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By: Zachary Labe , 12:54 AM GMT on August 21, 2011

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Arriving at Cornell signals the start of a chapter in an anthology. The anthology contains several short stories and/or chapters that feature a well-developed message. Time is a constant, but also more a figment of opinion. When we are sidetracked, time seems to move at the speed of sound. But when we are focused on time, it moves much slower. That applies back to the book analogy; when we enjoy a book, we can finish in hours. But throw us a book we do not enjoy, and many of us can hardly even finish it. I cannot believe how quickly high school came and left. Here I am now alone. Alone as in a different sort of independence. My entire schedule is based on when I chose to follow it. My grades are devoid of high school inflation, and now are left out to dry only being based on my actions. It is a bit intimidating arriving at any new location for any amount of time. We are taken out of our comfort zone and out of our shell. While we are most vulnerable, this allows us to mature and think more independently.

The past 24 hours have been focused on activity after activity after activity. In fact much of this past day is almost a blur. You meet so many people, but then never see them again so names are quickly forgotten. At times, you feel all emotions; lost, confused, happy. Cornell is an amazing place both through the physical campus and the spirit brought about by the student body. At any moment I can walk a few yards across scenic vistas overlooking miles and miles of mountains along with the finger lake visual of Lake Cayuga or I can trek across a rope bridge with a deep canyon and large waterfalls. I can walk from the 19th century to the 21st century in a matter of minutes looking at unique gothic architecture to buildings of the future. I have met so many amazing people with unique talents. Quoting others, “I have never felt so normal.” These people are some of the most intelligent I have come in contact with from those already concerned with topics ranging from the geology rock collections to those already entering Calculus IV as a freshman! Also a pleasant surprise arose during a choral concert I attended earlier this evening. The student body turnout was superb, far above what I observed in my high school. Being surprised by these types of talents is not only humbling, but is in a sense overwhelming. There are many of times when it is easy to get their feeling of being all alone. This feeling surely will wane as the transition continues to occur, but at first the thought is scary. College is not only about academic growth, but individual growth. It pushes our boundaries and limits to where they have never been before.

I am excited and blessed to be in the presence of this amazing university. While I hold reservations in the present, I feel the transition will only become smoother and less rigid. Meteorologically we are also entering one of our two yearly transitions where the entire landscape is radically modified. Days are becoming shorter. School is back in session. Animals are seen quickly gathering food. Trees begin to show stress. As the polar jet begins to sink south cooler and cooler air masses begin to drop into the contiguous United States, the weather begins to loose those hot summer days as they become even less frequent.

A lot of people are already beginning to look at the upcoming global patterns to approach a forecast for the upcoming winter. At this point it still is a bit early to make generalizations. The ENSO appears to favor a weak La Nina currently and ice levels are beginning to recover across the northern Hemisphere particularly in Russia and the Arctic. Also the PDO is a bit more encouraging than the past few years. And finally our –NAO remains stagnant in this incredible session of near record negative values during the past few years. Of course there are other concerns not as promising for the winter, but all in all variables at least are not signaling a blowtorch winter (for now). I hope to have a winter forecast out sometime in September if time permits.



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61. MariettaMoon
1:08 AM GMT on August 24, 2011
yelled a word that rhymes with sit

LMAO!
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
60. Zachary Labe
12:53 AM GMT on August 24, 2011
Quoting MariettaMoon:
Blizz, what do you think the chances are of Irene ended up as just a fish storm / out to sea? Haven't checked the latest, but the storm tracks have been trending east with every run for days. Do you think these eastward trends in track forecast will put on the brakes soon?

I really am not sure and have not been able to follow it too closely. But I do think while impacts will be severe in some areas depending on strength and track, I think some people are going overboard already declaring a multi-billion dollar disaster. I think the best tone is to raise awareness, but not have everyone running for the hills through scare tactics. I have some time tonight to give the forecast a look.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15099
59. originalLT
12:43 AM GMT on August 24, 2011
Hi THEF1Man,my gut feeling with this one, is an eventual curve off to the NE. I've seen so many do this in my 50 years plus of watching these systems, missing New England, giving us only a glancing blow. However, Sully on Sullivan weather feels pretty stongly the storm will pass over the Eastern half of Long Island, and then on up into NE, Thus giving us in CT tropical storm force winds with periods of very heavy rain. I guess it's the old story, "time will tell". LT PS. Good luck back in college--when ever you get there!.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7448
58. wxgeek723
10:59 PM GMT on August 23, 2011
I was actually patiently refreshing the page waiting for the intermediate advisory on Irene when the earthquake occurred. I was sitting in a lazy position that had my legs leaning up against the desk. When my desk started shaking I figured it was just me so I applied more force onto the desk. Didn't stop shaking; I was puzzled. Then everything else starting shaking and immediately I knew it was a quake, yelled a word that rhymes with sit, and ran outside.

I figured it was just a small one, that I'd go on the news and see "MINOR EARTHQUAKE RATTLES PHILADELPHIA AREA" but I guess a quake in VA ricocheting up the coast works too.

My brother is planning on spending a week in OBX this week and was going to go down Saturday. Looks like I'm going to have to convince him otherwise.
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3486
57. MariettaMoon
10:47 PM GMT on August 23, 2011
Blizz, what do you think the chances are of Irene ended up as just a fish storm / out to sea? Haven't checked the latest, but the storm tracks have been trending east with every run for days. Do you think these eastward trends in track forecast will put on the brakes soon?
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
56. MariettaMoon
10:40 PM GMT on August 23, 2011
Quoting originalLT:
Just saw max winds down to 90mph. but pressure is down to 976mb.


Probly in a regeneration stage
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
55. TheF1Man
10:32 PM GMT on August 23, 2011
My dad said he felt the earthquake in Bridgeport, right on the water. Didn't feel it about 10-15 miles north of there though.

Looks like Irene is heading for us? LT what do you think for us here in CT. I'm supposed to move back to school on sunday as well.
Member Since: February 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 676
54. wunderstorm87
9:49 PM GMT on August 23, 2011
Quoting Blizzard92:
Hurricane Irene is a comin; beware those on the east coast!

We just got a knock on the door this morning from someone telling us to be prepared to evacuate. We are right on the oceanfront here south of Wilmington.

I also felt the earthquake this afternoon.
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
53. originalLT
9:49 PM GMT on August 23, 2011
Just saw max winds down to 90mph. but pressure is down to 976mb.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7448
52. originalLT
9:45 PM GMT on August 23, 2011
I felt nothing here at my house in Stamford CT.,was watching the Weather Channel (yes they are doing a better job with this hurricane threat), but my son who lives in Norwalk CT, about 10 miles from me felt it and called me up at 1:56pm, before any reports about it on TV. It knocked something down off of one of his shelves.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7448
51. pittsburghnurse
9:15 PM GMT on August 23, 2011
Buildings swayed, desks shook. It was impressive. My daughter says she saw the walls move at the Dr.'s office where she had an appointment. My experience was much less dramatic but I'm not complaining.

Anyone heard from TRP?

On another note, our low was 48 in the predawn hours this morning.
Member Since: October 14, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 639
09L/H/I/C2
RI FLAG (flag)
MARK
21.00n/73.13w






ALWAYS FOLLOW NHC/TPC FORECASTS FOR ALL WARNINGS REGARDING THIS STORM
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting MariettaMoon:
Blizz, obviously you don't want anyone to get hurt, but you have got to be royaly p'd off that you just missed an earthquake lol! Could've been a once in a lifetime chance.

Oh believe me. It figures, haha, that it would happen a few days after I leave.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15099
Blizz, obviously you don't want anyone to get hurt, but you have got to be royaly p'd off that you just missed an earthquake lol! Could've been a once in a lifetime chance.
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
So here's our earthquake stats... 5.9 magnitude near Louisa, VA

285 miles southwest of New York, NY
230 miles southwest of Trenton, NJ
200 miles southwest of Philadelphia, PA
160 miles south-southwest of Marietta, PA
115 miles southwest of Baltimore, MD
80 miles southwest of Washington, DC
45 miles northwest of Richmond, VA

Effects were felt from Atlanta to Chicago to Detroit to New York City. A couple resons being that it was fairly shallow and there are far less fault lines along the east coast as compared to the west coast. Earthquakes usually won't spread as far out west because the fault lines are better able to absorb the effects.

I first felt vibrations and heard rumblings thinking somebody was dragging something very heavy along the floor in the apartment below me. When it didn't stop, I thought maybe the building was collapsing or something. Then, I realized it was an earthquake when my apartment began swaying back & forth. That's when I got up and jogged to my bedroom and opened the window to get on the fire escape. That's when the swaying stopped suddenly. All told it lasted somewhere in the vicinity of 30 seconds. I went downstairs and out front and all the neighbors started coming out wondering what the hell just happened lol!

It actually got pretty scary when the swaying began because I'm in the top floor of a 3 story brick apartment built around 1900. Not the sturdiest of buildings I'll tell you that much! I had a lamp and an alarm clock fall off my endtables to go with the rattling of wall ornaments.

Next up... Hurricane Irene?! Looking more & more like an east-coast runner not unlike the path of a Nor'easter (from NC up). If worst-case-scenario happens, there could be some catastrophic flooding from NC to ME, especially considering areas that have been saturated with heavy rain this month. A slight chance exists that it stays just far enough offshore to avoid a direct hit but the thing is very large in diameter so effects could be widespread even without a landfall. The outer banks to Long Island to the Mass cape seem to be in the line of fire to me right now. I'm thinking it could be a Cat 3 near NC, Cat 2 near Del-Mar-Va, Cat 1 up to Long Island and Tropical Storm into New England if that scenario plays out.
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
I did not feel anything in my dorm from the earthquake but I am very impressed by the reports back home in Harrisburg! Crazy stuff!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15099
It swayed the buildings in Midtown Manhattan and many people evacuated onto the streets. Everyone was on their cell phones with looks of confusion. That's a pretty large earthquake by East Coast standards.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Also, Blizz congrats on college and being up there. Hope we'll still be getting updates for the Mid-State region (of PA). I'll be interested to watch and see what becomes of Irene.
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
Did you feel that? 5.9 magnitude outside Charlottesville, VA. Link
Member Since: December 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 600
Wow it rocked at the Jersey Shore as well, my parrot fell off her perch!
Member Since: January 10, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 18
I felt it also. It shook for a good 10 seconds. I have felt one before when I was in NY in 2002 or 2001 and this was a bit stronger.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6255
I'm in Chambersburg and didn't notice it, but other people did.

I've recently moved to Harrisburg now, with a great view of the mountains. I work at MDT so weather plays an even more important role in my life. It's interesting because while everyone I work with isn't a trained meteorologist because weather is so crucial to our operation, they all pay very close attention to weather. Fun stuff. I'll be giving most of my updates from Harrisburg. Unless of course I'm elsewhere like today.
Member Since: December 15, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
Oh dear God Irene just took a backseat to this earthquake.
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3486
Felt the earthquake in Harrisburg. Report is that it was centered in Washington, Dc
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Holy crap, I just had an earthquake in Marietta! My mother felt it as well and she is all the way east in Telford PA, Bucks county, well north of Philadelphia. My apartment shook for about 20 seconds and a few things fell off the shelves. I got a little freaked out. Wow!
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
09L/H/I/C3
RI FLAG (flag)
MARK
20.25n/71.00w






ALWAYS FOLLOW NHC/TPC FORECASTS FOR ALL WARNINGS REGARDING THIS STORM
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Crap.

Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3486
55F this morning.
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
Quoting wxgeek723:
Lol so I'll admit I glanced at TWC to see how they're handling this storm. The LOT8s has a red box around Sunday and a message below it reading "watching the tropics". Heavy rain in the forecast that day.


I was watching it last night from 930-1015 and they are handling it very well. It's like the old TWC. Taking questions from people and answering them. Going through all the scenarios. I couldn't believe it. I guess it takes a Hurricane for them to get back to weathermode.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6255
Not comfortable about this storm coming, we have to leave Sat. to go to Michigan and take care of 92 yr old father in law.......Just a few days but that is when we will be in cone of Irene.....darn. I'll be checking in to see what is happening. So Md has not had a big storm in a while......
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Lol so I'll admit I glanced at TWC to see how they're handling this storm. The LOT8s has a red box around Sunday and a message below it reading "watching the tropics". Heavy rain in the forecast that day.
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3486
If Irene does come inland up the coast, we could see some serious flooding around here. Philadelphia has seen an August record 13.00" so far, all without any Tropical Storm remnants. The all-time monthly record is 13.07" which occured during September 1999, mostly from Hurricane Floyd. If Irene was to continue centered near Philadelphia, I wouldn't be surprised if Philadelphia ended up near 20.00" for the month.

Hurricane Irene 5-day Forecast

On another note, a very cool morning low of 53F, 48D expected here under clear skies. How sweet it is...
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
what a beautiful Fall day today. WOW, today couldn't been much better.

Hurricane Irene coming up the coast? really?
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6255
Quoting PalmyraPunishment:
Sully is back?!!??!?!?!


yup!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting originalLT:
Hoy, just checked, Blizz is still listed in the featured blogs area. And have a safe trip. LT.


Wow, I had this feeling that I would get a response from someone saying that, I guess something is whacky with my view of it. Oh well, sorry to mention it. And thanks, hope your trip went or is going well (can't recall when you were returning).
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Hoy, just checked, Blizz is still listed in the featured blogs area. And have a safe trip. LT.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7448
Animals are quickly gathering food? Oh is that what happened when I found my tomatoes wiped out just 4 days away from harvest? Yeah the sneaky thieves.

And what about my finch sock? One day it was hanging full of seed. The next day seed and sock were gone. Its one thing to take the seed. It's another to take the whole damned feeder.

So to the wild kingdom in my neck of the woods, bon appetite and this is one sucker that won't be feeding yinz next summer.
Member Since: October 14, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 639
Sully is back?!!??!?!?!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Meh, I really don't want a tropical storm on top of my 11" of rain thus far this month. Not good. Gorgeous day in South Jersey, 80F and low humidity.

Sully is back!
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3486
I'd be more excited about Irene if I was not going to be out of town for the next two weeks starting Thursday. I hope I don't miss the only hurricane or tropical storm to hit our area since long before I lived here.

Hey, Blizz, why can't I find your blog on the featured page anymore? I have to go to my favorite blogs now, yours being the sole favorite, in order to track you down.

This sunny cool weather is nice after many days of intermittent strong and severe thunderstorms.
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Quoting Blizzard92:
Hurricane Irene is a comin; beware those on the east coast!


How far north along the coast will she go?
Member Since: December 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 600
Hurricane Irene is a comin; beware those on the east coast!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15099
Morning

Just shy of 3 in for last nights boomers.

NWS issued flood notice for Squankum River in moderate flood.
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I ended with 0.99" of rain for the couple of hours. It poured at times
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6255
P:
overhead and all around
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Blizz - The heavy stuff has missed us here in Tarrytown, NY just south of P451. Just a few periods of steady rain before what looks to be a few hours of moderate rain now.

On the college front, I grew up in a small town in the midwest and went to a college much like Cornell. They are in Calc IV now, but it might mean they simply read the book first. You will pass them by the end of freshman year.
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Great "essay" as usual. Best of luck, I can't say it better than those who have commented already. Look foreward to when you have time to check in. LT "Go big red!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7448
It's raining 'cats and dogs' here. 0.54" of rain so far in 15 mins.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6255

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Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

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