Lake Effect Makes a Fool of Me

By: Buckey2745 , 11:53 PM GMT on January 05, 2010

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UPDATE: Wednesday, January 6
We got another 0.75" off of lake effect bands overnight.

Lake Effect Makes a Fool of Me

That doesn't look like 0.5" of snow

Let's go back a couple of entries, where I talked about this little lake effect snow that would be backdooring us from a low pressure sitting off the coast of Maine. I predicted 0.5" of snow over a 24 hour period.

I was wrong.

The snow started falling at a decent rate late morning yesterday and is just now coming to an end. After all is said and done, we ended up with about 2.5" of snow.

Failure is an option for me when predicting lake effect. I just don't feel good about predicting a "what if" when it comes to where lake effect bands will setup. Multiple bands of moderate snowfall continued to pass over the area over the period and just about all of Central Ohio averaged between 1.5" and 3" of snow.

This was our biggest snowfall of the season so far. But that may get topped in a couple days...

Thursday's storm
It's still looking like we're going to get hit by a low pressure system coming across the Plains on Thursday morning. Winter Storm Watches are as close as Cincinnati, and if the NWS was smart, that's as close as they'd get to us. It really appears that this system will lose some of it's moisture as it rotates out of the Plains and in to the Great Lakes Region.

The heaviest area of snow will probably fall from Southern Illinois to Toledo. But even in that area, don't expect to see more than 5".

I'll write more about this winter storm tomorrow.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 4
Winter Storm Warnings- 0
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 0
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0

Snowfall Totals:
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.5")
December: 4.5" (Predicted: 5.0")
January: 3.25" (Predicted: 0.5")
Season: 7.75"

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1. PugetSoundPost
6:23 AM GMT on January 06, 2010
Looks like the snow is starting to really settle in for you in Ohio! It is winter! While you are wayyy below normal in temperature, we are above it here in the Northwest. Since Christmas we have started to inch higher and so far in January it is feeling warm! A ridge has controlled the west and it looks to continue awhile. We did have an unusually cold snap for about a week in early December, but since then pretty unremarkable.
Member Since: October 8, 2001 Posts: 184 Comments: 984

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 30 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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