Observation Blog August 10-11...

By: Zachary Labe , 12:31 AM GMT on August 10, 2008

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I will be away from August 10-11 in Oswego, NY on a Lake Ontario fishing trip. When I return, a new weekly formatted blog can be expected. Have a wonderful rest of your weekend!

"Current Temperature"


"Current Dewpoint"


"Current Surface Map and Weekly History of Jet Stream Position"


"Regional Radar"


"Regional Satellite"


"Regional Advisories"


"Soil Moisture Anomalies and 5-day Precipitation Amounts from Hydro Prediction Center"


"Severe Weather Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"


"12hr Estimated Precipitation"


"Forecast Max Temperatures"


"Forecast Min Temperature"


"Forecast Weather at 2pm"


"Current Storm Reports"


"Fire Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(All maps courtesy of NOAA and Penn State Meteo.)

"Forecast Model Links"
-NAM model 12z...Link
-GFS model 12z...Link
-NMM model 12z...Link
-SREF model 9z...Link

"Severe Weather Links"
-Atmospheric Soundings Skewt T charts...Link
-SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pages...Link
-Public Spotter Reports for State College NWS...Link
-Severe Weather Model Forecast indices...Link
-Severe Weather Parameter Definitions...Link

"Flooding Links"
-Automated Pennsylvania Rainfall Recording Stations...Link
-Flash Flooding Guidance...Link
-HPC Forecasts for Excessive Rainfall...Link
-Hydrology Predictions for Lakes, Rivers, and Streams...Link

I will be away from August 10-11. This is an observation blog where there are automatically updating maps. Feel free to leave comments below and daily observations are welcomed. Back to regular blogging a few days after I return. Have a wonderful Sunday and Monday!!!

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22. JDinWPA
2:38 AM GMT on August 12, 2008
Hi Bliz. This last low sure has been dragging the low temps around with it. Yesterday's high was 69 and today's is 71. But it's cleared out since supper and hopefully that is it for at least a while. It's cleared out any humidity also. The sky, what you could see of it, has been that very intense blue.

So how was your trip? And, you know we expect pictures, right?
21. TheRasberryPatch
2:10 AM GMT on August 12, 2008
my rain gauge is showing since yesterday i received 0.50". which is at least what i got in rain. not sure how the bird poop affects the total amount.
hopefully, the birds will stop hanging out on the rain gauge. i may need to call Davis to see if they have some type of deterent.

how was the fishing trip, blizz. i was in OCMD flounder fishing the back bay there. we caught 20 flounder and not one was a keeper. it was still fun. a great day weatherwise. they have been catching some big doormats down there.
on friday we went to the inlet and watched the million dollar boats coming in for the last day of the White Marlin Open. you would not believe the boats coming through the inlet. it was fun to see what flags they were flying. supposedly it is the biggest billfish tourney in the world. they have payouts of hundreds of thousands of dollars if you get in all the calcuttas. i know they caught a blue marlin of 935lbs and had two 81 lb white marlins. the had some big bluefin tunas.
Link
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6244
20. weathergeek5
1:17 AM GMT on August 12, 2008
Quoting Blizzard92:
weathergeek5- Thanks for posting some of the warnings so I get to review the storm recap. Thanks for stopping in! Are you located in the middle atlantic region?

crowe1- Ran into some wild storms in NY which I will talk about tomorrow. Thanks for stopping by!

dean2007- I was in Oswego, NY on a fishing trip. Did you get any storms out on the Cape Cod area? Thanks for stopping in!

JDinWPA- It sure is chilly. I checked my weather station history for today and the high was 74degrees here. On the drive home this evening in the coal region it was 57degrees at 6:30pm this evening. Talk about cold. Thanks for checking in while I was gone!

jthal57- Good to hear you got some rain! How much? Thanks for stopping in!


I live right over the state line in delaware
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
19. Zachary Labe
1:12 AM GMT on August 12, 2008
TheRasberryPatch- Looks like a total of .32inches here while I was gone, which I guess is just enough to be benificial. Grass in upstate NY was some of the most brilliantly green grass I have ever seen. Our boat captain said they have had a lot of rain up there this year.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15072
18. TheRasberryPatch
1:07 AM GMT on August 12, 2008
hello. we got some pretty good rain today and yesterday, I think. same with thursday evening, but not sure how much. i thought my rain gauge has been acting weird lately and sure enough i checked it this afternoon and the birds shit in it and clogged the rain gauge. that is twice inthe past 6 weeks.
not sure what to do at this point. i have never had this problem before.
grass is still on the brown side, but hopefully with some sun it will grow and turn green.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6244
17. Zachary Labe
12:53 AM GMT on August 12, 2008
New blog coming tomorrow in a weekly weather format... Let me just say I experienced tons of weather in two days. I will mention about it tomorrow, but here is a short summary...

Rainbows
Hail
Reported waterspouts
supercell thunderstorms
most impressive Anvil Cloud I have ever seen
mammatus clouds
heavy rain
high winds
dense fog
lightning
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15072
16. Zachary Labe
12:41 AM GMT on August 12, 2008
weathergeek5- Thanks for posting some of the warnings so I get to review the storm recap. Thanks for stopping in! Are you located in the middle atlantic region?

crowe1- Ran into some wild storms in NY which I will talk about tomorrow. Thanks for stopping by!

dean2007- I was in Oswego, NY on a fishing trip. Did you get any storms out on the Cape Cod area? Thanks for stopping in!

JDinWPA- It sure is chilly. I checked my weather station history for today and the high was 74degrees here. On the drive home this evening in the coal region it was 57degrees at 6:30pm this evening. Talk about cold. Thanks for checking in while I was gone!

jthal57- Good to hear you got some rain! How much? Thanks for stopping in!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15072
15. dean2007
3:43 PM GMT on August 11, 2008


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2070
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0956 AM CDT MON AUG 11 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PA/NJ/SERN NY/SRN NEW ENGLAND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 111456Z - 111700Z

GRADUAL INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE/INTENSITY IS FORECAST INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...WITH ASSOCIATED SEVERE THREAT POSSIBLY REQUIRING WW
ISSUANCE.

MODEST INSTABILITY /LESS THAN 1000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE/ ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION AREA ATTM IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED STRONGER STORMS FROM
ERN PA ACROSS NJ AND INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND ATTM. PRESENCE OF UPPER
LOW AND ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL COLD POOL COMBINED WITH SOME HEATING
THROUGH CLEARINGS IN THE CLOUD COVER WILL YIELD FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.

DESPITE AMPLE INSTABILITY...SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE LIMITED...AS
STRONGER FLOW ALOFT EAST OF THE LOW CENTER -- NOW INDICATED OVER ERN
PA -- SHOULD RESIDE GENERALLY OFFSHORE. AS A RESULT...EXPECT
POTENTIAL FOR WELL-ORGANIZED STORMS -- AND THUS MORE SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER -- TO REMAIN LIMITED. ATTM HOWEVER...POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD/MARGINAL HAIL AND PERHAPS A FEW STRONGER GUSTS COULD
WARRANT THE EVENTUAL ISSUANCE OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

..GOSS.. 08/11/2008


ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...

40457588 40857576 41697475 41967217 42587043 41726959
41157004 40467367 39507407 39967563

14. jthal57
2:58 PM GMT on August 11, 2008
Here 7 mi. north of Easton, PA temps dropped to 57F during rain and thunderstorms at 10:50 AM
13. dean2007
1:51 PM GMT on August 11, 2008
No I'm from Cape Cod, MA. I posted that observation to find the low pressure center last night around 11pm EDT. The upper low is vigorous and I was just seeing what the pressures are, but clearly Jamestown, NY had a problem with its instrumentation because 968mb is quite low.
12. JDinWPA
1:47 PM GMT on August 11, 2008
Dean2007, you from Jamestown? I bet you get some awesome snow pictures!
11. dean2007
2:52 AM GMT on August 11, 2008
From Jamestown, NY observation:
55.7 °F / 13.2 °C
Overcast
Humidity: 91%
Dew Point: 53 °F / 12 °C
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 3.0 mph / 4.8 km/h
Pressure: 28.61 in / 968.7 hPa (Steady)
Visibility: 10.0 miles / 16.1 kilometers
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Overcast 500 ft / 152 m
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 1250 ft / 381 m
10. JDinWPA
2:45 AM GMT on August 11, 2008
Hi Bliz. It was a rather cold and dreary evening here. The local weather report stated that some of the lowest temps in the country were right here in WPA. I'm feeling so honored!

We got .28" of rain today for a mtd of 1.62". Our high was 69.1.
9. dean2007
11:25 PM GMT on August 10, 2008
Oh, ok. I didn't remember.
8. weathergeek5
9:14 PM GMT on August 10, 2008
He is in upstate new york on a mini vacation
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
7. dean2007
8:36 PM GMT on August 10, 2008
Where are you Blizzard?
6. weathergeek5
5:21 PM GMT on August 10, 2008
These storms are turning tornadic

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
central Gloucester County in southern New Jersey...
northern Salem County in southern New Jersey...

* until 130 PM EDT

* at 1255 PM... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado near Salem...
moving northeast at 15 mph.

* The tornado will be near...
Pennsville by 105 PM...
Woodstown and 7 miles south of Beckett by 130 PM...

The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. Get under a
workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture. If no basement is
available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an
interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to
cover your body and always stay away from windows.

If in Mobile homes or vehicles... evacuate them and get inside a
substantial shelter. If no shelter is available... lie flat in the
nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM Sunday
evening for Delaware and northeastern Maryland and New Jersey and
eastern Pennsylvania.
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
5. weathergeek5
4:07 PM GMT on August 10, 2008
Here we go again!!!


The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
northeastern New Castle County in northern Delaware...
southern Delaware County in southeast Pennsylvania...
northwestern Gloucester County in southern New Jersey...
northwestern Salem County in southern New Jersey...

* until 1245 PM EDT

* at 1138 am EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm capable of producing nickel size hail... and
damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. This storm was located near
New Castle... or about 6 miles south of Wilmington... and moving
northeast at 21 mph.
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
4. crowe1
2:51 PM GMT on August 10, 2008
Lots of storms to the ssw, still staying to the west of me, for now.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 15 Comments: 921
3. weathergeek5
2:48 PM GMT on August 10, 2008
The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
northeastern New Castle County in northern Delaware...

* until 1115 am EDT

* at 1016 am EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm capable of producing penny size hail. This
storm was located near New Castle... or about near Wilmington... and
moving northeast at 19 mph.

They are NOT kidding about the hail. Marble sized hail fell
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
2. weathergeek5
2:18 PM GMT on August 10, 2008
Storms are beginning to fire up just heard some thunder.
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
1. Zachary Labe
12:41 AM GMT on August 10, 2008
Well severe weather looks imminent for this Saturday night and Sunday. A strong cold front will move through the region with extremely cold isotherms for this time of the year as another deep trough and cool pool aloft moves into the region. Shear levels rise to near 45knots along with freezing levels as low as 9,000ft. Helicity values are also high. Thermodynamics are relatively high with CAPEs near 2000 j/kg in eastern Pennsylvania. As high temperatures near 80degrees and dewpoints rise to low 60s steep lapse rates will also form. I think severe weather could be very widespread if all of the elements come together. The highest threat area is from Gettysburg-Harrisburg-Lebanon-Reading-Allentown line on southward. But any area across the state could see severe weather. Hail remains the highest threat level. Wind damage and even isolated tornadoes can be possible with the strongest of cells. Very cold air aloft will create high ice crystal growth to form very intense lighting. PWATS rise to near 1.5inches making heavy rain a threat level. Highs for Sunday will reach 80degrees in the east and 70degrees in the west. Lake effect rain showers will occur near Erie as high instibility and northwest flow create just enough for rain showers to form. But there may just be too much shear for organized bands to form. So if anything changes I will provide an early Sunday morning update before I leave if necessary. Otherwise stay tuned to the local NWS for more updates. The links above and maps will also provide more information. Have a safe and wonderful Sunday!!! Monday should be a pretty good day weatherwise.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 281 Comments: 15072

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About Blizzard92

Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

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Linglestown, PA
Elevation: 520 ft
Temperature: 24.2 °F
Dew Point: 15.2 °F
Humidity: 68%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 9.0 mph
Updated: 10:37 AM EST on January 18, 2014

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