April 1st: Another Slight Chance of Storms
Another day, another chance for storms this afternoon. After Friday's system rolled through we were left with a cooler airmass in place. With a very strong ridge building in from the west we'll have a pretty good boundry layer this afternoon.
The SPC has us under a Slight Risk. The advancing warm front will clash with a backdoor cold front coming in from Canada, putting southern Ohio, Indiana and Northern Kentucky in the target zone:
ILLUSTRATED: Warm front advancing from the west, backdoor cold front, dying MCS dropping southeast through Kentucky. Highlighted over SPC's current SBCAPE and Day 1 Outlook.
CAPE values won't reach intense levels today, possibly in the 1000 J/KG range. The main component today will be the forcing from the converging airmasses. Expect to see storm redevelopment later this afternoon almost in the same spot the original MCS developed early this morning.
That being said, I don't feel like this is an ideal setup for us here in Central Ohio to get storms. We'll be right on the border of the worst, so expect Cincinnati to see more action than Columbus.
I'll update later if storms begin developing further east than expected.
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