June 18th: Storms Probable Today

By: Buckey2745 , 5:39 PM GMT on June 18, 2014

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It's been a whole week without rain here in Central Ohio, but we're hoping that streak ends today as we're under a Slight Risk for severe storms today from the SPC. Our main threat will be high winds from storms, as the SPC highlights areas along and north of I-70 as having a 30% chance of seeing these high winds:

I think we have two threats this afternoon. First being small discrete supercells that could develop in an extremely hot and unstable airmass with the afternoon sun being it's fuel. Some very small cells have began to develop and will move from southwest to northeast throughout the afternoon.

The other feature is a line of storms that is leftover from an overnight MCS over Iowa and Wisconsin. This line has weakened somewhat over the last several hours but I actually think it'll re-energize over very unstable air in Indiana and Ohio. This isn't being picked up by any of the short range models, but I feel pretty confident this could be a very potent line of storms by the time it reaches our area late this evening in to the overnight hours.

Below is what the setup looks like right now:

Because of this I give some of the highest chances I have given in a while for Warnings:

Chance of Severe Thunderstorm Warning: 70%
Chance of Tornado Warning: 10%

I gave the tornado potential such a high rating because we usually see some sort of warning in the area when a squall line makes its way through the region, being a kink in the line or the turning of winds on the front end of the line. I don't think we'll see any singular cells tornado warned today.

Severe Weather Stats:
Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 4
Tornado Watches: 1
Tornado Warnings: 1
Flood Watches: 4
Flood Warnings: 3
Heat Advisories: 0
Excessive Heat Warnings: 0
Red Flag Warnings: 0

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5:27 PM GMT on June 24, 2014
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About Buckey2745

I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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