I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.
By: Buckey2745 , 7:00 PM GMT on July 09, 2013
The NWS in Wilmington put out an interesting public information statement today saying that our soggy streak has lasted 19 days now. While my weather station wasn't on the list of top rainfall totals, I can verify over the last 19 days I have totaled 3.82" of rain, with yesterday's 1.25" being the high water mark... literally I guess.
Because of all of the rain lately, any chance of decently accumulating rainfall lately has brought on a Flash Flood Watch. Yesterday was no different, bringing us our 4th watch of the season. And so far the watch stands, as they have extended it twice already, the latest lasting us until tomorrow night.
On top of the flood threat, a severe weather threat is present with instability really ramping up this afternoon. Aside from CAPE and other factors, you can FEEL the instability out there. Currently I have a dewpoint of 76.1°! That is absolutely insane. Even with a temp of 87° that still puts the heat index and an absolutely oppressive 98.6°.
A setup like that prompted the SPC to move the Slight Risk in to our area for this afternoon, and then again for tomorrow:
The SPC already has a MD out for our area hinting at the potential for a Watch here in the next couple hours.
High instability but low shear points at possible heavy rain and hail storms. No good chance of rotation, or much of a bow potential for high wind, so this afternoon will be just about like every other afternoon for the past 19 days.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning Chance: 70%
Tornado Warning Chance: 1%
Severe Weather Stats:
Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 5
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 6
Tornado Watches: 1
Tornado Warnings: 0
Flood Watches: 4
Flood Warnings: 0
Heat Advisories: 0
Excessive Heat Warnings: 0
Red Flag Warnings: 0
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