June 29 Severe Weather...

By: Zachary Labe , 1:55 PM GMT on June 28, 2008

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"Thoughts on Severe Weather Outbreak of June 29"
Well the much hyped severe weather day is upon us here in Pennsylvania. The cold front is quite visible on the surface map and even satellite. With the front in the vicinity combined with high shear, high humidity, and moderate instibility thunderstorms should erupt with some of the becoming severe. The most likely axis of severe weather is from east central Pennsylvania on eastward to the PA/NJ border. Yesterday the front was in Ohio and sparked a large bow echo complex of thunderstorms that raced across Pennsylvania. After debating yesterday afternoon I decided to place a moderate risk of western Pennsylvania with a slight risk elswhere. My forecast turned out spot on with the moderate risk reaching my moderate risk definition and even in my slight risk some storm reports and warnings occured. As the bow echo marched eastward the cold front began to slow and as this happened the bow echo weakened rapidly. A few lone cells and rain showers were out ahead of the line and a few of them became severe, for example in Northumberland County near Sunbury. It was interesting to watch the development of the line of thunderstorms yesterday as it was relativel unsuall to get a bow echo marching across the western mountains of Pennsylvania. Today we could have a similar event except there could potentially be more supercells. What is questioning myself today is how much instibility will there be available later today, and will the storms fire ahead and along the front or along the convergence zone in far eastern Pennsylvania. Anyways I will try to get the details out in the sections below. Here is my verification map for yesterday...


"Current Weather Setup"
COMING SOON!!!

"Current Advisories"


"Current Satellite"

(Courtesy of Penn State Meteorology.)

"Current Surface Map and Weekly History of Jet Stream Position"


"Radar for Western Pennsylvania"

"Radar for Central Pennsylvania"

"Radar for Eastern Pennsylvania"


"Forecasts from Storm Prediction Center"
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2008

...EASTERN US...
EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD CLOUDS FROM EASTERN
OH INTO NY/PA. THESE CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION
THIS MORNING...AND MAY SUPPRESS ACTIVE CONVECTION UNTIL LATER THIS
AFTERNOON IN THOSE AREAS. HOWEVER...BACK EDGE OF CLOUDINESS WILL
MOVE INTO WESTERN NY/PA BY LATE MORNING AND PROVIDE A NARROW ZONE OF
INSTABILITY ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. THIS AREA WILL LIKELY SEE
FIRST INITIATION OF SEVERE STORMS...WITH ACTIVITY DEVELOPING
SOUTHWARD INTO WV/KY/TN BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE
EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY INTO A PROGRESSIVELY MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS
WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 60S AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE
MID/UPPER 80S. MESOSCALE MODELS ALSO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR A
SECONDARY AREA OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS
OF EASTERN PA/SOUTHERN NY AS WEAK MID LEVEL IMPULSE NOW OVER VA
LIFTS NORTHWARD. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STEEPEST MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL BE PRESENT FROM MD NORTHWARD...WHERE HAIL IS MORE
LIKELY IN STRONGEST CELLS. OTHERWISE...DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE AND LOW
LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT THROUGHOUT THE EASTERN
STATES FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL TO SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST
AND MID ATLANTIC STATES MAY REQUIRE AN UPGRADE TO MODERATE RISK IN
LATER OUTLOOKS...AS DETAILS OF CLOUD COVER AND DESTABILIZATION
BECOME MORE APPARENT.

"Tornado Risks"

"Hail Risks"

"Wind Risks"


"Model Analysis"
COMING SOON!!!

"3z SREF Model Forecast Max Cape Index"

(Sunday afternoon)

"0z NAM Model Forecast SWEAT, Helicity, and CAPE indices"

(Sunday afternoon)

"0z GFS Model Forecast EHI Values"

(Sunday afternoon)

"My Forecast for Severe Weather"
COMING SOON!!!

"My Severe Weather Risk Map"

(Sunday)

"Conclusions on Severe Weather Outbreak"
Well I was planning a special blog for my 50th blog, but instead I missed it. Currently this blog is my 53rd. I must say thankyou to all of those that continue to comment throughout the week as I thoroughly enjoy conversing with those that have a similar interest to the weather, photography, nature, and gardening like I do. I have learned so much in the past 7 months and everyday I learn something new. This year has been quite a year so far and I am hoping for more great blogs to come. Again thankyou for all of the great comments I get each day which all make this blog possible. I will continue to write Pennsylvania weather blogs as far as I can see into the future. As usuall if any questions arise feel free to ask them or if my blog seems a little strangely worded feel free to point it out. Looking ahead to the future I am planning some interesting blogs, but I would love if anyone had any suggestions to some blog topics that cover broader topics such as nature, gardening, of course the weather, and photography. I am looking potentially next week to have a photography blog in which I post my favorite weather pictures I have taken and mention a little about them. I hope others post their favorite weather pictures also. Thanks for a great 50 blogs with 50+ more to come. Have a wonderful day!

"Storm Reports"


"Here north of Harrisburg 2008 statistics"
(Severe Weather Stats...)
Severe Thunderstorm Watches- 3
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings- 1
Tornado Watches- 1
Tornado Warnings- 0
Total Thunderstorms- 16

(Precipitation Stats...)
Flood Watches- 4
Flood Warnings- 3
Monthly Precipitation- 5.34inches
Yearly Precipitation- 23.41inches

(Temperature Stats...)
Heat Advisories- 4
Excessive Heat Warnings- 0
90degree days- 5

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32. dean2007
12:19 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
Clouds off to the west, allowing some instability to stir up and sunshine to continue this morning. Some debate if southwest does become an inhibiting factor for severe weather with a marine influence later this afternoon or early this evening or maybe even the leftover clouds for the storms last night in OH and PA. So Blizzard the SPC failed to put coastal locations into the Slight risk area today.
31. TheRasberryPatch
1:55 AM GMT on June 29, 2008
have a nice storm heading my way. the winds are a bit strong. gusting to low 20's.
lightning on the horizon. this reminds me so much of childhood summer storms, back in the late 60's and 70's.
hope all have a safe evening.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
30. charlesimages
1:23 AM GMT on June 29, 2008
Looking forward to the new blog, I would love to be a part in it, I don't have any secrets lol. I just point and shoot what I like!
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
29. charlesimages
12:24 AM GMT on June 29, 2008
Hey B92! I had some moderate wind gusts here with a few branches down, nothing major, gusts 45-50mph though. No lightning, just some rain.

It was cool though!

There is still a chance for a storm for me, but it's dwindling as the sun goes down, I have photos, I will upload those later tonight..
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
28. Zachary Labe
12:21 AM GMT on June 29, 2008
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
812 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2008

PAC083-123-290030-
/O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-080629T0030Z/
MCKEAN PA-WARREN PA-
812 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN WARREN AND MCKEAN COUNTIES...


AT 804 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF SCANDIA
TO CLARENDON TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF TIDIOUTE...MOVING EAST AT 29 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
LUDLOW AND SHEFFIELD AROUND 825 PM EDT...
MARSHBURG...BRADFORD AND WETMORE AROUND 830 PM EDT...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE
NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS
SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.


PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT SUNDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 4200 7821 4162 7821 4161 7848 4163 7849
4162 7897 4165 7946 4200 7917
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 267DEG 25KT 4198 7884 4179 7901
4160 7930
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
27. Zachary Labe
12:20 AM GMT on June 29, 2008
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
817 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2008

PAC013-021-027-033-061-290030-
/O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-080629T0030Z/
HUNTINGDON PA-BLAIR PA-CLEARFIELD PA-CAMBRIA PA-CENTRE PA-
817 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CENTRE...NORTHEASTERN CAMBRIA...SOUTH CENTRAL
CLEARFIELD...NORTHERN BLAIR AND NORTHWESTERN HUNTINGDON COUNTIES...


AT 809 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF GLEN HOPE TO COALPORT TO CHEST
SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 43 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
TIPTON...OSCEOLA MILLS AND BELLWOOD AROUND 825 PM EDT...
SANDY RIDGE...TYRONE AND SINKING VALLEY AROUND 830 PM EDT...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT SUNDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 4087 7860 4089 7806 4088 7805 4082 7802
4052 7819 4048 7880
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 265DEG 37KT 4099 7850 4077 7839
4056 7850
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
26. Zachary Labe
12:19 AM GMT on June 29, 2008
dean2007- I will update you later this evening with some links I will post in your blog once all of this severe weather calms down in Pennsylvania.


***Well I have missed posting alot of the activity tonight as I was busy, but now I am back and will try to update. A bow echo is moving across central Pennsylvania.



Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (<5%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Low (<2%)

Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (50%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (<5%)

Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (20%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (<5%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
25. jthal57
11:27 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Blizzard- rec'd .24" of much-needed rain today, along with a few rumbles of thunder.
24. dean2007
8:47 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Hey Blizzard. We didn't get those tstms the NWS in Taunton, mA were saying and I figured that after all of the clouds we had from the morning and afternoon. Well it looks like the SPC is seeing quite a severe threat tomorrow in New England and I was wondering what type of weather we can expect tomorrow? Thanks! Also can you provide any links for the CAPE and Lifted Indices for severe weather?
23. Zachary Labe
7:57 PM GMT on June 28, 2008


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1615
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...MID-UPR OH VLY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629...630...

VALID 281952Z - 282145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
629...630...CONTINUES.

80+ KT MID-LVL SPEED MAX CONTINUES TO NOSE EWD INTO CNTRL IND THIS
AFTN AND WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO OH THIS EVENING. TSTMS HAVE BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS ALONG WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENT ZONES WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR OVER MOST OF THE OH VLY. BULK SHEAR WAS MINIMAL AND
CONSIDERING THE POOR MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES...MULTICELLS WILL
BE FAVORED. HOWEVER...AS EVIDENCED ALREADY...LINE SEGMENTS WILL
TEND TO MATURE...LINE-UP PERPENDICULAR TO THE MEAN FLOW
REGIME...THEN BOW GIVING DMGG WIND GUSTS. PRIMARY CORRIDOR OF
CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE AXIS OF THE WLY MID-LEVEL JET...NAMELY
FROM NRN KY/SRN IND NWD INTO OH...WV AND PA THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
22. Zachary Labe
7:53 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
cchamp6- Here is an awesome link that will fully explain SKEWT T charts...Link
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
21. cchamp6
7:50 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Blizz,

I have the link to get this data. I just dont really know what it all means. Can you educate me a bit?
Member Since: December 21, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 1637
20. Zachary Labe
7:39 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Well Pittsburgh sent up a weather ballon at 18z and here are the impressive soundings...

Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
19. Zachary Labe
7:21 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
... Storm damage survey results for Newport PA...

The following is an assessment for the storm damage that occurred
near Newport PA in Perry County on June 27.

* Event date: June 27 2008

* estimated start time: 320 PM EDT

* estimated end time: 325 PM EDT

* event type: wet microburst downdraft winds

* event location: Howe township... one mile east of Newport
Pennsylvania near the intersection of Juniata parkway east and
Gypsy hollow Road.

* Peak wind: 65 to 90 mph.

* Injuries/fatalities: none

* discussion/damage: a survey team from the National Weather
Service and Perry County emergency management viewed the storm
damage on June 28. Eight homes had minor damage to siding and
awnings. Two homes with significant damage due to a tree falling
on one and another with half the metal roof removed. Up to 100
trees were knocked down in area of 200 hundred by 400 yards
close to the Juniata river. Reports of around 3 inches of
rainfall from thunderstorm were noted.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
18. TheRasberryPatch
6:47 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
got a little bit of the shower. so far 0.04" for the day and 0.21" for the last 24 hours.
it was weird shower. i watched the radar and the rain was moving NE and was going to miss me and just before it got to my house it moved south a bit and hit with a brief shower.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
17. Zachary Labe
6:41 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
235 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2008

PAZ030-281930-
WESTMORELAND PA-
235 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2008

...THUNDERSTORMS...

THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE THROUGH THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...
WESTMORELAND...


AT 232 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN PITTSBURGH
INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 3 MILES EAST OF WEST NEWTON...MOVING
EAST AT 36 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
DARLINGTON...DERRY...GREENSBURG...JEANNETTE...LATROBE...LAUREL
MOUNTAIN STATE PARK...LIGONIER...NEW FLORENCE...NEW STANTON...WEST
NEWTON...BAGGALEY...HOSTETTER...LAUGHLINTOWN...LYCIPPUS AND NORVELT

THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY AND MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE IF THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACH.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL OHIO AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
16. Zachary Labe
6:16 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Brief heavy rain shower just moved through with .12inches of rain. That totals 1.95inches of rain in the last two days.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
15. jthal57
5:44 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Blizzard- Had a brief shower with some wind move through my area. No thunder/lightning.

Of all times to have the radar go down, this was the message regarding KDIX radar for Phila/Mt.Holley NWS:
Message Date: Jun 28 2008 01:05:11 THE KDIX RADAR HAS EXPERIENCED A PEDESTAL HARDWARE ERROR. IT IS EXPECTED TO BE O UT OF SERVICE UNTIL SUNDAY WHEN ELECTRONICS STAFF WILL TROUBLESHOOT.

Time to check out the alternate sites!
14. Zachary Labe
5:09 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
A few thunderstorms beginning to intensify...
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
13. Zachary Labe
5:02 PM GMT on June 28, 2008


Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (20%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Low (5%)

Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
High (90%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (60%)

Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (30%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
12. Zachary Labe
4:31 PM GMT on June 28, 2008


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1612
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...OH VLY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 281602Z - 281730Z

WW WILL BE NECESSARY SHORTLY FOR PARTS OF THE REGION.

VSBL SATL SHOWS A CU FIELD BEGINNING TO SPROUT OVER SE IL AND SRN
IND ALONG/S OF MORNING ELEVATED STORMS AND AHEAD OF A WEAK
SUB-SYNOPTIC FEATURE OVER FAR W KY. THIS IS LIKELY WHERE FIRST
SFC-BASED INITIATION WILL OCCUR BY 17-18Z AS 80+ KT H5 SPEED MAX
NOSES INTO THE AREA. THOUGH CLOUDS HAVE MITIGATED STRONG HEATING
DOWNSTREAM...TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED WELL INTO THE 70S AMIDST A
VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT. CONTINUED WARMING WILL ERASE ALL INHIBITION
AND TSTMS SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE EARLY THIS AFTN.

DESPITE THE STRENGTH OF THE APPROACHING MID-LVL SPEED
MAX...GENERALLY VEERED FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WILL LIMIT OVERALL
BULK SHEAR FOR SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS. BUT...SUCH STRONG
UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR FAST MOVING BOW ECHOES.
AS A RESULT...FAIRLY WIDESPREAD DMGG WIND GUST POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
AS STORMS PROGRESS ENE INTO CNTRL/SRN OH...NRN/CNTRL KY BY MID-AFTN.
ACTIVITY SHOULD REACH W PA AND WRN VA BY EVENING.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
11. Zachary Labe
4:02 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
TheRasberryPatch- Sounds like a great forecast! 83degrees here with a 74degree dewpoint. Cumulus clouds beginning to form already. I think many thunderstorms will pop up today, it just has that feel outside. On a more meteorological note CAPE is nearing 2000 j/kg already in southeastern Pennsylvania.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
10. TheRasberryPatch
3:28 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
the rain has stopped and the sun is coming out.

temp is 78 and dew pt is 75. heat index is 83. if it stays that way for the rest of the day, the atmosphere will be cooking this afternoon. how do you like that prediction. : )
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
9. Zachary Labe
3:15 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
TheRasberryPatch- It was over here just as quick as it started. The sun is now out, but this is making it awful outside as the dewpoint is 72 and the temperatures is shooting up.



12z soundings are in for KPIT and CAPE is already starting to reach 1000 j/kg. I am hoping they launch another ballon at 18z.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
8. Zachary Labe
3:12 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
sullivanweather- At least from what I can see from the SREF model instibility should remain relatively high overnight across many areas in the Ohio Valley and northeast. I am worried about debris clouds inhibiting widespread severe weather tomorrow. Any thoughts???
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
7. TheRasberryPatch
3:12 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
i was just outside going to do some weeding and trimming when it started to rain. this sucks. i love to work outside on saturday's with no interuptions from the wife or kids. oh well, looks like just a quick shower i hope.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
6. sullivanweather
3:08 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
I was noticing the storms developing on the Indianapolis radar and I thought it was worth giving them a mention in the update. I'm wondering how long into the night will they last once they develop.

Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
5. Zachary Labe
2:57 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
TheRasberryPatch- The sun should pop out. I detailed in my current weather setup which I just posted. Thanks for the comments, I enjoy your commentary here.

cchamp6- Boy time does fly by, thanks for the comments and I am glad my forecasts are used by other people. And I appreciate your posting to keep me updated with the weather in New England.

sullivanweather- Yep it was a little burst of rain to wet the ground, but now the sun is coming out after our dense fog this morning. Did you see the latest SPC update...



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...OH...SE IND...W PA...W WV...N AND CNTRL KY

CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE

VALID 281439Z - 281545Z

REGION WILL BE UPGRADED TO A MDT RISK AT 1630Z.

80 KT H5 WIND MAX WAS SPREADING EWD THROUGH THE MIDWEST THIS MORNING
AND WILL TRANSLATE THROUGH THE OH VLY THIS AFTN. VERY MOIST AIR
MASS EXISTS ACROSS THE OH VLY AND GIVEN AT LEAST MODEST
INSOLATION...SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FOR TSTMS. CONCERN
IS FOR FAST MOVING BOW ECHOES WITH POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD DMGG
WIND GUSTS.

FURTHER METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS UPCOMING IN THE DAY 1 ISSUANCE.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
4. sullivanweather
2:48 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Blizz,

You getting that little cell north of Harrisburg right now?
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
3. TheRasberryPatch
2:42 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Great job with the blog Blizz. I used to occassionally write in my blog, but enjoy writing in here and checking out your forecasts. it is nice to have so many people in the area writing along.
i started out just enjoying sending my data in to wunderground. now it is even better to use the data and report on it in your blog. i used to think that summers were boring weather and really didn't pay much attention until the fall. you make it enjoyable.
hopefully, next winter you will get some chances to predict some good snow storms.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
2. cchamp6
2:33 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Blizz,

53 blogs already? I think you do a terrific job. I check it out nearly every day. I dont always post but I do monitor it.

We have had alot of storms in my area this year. As of late we havent had the sun to really load things up. I guess that is a good thing. Today is different though, the sun is heating it up quickly here. Up to 83 with a dewpoint of nearly 70 degrees.

Keep up the good work with the blog, I think alot of people come here for your forecasts.
Member Since: December 21, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 1637
1. TheRasberryPatch
2:20 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
a brief spritzing just occurred. is this what we have in store for the rest of the day or will the sun breakthrough and really heat things. the forecast for my area calls for 90 degrees today.
the visible satellite view doesn't look good for much sun today.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233

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About Blizzard92

Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Student; Central PA SKYWARN Storm Spotter; American Meteorological Society Member; PA CoCoRaHS Branch Member

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Personal Weather Stations

Linglestown, PA
Elevation: 520 ft
Temperature: 24.2 °F
Dew Point: 15.2 °F
Humidity: 68%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 9.0 mph
Updated: 10:37 AM EST on January 18, 2014

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