Hurricane Irene...

By: Zachary Labe , 11:48 PM GMT on August 25, 2011

Share this Blog
3
+

"Current Temperature"


"Current Dewpoint"


"Current Surface Map and Weekly History of Jet Stream Position"


"Regional Radar"


"Regional Satellite"


"Regional Advisories"


"Soil Moisture Anomalies and 5-day Precipitation Amounts from Hydro Prediction Center"


"Severe Weather Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"


"12hr Estimated Precipitation"


"Forecast Max Temperatures"


"Forecast Min Temperature"


"Forecast Weather at 2pm"


"Current Storm Reports"


"Fire Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(All maps courtesy of NOAA and Penn State Meteo.)

"Forecast Model Links"
-NAM model 12z...Link
-GFS model 12z...Link
-NMM model 12z...Link
-SREF model 9z...Link

"Severe Weather Links"
-Atmospheric Soundings Skewt T charts...Link
-SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pages...Link
-Public Spotter Reports for State College NWS...Link
-Severe Weather Model Forecast indices...Link
-Severe Weather Parameter Definitions...Link

"Flooding Links"
-Automated Pennsylvania Rainfall Recording Stations...Link
-Flash Flooding Guidance...Link
-HPC Forecasts for Excessive Rainfall...Link
-Hydrology Predictions for Lakes, Rivers, and Streams...Link

Lower Susquehanna Valley Doppler...

(Courtesy of WGAL)

Follow my 24hr forecasts on Twitter... Link and Facebook... Link.

My Hurricane Irene forecast track and associated wind...

*It was the first time for me using this mac paint software so still getting used to it.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 216 - 166

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

August 28, 2011 07:20 AM
40N,74W Some amazing video on our local cable channel NEWS12 at the Belmar Fishing Club Looks like 10 15- ft plunging waves that die out at the seaward edge of the pier. No power since about 0200 Z, trees down lots of damage to boardwalks. Marching to high tide. Old Mill Dam breached some time ago.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
43mph gust at KMDT now.
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
214. P451
Quoting originalLT:
That's a great moving Satellite P451, Looks like it's transitioning to a barclonic low. Also thanks for your precip. discussion. I still see alot of dry air infiltrating it's South and SE/E, wrapping in towards it's center. But I do see that center area that's coming towards us.In the 11pm NHC. report, it's still moving only 16mph. I would guess it will start to accelerate soon. PS. I hope you don't lose power, you are so knowledgeable. So far here I have not gotten your winds, only 10-20mph. at most. I am 4 miles inland , and at 150' elevation.


That's interesting. I wonder why you haven't seen equal winds. It appears the bands come in from my SE and then you get into the same band that arcs northward maybe 20-30 minutes later.

I can't see why the outcome would be so different.

Yet the same band wasn't as bad wind wise up here as it was in coastal NJ.

How did you do overnight? It's getting very windy here now. Stronger on the way.
Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
213. P451
Just got power back on after being out for many hours overnight. ~30 miles north of NYC.

So far winds gusting into the 60s from time to time. Sustained is in the upper 30s to mid 40s though.

Core still 150 miles to my south but I wonder just how much higher the winds are there since this storm is likely spreading out quite rapidly. Too early to call down to the shore to get a feeling on that.

Other than twigs, leaves, and branches down nothing to note that I can see.

However the strongest winds are not here yet.

I'd venture power will go back out at some point.

It would seem that gusts into the 80s aren't going to happen but 70s will. It would also seem 15 inches of rain won't happen but we're over 6 so far.


I would think based on all I am seeing a mix between the NHC/NWS winds and Dr. M's winds is what is happening.

I liken this to Hurricane Gloria's effects which I also witnessed first hand in 85 in Jersey - even caught the eye.

I would still have liked to and would still like to read a detailed reason from Dr. M as to why he downplayed the winds so much. It doesn't seem like an unreasonable request to me. If you're going to counter what the NWS/NHC are forecasting by such a degree I think an explanation is warranted.
Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
I just emptied my Cocorahs - 2.98" Davis Vantage Pro - 2.54" Davis Vantage Pro II - 3.12"

I am sure the wind has something to do with the differing amounts. The DVP hasn't been checked lately for bird mess, so that could be a reason for it's numbers to be lower, but it has been similar to the other two rain gauges before the storm.

Not getting extremely strong gusts measured, but plenty of leaves strewn around the yard and pool. The strongest gust so far has been 25mph. 983.9mb is my low pressure
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6260
Pretty much a bust around here. Rainfall amounts about 3" less and peak winds 23mph - 25mph less than predicted as per the 2pm Saturday forecast. Was expecting around 12 hours of Tropical Storm conditions, but those conditions were never reached. I felt there was a chance of this happenig a few days ago when instead of strengthening to a Cat 4, Irene weakened to a Cat 2. Still looked interesting though as of yesterday afternoon. Yesterday evening, I checked winds around the mid-atlantic and they weren't matching up with what was predicted. Worst of conditions occured here from 10:30pm to 11:30pm last night as opposed to 4am to 8am today. Moderate to major flooding has panned out along creeks & rivers around here, even with 3" cut off from totals. I wonder how they'd be if the 9"-10" totals panned out.

Hurricane Irene so far in Hamilton, NJ
as of 6:45am Sun
Max Sustained: 35mph
Max Gust: 52mph
Rainfall: 5.54"

Current conditions:
Light Rain & Windy
Wind: NE 22mph
Gusts: 28mph
Pressure: 28.77"
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
still sheets of rain at KMDT
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
Looks like it's winding down on the Eastern Shore. Over the last hour the winds increased from 25 sustained 35 gust to 40 sustained with numerous gusts over 50...and switched fron N to NW. Rain has nearly stopped for now. The pressure has risen over a 25 minute period from a low of 25.83" to 25.85" (as measured by local MDOT station).
Looks like I get to walk my dogs (all 4!) finally.
Lots of localized flooding and road closures, scattered power outages, and MANY trees and large branches down in nearly every neighboorhood, but no serious damage or injuries that I am aware of.
All in all, it was a wild ride, but not as bad as I expected...at least here in my area. Like Blizz, I would MUCH rather have a nice winter blizzard anyday over this mess.
-Mike
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TORNADO WARNING
NYC047-059-081-280815-
/O.NEW.KOKX.TO.W.0008.110828T0748Z-110828T0815Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
348 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 415 AM EDT...

* AT 348 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF LIDO BEACH...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF MASSAPEQUA...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
FREEPORT...LONG BEACH...OCEANSIDE...BALDWIN...ATLANTIC BEACH...
LYNBROOK...HEMPSTEAD...CEDARHURST...WOODMERE...VAL LEY STREAM...
GARDEN CITY...MINEOLA...ELMONT...KENNEDY AIRPORT...HOWARD BEACH...
JAMAICA...MANHASSET...LITTLE NECK...OZONE PARK...CLEARVIEW
EXPRESSWAY...GREAT NECK...FOREST HILLS...BAYSIDE...WHITESTONE...
FLUSHING...JACKSON HEIGHTS...LAGUARDIA AIRPORT AND ASTORIA

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
25 mph winds here, gusts to 38 mph.
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
It's winddddddddy!! Wow.
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
Wow Maryland girl ,that sounds bad. Up here just some heavy rains, in the last hour or so, and not much in the way of winds. Looks like Irene may be trying to nudge further to the west as it comes up the coast. Appears to be less and less rain off to my south and East. We'll see. LT Stamford CT.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7711
Working off my tablet..just got this working. Terrible night in so md. Numerous trees and power lines down. Wind is still bad but changing direction so I will assume Irene is close to OCMD or past. Roads closed all over county. Have not had power for over6hours...heard a couple trees crash nearby. First light will be interesting.
Member Since: September 10, 2001 Posts: 2 Comments: 486
That's a great moving Satellite P451, Looks like it's transitioning to a barclonic low. Also thanks for your precip. discussion. I still see alot of dry air infiltrating it's South and SE/E, wrapping in towards it's center. But I do see that center area that's coming towards us.In the 11pm NHC. report, it's still moving only 16mph. I would guess it will start to accelerate soon. PS. I hope you don't lose power, you are so knowledgeable. So far here I have not gotten your winds, only 10-20mph. at most. I am 4 miles inland , and at 150' elevation.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7711
Quoting P451:


With 12-18" totals estimated by radar from NC through DE --- they might as well just put entire states in warnings.


No FFWs from CTP right now. Most areas have met flash flood guidance based on CCX radar estimates.

I just looked at other radars and it seems like CCX is either massively over-estimating precipitation or the rest are underestimating it. I'll go with the first based on DOX and LWX having only half of the rain CCX does for Lancaster & York counties. Gauge reports are virtually useless with the ridiculous under-catch.

Either way, it's only a matter of time before these areas reach FF guidance in all radar estimates & even rain gauge reports. Just wishing they'd get it over with now and not wake me up at 4am for a warning.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
201. P451
Talk about an incredible scope of presence.


Link to IMAGE 1


Link to IMAGE 2

Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
200. P451
Quoting wunderstorm87:
There's a very noticeable orographic rainfall effect in Schuylkill county right now with rain rates over 1.5"/hr (compared to .5" to 1"/hr in all other areas). They will likely need a flash flood warning there shortly.


With 12-18" totals estimated by radar from NC through DE --- they might as well just put entire states in warnings.

Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
199. P451
Can I get a WOW!! ?





Uh, it's quite obvious why she's not weakening. However, my power is weakening and it looks like I don't have much time left before losing it. Next rain band will do me in it's twice as strong if not more.

Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
There's a very noticeable orographic rainfall effect in Schuylkill county right now with rain rates over 1.5"/hr (compared to .5" to 1"/hr in all other areas). They will likely need a flash flood warning there shortly.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
197. P451
LT that line rotating northward out of central NJ is very very intense. Maybe two hours from now you and I will both be in some very intense weather.

Then a break, then more intense.

The band near AC although not as radar intense has stronger winds to mix down with it and will amplify as it rotates north as the band before it did the same.

Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
The reporting station at Lancaster just measured a 44mph gust...it will only get worse from here on. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 60mph gust out of KLNS later tonight.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
Just saw that 11/15 northbound is closed at I-81 interchange due to debris on road in Cumberland County!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
194. P451
A couple of texts from Monmouth County NJ where I grew up and lived mostly until moving this past year to NY.

Torrential downpours and winds in the 60s and 70s with tree damage occurring. Power on and off.

Up here in NY - Ossining/Croton border it's heavy rain gusting in the 30s to near 40 occasionally.
Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
Blizz, looking at your home area, and most of the Eastern third of PA., you are getting "POUNDED" with rain. So far for me , this is the storm that wasn't! I know it's early yet, but Irene is ingesting alot of dry air from the West, wrapping it around to it's South and SE. With it's NNE movement I may miss alot of the periphery rain, and only get the rain that is near it's weakening center as it practically goes right over me. So far not much wind here, only 10-15mph tops. Baro. is down to 29.53". I'll let you know.LT
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7711
Quoting wunderstorm87:
Not surprisingly I just recorded the lowest pressure ever on my weather station (It's only been up since May). It's at 29.50" and falling at a rate of .05"/hr.

Up to a quarter inch of rain here with winds around 10mph and gusts around 20mph likely causing some under-catch.
Both the gf and I have been having pains in our jaws since about 6pm which fits with the pressure drop. I've also been getting pretty constant throbbing pain in my knee (nothing new but still strange) since the pressure started dropping. Really wish I had an area to setup a weather station at our apartment complex to record it. Be interesting to relate it over a year or two
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Not surprisingly I just recorded the lowest pressure ever on my weather station (It's only been up since May). It's at 29.50" and falling at a rate of .05"/hr.

Up to a quarter inch of rain here with winds around 10mph and gusts around 20mph likely causing some under-catch.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
Pouring rain here in Ocean County inland, winds are starting to pick up. Roads ponding water. Tornado warning for Northwestern Ocean. So far a typical nor'easter for our area. Hopeing Irene lays down
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Raining steady here. Winds up to 8-10. Nothing wild yet. Unless it rains like this for 12 hours. That would be something.
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
Decent rain coming through but its weird that since the rain started the winds have really calmed or atleast it seems so in my area.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Prayers and hopes for a safe evening to all of you to the east. Please be careful.

We are in the clear of all but some breezes and clouds.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting weathergeek5:
just went outside rain is unbelievable!!!!


Went outside..hahaha be careful ..

Outside sounds like a car wash here...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
This is from the terminal radar in Philly at 10:17. This was almost certainly what prompted the warning and the rotation has now dissipated.


Edit: The link is frame based so the picture was old.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
184. P451
Quoting Blizzard92:
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
NORTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
CENTRAL PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PHILADELPHIA...

* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT

* AT 1022 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
PHILADELPHIA
...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 45 MPH.


And then of course there are those... and there's no warning for them they drop out of nowhere and disappear within what... 5-10 minutes time?

They only know it is there because damage is occurring.

Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
Quoting CambridgeSpotter:
Ooops...should have said "sustained winds of 35-45 mph since 4pm."

As the storm passes to your north, winds will switch out of the north and some observers are reporting them to be even stronger after it passes. Keep an eye out!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
182. P451
Quoting Blizzard92:

I tend to lead towards agreeing with Dr. Masters in this instance. I really doubt any gusts to 80 or 90mph will be recorded even just east of the landfall.


With this system likely no longer purely tropical and undergoing baroclinic forcings.... interacting and venting via the jetstream... deepening is possible not decay. This won't just wind down and die off like a normal landfalling tropical system. It's behaving quite different.

Forecasts remaining so high wind wise with each new update...

Local mets saying they expect severe tree damage in Westchester county due to gusts in the 80s....

And reports from some people back home saying they're getting pounded gusting into the 50s or higher now, AC outlying area residents reporting gusts to the 60 or 70s with ocean water flooding the streets - when the core is still quite far south of them.

I just don't know what to think. While 80 and 90 mph winds sound incredulous for this region the forecast continues to be pushed.

I guess it will all come out in the wash tomorrow.

=============

Currently getting a much heavier rainband here. Winds in the 30s with it.

Member Since: December 16, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 10202
Ooops...should have said "sustained winds of 35-45 mph since 4pm."
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
NORTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
CENTRAL PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PHILADELPHIA...

* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT

* AT 1022 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
PHILADELPHIA
...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 45 MPH.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
Quoting originalLT:
Good luck NYBIZBEE, I have a good friend in Wantaugh LI. I guess thats pretty close to you. Yeah, its the duration that scares me too. Reminds me of the 2010 March noreaster we got. I know this is stronger, but that Noreaster just kept blowing on and on. Where I live in Stamford CT., it looked like a "war zone" after that storm. Thats what I'm worried about here.


ThanksLT- U too.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
just went outside rain is unbelievable!!!!
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
Here in Dorchester County, we've had sustained winds with heavy rain since 4pm. The highest gust was 61 mph at 6:55pm. Right now, things have really calmed down for the last 45 minutes...but I guess more will be on it's way as the storm is supposed to be nearly on top of Ocean City (60 miles east) at around 2am.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good luck NYBIZBEE, I have a good friend in Wantaugh LI. I guess thats pretty close to you. Yeah, its the duration that scares me too. Reminds me of the 2010 March noreaster we got. I know this is stronger, but that Noreaster just kept blowing on and on. Where I live in Stamford CT., it looked like a "war zone" after that storm. Thats what I'm worried about here.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7711
Quoting Blizzard92:
Likes like the first heavy band moving slowly northwest is right on the edge of I-81.
Yea, nice rainfall has started in Camp Hill now
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Likes like the first heavy band moving slowly northwest is right on the edge of I-81.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:


this storm is pretty amazing. I don't recall many storms this big and lasting this long in one area. It seems more like a nor'easter that gives us 24" of snow.

15" in NC...wow. It's probably going to be similar rain amounts up the coast.

I just can't believe how long the strong winds will be in one area at a time


I know the duration is what scares me. I feel bad my 6 year old is scared with the current weather already. Im in south nassau Long island. Getting bands with i would guess 25-35 gusts. Really hope the 70 to 90 dont happen.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Moderate rain has just started here.

The hurricane hunters just measured a higher minimum central pressure of 955mb.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
The entire Mount Holly CWA is now under either a Flash flood warning or a flood warning. Very serious flooding is underway already with a good chance of 5" or more falling over their entire CWA.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
central New Castle County in northern Delaware...
this includes the city of Newark...
western Salem County in southern New Jersey...

* until 1015 PM EDT

* at 943 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado near Alloway...
or 15 miles southeast of Wilmington... moving west at 35 mph.

* The tornado will be near...
Salem by 955 PM EDT...
Pennsville by 1000 PM EDT...
Delaware City by 1005 PM EDT...
New Castle... Wilmington Manor and Newport by 1010 PM EDT...
bear by 1015 PM EDT...

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. Get under a
workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture. If no basement is
available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an
interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to
cover your body and always stay away from windows.

If in Mobile homes or vehicles... evacuate them and get inside a
substantial shelter. If no shelter is available... lie flat in the
nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.

Please report hail or strong winds to the National Weather Service by
calling toll free... 1-877-633-6772... when you can do so safely.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 am EDT Sunday morning for
southern Delaware and New Jersey.
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
the high buildings in Manhattan may experience those winds. I heard on tv that the winds at the surface may only be 40mph, but up 10 floors or higher and the winds may be a lot stronger. Also, the windows up there may not be able to withstand winds that strong. That has to be scary if you live up in one of the highrises in Manhattan
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6260
Quoting P451:
So we have a conflict of opinion here:


Dr. Masters:

Irene makes its 2nd landfall on Long Island, NY on Sunday, coastal locations to the right of the eye will likely experience top sustained winds of 50 - 60 mph. Coastal areas of Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, and the New York CIty area will mostly see top winds in the 40 - 55 mph range


NWS:

630pm updated forecast, coastal NJ:
NORTHEAST WINDS 55 TO
75 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 90 MPH

820pm updated forecast, Manhattan:
NORTHEAST WINDS 55 TO 75
MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 55 TO 65 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP
TO 80 MPH.

Philadelphia 630pm updated forecast:
NORTHEAST
WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...INCREASING TO 40 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

Sussex County, NJ (North West corner of NJ)
NORTHEAST
WINDS 45 TO 55 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

Northern Westchester County, NY: (Peekskill)
EAST WINDS 45 TO
65 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 50 TO 70 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP
TO 80 MPH.



....who to believe? We will all find out as tomorrow comes and goes but it'd be nice to do. That's a large discrepancy.

Dr. Masters didn't go into any detail which is unfortunate. You'd think to make such a bold statement that contradicts the NHC and NWS forecasts that you'd be detailed in explaining your thinking.

I tend to lead towards agreeing with Dr. Masters in this instance. I really doubt any gusts to 80 or 90mph will be recorded even just east of the landfall.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
CUMBERLAND NJ-ATLANTIC NJ-
935 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND NORTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 934 PM EDT...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED
NEAR VINELAND...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
the heavier rain is finally coming into my area. I am up to 0.24" of rain with it coming down at 0.30"/hr.

I saw a report from OCMD where some surf made it over the dunes, but it receded. I guess with the storm going to be in OCMD's area the next 6 hours or so the surf will probably breach a few dunes
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6260

Viewing: 216 - 166

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

Top of Page

About Blizzard92

Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

Blizzard92's Recent Photos

Personal Weather Stations

Linglestown, PA
Elevation: 520 ft
Temperature: 24.2 °F
Dew Point: 15.2 °F
Humidity: 68%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 9.0 mph
Updated: 10:37 AM EST on January 18, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations