LiveBlog: The Cutoff Low

By: Buckey2745, 1:15 PM GMT on October 14, 2014

8:49am
I didn't see this happening. Yesterday's convection over the southeast actually pushed itself way ahead of the cold front, developing a large area of pre-frontal rain this morning. With this it changes everything.

First, take a look at the radar. You can clearly pick out the pre-frontal rain and just about where the front lies:


I think with the general motion of the pre-frontal rain, this may end up eliminiating a flash flood ...

Updated: 5:12 PM GMT on October 14, 2014

The Cutoff Low: Tomorrow's Risk

By: Buckey2745, 5:03 PM GMT on October 13, 2014

Now that we're about a day out I think we have a much better handle on what our weather will be like in Central Ohio tomorrow. Overall the severe threat is there, as is the flooding threat, but both have diminished significantly I believe in contrast to what some models suggested over the weekend.

This is still going to be a very potent storm, but more for the southeastern US than for us in the Ohio Valley. The latest NAM suggests as the low begins to mo...

The Cutoff Low: 1-2 Days Out

By: Buckey2745, 6:24 PM GMT on October 12, 2014

Models have come in to pretty good agreement on an active Monday and Tuesday around the eastern half of the country. The southeast is the first in line for an outbreak tomorrow afternoon in an area from western Tennessee down to Louisiana.

Then the low pressure deepens to 994mb and slows down. As it slows down, it appears a squall line will begin to develop Tuesday afternoon. Logic says that this general slowing of the system would negate some of the wind...

The Cutoff Low: 2-3 Days Out

By: Buckey2745, 3:38 PM GMT on October 11, 2014

It's been in the back of my mind for the past few days, but with this coming more in to the mid-range forecast, I thought this would be a good time to address the cutoff low next week that everyone keeps talking about.

As of now it could be an epic storm, or it could be sort of a dud for us. I really don't think there is any in between. Models are not in agreement on strength, timing, or effects for our region.

It's truly an unknown at this poi...

Updated: 11:24 PM GMT on October 11, 2014

October 7th: Tornado Threat

By: Buckey2745, 6:39 PM GMT on October 07, 2014

Pretty incredible that at one point we were going on 2+ weeks without rain. Then we skipped the rain and went straight to sleet. And so far this month we have seen measurable precipitation every day except for one (last Thursday). In fact we could match September's rain total at my house by the end of the day today.

But that's not the only excitement. With this latest round of storms also comes the threat for severe weather this afternoon. The SPC has iss...

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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Personal Weather Stations

Lehman Estates
Canal Winchester, OH
Elevation: 754 ft
Temperature: 48.7 °F
Dew Point: 44.4 °F
Humidity: 85%
Wind: 8.0 mph from the NE
Wind Gust: 10.0 mph
Updated: 11:26 AM EDT on October 22, 2014

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