The Northeast Weather Blog...

Quoting P451:


With 12-18" totals estimated by radar from NC through DE --- they might as well just put entire states in warnings.

No FFWs from CTP right now. Most areas have met flash flood guidance based on CCX radar estimates.

I just looked at other radars and it seems like CCX is either massively over-estimating precipitation or the rest are underestimating it. I'll go with the first based on DOX and LWX having only half of the rain CCX does for Lancaster & York counties. Gauge reports are virtually useless with the ridiculous under-catch.

Either way, it's only a matter of time before these areas reach FF guidance in all radar estimates & even rain gauge reports. Just wishing they'd get it over with now and not wake me up at 4am for a warning.

That's a great moving Satellite P451, Looks like it's transitioning to a barclonic low. Also thanks for your precip. discussion. I still see alot of dry air infiltrating it's South and SE/E, wrapping in towards it's center. But I do see that center area that's coming towards us.In the 11pm NHC. report, it's still moving only 16mph. I would guess it will start to accelerate soon. PS. I hope you don't lose power, you are so knowledgeable. So far here I have not gotten your winds, only 10-20mph. at most. I am 4 miles inland , and at 150' elevation.

Working off my tablet..just got this working. Terrible night in so md. Numerous trees and power lines down. Wind is still bad but changing direction so I will assume Irene is close to OCMD or past. Roads closed all over county. Have not had power for over6hours...heard a couple trees crash nearby. First light will be interesting.

Wow Maryland girl ,that sounds bad. Up here just some heavy rains, in the last hour or so, and not much in the way of winds. Looks like Irene may be trying to nudge further to the west as it comes up the coast. Appears to be less and less rain off to my south and East. We'll see. LT Stamford CT.

It's winddddddddy!! Wow.

25 mph winds here, gusts to 38 mph.

TORNADO WARNING
NYC047-059-081-280815-
/O.NEW.KOKX.TO.W.0008.110828T0748Z-110828T0815Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
348 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 415 AM EDT...

* AT 348 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF LIDO BEACH...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF MASSAPEQUA...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
FREEPORT...LONG BEACH...OCEANSIDE...BALDWIN...ATLANTIC BEACH...
LYNBROOK...HEMPSTEAD...CEDARHURST...WOODMERE...VAL LEY STREAM...
GARDEN CITY...MINEOLA...ELMONT...KENNEDY AIRPORT...HOWARD BEACH...
JAMAICA...MANHASSET...LITTLE NECK...OZONE PARK...CLEARVIEW
EXPRESSWAY...GREAT NECK...FOREST HILLS...BAYSIDE...WHITESTONE...
FLUSHING...JACKSON HEIGHTS...LAGUARDIA AIRPORT AND ASTORIA

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

Looks like it's winding down on the Eastern Shore. Over the last hour the winds increased from 25 sustained 35 gust to 40 sustained with numerous gusts over 50...and switched fron N to NW. Rain has nearly stopped for now. The pressure has risen over a 25 minute period from a low of 25.83" to 25.85" (as measured by local MDOT station).
Looks like I get to walk my dogs (all 4!) finally.
Lots of localized flooding and road closures, scattered power outages, and MANY trees and large branches down in nearly every neighboorhood, but no serious damage or injuries that I am aware of.
All in all, it was a wild ride, but not as bad as I expected...at least here in my area. Like Blizz, I would MUCH rather have a nice winter blizzard anyday over this mess.
-Mike

still sheets of rain at KMDT

Pretty much a bust around here. Rainfall amounts about 3" less and peak winds 23mph - 25mph less than predicted as per the 2pm Saturday forecast. Was expecting around 12 hours of Tropical Storm conditions, but those conditions were never reached. I felt there was a chance of this happenig a few days ago when instead of strengthening to a Cat 4, Irene weakened to a Cat 2. Still looked interesting though as of yesterday afternoon. Yesterday evening, I checked winds around the mid-atlantic and they weren't matching up with what was predicted. Worst of conditions occured here from 10:30pm to 11:30pm last night as opposed to 4am to 8am today. Moderate to major flooding has panned out along creeks & rivers around here, even with 3" cut off from totals. I wonder how they'd be if the 9"-10" totals panned out.

Hurricane Irene so far in Hamilton, NJ
as of 6:45am Sun
Max Sustained: 35mph
Max Gust: 52mph
Rainfall: 5.54"

Current conditions:
Light Rain & Windy
Wind: NE 22mph
Gusts: 28mph
Pressure: 28.77"

I just emptied my Cocorahs - 2.98" Davis Vantage Pro - 2.54" Davis Vantage Pro II - 3.12"

I am sure the wind has something to do with the differing amounts. The DVP hasn't been checked lately for bird mess, so that could be a reason for it's numbers to be lower, but it has been similar to the other two rain gauges before the storm.

Not getting extremely strong gusts measured, but plenty of leaves strewn around the yard and pool. The strongest gust so far has been 25mph. 983.9mb is my low pressure

43mph gust at KMDT now.

August 28, 2011 07:20 AM
40N,74W Some amazing video on our local cable channel NEWS12 at the Belmar Fishing Club Looks like 10 15- ft plunging waves that die out at the seaward edge of the pier. No power since about 0200 Z, trees down lots of damage to boardwalks. Marching to high tide. Old Mill Dam breached some time ago.

Mostly Wind Advisories + High Wind Warnings along with a few Tropical Storm Warnings along with Flood Warnings were probably needed. Hurricane Warnings unecessary. While maximum sustained hurricane conditions exist / existed only a few thousand feet overhead, they never really mixed down to the surface, not really even in the North Carolina area.

Northeast maximum sustained wind - maximum gust

MASSACHUSETTS
Boston: 34mph - 41mph

RHODE ISLAND
Providence: 33mph - 47mph

CONNECTICUT
Bridgeport: 40mph - 59mph
Hartford: 21mph - 43mph

NEW YORK
N. Queens (LAG): 41mph - 64mph
Islip: 45mph - 62mph
Manhattan (NY): 24mph - 60mph
S. Queens (JFK): 43mph - 58mph

PENNSYLVANIA
Philadelphia: 40mph - 52mph
Reading: 30mph - 44mph
Harrisburg: 29mph - 39mph
Allentown: 24mph - 39mph
Mount Pocono: 26mph - 37mph

NEW JERSEY
Atlantic City (10 mi inland): 38mph - 55mph
Trenton: 35mph - 52mph
Newark: 33mph - 50mph

DELAWARE
Georgetown: 41mph - 59mph
Wilmington: 38mph - 56mph

MARYLAND
Baltimore: 33mph - 51mph
Annapolis: 33mph - 47mph

VIRGINIA
Richmond: 46mph - 70mph
Arlington (DC): 45mph - 59mph
Norfolk: 45mph - 56mph
Dulles: 32mph - 45mph

Gusts are easily to tropical storm force north of Harrisburg. I lost power for almost 3 hours but it just came back. Pressure bottomed out at 29.20".

PPL is reporting over 33,000 people without power in Dauphin county right now.

Quoting P451:
Six days of Irene, wv imagery, 90 minutes between frames.

BONUS!!

You can also watch the upper low spawn from Irene build down to the surface to become Tropical Storm Jose.

For Blizz...Lower Paxton township has over 14,000 homes in the dark alone.

Airport still has power. Curious to see about it when I get home. Gust of 46mph here now at KMDT.

Looks like the best we did in Carlisle was a sustained 29, gusting to 35. This is according to the official (maybe state-installed?) weather station at the public works department. There are others in the area, but many are unreliable and inconsistent so this one is my go-to. No word on precip totals yet, but I don't think we got too much. No debris down (unless leaves count). Any word on how Philly and NYC are faring?

Rain for my area (from a few different sources due to wind):
My gauge: 2.28"
CCX Radar: 2.4"
LWX Radar: 3"

Power just flickered at KMDT.

Power has been in and out all morning. Just got power after 50 mins. The longest outage so far

Even though the rain has been little more then a hard mist for the last several hours, the winds have been quite tenacious, continuing to gust into the low 50mph range until about an hour ago.
My son and I drove around town to survey the substantial tree damage and flooded roads when we noticed an SUV partialy submerged. The road was very obviously flooded out, but a young woman decided not to follow the "Turn Around, Don't Drown" mantra. My son noticed it long before I did; she was holding a small child out of the drivers side window! The SUV was over half submerged, swept off the road and into a deep ditch. He jumped out and, with water up to his waist, took the baby, then went back to help her out. She was so busy talking to 911 dispatch he had to TAKE the phone to get her out. Luckily they were both uninjured. Personally I have had enough excitement to easily last until the next blizzard...whenever that might be.
We are just now going to get some sleep after a long exciting night.

Already hearing the media hyping up this wave that came off of Africa as "Irene 2". Come on...really?

A good deal of creeks & streams in this area (central NJ & southeast PA) are top-3 flood levels with a few at record levels. Sporadic & isolated trees & branches down with scattered power outages. In one case, I passed a car on a road that had a tree & wire fallen onto it while it was driving, turn signal still flashing with no one in it.

I also did an interview with Fox-29 Philadelphia where major flooding was occuring on the Neshaminy Creek near Langhorne, PA. They said they were gonna try and get it on the 6:00pm news. If you see a guy with a red shirt on that sais "Neshaminy Football", that's me! There was also a water rescue just before I got there. I often head down to that spot because my uncle lives on Bridle Dr, about 20 feet from the Neshaminy Creek in Langhorne.

I have 47 new pictures posted of the storm damage & crazy flooding that I took near the creek on facebook. 3rd highest stage on record there. Records date back to at least 1933.

Link

The strongest wind gust I had at my house was 33mph.

For the month I have received 11.53" of rain. Amazing.

Impressive pictures

Quoting MariettaMoon:
A good deal of creeks & streams in this area (central NJ & southeast PA) are top-3 flood levels with a few at record levels. Sporadic & isolated trees & branches down with scattered power outages. In one case, I passed a car on a road that had a tree & wire fallen onto it while it was driving, turn signal still flashing with no one in it.

I also did an interview with Fox-29 Philadelphia where major flooding was occuring on the Neshaminy Creek near Langhorne, PA. They said they were gonna try and get it on the 6:00pm news. If you see a guy with a red shirt on that sais "Neshaminy Football", that's me! There was also a water rescue just before I got there. I often head down to that spot because my uncle lives on Bridle Dr, about 20 feet from the Neshaminy Creek in Langhorne.

I have 47 new pictures posted of the storm damage & crazy flooding that I took near the creek on facebook. 3rd highest stage on record there. Records date back to at least 1933.

Link

just sent friend request

Still over 10,000 without power in Lower Paxton Township according to PPL. Any reports of damage back home blizz?

Just got off the phone with my father in Camp Hill. They've been without power all day and he was told by one of the fire police people to not expect it for the next three days. Apparently a ton of the wires and lines are down in that area.

Our store had power but massive network issues with Verizon who provides our Ethernet drop. What a nightmare.

Quoting anduril:
Just got off the phone with my father in Camp Hill. They've been without power all day and he was told by one of the fire police people to not expect it for the next three days. Apparently a ton of the wires and lines are down in that area.

Our store had power but massive network issues with Verizon who provides our Ethernet drop. What a nightmare.

My internet has been going off and on all day as well but I have Comcast. It makes you wonder just how much worse communications and infrastructure could have been damaged if it was stronger. It's a good "stress test" for some of these systems and hopefully they will make some improvements before the next, possibly bigger storm.

Quoting wunderstorm87:

My internet has been going off and on all day as well but I have Comcast. It makes you wonder just how much worse communications and infrastructure could have been damaged if it was stronger. It's a good "stress test" for some of these systems and hopefully they will make some improvements before the next, possibly bigger storm.

I'm right outside of the Camp Hill area (Lower Allen township) but on a completely different grid. We kept power (flickered a few times but never down) and our Comcast had no issues other than some speed fluctuations. However, in the Camp Hill area comcast was generally down more than up, Verizon Fios seemed completely down as was DSL (my store was down for the most part as well) and even Verizon cell service in the morning was TERRIBLE according to coworkers.

It was very, very isolated in scope however. Other areas 5-10miles away had no problems. I think alot of it had to do with the fact that Verizon has a central drop in camp hill (S 27-30th st cant remember exactly) that has a backbone for that area that obviously would be affected with the power outage. Also in the CH area almost everything is running on the same poles/lines and it doesnt take much there to bring stuff down especially since the current boro admin is much less strong on trimming trees and making sure things are done properly

Around a dozen schools are already closed for tomorrow around here (mainly to the east). I don't anticipate having any issues tomorrow because only around 100 people are out in our district. Schools in central & southern Dauphin county are in much worse shape with around 2-4k without power in their districts.

I feel like it's the middle of winter looking for school closings not the first day of school in August.