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Last Updated: 2:44 AM GMT on November 20, 2009
— Last Comment: 3:43 PM GMT on November 09, 2009
It's only the middle of November, but many already wonder when our first snow will hit here in Central Ohio. Last year the first real chance of snow came at the end of November, but we actually didn't get any snow until December 7th. The way this fall started with below normal temps, it seemed like only a matter of time before the white stuff was falling.
First chance It appears next week, Thanksgiving week, will bring our first chance of the season. Over the past week and a half the polar jet has stayed well north of the border in to Canada. Starting the beginning of next week the jet will dip and put us in a fairly active cold pattern.  Next week's jet pattern After a southerly low moves through Sunday, the polar jet will begin to direct a couple of quick moving lows across from the Northern Plains. The first of the northern lows will move in early Tuesday morning. This system has a slight chance of flurries before sunrise Tuesday. The best chance for snow should be last Tuesday night in to Wednesday morning as a stronger low sweeps north of the area in to the Great Lakes Region. I'm pretty confident of one thing. We won't see any accumulation with these storms. Not even a dusting. I give it a 0% chance. However, I say there's a 30% chance we at least see some flurries overnight on Tuesday night. Weather station and webcam This weekend I moved my entire weather station to my chimney mount due to certain criminals that like to smash things when they try to break in to my house. Also, I activated my webcam for Wunderground today. It can be viewed through my PWS or here.
This morning we're sandwiched between two storm systems here in Central Ohio. A weak cold front to the west with strong high pressure building in behind it, and Tropical Depression Ida over Alabama. With Ida moving north currently, and eventually east, you'd think we would at least see some rain.NopeThis morning's regional radarThe front to the north and west of us will dry out as high pressure builds behind and forces the front and TD Ida out to sea. So for today a...
Last week I talked about an early week tropical system that may interact with a cold front moving across the middle of the country. I also mentioned it may bring us heavy rains by mid week.Well, that won't happen.The tropical system did develop, but it appears the timing between the front and the hurricane won't bring us any rain at all. Hurrican Ida will probably make landfall late tonight as tropical storm on the Florida panhandle. At the same time, a weak, dry co...
This WeekWe're in a cool, weak active pattern this week with the Jet Stream staying north, but dipping south over the Great Lakes region:Jet for the week of November 2ndTwo noticeable dips this week are this evening with a weak, moisture starved cold front. Then again Wednesday evening with an enhanced wave sweeping through the Great Lakes. There's a very slight chance that Thursday morning we may see flurries right before daybreak, but I really doubt it. The first ...
Forecasting this system has been tricky, and predictions still aren't firm. Original long range model runs were showing just enough energy being pushed north in to our area Friday evening that we may see a strong squall line move through.That appears to be wrong.While the precipitation may be linear in nature Friday, it seems more likely to be a training effect over the region. This shifts our focus from a severe event to a possible flooding event.Weather models sti...
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