The Northeast Weather Blog...

November 7-8 Nor'easter

Posted by: Zachary Labe, 1:41 PM GMT on November 07, 2012

A deepening low pressure off the eastern seaboard with create nor'easter-like conditions across the Northeast over the next 36 hours. Heavy snow inland with rain and gusty winds along the coast will affect many areas greatly impacted from Hurricane Sandy condinuing to dampen clean-up efforts. Power outages with winds in excess of 50mph sustained can be expected within 20mi of the coast. Further inland across the higher elevations, up to a foot of snow is possible. Stay tuned for this major weather event!

Current Surface Plot...

(Courtesy of HPC)

November 7-8 Nor'easter Timeline and Discussion...
A deepening low pressure center off of the New Jersey coast will continue undergoing impressive cyclogenesis throughout the next 24 hours as surface pressures fall to sub 996mb. As the trough becomes negatively tilted intensification will further in association with an expanding wind and precipitation shield.

A 1032mb anticyclone over Newfoundland will tighten the pressure gradient increasing winds during the day on Wednesday particularly along the coast. Winds aloft a few thousand feet are gusting above 60 knots, and as precipitation rates increase mixing will pull these gusts down to the surface. High wind warning criteria winds are likely from southern New Jersey up through coastal Massachusetts where sustained winds will approach 50mph and an occasional gust to 65mph is expected. Already current metar reports out of Atlantic City show winds gusting to 60mph. Farther inland a more defined stable layer will limit winds to sustained around 20mph, so power outages and tree damage is not expected.

Current storm surge prognostics are indicating a water rise of 1-4 feet from New Jersey to Connecticut. A northeasterly component to the wind will allow water to pull along the favored inlets and bays including once again the Long Island Sound. The high tide of greatest concern is the Thursday morning one where water levels may approach moderate flooding in some areas. Beach erosion is expected. Overall general conditions along the shoreline can be anticipated with a moderate to severe nor'easter. Areas along the Delaware and Chesapeake Bays will generally be spared. I am especially concerned for areas along the coast in Connecticut and New York where clean up is just beginning and will greatly be affected by flooding during the Thursday morning high tide.

Rainfall and associated flooding is not a threat for any locations in the Northeast. Total QPF is only expected to max out around 1.5 inches across southern England. Given current flash flood guidance, no threats are expected.

The 500mb setup is very reminscent of a mid winter nor'easter with banana high system to the north, negative NAO, and rapidly deeping low pressure along the immediate coastline. As the precipitation shield expands inland, a stagnant but dense cooler air mass will allow for the threat of significant snow accumulations in some areas. While it is early November, the sun is not a factor and actually equivalent to an early February sun angle. Looking at the areas under the highest vertical velocity rates and omega growth, dynamic cooling will allow areas even hovering around 33-35F to change to a wet snow. For the time being the combination of best vertical lift and highest QPF will be focused across the Pennsylvania Poconos up through northwestern New Jersey. Ice crystal growth will begin to increase as the column begins to cool below -7C allowing for a period of excellent dendritic growth. Snow ratios may actually approach 15:1 for these areas. Impressive CCB banding will allow for a short period (2-3 hours) of snow rates up to 2in/hr. Snow accumulations will exceed 10in across a few locations in this area especially above 1300ft. Another area of snow concern will be across southeastern Pennsylvania including the Philadelphia metro where latest guidance suggests an impressive mesoscale banding setup that may allow areas to see moderate accumulations of snow in the range of 3-6in. Towards New England mesocale banding features will setup across the Berkshires and parts of northern Connecticut where it is possible for a period of very heavy snow with total accumulations of 5-10in over the higher elevations. Elsewhere most valley locations will see 1-4in generally over grassy surfaces and colder surfaces.

There is still a question as to how far west the precipitation shield expands and therefore the extension of any snow accumulation. For the time being I like my snow map as to a general outline of the precipitation shield. Areas farther west will have a harder time seeing accumulations despite being closer to the heart of the cold air mass as precipitation rates will be lower in association with poor ice crystal growth.

Overall the impacts of this nor'easter will be greatly felt up and down the Middle Atlantic and New England regions. It does appear the low does not linger too long and pulls out of the area by Thursday. Warmer air will also move in by the weekend allowing any snow to melt within 48 hours.

Timeline...
8am-11am Thursday- Precipitation will begin to expand west as the low pressure becomes better organized. A tight pressure gradient already in place will allow coastal areas to see gusts in excess of 55mph from Cape Cod south to Ocean City, MD. Dry air entrenched over the Middle Atlantic will allow for substantial virga with rain/snow not making it north of the Delmarva.

11am-3pm- The precipitation shield will rapidly expand as the low begins to undergo its most rapid strengthening. High precipitation rates will overcome the low dew points and dry air expanding precipitation to as far west as the I-81 corridor. Given the low wetbulb temperatures precipitation will start as a mix of rain/snow/sleet despite surface temperatures in the upper 30s to even near 40F. Before precipitation rates increase further, it may even change over to all rain before the snow especially for parts of New Jersey and southeastern Pennsylvania.

3pm-8pm- The nor'easter event will be completely underway as precipitation spreads north to NYC and rain changes over to snow across the inland areas of the Middle Atlantic. Snow rates may exceed 1in/hr over eastern Pennsylvania in this period and will accumulate especially after sunset. Winds will be gusting to high wind warning criteria force from Delaware to Maine.

8pm-12am- This period will feature the heaviest snow over the Middle Atlantic while rain falls along the coast. Total QPF alone over eastern Pennsylvania and all of New Jersey in these four hours may exceed 0.5 inches. Dynamic cooling may allow for some snow even in unexpected areas where temperatures are more moderate. High winds and waves up to 15 feet will lash against the Atlantic coast.

12am-6am- The surface low will finally begin to pull northeast spreading the greatest effects towards New England with heavy snow falling over inland areas while severe nor'easter-type impacts are felt along the immediate coast. Precipitation will begin to end over the Middle Atlantic. High tide will be approach during the end of this time period with moderate coastal flooding expected.

6am-10am- Precipitation rates will begin to lighten over the entire Northeast as conditions begin to improve. Nevertheless lingering effects will be felt much of the day.

Regional Radar...

(Courtesy of Intellicast)

Regional Advisories...

(Courtesy of NOAA)

This is my current rain/snow line...
Baltimore, MD - Dover, DE - Vineland, NJ - Jackson, NJ - White Plains, NY - Danbury, CT - Hartford, CT - Worcestor, MA - Portland, ME

***Areas north of this line will have the greatest threat of snow accumulation in excess of two inches. Many areas will see a mix of precipitation given the lack of an arctic air mass source and the time of year. Also a warm northeasterly flow off the Atlantic will keep most coastal areas predominately rain. Nevertheless snow accumulations this early in the year will cause many problems even in areas that receive a rain and snow mix.

Storm Reports...
None.

Storm Impacts...
1. Strong winds along the coast exceeding 50-60mph expected from New Jersey to New England.
2. Storm surge estimates will allow water to rise an additional 1-4 ft especially along the Long Island Sound.
3. Heavy snow rates briefly expected inland to exceed 1in/hr.
4. Quick movement of storm will allow effects to last less than 24 hours.
5. Conditions will greatly hamper clean-up efforts across the Middle Atlantic.

Snow Map...

***The highest elevations of the Poconos and Berkshires will receive the heaviest snowfall. Accumulations may exceed 10 inches in this region especially in the region located around Mt. Pocono where brief snow rates may exceed 2in/hr. Light accumulations and more mixed precipitation is expected to the coast, but a slushy 1-2in cannot be ruled out.

Current Great Lakes Water Temperatures...

(Courtesy of NOAA)

Selected City Accumulations for the Northeast...
Hagerstown, MD- Up to 1in of wet snow expected
Baltimore, MD- 1-2in of wet snow possible
Salisbury, MD- Mix of rain/snow/sleet. Snow accumulations up to 1in
Pittsburgh, PA- Mostly cloudy skies
State College PA- A few light snow showers
Williamsport, PA- A few light snow showers
Altoona, PA- A few light snow showers
Harrisburg, PA- Short period of moderate snow; accumulations 1-3in
Lancaster, PA- Period of moderate to heavy snow; accumulations 2-5in
Philadelphia, PA- Rain changing to heav snow with accumulations of 3-5in
Allentown, PA- Moderate snow expected with accumulations around 2-5in
Scranton, PA- Period of light to moderate snow; accumulations up to 2in
Washington, DC- Light rain/snow mix; Up to 1in of snow is possible
Wilmington, DE- Rain changing to heavy snow; accumulations 3-7in
Dover, DE- Rain/snow mix; snow accumulations 1-3in are possible
Trenton, NJ- Rain changing to heavy snow; accumulations 2-4in
New York City, NY- Rain briefly mixing with snow; snow accumulations up to 1in
Poughkeepsie, NY- Brief period of moderate to heavy snow; accumulations 2-5in
Binghamton, NY- Flurries
Ithaca, NY- Cloudy
Albany, NY- Light rain/snow mix; snow accumulations up to 1in
Hartford, CT- Snow changing to rain/snow; accumulations 1-4in
Concord, NH- Rain/snow mix; snow accumulations of 2-4in
Providence, RI- Rain occasionally mixing with snow; accumulations of 1-3in are possible
Worcester, MA- Brief period of moderate to heavy snow; accumulations of 2-6in can be expected
Boston, MA- Rain mixing occasionally with snow; snow accumulations up to 2in possible
Nantucket, MA- Heavy rain and high wind gusts upwards of 65mph
Hyannis, MA- Heavy rain and high wind gusts upwards of 60mph
Burlington, VT- A few flurries
Portland, ME- Light to moderate snow; snow accumulations 1-4in
Bangor, ME- Moderate snow; snow accumulations 3-6in
"Subject to Change"

Current Northeast Snow Depth and Northeast Wind chills...

(Courtesy of Wunderground)

Model Analysis
I think it will be important to focus on mesocale and high resolution models throughout the next 24 hours to look at where the mesoscale and CCB bands will set up. These areas will get some of the higher winds to mix to the surface along with the heaviest snow where I cannot rule out up to 3in per hour. The latest 4km HIRES WRF notes an impressive UVV and omega bursts over portions of southeastern Pennsylvania up through northwestern New Jersey. I really think some of the areas in this region will see upwards of 8-14in of snow. Overall model guidance is in a fairly decent correspondance although the exact track is still a bit uncertain. This will throw into question how far west the precipitation shield reaches. The SREF mean is probably the way to go for this event and allows the .1in contour as far west as 25mi past the I-81 corridor which looks fairly reasonable. The only thing the models may not be grasping in this aspect is the amount of dry air present over the area. Dew points are in the low 20s for many areas this Wednesday morning. Overall the ECWMF scores highest on the verification charts for spotting this threat, but was certainly overamplified therefore pulling a track too far to the west. The GFS did a fairly nice job, and throwing out is progressive nature bias, I will be interested in seeing the actual accuracy charts from the NCEP. The HRRR simulated radar already has a fairly good hold on this system; keep in mind as we advance in time that the composite radar often pulls precipitation too far to the west. I will be posting near term model updates throughout the day.

After the Storm
The latest NAEFS prognostics in association with changes in selection teleconnections are signaling a pattern change for the next coming two weeks. The NAO will begin to tip towards the positive scale again deamplifying the polar jet into a more progressive and zonal flow. This is also in correspondance with a -PNA forming across the Pacific. Latest monsoonal maps out of the Indian Ocean indicate the MJO rotating through phases the support ridging across eastern North America particularly in the southeastern United States. Meanwhile very cold air will begin to drop down across the Rockies and inner mountain west in association with a steep trough that will leave plenty of snow in the higher elevations. This will be good news for water tables after an ongoing mult-year drought.

The milder temperatures and drier air will flood the east coast in the rough estimate period of November 11-20. Latest long range prognostics report the MJO coming around to phases 7,8,1 by Thanksgiving along with a return to a -NAO. This may signal another cooler air mass towards the end of the month. Unlike the current nor'easter that was spotted nearly two to three weeks in advance, there are no signs of any long range major winter storm at this point.

In general I expect November to average slightly above normal given means around +4 compared to normal are likely during this two week warm spell. My next blog, since the weather finally begins to quiet, will be my winter forecast for the meteorological winter for 2012-2013. While it has been delayed later than normal this year, that has helped solidify a slightly higher confidence forecast. This blog can be expected within the next seven days. Stay tuned!

Please post storm reports in this blog from across the Northeast during the winter storm and please post location of observation in each report...

This blog is in progress. Check back soon...

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Lower Susquehanna Valley Doppler...

(Courtesy of WGAL)

"10mi northeast of Harrisburg 2012-2013 winter statistics"
(Snow Stats)
Monthly Total (October)- 0.0in
Monthly Total (November)- 0.0in
Seasonal Total- 0.0in
Winter Weather Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Warnings- 0
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 0

(Temperature Stats)
Lowest High Temperature- ---
Lowest Low Temperature- ---
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0

(Snow Storms Stats)
None

Categories: Winter Storm Blog

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1. Zachary Labe 1:42 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
*Sorry for the delay everyone. The rest of the discussion including a timeline will be posted within the next two hours. But for now here is at least a snow map. Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 253 Comments:** 14295

2. Pcroton 1:44 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
The Worthless Channel named it. HHs finding hurricane force winds. Marine forecast upgraded to Hurricane Force Wind Warning. Inland upgrading to Winter Storm Warning. Tinton Falls, NJ - 41F, Getting windy gusting to around 30 at times, fast moving low level clouds. Forecast for 60mph and a few inches of slushy accumulation. Power grid is in serious danger with this. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

3. NEwxguy 1:50 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Im already gusting over 20 here in eastern Mass. Thanks Blizz,this is going to be a wild one for areas that don't need anymore wild weather. Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069

4. NJTom 2:15 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
What the heck happened overnight??? Yesterday Jeff Masters posted a forecast for a ho-hum nor'easter. This morning we have an Arctic blizzard on the way with forecast highs 10-15 degrees lower than yesterday's predictions!!! I have a feeling this year's garbage season is going to last until May. Member Since: December 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 41

5. johnbluedog69 2:20 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Thank you Blizz,here in southern Delaware not too much going on yet.It is partly cloudy with breaks of blue sky coming through 41 deg. light rain earlier but not now.Seems to be 75-100 miles off the coast. Member Since: October 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 372

6. Zachary Labe 2:29 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
All sections have been posted in the blog above. While I would have liked to add more detail into another complex event, I am pleased with the overall forecast. Bust areas will likely include areas along the western periphery of the storm, and a few surprise locations that receive more* snow than expected under the intense bands. I will be frequently posting updates over the next 36 hours. Again for all of those affected, please post observation location with each post. Thanks again! Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 253 Comments: 14295

7. originalLT 2:47 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Thanks Blizz. I'll post as long as I have power. So far just cloudy, 39F Baro. 29.92Falling. Winds NE 10-20 mph. I see a large area of heavy precip, "rotating" in towards me , moving SE to NW, right now over Long Island, but heading my way. For sure I will receive a lot more Precip. from this storm, than I did from Sandy(only 0.40") from her. Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5050

8. Zachary Labe 2:49 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
12z NAM shifted the QPF east and may have accounted for all of the dry air over portions of the Northeast. I have have been way too generous in my forecast for western areas in terms of snow. The gradient may be closer to just west of I-95. We will see. I cannot believe that we are dealing with another tight gradient system. Out of all of the forecasts I make, I think those are the most difficult. And we have have had a plethora to say the least of them over the last three winters. Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 253 Comments: 14295

9. ICanHazSnoDay 2:53 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
I'm pretty firmly in one of those areas that will either be dry and breezy or will see a wintry surprise...at least it won't be so much that I'll need to bust out the snowblower yet. Looking like we're in for a wild season for most of us. Member Since: December 11, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 34

10. NEwxguy 2:59 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Winds on Cape cod already gusting over 50 mph,this going to be another power outage storm. Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069

11. ICanHazSnoDay 3:10 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting Pcroton: The Worthless Channel named it. Yet another reason I hope this is the first major bust of the season. Naming winter storms is pointless, stupid, and will result in the name-ers having egg on their face more often than not. If TWC falls on their face with the first couple of named winter storms, hopefully that will be enough to kill the idea. Member Since: December 11, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 34

12. GTOSnow 3:11 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
I have a salesman out in Middletown RI right now and he said that the winds have kicked up pretty hard already as well. Member Since: February 10, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 144

13. PattyNorthShoreLI 3:12 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
In hauppauge, central Long Island and winds are starting to pick up and a rain/snow mix has begun outside. Is the column cooling quicker than expected in some eastern areas? Member Since: October 29, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 66

14. colortheworld 3:14 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
It would be nice for a surprise shift westward towards the Altoona/State College area but I'm fine with a nice cold day in November. Way too early to be getting upset over a storm not crippling you. Snow showers possible later on? I'll take it. Member Since: August 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4

15. shipweather 3:26 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
I'm actually back in PA for the week from Chicago. I was looking forward to so snow! Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 946

16. shipweather 3:26 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
I should add I am in Shippensburg. Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 946

17. Pcroton 3:28 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Looks like things will worsen quickly in the next hour or so. Getting our first drops now so the column is saturated. Lightest of echoes yielding precip. Look at the L in Long Branch. Train SW to a red dot on the map along the major highway (Garden State Parkway). I am about two miles to the WSW of that red dot (major intersection of 35&36 I believe that depicts) Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

18. anduril 3:35 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Blizzard any real chance this could continue to come further west than predicted thereby giving central pa a bigger dousing or are we pretty firmly in the marginal to 1 or 2 inches camp? :) Member Since: August 29, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 125

19. Pcroton 3:36 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Tinton Falls, NJ Went quickly to a rain/snow mix here. 39F and dropping now. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

20. Zachary Labe 3:40 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting anduril: Blizzard any real chance this could continue to come further west than predicted thereby giving central pa a bigger dousing or are we pretty firmly in the marginal to 1 or 2 inches camp? :) Probably not... I am more concerned about the dry air reducing any chance of snow even more. We shall see. But it is early, so any snow at this point is a big bonus, lol. Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 253 Comments: 14295

21. danielb1023 3:43 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Zach, I'm in Western Essex County NJ. Our forecast seems to be being ignored by all. What are your thoughts for us by the 80/280/287 intersection? Member Since: September 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 190

22. Pcroton 3:48 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting Blizzard92: Probably not... I am more concerned about the dry air reducing any chance of snow even more. We shall see. But it is early, so any snow at this point is a big bonus, lol. I can tell you the moment even the grey 5dbz echo got overhead here we got drops of rain. At least at the coast the column is 100% saturated. There was no virga or waiting. I am pretty close to moderate rain/snow mix and we're still in the 20s dbz wise. About to ramp up. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

23. Zachary Labe 3:54 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting danielb1023: Zach, I'm in Western Essex County NJ. Our forecast seems to be being ignored by all. What are your thoughts for us by the 80/280/287 intersection? You'll likely be near the border of the heavier snow accumulations versus the rainfall. It will be a close call, but I would say some snow can be expected. You also are far enough away from the coast to miss the highest wind gusts. Quoting Pcroton: I can tell you the moment even the grey 5dbz echo got overhead here we got drops of rain. At least at the coast the column is 100% saturated. There was no virga or waiting. I am pretty close to moderate rain/snow mix and we're still in the 20s dbz wise. About to ramp up. I am talking farther inland where wet bulb temperatures are in the low 20s.Towards the coast from I-95 on east, you are right the column is very saturated and precipitation will start right away. KPHL just reported virga with their latest metar. Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 253 Comments: 14295

24. NJTom 3:55 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting Blizzard92: Probably not... I am more concerned about the dry air reducing any chance of snow even more. We shall see. But it is early, so any snow at this point is a big bonus, lol. There are tens of thousands of people out there right now suffering from hypothermia in unheated, dark homes. Why would anyone consider snow to be a bonus at this point? Because it will make it easier to see at night? Member Since: December 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 41

25. Pcroton 3:58 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
As soon as the 40dbz echo hit we went to a 35mph gust and all snow for a moment. Intensity in precip did not increase from the 25 to 40dbz readings. Just more snow in the band is all. Still borderline light-moderate snow-rain mix. Generally a 25/75 snow/rain mix - but wind gusts flip it the other way when they come. 37F now. We dropped from 41 to 37 in about 15 minutes or so. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

26. Gaara 4:03 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Visibility about a quarter mile here in Stratford CT. Lots of tiny, no-stick flakes. As per usual, people are freaking out on facebook as if they've never seen snow before. Member Since: December 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 273

27. Pcroton 4:03 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting Blizzard92: I am talking farther inland where wet bulb temperatures are in the low 20s.Towards the coast from I-95 on east, you are right the column is very saturated and precipitation will start right away. KPHL just reported virga with their latest metar. Yeah I know. Western edge of the shield. Meanwhile I still question the high wind forecasts...but they have been firm with them so we cannot ignore them. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

28. NEwxguy 4:06 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
radar has us in snow western suburbs of Boston,but nothing reaching the ground,going to take a while for atomosphere to moisten up,wind gusts 20 to 30 right now Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069

29. Zachary Labe 4:16 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting NJTom: There are tens of thousands of people out there right now suffering from hypothermia in unheated, dark homes. Why would anyone consider snow to be a bonus at this point? Because it will make it easier to see at night? Perhaps my statement came out interpreted a bit wrong. I was speaking for locations unaffected by the hurricane back in my area of central Pennsylvania. And obviously I don't wish any weather harm for anyone. Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 253 Comments: 14295

30. danielb1023 4:32 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Thanks Zach. Im at 500 feet which isnt much but seems to keep me colder (usually about 5 degrees or so vs Newark as your heading up the hill on 280! I wouldnt be surprised if we woke up to 4 inches or so in the AM. Or is that being too optimistic? Member Since: September 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 190

31. Pcroton 4:35 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
True to the forecast discussion... we are back in a light radar echo and we warmed to 39 and is very light rain and no wind. So it seems to be a banding event. Heavier precip will bring the wind, a couple degrees cooler, and snow. Lighter periods will be quickly warmer and rain and no wind. Fits the on again off again nature discussed by some forecasters even going back last night. Well...will check in later today as things progress. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

32. Dabbio 4:52 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Brooklyn, NY: Mixed light rain and snow picked up right around 11:00 a.m., winds from the North. Now getting toward Noon and blowing along about 10 mph from the North, with some gusting. Temp 38 F. Member Since: June 6, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 54

33. originalLT 4:56 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Heavier band rotating in from the SE to NW Temp. has fallen from 39F to 34F in 20 mins. Precip. falling is mostly snow.Light to mod. in intensity. Baro. down to 29.86". Wind still NE 10-20mph., with some higher gusts. Stamford CT. Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5050

34. Zachary Labe 4:58 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Latest 12z GFS brings very little to no QPF anywhere west of I-95. Looking at the present radar, that is very possible. This would be a large forecast bust if it verifies. Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 253 Comments: 14295

35. LansdaleTim 5:13 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Snow starting to fall in Newtown Square, according to my wife. Here in Lansdale/Harleysville, it has the feel of snow, mostly overcast banding clouds coming in, probably not much longer until it starts here. Member Since: February 5, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 5

36. zotty 5:25 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Wet snow and rain in White Plains NY. Steady north to NE wind around 20mph. Nothing is sticking. It's just nasty out there... Member Since: August 19, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 587

37. Gaara 5:25 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Interestingly, it looks like UI had most of their out-of-state crews stay an extra day or two to deal with any potential effects from the storm. The Cherry Street movie theater lot in Milford must have 100 trucks in it.. There are also a couple dozen transformers and a few pallets of other line-worker odds and ends in place. Pre-storm outages: UI: 1291 customers CL&P: 724 customers Update: Milford is already up to 2110 (7%) outages from about 200 yesterday. 3600 total. CL&P up to 2000! Member Since: December 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 273

38. PhillySnow 5:38 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Snow falling here. (10 miles west of south Philly) Also in center city according to folks there. No rain mixing in. Not sticking on surfaces yet. Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 795

39. originalLT 5:43 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Here in Stamford CT. still having light to moderate snow, not sticking, but ,get this, the temp. which got down to 33F about a half hour ago, has raised itself to 38F now!, A quick jump back up. Flakes have gotten bigger in size. Wind is NNE still at basically 10-20mph, with higher gusts. Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5050

40. originalLT 5:45 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Huge flakes falling now, starting to stick on grass and leaves. Stamford CT. Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5050

41. weathernewbie 6:06 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Hi Blizz, It was sleeting here in Princeton, NJ pretty hard over the past few hours, with large "flakes" - but now it now looks like it is turning to light snow. - Laura Member Since: September 26, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 32

42. PhillySnow 6:27 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
We've gone from snow to rain with sleet mixed in. 36 degrees. Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 795

43. TheF1Man 6:34 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
IT has stopped snowing here for the moment. Had a decent shower about an hour ago. In a valley here Springfield, MA Member Since: February 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 571

44. PattyNorthShoreLI 6:59 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
these bands right off the coast looks intense... NYC now with Winter Weather Advisory, will Long Island be next? Its starting to stick here in Huntington,NY. Member Since: October 29, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 66

45. shipweather 7:04 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting NJTom: There are tens of thousands of people out there right now suffering from hypothermia in unheated, dark homes. Why would anyone consider snow to be a bonus at this point? Because it will make it easier to see at night? Tom, with all do respect please relax. Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 946

46. NEwxguy 7:06 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Strange storm,winds gusting 20 to 30,but no precip as yet western suburbs of Boston. Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 815 Comments: 13069

47. Pcroton 7:23 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Tinton Falls, NJ Moderate snow. 33F dropping. Winds havent been much. Nothing over the 35mph gust we had with the first wave. Snow sticking to everything though now. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

48. Pcroton 7:26 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Power Outage Update for my area: Monmouth County/Ocean County Customers (households) Moment I came back online 4 days after the storm: 285000/220000 This morning: 48000/29000 Now: 39000/29000 http://outages.firstenergycorp.com/nj.html The other major carrier in NJ is PSE&G if you are eager to look up the stats. Their map isnt so nice. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

49. Pcroton 7:44 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
A good heavy band offshore getting ready to rotate in (see image in post #17). We will see what winds that brings. Right now we're in the teens gusting into the 20s at most. Which of course is very good. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

50. Pcroton 7:48 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Anyone see Cantore was in Hoboken earlier. They shipped him down to Trenton to try to see the snow. Rofl at that. Like nobody has ever seen 3 inches of snow before in November. TWC Fail. Athena Fail. I've only been forced to go to Trenton twice in my life. And I will only go there again if I am forced to make an appearance. And it certainly wouldn't be to go see a couple inches of snow in November. Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1297

51. Gaara 7:53 PM GMT on November 07, 2012
Quoting Pcroton: Anyone see Cantore was in Hoboken earlier. They shipped him down to Trenton to try to see the snow. Rofl at that. Like nobody has ever seen 3 inches of snow before in November. TWC Fail. Athena Fail. I've only been forced to go to Trenton twice in my life. And I will only go there again if I am forced to make an appearance. And it certainly wouldn't be to go see a couple inches of snow in November. Ahh trenton. I went there in 2010 to see a Thunder game. Stayed over the night before at the city's ONLY hotel (which is due to close) and started checking out places on yelp to grab a drink. Everything involved a 6+ block walk though areas that I wanted nothing to do with. One of the reviews made light of the fact that, while at the bar, a bullet came through the window. Yay! I did end up getting an amazing cheeseburger at Rossi's the day of the game, but a pretty severe frontal system kicked through and the game got rained out. Bust. Don't plan on staying there ever again. Member Since: December 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 273

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Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Student; Central PA SKYWARN Storm Spotter; American Meteorological Society Member; PA CoCoRaHS Branch Member

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Linglestown, PA
Elevation:	520 ft
Temperature:	63.2 °F
Dew Point:	62.0 °F
Humidity:	96%
Wind:	Calm
Wind Gust:	3.0 mph
Updated: 5:08 PM EDT on May 19, 2013 Station History