Winter storm round 2...

By: Zachary Labe , 9:20 PM GMT on December 17, 2008

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Thoughts on December 19 storm...
For once it appears a very decent accuracy rating is possible with this winter storm across the region. I am going a little bit less for snow amounts especially over eastern Pennsylvania compared to what the NWS forecasts, but I see my forecast doing pretty well.

Another winter storm is headed our way on the heels of a past storm that still has caused remnants of snow around here in southern Pennsylvania. The low pressure is developing over the southwestern United States and gave Vegas some snow in the area. Low pressure will move across Midwest then across Ohio Valley becoming very transient in nature and fastly moving. Gulf moisture and moisture from the Baha of California will aid in high QPF totals along a relatively narrow path mainly to the north of the center of low pressure. With a departing weak high pressure moving out of the Northeast it will be difficult for H85s to stay below freezing for much of Pennsylvania. North of I-80 though it will be a different story. Front end snows look quite likely once again with this system, but much lighter for southern areas, and mainly to the north of those areas. But the high pressure will provide a northeast wind, which should keep the warm air south of the Mason-Dixon line. There is a very tight temperature gradient with this storm keeping nearly 50-60degree temperatures down across southern Middle Atlantic while nearly 30degree temperatures are across the northern Middle Atlantic. Low pressure will track across the Mason-Dixon line to just a bit north of there with the 850 0C line traveling right along and just to the south of I-80 during the height of the precipitation. Front end snows will be most significant across east-northeast Pennsylvania especially across northern Lehigh Valley where much of their accumulations will occur during the front end with 2-5inches being likely amounts as QPF is only up to a max of .4inches. Heights rise with low moving across state turning most areas south of the Du Bois-State College-Allentown line over to sleet and freezing rain by Friday morning. That line will lift north to just about north of I-80. Warm air aloft should overcome the cold air at the surface for southern Pennsylvania, but I do expect the cold air to win out longer than expected with Laurel Highlands and the Coal Regions likely seeing quite a bit of freezing rain especially above 1700ft and in the deep valleys. Precipitation should eventually changeover to plain rain as the day progresses. Heavy snow will be across Pennsylvania/New York border counties and farther south in northeastern Pennsylvania. Max dendrite growth and Omega values will be reached for snow ratios up to 15:1 for elevations above 2000ft. Snow totals may occur up to 15inches for parts of northern Wayne County. Sleet will keep accumulations down for south of that region across State College where amounts more on the order of 3-6inches seems likely. PWATs will be on the rise across southeastern Pennsylvania and southwestern Pennsylvania where mostly rain is likely to occur with amounts generally at a max of one inch. Low pressure should pull away to east by late in the evening with a few leftover snow showers and freezing rain showers across Pennsylvania for a damp Friday night. Stay tuned for more updates throughout the day as many areas will be affected by this major winter storm.

Radar...
Radar...

Warnings...
Warnings...

NAO...
NAO...

This is my current rain/snow line...
These lines are only estimates for main precipitation types during height of the storm. Many areas will see front end snow along with sleet especially just south of the I-80 corridor.

My rain/freezing rain line is... Mercer (Mercer County) - Butler (Butler County) - Indiana (Indiana County) - Latrobe (Westmoreland County) - Somerset (Somerset County) - Raystown Lake (Huntingdon County) - Harrisburg (Dauphin County) - Indiantown Gap (Lebanon County) - Reading (Berks County) - Quakertown (Bucks County)

My freezing rain/snow line is... Meadville (Crawford County) - St. Marys (Elk County) - Jersey Shore (Lycoming County) - Laporte (Sullivan County) - Scranton (Lackawanna County) - Milford (Pike County)

These are overall precipitation types. Precipitation types can wander several miles on either side of the lines.

Storm Reports...


Storm Impacts...
1. Heavy snow north of I-80 locally up to 12inches.
2. Significant ice storm possible across northern Lehigh Valley westward across Central Mountains.
3. Nuisance to moderate impacts likely even across southern Pennsylvania.
4. Possible front end snows across much of state.
5. Heavy rain across southwestern Pennsylvania.

Snow Map...


Ice Map...


Selected City Accumulations for the Northeast...
Hagerstown, MD- Slight chance of freezing rain then plain rain.
Baltimore, MD- Rain with amounts up to .75inches.
Washington, DC- Moderate rain likely with amounts up to .5inches.
Wilmington, DE- Heavy rain likely with amounts up to 1inch.
Dover, DE- Moderate rain likely up to .5inches.
Cape May, NJ- Moderate rain likely and mild with amounts up to .75inches.
Trenton, NJ- Front end snow up to 3inches followed by freezin rain up to .2inches changing to all rain.
New York City, NY- Snow and sleet with some freezin rain. Snow accumulations 3-7inches.
Poughkeepsie, NY- Heavy snow likely accumulating up to 12inches.
Binghamton, NY- Heavy snow likely with accumulations from 9-13inches.
Albany, NY- Heavy snow likely accumulating 6-11inches.
Hartford, CT- Heavy snow mixed with sleet at times. Snow accumulations up to 8inches.
Concord, NH- Moderate snow with accumulations 4-7inches.
Providence, RI- Heavy snow with accumulations 5-9inches.
Worcester, MA- Heavy snow with accumulations 8-13inches.
Boston, MA- Heavy snow with accumulations 8-12inches.
Nantucket, MA- Heavy snow mixed with sleet at times. Snow accumulations 8-12inches.
Portland, ME- Light snow accumulating 2-4inches.
Bangor, ME- Cloudy with a few snow showers. No accumulation.
"Subject to Change"

Model Analysis
For once we had a wonderful model consensus with very few trends on the models, with the biggest trend on the GFS with it tracking the low pressure originally over Erie, but now the track is over the Mason-Dixon line. The NAM and EURO triumphed other models once again catching onto the more southern track. NAM did another great job showing its higher resolution to the fullest with these overruning type events. The WRF short term HIRES NMM model did a pretty decent job with few significant changes to track or temperatures aloft in the short term. There appears to be a great consensus of all snow north of I-80 as this storm is moving from due west to east with snow/sleet line also running nearly due west to east. There is also a bit of deceiving information on the model runs as areas may be north of the 0C line, but there is a warm mid level thanks to lack of strong high to north so sleet may be a big issue right across the central part of the state running from west to east with State College and Williamsport being likely targets. The SREF short term corrilation model has been fairly consistent with snow accumulations kept north of turnpike and heavy snow accumulations north of I-80. Low level cold air is the only issue I believe the models are progging a bit wrong thanks to the typical lack of cold air damming scenarios even with the higher resolution models... NMM, while a bit extreme, seems to show the cold air damming holding more ground than what the GFS appears to show...

GFS seems to be a tad to warm with these storms likely thanks to some initial errors with 850s. Again my model of choice for this storm is a EURO/NAM blend about 60/40. We do have some major timing issues with this storm with the NAM considerably slow with development and track of storm. Higher resolution model NMM seems though to have a decent grab on precipitation placement by Friday morning...


After the storm...
It still appears we have several more waves of low pressure in this pattern one of which could be Christmas eve. I do not have time to write out a full discussion for the storms in the short to medium term, but it does appear the Sunday storm will be pretty significant with heavy snow likely across inland areas of Pennsylvania. Models take a low pressure to the west of us initially bringing in some front end snows then changing to a mix. But models, especially NAM and EURO have been hinting at secondary low pressure formation just south of Delmarva which could quickly turn the mix back to snow for many areas. This secondary low formation is still under question at this point. Temperatures will be overall colder with this storm so even with above 0C 850 isotherm there will still be significant icing at the surface. For the Wednesday storm it appears another low pressure tracks to our west, but that has yet to be seen. In any case pattern is active and looks interesting through end of month with EURO and GFS both hinting at finally a favorable east coast negative NAO, which we have not seen in quite a few winters. But again that too remains to be seen.

Please post storm reports in this blog from across the Northeast during the winter storm...
This blog is in progress. Check back soon...

"Here northeast of Harrisburg 2008-2009 winter statistics"
(Snow Stats)
Current Snow Cover- Trace to 1.00inches
Monthly Total- 3.25inches
Seasonal Total- 10.35inches
Winter Weather Advisories- 3
Winter Storm Warnings- 0
Heavy Snow Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Snow Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1

(Temperature Stats)
Lowest High Temperature- 26
Lowest Low Temperature- 14
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0

(Snow Storms Stats)
First Snow - October 29 - Trace
First Snow on Ground - November 18 - Coating
Lake Effect Snow - November 21/22 - 6.00inches
Synoptic Snow - December 16 - 3.5inches

Freezing rain - December 2008 (Blizzard92)
Just northeast of Harrisburg at Blue Mountain
Freezing rain - December 2008
Freezing rain - December 2008 (Blizzard92)
Just northeast of Harrisburg at Blue Mountain
Freezing rain - December 2008
Freezing rain - December 2008 (Blizzard92)
Just northeast of Harrisburg at Blue Mountain
Freezing rain - December 2008
Freezing rain - December 2008 (Blizzard92)
Just northeast of Harrisburg at Blue Mountain
Freezing rain - December 2008
Freezing rain - December 2008 (Blizzard92)
Just northeast of Harrisburg at Blue Mountain
Freezing rain - December 2008
Freezing rain - December 2008 (Blizzard92)
Just northeast of Harrisburg at Blue Mountain
Freezing rain - December 2008

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198. TheDawnAwakening
2:51 PM GMT on December 20, 2008
The 6z seemed to be further southeast and stronger faster, but the 12z NAM seems to have leveled off on the southeast trend. I will get pictures soon. The snow is still falling light to moderately. I hope this next storm tomorrow will bring us some snows.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 243 Comments: 3605
197. Zachary Labe
2:28 PM GMT on December 20, 2008
Good morning!!! New blog coming shortly with updates on it throughout the day into the evening.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
196. TheRasberryPatch
12:23 PM GMT on December 20, 2008
Good morning. I can't believe it, I saw the moon this morning. all the clouds this week we haven't seen it hardly if at all
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6243
195. JDinWPA
4:50 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Hi Bliz. Compared to the rest of the country, we had a fairly good weather day. Around .92" of rain, mostly liquid, and a high of 45 degrees. There were even a few breaks in the clouds this afternoon as the cold front swooshed through which let the sun beam on in. Very pretty with the purple clouds with orange tints.
194. TheDawnAwakening
3:56 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
How is the Sunday storm looking for Cape Cod, MA Blizzard? Any snows?
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 243 Comments: 3605
193. Zachary Labe
3:50 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
TheDawnAwakening- Looks more like a norlun trough type setup that could deliver 1-4inches in some areas. Check out the 0z NMM model run when it comes out later tonight for time period when they develop.

TheRasberryPatch- Haha. Now they are under a winter storm warning with a blizzard warning in the mountains.


***0z GFS is out and brings a light to moderate all snow event for Harrisburg. My main worry looks to be QPF for a significant snowstorm. Moisture seems to be lacking.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
192. TheRasberryPatch
3:49 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Stan - we can't get a decent 4" snow without the rain getting involved. not to mention we never get a backside of even 1" of snow around here.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6243
191. TheDawnAwakening
3:37 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Light snow to moderate snow continuing. Additional 2-4" of ocean effect snow.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 243 Comments: 3605
190. TheRasberryPatch
3:36 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Thanks for the update on the west coast and Seattle, Blizz. you know how to stoke my global warming fire lol i can't believe that seattle is looking at rain/snow for most of the next week.

that cold on monday evening, huh? well like i have been saying where my in-law live just north of Notre Dame they have been getting all kinds of winter weather the past month with lows in single digits and highs near 30 or so. that is cold.

hurigo - we don't mind you rambling on, especially on a friday evening. have another toddy and ramble some more about your philosphy. it reminds me of angie dickinson in that John Wayne movie - hmmmm with young ricky nelson. i can remember angie or at least her character going on and on and asking the Duke's character if she was talking too much and he said no. it was a pleasure
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6243
189. TheDawnAwakening
3:01 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Still snowing moderately right now. Temp is at 31.8F down from 32.5F for most of the storm. When the snow started it went from 36-37 down to 32.5F and stayed there until now. The winds are picking up and rough snow estimate at this time is 6" with more from possible ocean effect snow tonight into tomorrow and all of Saturday. Do you kow when the snow bands will develop? Or if the snow will stop at all?
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 243 Comments: 3605
188. Snowlover2010
3:01 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Quoting Blizzard92:
Snowlover2010- And still I am worried about 850s trending west with new models runs. But on the other side of things this is looking our best potential so far this winter for an all snow event at least here in Harrisburg, maybe some mixing to south. Though back in November I did have an all snow 6inch lake effect band so really this would not be my first all snow significant event.


From what I have seen they are now trending colder especially the 00z NAM run.
Member Since: January 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 1003
187. Stanb999
2:54 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Quoting Blizzard92:
hurigo- I doubt DC sees much of any wintry precipitation, but none the less stay tuned.

Stanb999- It is still enough for a good thumping on Sunday. HPC predicts a 70% high chance of 4+inches for your location with a 10% chance of 8+inches.



4" that really isn't nothing. LOL But we are insured a white Christmas. YAHOO!!
Member Since: September 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 444
186. Zachary Labe
2:47 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
21z SREF out with about a 3-6inch snowfall over the southcentral Pennsylvania region. Seems reasonable at this point.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
185. Zachary Labe
2:42 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Snowlover2010- Maybe, a lot of variables need to be ironed out and QPF is a bit questionable in terms of how much. And still I am worried about 850s trending west with new models runs. But on the other side of things this is looking our best potential so far this winter for an all snow event at least here in Harrisburg, maybe some mixing to south. Though back in November I did have an all snow 6inch lake effect band so really this would not be my first all snow significant event.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
184. Snowlover2010
2:36 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Looks like we could see some nice snow, and maybe our first significant snowstorm of the season here in Southern PA.
Member Since: January 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 1003
183. Zachary Labe
2:26 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
hurigo- I doubt DC sees much of any wintry precipitation, but none the less stay tuned.

Stanb999- It is still enough for a good thumping on Sunday. HPC predicts a 70% high chance of 4+inches for your location with a 10% chance of 8+inches.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
182. Stanb999
2:23 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Blizzard,

Light to moderate snow happening right now. This I figure is due to the elevation and the high humidity. This is the typical winter event. The storm passes then we get another 2-3". So we may be to 11 or so by morning.
The Sunday Storm looks like it will be moisture starved so it will be just a touch of the white stuff. What does it look like?
Member Since: September 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 444
181. hurigo
2:23 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
Bliz, snow on Sunday?
Would that affect travel up to DC?
Member Since: October 9, 2005 Posts: 100 Comments: 6728
180. Zachary Labe
2:17 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
0z NAM looks great for Sunday snowstorm...
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
179. shipweather
1:50 AM GMT on December 20, 2008
They canceled the warning here. Really no need and was probably just going to cause confusion, and defeat the purpose of their watch. But We've been under an Watch, advisory, watch, warning, watch since the first storm which I almost forgot about a few days ago.
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
178. TheDawnAwakening
11:45 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Indeed.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 243 Comments: 3605
177. Zachary Labe
11:43 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
TheDawnAwakening- Really quite the wild weather pattern!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
176. TheDawnAwakening
10:55 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Wow Seattle, WA area will end up with more snow then we will this December. I hope January is different. The wet nature of this snow is lending to lower amounts. I should've been more aware of this, but I guess wishcasting was a part of it.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 243 Comments: 3605
175. Zachary Labe
10:52 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Stanb999- More snow coming this weekend!

hurigo- Ah, never mind any question. Storm has wrapped up here and now giving New England their fair share in the snow department.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
174. hurigo
10:50 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Thanks Ya'll.

I think I got it now. It's a serious term. I don't know how anyone can predict the winter weather in areas with those extreme variations in elevations. Now that I'm chewing on that idea, it seems maybe ...I'm having a hard time trying to figure out how to say this. I'm wondering if it is possible that there are things about winter weather accurate forecasting that have not yet, but should be, applied to tropical forecasting. Tropicalal forecasting has so much improved in terms of direction, but not intensity and maybe some brilliant scientist will have an ah-ha moment when analyzing winter weather in mountainous regions which are like the space undersea. And, having almost filled a paragraph, it further occurs to me that I should just be quiet because ya'll are in a serious weather situation and I'm taking up space philosophizing.

Sorry Blizz, I'll sit in the back of the room now and be quiet and restrain myself from raising my hand at every whimsical thought.
Member Since: October 9, 2005 Posts: 100 Comments: 6728
173. Stanb999
10:47 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Quoting Blizzard92:
Stanb999- So how much???


It's really hard to tell without going into the field because of the drifting. But I'd say 8".
Member Since: September 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 444
172. Zachary Labe
10:45 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
TheRasberryPatch- Well Seattle is under another winter storm watch, lol... Link.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
171. Zachary Labe
10:44 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Snowlover2010- QPF is there for a light to moderate accumulation for your area with moderate amounts up towards Harrisburg and eastnortheast through Lehigh Valley and Poconos.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
170. Zachary Labe
10:43 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Stanb999- So how much???
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
169. Snowlover2010
10:43 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Hey NWS now says all snow for me this weekend, but it seems like precip amounts will be really low. What do you think bliz? Any chance I pick up some good snow?
Member Since: January 7, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 1003
168. Stanb999
10:42 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Well, it stayed cold. It got really wind, we had all snow...Then not so much moisture.
Member Since: September 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 444
167. Zachary Labe
10:40 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Monday night looks to be coldest night of season with fresh snow cover likely across much of state adding to cold. NWS already going for this...

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 12

GFS prints out single digits. I think easily some areas will be in single digits with some near 0 numbers in some mountaineous areas.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
166. Zachary Labe
10:34 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
jthal57- Looks like that won't be melting anytime soon. Thanks for your report!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
165. Zachary Labe
10:33 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
hurigo- Thanks. Ice is so nice to look at but so destructive. Just the little bit of ice (.15inches) that I had brought down some limbs. And last winter we had a storm that caused widespread destructive with .75inches. Some parts of Canada have seen 4inches of freezing rain back in the storm of 1998. Wow.

More or less nowcasting is a forecasting that can only be made several hours in advance of the storm. For winter storms here nowcasting can be used, but nowcasting hurricanes can bring deadly/destructive consequences.

TheRasberryPatch- 78', Metropolitan Blizzard. Elevation is another example in marginal temperature differences.


***Map is posted above for verification with my snow map and final snow totals officially at locals. I tried to include the amounts here reported on my blog too. Sorry if I missed yours.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
164. jthal57
10:32 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Blizz-ended up with 4.9" total here.
(4" snow; .9" snow/sleet/frz rain). Quite a day not knowing if it was going to be cold enough here for snow, when a changeover would come, etc. Looks like I can do it all over again Saturday night/Sunday!
163. TheRasberryPatch
10:28 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Hurigo - too funny. it is just our way of saying we don't know. nowcasting is giving the forecast at this moment because the dynamics are so complicated that it is a toss up what will occur. Blizz - might be able to give a better definition.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6243
162. TheRasberryPatch
10:26 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
so true Blizz. i guess because temps are so crucial in forecasting in the winter, especially along the east coast. everyone in the Baltimore area still won't let one TV weatherman down after his famous "no big deal - a couple of inches" from the big storm February '78 i think or '77. you know which one i am talking about.

hurigo - most of this month during the work week has been dreary around here. we don't see much sun, but the weekend it makes a nice appearance. last weekend was great with the sun shining. such a nice break from all the dreariness
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6243
161. hurigo
10:25 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
What's all this talk about nowcasting?
I've heard of wishcasting during Hurricane season, but I am not familiar with what now-casting means.
Got to add that to my lexicon.

Member Since: October 9, 2005 Posts: 100 Comments: 6728
160. hurigo
10:19 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Hey Blizz,
I am so glad to be home from work and not have to worry about getting up and going in tomorrow.
I was able to peek at your blog during the day and it looked and still looks worrisome. I love the pictures you posted. Ice is so pretty and I am sure it serves some good purpose in nature. Hope all that have to contend with the messy weather up that way enjoy and are kept safe.

This entire week has been cold and dreary and frequently drizzly. It wasn't as warm as I expected it to be. I just checked the temps and it's 60-something but feels so cold. The dew point is in the lower 60s and humidity at 90% ish.
Member Since: October 9, 2005 Posts: 100 Comments: 6728
159. Zachary Labe
10:06 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
TheRasberryPatch- Winter always seems to be a nowcasting forecast, every year. Only major winter storm ever be predicted a week in advance was the 1993 Storm of the Century. I will not really look towards Christmas yet. Alot of unconsistency with models as another storm system heads our way. For Sunday snow chances look pretty good for a moderate accumulation, now lets hope things do not change.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
158. TheRasberryPatch
10:02 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
they have been all over for sat/sun storm. a couple days ago i read moderate snow accumulations. a day ago it was little to no accum with freezing rain/sleet and snow. now they have freezing rain or light snow to start and then snow of 1"-3". sounds like another storm with a nowcast or at least until all the dynamics come together probably about 4-6 hours to the start of the storm

from what WU is showing for next week we will warm up to 40 by Christmas Eve and Day
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6243
157. Zachary Labe
9:57 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
TheDawnAwakening- Maybe 1-4inches before rain.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
156. philliesrock
9:57 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
It went well...we got 3.2 inches plus a glaze of ice at the end.

It's not over yet, however. Look at the blob of precip in central PA. That will probably bring more wintry precip here.
Member Since: June 29, 2006 Posts: 65 Comments: 3197
155. TheDawnAwakening
9:56 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
How much snow do you think we will receive Blizzard from the Sunday storm?
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 243 Comments: 3605
154. Zachary Labe
9:54 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
philliesrock- That is the trend. How did it go up there today?
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
153. Zachary Labe
9:53 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
shipweather- Thanks. Here is the rundown... Winter storm warning still in effect until midnight tonight. Winter storm watch also out from late Saturday night through Sunday. Wildness! New blog for Sunday winter storm will be coming out tomorrow.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
152. philliesrock
9:53 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
WSW's just keep on comin'...next thing you know the Christmas storm will trend east!
Member Since: June 29, 2006 Posts: 65 Comments: 3197
151. shipweather
9:51 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
really? they're going to cancel one and start another or is that a renewal? or what? crazy stuff. But yea, you were SPOT on. Which was unfortunate because I wanted more snow. We didn't even cover the grass with the snow, but mine was high, so I'd say maybe 2 inches of snow/sleet and then a crap load of ice.

So next on tap Sat. night/Sunday storm.
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
150. Zachary Labe
9:39 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
Winter storm watches coming out within the hour for Berks, Lehigh, Northampton, Carbon, and Monroe Counties. This is for Saturday night in to Sunday snowstorm.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
149. Zachary Labe
9:36 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
I am making a verification map for this storm with official snow totals posted ontop of my forecast snow map.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071
148. Zachary Labe
9:12 PM GMT on December 19, 2008
TheRasberryPatch- Still lightly freezing raining here as some leftover showers are in the area. Still 31degrees.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15071

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Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

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