Civicane49's WunderBlog
Bud becomes a hurricane; expect below-normal Central Pacific hurricane season
Posted by: Civicane49, 8:19 AM GMT on May 24, 2012 +0
Hurricane Bud has become the first hurricane of the 2012 East Pacific hurricane season. Bud is the earliest forming Pacific hurricane since Hurricane Adrian in 2005. Hurricanes in May are relatively rare in the east Pacific. In addition, Bud is the earliest second named tropical storm in the eastern Pacific on record.

Hurricane Bud is currently situated several hundred miles south-southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Since yesterday, the cyclone has strengthened after maintaining its intensity of 40 mph winds in the past couple of days. Latest satellite image shows that the cyclone is forming both a central dense overcast (CDO) and a ragged eye. Bud still has a little more opportunity to strengthen further before encountering adverse conditions with both colder waters and higher wind shear in the next 36 hours. The cyclone is forecasted to move north-northeastward and approach to the southwestern coast of Mexico by the next two to three days. The system could meander near that coast for several days. Mexico’s southwestern coast will likely have heavy rains that could cause mudslides and flash floods on Friday through Saturday.


Figure 1. Latest infrared satellite image of Hurricane Bud. Image courtesy: RAMMB imagery.

NOAA forecasts below-normal 2012 Central Pacific hurricane season
On May 23, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii have released the official forecast of this year’s Central Pacific hurricane season. Forecasters predict a below-normal season with two to four tropical cyclones which include hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions, in the Central Pacific basin. The average season has four to five tropical cyclones. Furthermore, the outlook states that there is a 50% chance of below-normal season, a 30% chance of near-normal season, and a 20% chance of above-normal season. Hawaii is within the Central Pacific region. Although Hawaii will likely have a below-normal hurricane season this year, it is still best to be prepared. Central Pacific hurricane season begins on June 1st and ends on November 30th.

Civicane49
Categories:Tropical cyclones of 2012 Hurricane
Updated: 8:21 AM GMT on May 24, 2012   Permalink | A A A
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TS Alberto forms off the coast of South Carolina
Posted by: Civicane49, 11:13 PM GMT on May 19, 2012 +0
We are at an early start of hurricane season both in the Atlantic and in the East Pacific. Tropical Storm Aletta had formed over the East Pacific basin just one day before the official start of this basin’s hurricane season. Aletta has now dissipated over the Pacific Ocean. However, we now have the first tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season: Alberto. It has formed thirteen days before the start of Atlantic hurricane season. According to the ship that i...
Categories:Tropical cyclones of 2012
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Possible subtropical storm later this week
Posted by: Civicane49, 8:38 PM GMT on April 15, 2012 +0
In the central Atlantic, there is a low-pressure trough that may be developing a subtropical storm. In fact, many models are predicting that a subtropical storm would develop in the central Atlantic by late tomorrow or early Tuesday. The models are depicting that a storm cuts off from a trough. The system would then move slowly westward and persist just to the east of Bermuda over several days before moving north-northeastward and being absorbed by another low-press...
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4.25-inch hailstone sets new Hawaii hail size record
Posted by: Civicane49, 5:15 AM GMT on March 23, 2012 +1
Roughly two weeks ago, the "supercell" thunderstorm had generated both a rare tornado and hail in Kaneohe and Kailua, which both are in the windward side of Oahu. Earlier today, the Honolulu National Weather Service office in coordination with the State Climate Extremes Committee has found that one of the hailstones, from the March 9th storm, broke a new hail size record. The large hailstone was first reported by a windward resident in the Aikahi Neighborhood on the...
Categories:Hail Tornado
Updated: 4:15 AM GMT on March 24, 2012   Permalink | A A A
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Surprising tropical disturbance formed in Yucatan Channel on February
Posted by: Civicane49, 1:32 AM GMT on February 06, 2012 +1
An unseasonably disturbance developed over the northwestern Caribbean Sea on early February. It has recently been classified as Invest 90L by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). In addition, this disturbance has a chance of becoming a rare February subtropical depression or storm. I’m quite surprised that this disturbance formed on February. This similar event had happened on February 1952, when a tropical storm formed from a disturbance on the western Caribbean ...
Categories:Hurricane
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Civicane49 is an autistic person who is interested in hurricanes.

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