Cold Morning, but Warmer Weather on the Horizon

By: BwalshNLWeather , 1:24 PM GMT on January 10, 2014

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Good Friday morning everyone. It's a frigid morning across the province with temps in the minus double digits for most, except on the coast. Gusty winds, particularly on the coast, are giving wind chill values of -15 to -30 across NL.

A large area of high pressure centred well south of Atlantic Canada will provide fair skies to Newfoundland today, tonight and much of Saturday. Temperatures rise tonight and many areas will see values near, to slightly above, seasonal on Saturday with a mix of sun and cloud.

The next system approaches from Quebec Saturday night as an associated warm front moves over the Island. Light snow ahead of the front develops over Southwestern Newfoundland early Saturday evening, elsewhere by midnight. Snow will quickly changeover to rain on the South Coast and Eastern Newfoundland (Burin/Avalon/Bonavista Peninsulas) after a dusting of snow. The West Coast and Central could see 2-5 cm of snow Saturday night before a couple hours of freezing rain, then to heavy rain by Sunday morning. The Northern Peninsula could see 10-15 cm of snow before the freezing rain overnight, then rain Sunday morning.

Rain will be heavy at times on Sunday, particularly in Western Newfoundland (Gros Morne southward) and the South Coast (Port aux Basques to the Burin Peninsula) before ending as a few flurries early Monday morning.

Rainfall amounts of 30-50 mm is likely in Western and Southern Newfoundland, which could lead to more localized flooding with the deep snow pack. The rest of the Island, including St. John's, should see 15-30 mm Sunday.

Additionally, temperatures rise Saturday night and peak Sunday afternoon in the mid to high single digits. Some areas could hit 10°C, particularly inland.

Strong south/southwest winds develop across the Island on Sunday, particularly on the South Coast and Avalon/Bonavista Peninsulas where gusts up to 110 km/h are likely.

So, the snow will take another beating on Sunday with the warm temperatures, significant rain, fog and strong winds.

In behind the system, temperatures will not return to the frigid values of late and next week looks to be above average for the entire province.

The next system on late Tuesday into Wednesday looks to be weak, but should mainly be rain/showers for the Island and more mid/high single digit temperatures.

There is a storm late next week (Thurs/Fri) that needs to be monitored. It could track further east and give snowfall to a good part of the Island, but it is still a week away.

Enjoy the warm temperatures!

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About BwalshNLWeather

Operations Manager and Meteorologist with Ice & Environmental Services at Provincial Aerospace Ltd. I've been weather forecasting since 2000.

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