June 15 Severe Weather - Ohio

By: Buckey2745 , 10:10 PM GMT on June 15, 2010

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The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been moved eastwards to include us:

This Watch is in effect until 3:00am, as it appears that the MCS moving out of Indiana will make it to us with minimal loss of strength.

With the new SPC guidance, we're just on the fringe of the Moderate Risk for severe weather:

Composite of Convective Outlook and the latest radar

The line of storms has a history of 60mph wind gusts, and all along the way a blanket Warning has been issued out ahead of the dangerous bow echo.

I'm afraid that an area of weakening storms out ahead of this bow echo may impede its strength and cause us to miss out on some of the worst of this MCS, but that's just an early guess. We're probably a good two hours away from getting the main line, so it'll be a waiting game.

I should probably just start writing a daily blog about Ohio severe weather. June has been a very active month for severe weather, yet we haven't really experienced any here in South Bloomfield. Most of the time it's gone north or south... as always.

Most of Indiana is under a Moderate Risk for severe weather tonight as a large MCS is moving through the state. So far it looks like the biggest risk is going to be high winds, and of course, heavy rain.

The next SPC issuance will be around 9pm, but I doubt they move the moderate risk our way, as the loss of daytime heating should once again diminish storms, the same way they did last night.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been pushed as far east as Wilmington this evening, and again much like last night, expect that to get pushed in to our area right around sundown.

Individual supercells have developed ahead of the main line, but so far we're not seeing anything here in Central Ohio, presumably because of the lack of the forcing. These storms should eventually starting moving in to the area this evening, but lose their vigor as the sun goes down.

Our biggest concern should be the heavy rain. Last night's storms dropped another 0.75", and even with the hot weather today, the grass sinks when you step. That means we're saturated and could be looking at flooding with any significant storms.

I'll update after the 9pm SPC guidance.

Severe Weather Stats:
Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5
Tornado Watches: 2
Tornado Warnings: 0
Flash Flood Watches: 2
Flash Flood Warnings: 0

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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