activity: at moderate levels
Space Solar wind speed's minimum value: about 450 km/s
Earth Geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 0)

2014 09 13 12:00 UT. Sun Continued threat for M-class (or stronger) solar flare
Earth Geomagnetic conditions: unsettled to active; quiet to unsettled are expected in general.
18:00 UT Sun Eruptive flares.
Space Solar wind speed: about 550 km/s
protons: quiet
Earth Geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 2).
Space (Update) During the day, the solar wind's speed decreased gradually from 740 km/s to about 530 km/s.

2014 09 12 ... - 02:00 UT. Space ...during last three hours the solar wind speed increased from 350 km/s to 480 km/, due to the M4-class solar flare from September 9.
between 00:00 UT - 06:00 UT Earth Kp =5 level, minor geomagnetic storm.
12:00 UT Sun M-class flares are expected, with the chance of X-class event(s).
Space Slightly increased proton flux.
Earth Active geomagnetic conditions.
The X1 flare's CME arrival is expected for later today. It may results major (to severe) geomagnetic storm(s).
after 15:00 UT Space The solar wind's speed increased suddenly from about 400 km/s to more than 650 km/s.
15:10 UT. Energetic ion enhancement event beginning.
Earth .Soon a shock of the magnetic field occurred; it is related to the arrival of the CME emission of the X1-class solar flare from September 10.
18:00 UT Space Increased proton flux.
S2.type (moderate) solar radiation storm.
Earth G2-level (moderate) geomagnetic storm is underway (Kp= 6.)
21:00 UT - 24:00 UT Space The solar wind speed increased to about 740 km/s
Earth G3 level, strong planetary geomagnetic storm (Kp= 7)
23:10 UT. Space The proton event related to the X1 flare ended.
- Did you see auroras in Europe - London (England); Brussels (Belgium); Cologne (Germany); Warsaw (Poland) ?
(Update):
- September 12, 2014 Aurorra in Norfolk, UK / Matt S (Source: SpaceWeather): Link
- September 12, 2014 21:05 UT. Aurora in Franeker, the Netherlands / Vincent van Leijen (Source: Flickr):Link
- September 12, 2014 Aurora in Western Denmark / Ruslan Merzlyakov (Source: SpaceWeather): Link
- September 12, 2014 Aurora in Lingen (Ems) Germany / Waldemar Skorupa (Source: SpaceWeather): Link
- September 12, 2014 Aurora in Abisko National Park, Sweden / Mat Richardson (Source: SpaceWeather): Link

2014 09 11 06:00 UT (Update): Sun: High solar activity (Source: YouTube/Helioviewer): Link
Space Chance: an associated plasma cloud is directed towards Earth
Increase of energetic particles, proton flux levels
Earth High-frequency radio-communication at the Earth's dayside (USA and South-America) was probably disturbed.
Chance: geomagnetic storm is possible if the plasma cloud arrives at Earth
2014 09 11 12:00 UT. (Updated): Space Gradual increase in proton flux.
Earth Unsettled geomagnetic conditions. Active geomagnetic conditions are expected.
15:25 UT Sun M2-class solar flare occurred. Its source is an emerging sunspot at the north-eastern limb of solar sphere.
21:26 UT. Sun M1-class solar flare occured. Its source: sunspot 2157. This flare started at 21:01 UT.
21:26 UT. Sun M1-class solar flare occurred. Its source: the emerging sunspot at the north-eastern limb of solar sphere. This flare started at 21:22 UT.
23:00 UT ... - Space The solar wind speed increased from 350 km/s...

2014 09 11 12:00 UT Forecast: major to severe geomagnetic storming:
2014 09 12 Earth G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storms, as a result of the plasma cloud ejected into space associated with the R1 (minor) solar flare observed on September 9.
around 21:00 UT or later The CME associated with R3 (strong) solar flare occurred in September 10 is expected to arrive at Earth

2014 09 11 12:00 UT Forecast: severe geomagnetic storming:
2014 09 13 Earth G3 (strong) geomagnetic storm is expected due to the combined influence of two solar flare events on September 9 and 10.

2014 09 10 12:00 UT. Earth Geomagnetic conditions: quiet to unsettled.
17:45 UT. Sun An X1.6-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2158.
Around 21:00 UT Space Gradual increase in the number of energetic particles. Proton flux

2014 09 10 12:00 UT. Forecast:
2014 09 10-11 Earth Unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, caused by an high speed stream which arose from a coronal hole on 09 05, and the 09 06 CME's blow.

2014 09 09 00:28 UT. Sun M4.6-class solar flare occurred. Its source is sunspot number 2158. This, prolonged flare activity started in 2014 09 08 at 23:12 UT and was completed at 01:30 UT. Film (source: CACTus): Link
Condition for solar proton event maintained.
12:00 UT. Earth Geomagnetism: quiet.
23 UT Space During the day the solar wind's speed decreased gradually from about 460 km/s.to 350 km/s.

2014 09 09 12:00 UT. Forecast:
2014 09 11-12 (= estimated impact time): Earth Chance of receiving a blow from the mentioned long duration event's CME.

2014 09 08 Sun Condition for a proton event remains in effect.
around 04:00 - 06:00 UT Space The solar wind speeds gradually increased from 340 km/s up to 430 km/s and with a sudden swinging to 480 km/s
12:00 UT Earth Geomagnetic conditions remained quiet.

2014 09 07 12 UT. Sun Sunspot group 2157 has beta-gamma-delta configuration of the photospheric magnetic field.
Space The solar wind speed decreased to about 340 kilometers / second.
The solar proton flux is starting a slow decrease.
Earth Geomagnetism quiet.
18:18 UTC Close approach to Earth, forecasted in 2014 09 05 at 12:00 UT.
Through the Earth-Moon system, at 0,1 Lunar distance *, Asteroid "2014 RC", a 12 - 26 meter-wide space rock flew past Earth.
Almost inside the orbit of geosynchronous satellites, its closest approach occurred in the indicated time, when it passed just 40,000 km over New Zealand.
Its relative velocity was about 10 kilometers / second
(Source: SpaceWeather)
* (Lunar distance = ~384,000 kilometers)
Earth Late on Saturday, around midnight, into a wooded area near the airport in Managua, Nicaragua an explosion was creating a large crater, measuring 12 meters. It appears to have been caused by a small meteorite Nicaraguan authorities believe it was a piece of the asteroid dubbed "2014 RC. (Source: Yahoo): Link

2014 09 06 Space Solar proton flux increased.
The expanding solar wind's speed increased from a value of about 330 to about 410 - 420 kilometers / second.
15:25 UT. Earth Weak impact of the Earth-directed solar filament eruption from September 2.
Geomagnetism: quiet.
17:09 UT Sun M1-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2157.

2014 09 05 12:00 UT Sun Condition for solar proton event maintained.
until 22 UT Space The solar wind's speed decreased from a value of about 420 to 330 kilometers / second
Earth: Quiet geomagnetic conditions.

2014 09 05 12:00 UT. Forecasting an upcoming close approach to Earth:
2014. 09 07 18:18 UTC Through the Earth-Moon system, at 0,1 Lunar distance *, Asteroid "2014 RC", a 12 - 26 meter-wide space rock will fly.
Almost inside the orbit of geosynchronous satellites, its closest approach occurs in the indicated time, when it will pass just 40,000 km over New Zealand.
Its relative velocity: about 11 kilometers / second
Earth 'There is no danger of a collision with Earth. '
(Sources: SpaceWeather; NASA Near Earth Object Program)
* (Lunar distance = ~384,000 kilometers)

2014 09 04 12:00 UT Sun Condition for Solar proton event maintained.
21:00 UT Earth Geomagnetism quiet.

2014 09 03, around 08:00 UT. Sun An active, still unnumbered by NOAA sunspot group appeared from behind the east-south-east limb.
13:53 UT The active region has produced an M2.5 flare.
Condition for solar proton event maintained.

2014 09 02 12:00 UT. Sun In the northern hemisphere a long filament's eruption is imminent. Solar filaments are clouds of ionized gas above the solar surface squeezed between magnetic regions of opposite polarity. Filament eruptions are often accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME).
16:00 UT. The filament erupted.
16:36 UT. A partial halo CME first appeared In the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view, CME detected in association with the eruption of the filament in the northern hemisphere.
13:54 UT - 20:39 UT The filament's eruption (source: SpaceWeather): Link
Conditions for Solar proton event.

2014 09 01 11:05 UT Sun 'Significant' (M- or X-class) farside flare occurred behind the sun's northeastern limb. (Source: SpaceWeather): Link 'Farside explosions, however, cannot be precisely classified because none of the spacecraft stationed over the farside of the sun are equipped with X-ray sensors.'

Missouri Valley Central (LarryD)
What an honor. To witness the quiet, graceful, majestic, magnificent event was truly moving. I feel a tremendous sense of gratitude to have witness such beauty.
Missouri Valley Central
Never Forget (Biskitten)
The tragedy of 9/11/2001, and may God Bless the USA!
Never Forget
Whoo Hoo! (Kennebunker)
After days of overcast at both sunrise and sunset, we had a real beauty of a sunset tonight.
Whoo Hoo!
Fierce Competition (katy99780)
Hard to believe there are northern lights, of any luminance at all, when there are still leaves on the trees. (To me, they have always been a winter phenomenon) On this night, the moon was bright, the aurora not-so-bright, and the golden leaves were brilliantly lit by the jealous moon.
Fierce Competition
September Heat (llpj04)
Still feeling in the triple digits. Waiting for cooler weather.
September Heat
Aurora, Fairbanks AK (joebloe)
Bright displays for several hours.
Aurora, Fairbanks AK
Aurora at 8:48pm (polymorph)
Aurora at 8:48pm
Dinner Cruise (katy99780)
Out paddling on a lake, hauled out on a remote section to have our campfire supper. The sky was brilliant, sun was bright, the autumn leaves were glorious.
Dinner Cruise
What You'll Be Missing (funhawg)
Schwabacher Landing could be your photo on October 2 but you must be present to get it!
What You'll Be Missing
Sunset (Leeuwtrots)
Sunset
And Then The Sun (Doesiedoats)
And Then The Sun
Cumulus Building I and II (BahaHurican)
Each building has its own tower....
Cumulus Building I and II
Mirror lake (myvalleylil)
A beautiful but steep hike!
Mirror lake
Pastel Perfection (stoneygirl)
I was out shooting this beautiful sunset when I got a very sad call. My friend's mother has been very ill for quite sometime and had just passed away. She was a beautiful lady and I'm dedicating this to Mary and the wonderful life she shared with her family and friends. Thanks so much for the wonderful sunset, Mary. God bless.
Pastel Perfection
Incoming (Ottofranck)
I took this shot at Cemetery Beach in West Bay, Grand Cayman just as a squall was coming in. The light was just amazing! The shades of blue, gray, and green really popped. It was a striking view of an approaching storm.
Incoming
Oh My Goodness (SVLover)
We had some jaw dropping sights yesterday on a hike to Grey Butte. This is Mt. Shasta. I have never in my life seen her like this with only two small glaciers left on this side. Just another testament to the horrible drought conditions facing CA. Thank goodness the smoke stayed back at my house and didn't ruin the trip.
Oh My Goodness
West face of Mt. Hood in the early evening from Burnt Lake (Rutabagas)
A remote lake in the Mt. Hood Wilderness, Oregon Cascades
West face of Mt. Hood in the early evening from Burnt Lake
Crystal Clear.... (katy99780)

... both the waters and the sky.
Crystal Clear....
Fog (snodog)
In the distance, fog rolls in covering Auke Bay.
Fog
Ring around the sun (wildernessgirl)
Found this when I was out for a fall drive
Ring around the sun
Misty Morning (henkhoekstra)
Lonely Horse
Misty Morning
Last of the Sun (debster51)
The fog came in early and thick. I only got a couple of shots of the globe before it disappeared for the night.
Last of the Sun
Rough weather in the Laramie Valley (turbguy)
Rain, wind, thunder, sun...a real mix today! A view in the Infrared.
Rough weather in the Laramie Valley
Shine this beach !!!! (lorik)
Venice beach
Shine this beach !!!!
Rainbow Corona (debster51)
Just as the leading edge of the fog bank moved towards shore.
Rainbow Corona
One Last Dip (photoandy)
Looking for a cool spot at the end of a record hot day... we are roasting in Southern California!
One Last Dip
Joshua Tree Sunset (Feather3)
In Pioneertown, CA
Joshua Tree Sunset
Salmon River (funhawg)
Salmon River
Snow covered Bells (CameraDiva)
A fresh dusting of snow from overnight highlights the Bells.
Snow covered Bells

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11. Danube
10:51 PM GMT on September 15, 2014
I thank you, Larisa!
I include here your liked quotation, too:
'Life is not about haw to survive in the storm !! !Life is about haw to dance in the rain.'
Member Since: May 5, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 250
10. lorik
5:14 PM GMT on September 15, 2014
Thank You Andras for including my photo in your blog!
Larisa.
Member Since: January 11, 2008 Posts: 48 Comments: 465
9. Danube
6:51 AM GMT on September 13, 2014
Katy, 'the sky was brilliant, sun was bright, the autumn leaves were glorious' - you wrote.
I selected that your 'Dinner Cruise' photo here, too.
Nature carries unique beauties there in these circumstances.
Member Since: May 5, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 250
8. katy99780
4:41 AM GMT on September 13, 2014
Fantastic images Andras, so glad to see the solar activity manifested and captured here!
Member Since: October 3, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 12099
7. Danube
7:05 PM GMT on September 12, 2014
Thank you Katy your kind attention and comment, too!
Generally I am somewhere close to 47,498970 north latitude and 19,043604 eastern longitude; here auroras occur rarely.
So we are happy to see your beautiful newer photos.
Member Since: May 5, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 250
6. katy99780
5:27 PM GMT on September 12, 2014
So glad to have found your blog Andras, what a wonderful resource for solar and atmospheric activity! I'll definitely be following your blog!

I hope very much to be able to get aurora shots for you, with this current (magnificent) event, and over the course of this winter!
Member Since: October 3, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 12099
5. Danube
2:46 PM GMT on September 12, 2014
Hello Wilma,
I included here your Sept. 11 photo, too. Thank you!
Have a nice weekend!
Member Since: May 5, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 250
4. Kennebunker
9:56 AM GMT on September 12, 2014
Ah - you did get some of the auroras, as photographed by Katy in Alaska! Wow! We have a slim chance of seeing them here in Maine, but probably about 2 degrees latitude north of where I am. The impact of the flares sure made for some colorful skies!
Member Since: July 16, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 6655
3. Danube
9:13 AM GMT on September 12, 2014
Thank you, Susie!
We can admire the photos taken by WU friends.
I select here some of them.
Member Since: May 5, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 250
2. Susie77
11:32 PM GMT on September 11, 2014
This may be our first shot at seeing the aurora in Solar Cycle 24. We're at 38.6° N 90.4° W and haven't seen anything so far this cycle. Hope you get some photos! Thanks for the info.
Member Since: April 14, 2002 Posts: 624 Comments: 553

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