I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.
By: Buckey2745 , 8:06 PM GMT on December 13, 2013
Let me start by saying I don't like "Electra" for a winter storm name. I don't mind the names, in fact I kind of like them for the sake of remembering events, but this one... I don't like. Electra? Come on.
Anyway, on to the storm itself.
Just like every other storm so far this season we're looing at a possibility of rain/sleet mixing in sometime in the middle of this storm, which would cut down on totals. But where does this take place? Let's start with the storm track:
11pm tonight, GFS
1pm Saturday, GFS
The low pressure will move out of the southern plains and head for the Ohio Valley. The key to the warm air is where this low goes. Some models suggest it heads directly toward Ohio before phasing in to a coastal low. Others show a more southern solution before rolling toward the coast. That'll be the difference between a minor event and a major event in my opinion.
Computer models think warmer.
And honestly, I think colder.
I hate to overshoot estimates on this one because even though it should be colder at the surface due to all of this snow cover, warmer air aloft could dominate if the low moves in to Ohio.
Models are giving us between 2-3" here in Canal Winchester, with totals ramping up considerably as you head north.
I'm going to go bold on this one and predict 3" for us here in Canal Winchester, with as much as 4" in Columbus. Here's the snowfall map for tomorrow's storm:
Honestly this storm will not be easy to predict. It'll all be a matter of seeing what happens with the warm air. P-type is always unpredictable.
The NWS has a Winter Weather Advisory for the area, but if new models suggest a colder solution I wouldn't be surprised if we get bumped up to a Warning.
1" or more will put us over 10" on the season here in Canal Winchester, a feat I'm not sure snow lovers could have dreamed up. Bring on the snow!
Winter Weather Advisories- 4
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0
November: 3" (Predicted: 3")
December: 6" (Predicted: 3.5")
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