Mid-Christmas Week Storm Probable

By: Buckey2745 , 10:00 PM GMT on December 23, 2012

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Christmas Eve
We were looking at a slight chance of waking up tomorrow morning to an icy start, but the onset of precipitation appears to be later in the day. All rain for Christmas Eve.

Euclid
Wednesday morning we will have Winter Storm Euclid bearing down on us. This storm has the potential to be an absolute monster, but it all depends on its track.

Recently most models have shown the low moving either directly through Central Ohio or through Eastern Ohio. Either solution has us seeing something worse than a big snow storm. Ice.

The ECMWF has been the most consistant model and constantly shows the low passing within a 50 mile swath of Ohio. This would put us under a long period of freezing rain and warm air will override the northern part of the storm, and our surface temps will still be near freezing. This is shown in the white shaded area from the model around 11am Wednesday:



Essentially with this setup we would start with freezing rain for many hours Wednesday morning, transition to rain for a little while as the low passes close, and then wrap around snow.

However, 50 miles west or east could greatly impact our precipitation type.

I'll update tomorrow or Christmas Day with the final prediction.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 1
Winter Storm Warnings- 0
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 0
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 2.5" (Predicted: 2")
Season: 2.6"

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4:47 PM GMT on December 24, 2012
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About Buckey2745

I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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