Central Ohio

Severe Season Starts Early

By: Buckey2745, 8:59 PM GMT on January 30, 2013

An early 6:50am alert from the weather radio marked the first Severe Thunderstorm Warning of the year for us here in the Columbus area. A strong storm system brought us warm temps yesterday and today, along with this squall line producing 50mph winds this morning:



Our high wind gust was only 31mph this morning as the line seemed to fade as it hit us, but a decent 0.43" of rain fell this morning.

More is on the way as a secondary line has developed along the actual cold front. After this passes, Indian Summer is over:



Our 7am high of 65° was a record for the day and tomorrow at the same time we will be an amazing 40° colder!

With the cold will be some wrap around snow on the backside of this front. Timing and amounts are very hard to pin down as this is expected to be enhanced by Lake Michigan. For tonight in to tomorrow I expect to see 0.25" of snow. Just a little more than a dusting. The flash freeze will bring hazardous road conditions, though.

More tomorrow, as we have chances for snow over the next several days off and on.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 3
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 1
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 10.25" (Predicted: 10")
January: 3" (Predicted: 1.5")
Season: 13.35"

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Summary: January 25th Snow

By: Buckey2745, 8:25 PM GMT on January 25, 2013

I'd say I was off on my snowfall predictions. This morning's storm came through pretty fast and furious. Shortly after sunrise the snow came down in small, light flakes. But the intensity of the snowfall caused very quick accumulation. When all was said and done, the look out my back window looks like this:



Schools let out early and snow emergencies went up all around us except including us. When all was said and done around 1pm, our final accumulations looked like this:



In the end we got 2.5" here in Canal Winchester. Blowing away my prediction of one inch, that's for sure.

This storm will be it for us for a while and we're going to start a gradual warming trend in to the 50's. This will put our final January snowfall at 3". Surprisingly this is the least snowfall in January we've recieved since I started keeping record in January 2010.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 3
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 1
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 10.25" (Predicted: 10")
January: 3" (Predicted: 1.5")
Season: 13.35"

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Snowy Week - Part 2

By: Buckey2745, 7:46 PM GMT on January 24, 2013

Yesterday's Snow
Last night's light snow showers brought 0.5" to us in Southeastern Franklin County as expected. Some locations reported upwards of an inch to our south, with 1.3" being reported as close as Lancaster. With the bone chilling temps, snow fell as very light, dry flakes that blew off roadways pretty easily.

Tomorrow's Snow
We're in that one day lull between systems right now as the two storms to our north and south will converge over our area overnight.

All models are showing a northern and a southern stream of snow. I wouldn't be surprised to see us here around Columbus get right between the two and not see as much in accumulation as other areas.

I'm going with 1" here in Canal Winchester, with more north and south:


After a cool and clear weekend we're looking at a warm up next week and the chance of rain, so whatever snow we end up with tomorrow will be gone by Monday. January may end with less than a couple inches of snow for most areas.

UPDATE:
Shortly after I posed this entry the NWS issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the area.

While even the high end snowfall estimates don't reach Advisory criteria, it seems they're issuing this just to be on the safe side. Some areas could get 3"+. I'm still sticking with the 1" prediction for our area.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 3
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 1
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 10.25" (Predicted: 10")
January: 0.5" (Predicted: 0.5")
Season: 10.85"

Updated: 11:21 PM GMT on January 24, 2013

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Snowy Week - Part One

By: Buckey2745, 5:41 PM GMT on January 23, 2013

For the first time this month we have snow in the forecast for this evening, even if it is going to be a minimal amount. A weak clipper system will swing down from Canada across the Great Lakes area and bring us some snow showers this evening.

This is nothing more than an enhanced snow shower event with cold air being pulled across the lakes. I predict 0.50" here in Canal Winchester. Some areas may get that full inch, but it seems doubtful.

A stronger clipper will swing from the west on Friday morning, bringing us another chance for snow. This looks like it has the potential for a couple inches, but again, nothing significant.

I'll update tomorrow with totals from tonight's snow and a look at Friday's system.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 2
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 1
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 10.25" (Predicted: 10")
January: 0" (Predicted: 0")
Season: 10.35"

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UPDATE: The Chill

By: Buckey2745, 3:00 PM GMT on January 21, 2013



The northern half of Ohio now has a Wind Chill Advisory as the coldest of the arctic air is just now beginning to enter our area. Temperatures have not moderated much over the past 24 hours, but expect that to change after dark tonight as our low will drop in the single digits.

Our lowest temp of the season so far has been 4.4° back on January 3rd, but that morning didn't have the wind combined with the cold temps. With winds 15-20mph tonight, our wind chill readings will be around -15°.

Today will be blistery with snow showers, 20mph winds, and wind chills close to zero at times.

I plan on updating after this cold snap moves out and we have our next winter system moving in at the end of the week.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 2
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 1
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 10.25" (Predicted: 10")
January: 0" (Predicted: 0")
Season: 10.35"

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Tranquil January So Far

By: Buckey2745, 2:50 PM GMT on January 19, 2013

When our December ended with 10"+ of snow for our area from multiple storms many believed this was the beginning of an active winter. Anyone who has followed our winter weather patterns for a while knew to hold back on the optomism.

Here we are, 19 days after our last snowfall, in the middle of an extended tranquil pattern. As I wrote in my last post the polar jet has moved north and stayed north for the most part.

Since that last post where I reported a morning low of 4.4°, here's what's happened:

Rain: We've been tranquil but not dry by any stretch, having had 0.90" of rain.

Warmth: The high on the 3rd was 31.6°. That was also the last time our high was below freezing. In that stretch we had a three day period of 60°+ weather, with the warmest being the 12th and 13th at 65°. The average high has been 43.6° between the 4th and the 18th.

The Chill
It seems like every year we had a huge arctic cold front that drops down and brings us single digit or below zero temperatures in January. In fact 3 of the last 5 Januarys have been our coldest readings of the season, with the worst being in 2009 with a low of -15.9°! Well here it comes again.

The difference with this cold blast and the past is that this will bring our pattern change we've needed to get out of this tranquil stretch.

First, the temps. An arctic front will pass through tonight and bring the gradual drop in temps. Monday night could be our most uncomfortable period of this stretch, with lows near 5° and moderate winds, we may have our first Wind Chill Advisory since 2011.

After the cold air begins to moderate back to more seasonable levels, we will see a couple of storms come together over the Ohio Valley near the end of next week:



Those two storm systems will merge to bring us what could be a rain/snow mix 6 days from now. It's way too far down the road to tell how this storm will hit us, but it marks the beginning of a more active period where we should start seeing more southern lows moving up our way in the long term. And maybe we won't end Janaury with a goose egg in the snow total category.

Maybe.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 2
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 10.25" (Predicted: 10")
January: 0" (Predicted: 0")
Season: 10.35"

Updated: 2:50 PM GMT on January 19, 2013

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A Pattern Change

By: Buckey2745, 3:06 PM GMT on January 06, 2013

When December 2012 looked like it would be just another snowless month like December 2011, the weather pattern changed in our favor. Storms that were passing to our west because of a dip in the jet stream over the center of the country were now passing to our east as the jet moved position to a point more favoriable for those east coast storms.

In a 10 day period, from the 21st to the 31st, we got 10.25" of snow here in Canal Winchester, with the final inch coming on New Year's Eve. That's all it took was that change. And now, after being used to shoveling out constantly and battling commuters that are scared of snow, it's gone.

Since New Year's Day we've seen relatively dry weather. Nothing measurable. Cloudy and cool conditions, and some would say fridgid with a morning low of 4.4° on the 3rd. That would be because of a pattern change that dipped the polar jet far south over our area. But we'll see a slow warm up because of another pattern change: the northern jet flattening and raising back over Canada:



These changes make a huge difference in when we get snow. Because of this flattened jet it'll eventually make room for a large high pressure to set up over the eastern US. This will steer systems off to our west. And anytime a low pressure comes from the south and stays off to our west, taking almost a south to north path, we will always get rain.

That'll be the case for mid-week and also again this upcoming weekend with an identical system. The pattern change went from putting us in a prime location for snow makers, to leaving us wet all week:



Long Term
A system next weekend will finally be followed by another major pattern change which should bring the polar jet far south and allow systems once again to ride up the east coast.

Season Stats:
Winter Weather Advisories- 2
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0

Snowfall Totals:
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 10.25" (Predicted: 10")
January: 0" (Predicted: 0")
Season: 10.35"

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 29 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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Personal Weather Stations

Lehman Estates
Canal Winchester, OH
Elevation: 754 ft
Temperature: 68.6 °F
Dew Point: 63.2 °F
Humidity: 83%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 4:32 AM EDT on August 30, 2014

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