Lots of Rain, Storms Possible

By: Buckey2745 , 5:50 PM GMT on July 14, 2014

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The first fourteen days of July have been wetter than all but two months of the entire year. So far here in Canal Winchester I've recorded 4.06" of rain, counting this morning's absolute downpour. July is typically one of our hottest and driest months, but high humidity and copious amounts of rain have proven the climatology wrong.

Yesterday's Severe Thunderstorm Watch and subsequent Warning was a little ill advised for the Columbus area. Today's a new day and I think we may have a chance of getting another Watch, but I tend to believe we won't actually see any major impacts from approaching storms.

We're currently sandwiched between two watches as this morning's activity has moved east and regenerated, while the cold front to our west is firing storms along its boundary:


I see these storms congealing over time and eventually making it in to Central Ohio well after dark tonight, but I really feel like the severe aspect may begin to lose its steam by the time it crosses the Ohio border. With all of the rain we've had lately I believe that leaves us with a flooding threat. Our ground is completely saturated so it shouldn't take much rain to put us over the top. '

Here's my probabilities for storms:

Severe Thunderstorm Watch: 70%
Severe Thunderstorm Warning: 15%

After tonight that's when things will change big. For the next several days we won't even make it out of the 70's for highs. A deep trough will control our weather and leave July feeling much more like late September. If this were winter we'd be in for some single digit temps. Instead we're looking at what I consider to be beautiful weather. Just not pool weather, that's for sure.

UPDATE 8:00pm:
We're under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch because of a line of storms that has made its way from Illinois in to Ohio. This line hasn't had a warning for quite a while, but there's reports of a gust front out ahead of the line with up to 50mph winds.

The gust front shows up well on radar:


It still seems unlikely that the storm will be severe by the time it reaches the Columbus area, but the NWS has a habit of hoisting phantom warnings for metropolitan areas "just in case."

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4. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
7:27 PM GMT on July 21, 2014
Buckey2745 has created a new entry.
3. TheHermit43130
12:39 AM GMT on July 15, 2014
It looks like some parts of Licking County have really been hammered:

http://water.weather.gov/precip/index_nonjs.php?l ayer[]=0&layer[]=1&layer[]=2&layer[]=3&layer[]=4&l ayer[]=5&timetype=RECENT&loctype=WFO&units=engl&ti meframe=last14days&product=observed&loc=wfoILN
Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 45
2. Buckey2745
11:59 PM GMT on July 14, 2014
That is crazy! I can't believe the difference.
Member Since: December 28, 2007 Posts: 559 Comments: 193
1. TheHermit43130
9:15 PM GMT on July 14, 2014
It's amazing what a difference a few miles can make. We are sitting at 1.44" for the month, and I doubt we make it to 2" before the month is over.

We somehow managed to get about 0.5" over the last couple of days, which is good, because the soil was starting to get dry and the lawn was getting a little brown.

We can often hear the thunder and even see the lightning, but we never seem to get anything more than a glancing blow.
Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 45

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 29 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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Lehman Estates
Canal Winchester, OH
Elevation: 754 ft
Temperature: 71.6 °F
Dew Point: 65.5 °F
Humidity: 81%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 1.0 mph
Updated: 9:15 AM EDT on August 01, 2014

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