I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.
By: Buckey2745 , 5:50 PM GMT on July 14, 2014
The first fourteen days of July have been wetter than all but two months of the entire year. So far here in Canal Winchester I've recorded 4.06" of rain, counting this morning's absolute downpour. July is typically one of our hottest and driest months, but high humidity and copious amounts of rain have proven the climatology wrong.
Yesterday's Severe Thunderstorm Watch and subsequent Warning was a little ill advised for the Columbus area. Today's a new day and I think we may have a chance of getting another Watch, but I tend to believe we won't actually see any major impacts from approaching storms.
We're currently sandwiched between two watches as this morning's activity has moved east and regenerated, while the cold front to our west is firing storms along its boundary:
I see these storms congealing over time and eventually making it in to Central Ohio well after dark tonight, but I really feel like the severe aspect may begin to lose its steam by the time it crosses the Ohio border. With all of the rain we've had lately I believe that leaves us with a flooding threat. Our ground is completely saturated so it shouldn't take much rain to put us over the top. '
Here's my probabilities for storms:
Severe Thunderstorm Watch: 70%
Severe Thunderstorm Warning: 15%
After tonight that's when things will change big. For the next several days we won't even make it out of the 70's for highs. A deep trough will control our weather and leave July feeling much more like late September. If this were winter we'd be in for some single digit temps. Instead we're looking at what I consider to be beautiful weather. Just not pool weather, that's for sure.
We're under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch because of a line of storms that has made its way from Illinois in to Ohio. This line hasn't had a warning for quite a while, but there's reports of a gust front out ahead of the line with up to 50mph winds.
The gust front shows up well on radar:
It still seems unlikely that the storm will be severe by the time it reaches the Columbus area, but the NWS has a habit of hoisting phantom warnings for metropolitan areas "just in case."
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