Winter's Slow Start, Chances of a White Christmas

By: Buckey2745 , 8:48 PM GMT on December 17, 2012

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Strong storms have brought snow to some places in the US, but as of now none of them have headed our way here in Ohio. Our one storm to bring measurable snow was Hurricane Sandy as it moved inland and sucked in cold Canadian air on its west side to give us a brief couple hours of wet snow.

It's that west side of the storm that was the key for us though. Early and late season storms usually have to have the center of low pressure move to our east to bring us up on the west side of the storm... bringing cold air down and putting us in the white stuff (see below in blue). Instead all of our storms have move to our northwest, passing over the Great Lakes and north (see below in red).



A prime example of that would be the large storm system entering the Pacific Northwest this week, diving toward the plains, and then ejecting northeast. Had the track taken it up the east side of us, we'd be looking at our first significant snowfall of the season. Instead our best bet for snow would be some light wrap around moisture on Thursday night...


Thursday afternoon GFS

Having said that, do we have any chance of seeing one of those storms on or befor the 25th ensuring us a White Christmas?

No.

After Thursday's storm moves out we're looking at high pressure moving in and cold temps... but no storms rolling in until after the 25th.

I can say with 100% certainty that we will not see a White Christmas here in Central Ohio. The next storm moving in appears it could even take the same track as this week's, so we're not even promised to have measurable snow for yet another December.

For a winter that was supposed to be boom or bust, this could be starting out to look like the latter.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Warnings- 0
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 0
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 0" (Predicted: 0")
Season: 0.1"

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 29 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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