Forecast: Tomorrow's Winter Weather

By: Buckey2745 , 7:11 PM GMT on March 11, 2014

It is currently 65° outside. For the first time this year I have a window open. You can hear some birds. People are out and about like they've never seen sun before, kind of reminiscent of Friday's warmup.

And we'll be transitioning to snow by this time tomorrow.

This is Ohio's transition month. March. Snow. Tornadoes. We can see it all.

Tomorrow's storm has been trending further and further north, which means a much later transition over to snow. Before I was thinking maybe mid to late morning, and now it's looking like an early to mid afternoon switch. Even when we do switch I think we have a couple hours before it really sticks to roads... if it does at all, honestly.

I think the latest NAM does a good job depicting what the storm will look like tomorrow afternoon, with a decent wrap around snow on the backside with 4-6 hours of moderate snow:

Most models are going light on the snowfall accumulations, also. What I don't think they take in to consideration is ground temperatures. It's warm right now, and will be until the low starts to pull away from us and suck in the colder air. That means many many more hours above freezing. With quite a few days above freezing before the snow ever falls, I think it's going to have a hard time accumulating, even on grassy surfaces.

Places north of us could get a decent accumulation from this one, but I think we're missing out on total accumulation with this one since there will be plenty of melt early on in the changeover.

I say we see 1" of snow in and around Columbus, with less to almost nothing south of us.

Good thing this wasn't hyped more than it was, or this would be a grade A bust.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 11
Winter Storm Warnings- 3
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 4
Wind Chill Advisories- 4
Wind Chill Warnings- 2
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
November: 3" (Predicted: 3")
December: 8.05" (Predicted: 7")
January: 15.1" (Predicted: 7")
February: 10.6" (Predicted: 4.35")
March: 3" (Predicted: 6")
Season: 39.75"

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2. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
9:57 PM GMT on March 16, 2014
Buckey2745 has created a new entry.
1. AnalogueKid
8:39 PM GMT on March 11, 2014
Port Columbus actually hit 70°F. Last time it was that warm was October 15!
Member Since: December 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 132

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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Lehman Estates
Canal Winchester, OH
Elevation: 754 ft
Temperature: 43.1 °F
Dew Point: 39.5 °F
Humidity: 87%
Wind: 8.0 mph from the East
Wind Gust: 8.0 mph
Updated: 6:24 PM EST on November 30, 2015

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