Storms Possible Tonight and Tomorrow

By: Buckey2745 , 11:46 PM GMT on June 10, 2014

Today hasn't been much of a day for severe weather as we had about 0.03" of rain earlier, but tonight could be a different story. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has already been issued for areas south of Columbus as a squall line has developed from storms over Tennessee and Kentucky.

I actually don't see this Watch area extending any further north:

I think this line will begin to diminish as it moves northeast in to more stable air. With the loss of daytime heating I feel like the line will lose its steam.

I think there's still a decent chance of high wind gusts from the outflow boundary well ahead of the line.

I say there is a 45% chance of a Severe Thunderstorm Warning when this line reaches the Columbus area, and a very very low 2% chance of a Tornado Warning. The only way we see a Tornado Warning is with some sort of kink in the line indicating possible rotation. However I haven't seen any warnings in Kentucky so far.

Tomorrow has a better chance of severe weather as the low pressure system drapes a cold front across our area from north to south. High resolution models point to possible supercell development in the afternoon. I'll post more then.

UPDATE: 6/11/14
The chance of storms seems minimal today. Some strong storms may develop now that we have some break in the clouds, but most of the instability is off to our east today. I think our biggest threat may be some heavier rains with training thunderstorms.

Severe Weather Stats:
Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 4
Tornado Watches: 1
Tornado Warnings: 1
Flood Watches: 4
Flood Warnings: 3
Heat Advisories: 0
Excessive Heat Warnings: 0
Red Flag Warnings: 0

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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