Model madness

By: DanWxman, 9:04 PM GMT on January 05, 2012

Really, the category for this post is not 'winter weather', but the ridiculous lack thereof. The GFS long-range model, however, has not lost hope. Indeed, by around the middle of the month, it's forecasting temperatures down into the single digits--even colder, that is, than our brief cold snap of earlier this week. Will it come to pass? Well, if the season thus far is any guide, I'd have to answer in the negative. It's been the habit of this particular model f...

The only certainty is...uncertainty

By: DanWxman, 4:38 PM GMT on January 23, 2011

There are many versions of the above cliche, and I think it certainly holds as far as next week's (possible) coastal storm is concerned. One long-range weather model, the GFS, continues to shunt the storm off the course, perhaps leaving us with a few flurries at most. Another, the NAM, splashes heavy precipitation up and down the east coast. That said, even if this storm does take a more westerly track, it's not at all clear who will see (mainly) rain, and who wi...

BOB (Back on Blog)

By: DanWxman, 12:33 AM GMT on January 17, 2011

After a brief...well...make that rather lengthy hiatus, I have returned to these quarters to post a weather update. 'Twas a decidedly quiet day around East Rockaway environs, as we're currently situated between storm systems. After a fairly mild (high of 37ish) Saturday, this day started on a not-so-chilly note--we only managed a morning low of around 28. Skies remain clear and winds light this evening, so temperatures are now falling fairly quickly--at last chec...

Updated: 12:34 AM GMT on January 17, 2011

Say it IS snow!

By: DanWxman, 2:28 PM GMT on October 15, 2010

This day looks to feature the first substantial snow event of the season for higher elevations of the Northeast. As of early this morning, North Shrewsbury, VT was already reporting an inch, and more should accumulate by late this evening. Indeed, some areas could see six or more inches of snow. Even if this does only occur above 4000 feet or so, it's still an exciting development!

This is the storm that was

By: DanWxman, 3:23 PM GMT on October 01, 2010

Well, that was quick. Following days of anticipation, the blockbuster forecast to hit the region has blown through...and we along the East Coast are, for the time being, still standing. Fueled by tropical moisture--the remnants of Tropical Storm Nicole--and a complex series of fronts and extra-tropical storm systems, the 'monster' did, indeed, clobber parts of the East. Wilmington, NC picked up over 22 inches of rain over the past three days, and ten inch totals ...

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About DanWxman

Political Science professor and amateur weather observer/forecaster currently residing in beautiful East Rockaway, New York.

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Bellmore,Southshore of Long Island
Bellmore, NY
Elevation: 30 ft
Temperature: 50.4 °F
Dew Point: 48.5 °F
Humidity: 93%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 3:53 AM EDT on June 02, 2015
Port Jervis, NY
Elevation: 915 ft
Temperature: 46.6 °F
Dew Point: 46.1 °F
Humidity: 98%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 2.0 mph
Updated: 3:53 AM EDT on June 02, 2015
Tarrytown, NY
Elevation: 341 ft
Temperature: 62.8 °F
Dew Point: 42.3 °F
Humidity: 47%
Wind: 9.2 mph from the SW
Wind Gust: 9.2 mph
Updated: 6:38 PM EDT on October 09, 2014

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