Observation Blog...

By: Zachary Labe , 6:51 PM GMT on June 20, 2011

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"Current Temperature"


"Current Dewpoint"


"Current Surface Map and Weekly History of Jet Stream Position"


"Regional Radar"


"Regional Satellite"


"Regional Advisories"


"Soil Moisture Anomalies and 5-day Precipitation Amounts from Hydro Prediction Center"


"Severe Weather Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"


"12hr Estimated Precipitation"


"Forecast Max Temperatures"


"Forecast Min Temperature"


"Forecast Weather at 2pm"


"Current Storm Reports"


"Fire Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(All maps courtesy of NOAA and Penn State Meteo.)

"Forecast Model Links"
-NAM model 12z...Link
-GFS model 12z...Link
-NMM model 12z...Link
-SREF model 9z...Link

"Severe Weather Links"
-Atmospheric Soundings Skewt T charts...Link
-SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pages...Link
-Public Spotter Reports for State College NWS...Link
-Severe Weather Model Forecast indices...Link
-Severe Weather Parameter Definitions...Link

"Flooding Links"
-Automated Pennsylvania Rainfall Recording Stations...Link
-Flash Flooding Guidance...Link
-HPC Forecasts for Excessive Rainfall...Link
-Hydrology Predictions for Lakes, Rivers, and Streams...Link

Lower Susquehanna Valley Doppler...

(Courtesy of WGAL)

"Here north of Harrisburg 2011 statistics"
(Severe Weather Stats...)
Severe Thunderstorm Watches- 10
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings- 8
Tornado Watches- 3
Tornado Warnings- 0
Total Thunderstorms- 28

(Precipitation Stats...)
Flood Watches- 8
Flood Warnings- 5
Flash Flood Warnings- 6
Monthly Precipitation- 4.09in
January Precipitation- 1.12in
February Precipitation- 2.74in
March Precipitation- 6.43in
April Precipitation- 10.47in
May Precipitation- 7.87in
June Precipitation- 4.57in
July Precipitation- 4.09in
Yearly Precipitation- 37.29in

(Temperature Stats...)
Heat Advisories- 4
Excessive Heat Warnings- 2
Excessive Heat Watches- 1
90F days- 22
100F days- 2
Highest Temperature- 104F - 7/22/2011

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Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 489 - 439

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489. wunderstorm87
9:18 PM GMT on July 31, 2011
nm
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
488. Zachary Labe
8:21 PM GMT on July 31, 2011
Surprise coming within the hour or so!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
487. MariettaMoon
4:18 PM GMT on July 31, 2011
SATURDAY 07/30 NORTHEAST RECORD HIGHS
Bluefield WV: 90F*

SATURDAY 07/30 NORTHEAST RECORD HIGH MINIMUMS
Dulles VA: 76F*
Bluefield WV: 71F*
Blacksburg VA: 69F*
Roanoke VA: 74F (t)

FRIDAY 07/29 NORTHEAST RECORD HIGH MINIMUMS
Arlington (DC) VA: 80F (t)
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
485. Zachary Labe
5:45 PM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting MariettaMoon:


Just checked it out for the first time today and it looks like it just might take that northeast turn out to sea. Still time to watch though.

Thanks. I'll check that spot out.

Yea I think it will certainly get swept out with the fish given the stewing currents.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
484. MariettaMoon
4:35 PM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting Blizzard92:

I favor the fish storm route given climatological odds for that position, but to be honest I have not really looked at the setup too closely.

A lesser known spot along Blue Mountain is towards the Linglestown area on Blue Mountain Parkway at the top of Blue Mountain. There is a small park up there. Then take the trail going west for about .5mi to a clearing at a hawk migration site where the power lines are. It is a very nice and secluded location. I think that would be your best bet.


Just checked it out for the first time today and it looks like it just might take that northeast turn out to sea. Still time to watch though.

Thanks. I'll check that spot out.
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
483. MariettaMoon
4:32 PM GMT on July 30, 2011
I love how it's like 94F in Philly after a cold front passage lol
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
482. Zachary Labe
4:02 PM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting MariettaMoon:


That shear / dry air / landfall really zapped it quickly.

What do you think about the one out in the Atlantic? Looks like it's going into some favorable conditions. If it develops into a hurricane, I think an east coast landfall, rather than Gulf coast, would be more likely. Way too much time left for that though.

Do you know of any good Blue Mountain overlooks where I could get some good photos? Preferably between Harrisburg & Ft Indiantown Gap. Drove arounf Ft Indiantown Gap area and went way back into that Military area (no private property or keep out signs). Followed these public signs out on the main roads that said "This way to Hawk Overlook", I believe on second mountain, but when we got real close to it, it was a dirt road on top of the ridge that said "DANGER, DO NOT ENTER, MILITARY TESTING RANGE" or something to that effect. We looked at it and went, hhhmmmmmm, naaahhhhh, don't feel like dying quite yet! I was just dumbfounded that these real nice & new looking overlook signs with an outline of a Hawk on them placed all over the public roads for a good handful of miles would eventually lead to a no access dirt road. It's like somebody is trying to get you killed.

I favor the fish storm route given climatological odds for that position, but to be honest I have not really looked at the setup too closely.

A lesser known spot along Blue Mountain is towards the Linglestown area on Blue Mountain Parkway at the top of Blue Mountain. There is a small park up there. Then take the trail going west for about .5mi to a clearing at a hawk migration site where the power lines are. It is a very nice and secluded location. I think that would be your best bet.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
479. MariettaMoon
3:07 PM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting Blizzard92:

I had always been surprised that people were calling for Don to be a hurricane. Water vapor loops clearly indicated dry air all through the gulf of Mexico and Texas along with unfavorable upper level shear. I just didn't see that it really had any chance to strengthen. Although I was surprised how pathetic it looked at landfall. Sometimes people making the forecasts look at too many complex variables and ignore the obvious factors.


That shear / dry air / landfall really zapped it quickly.

What do you think about the one out in the Atlantic? Looks like it's going into some favorable conditions. If it develops into a hurricane, I think an east coast landfall, rather than Gulf coast, would be more likely. Way too much time left for that though.

Do you know of any good Blue Mountain overlooks where I could get some good photos? Preferably between Harrisburg & Ft Indiantown Gap. Drove arounf Ft Indiantown Gap area and went way back into that Military area (no private property or keep out signs). Followed these public signs out on the main roads that said "This way to Hawk Overlook", I believe on second mountain, but when we got real close to it, it was a dirt road on top of the ridge that said "DANGER, DO NOT ENTER, MILITARY TESTING RANGE" or something to that effect. We looked at it and went, hhhmmmmmm, naaahhhhh, don't feel like dying quite yet! I was just dumbfounded that these real nice & new looking overlook signs with an outline of a Hawk on them placed all over the public roads for a good handful of miles would eventually lead to a no access dirt road. It's like somebody is trying to get you killed.
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
478. MariettaMoon
2:55 PM GMT on July 30, 2011
NORTHEAST MISSED RECORD HIGHS FROM LAST WEEK

TUESDAY 07/26
Wallops Island VA: 93F (t)

THURSDAY 07/28
Bluefield WV: 90F (t)
------------------------------------------------- -----

NORTHEAST MISSED RECORD HIGH MINIMUMS FROM LAST WEEK

THURSDAY 07/21
Scranton PA: 73F (t)

SATURDAY 07/23
Syracuse NY: 74F (t)
Scranton PA: 76F*

SUNDAY 07/24
Scranton PA: 74F (t)
Arlington (DC) VA: 84F* (All-time record high minimum tied)

TUESDAY 07/26
Bluefield WV: 70F (t)

FRIDAY 07/29
Bluefield WV: 70F (t)
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
477. Zachary Labe
2:08 PM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting MariettaMoon:
P451: Awsome!

Anybody follow the landfall of Tropical Storm Don? I've never seen a tropical system dissapear like that! Up and vanished like a fart in the wind...

I had always been surprised that people were calling for Don to be a hurricane. Water vapor loops clearly indicated dry air all through the gulf of Mexico and Texas along with unfavorable upper level shear. I just didn't see that it really had any chance to strengthen. Although I was surprised how pathetic it looked at landfall. Sometimes people making the forecasts look at too many complex variables and ignore the obvious factors.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
476. MariettaMoon
1:56 PM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting originalLT:
Hi MM, yeah, I noticed that.--POOF! I think 91L could be a much more important system, I guess we'll know that by Mon. or Tues>


Yes, keeping an eye on that one for sure.
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
475. originalLT
4:17 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Hi MM, yeah, I noticed that.--POOF! I think 91L could be a much more important system, I guess we'll know that by Mon. or Tues>
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7511
474. MariettaMoon
4:07 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
P451: Awsome!

Anybody follow the landfall of Tropical Storm Don? I've never seen a tropical system dissapear like that! Up and vanished like a fart in the wind...
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
473. originalLT
3:49 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
I only got about .10" of rain here in Stamford. We did have lightning and thunder, but that powerful cell that hit P451's area just went by to my West by about 8-10 miles or so. Glad I missed the damage, but could have used more rain than one tenth of an inch!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7511
472. wunderstorm87
2:59 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
P451- It sounds like you were caught in a supercell microburst. This is a video of a microburst from Norman, OK in June that got a lot of attention on youtube...
Link

Golf ball sized hail & ~70mph winds
Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
471. Zachary Labe
2:41 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Quoting P451:
#467

Thanks

Power still out

One mile down the road everything is ripped down

Not sure if it will be called a tornado

When it hit I was in its inflow channel horizontal winds 70 plus
Lota limbs ripped down
Two huge trees three houses down ripped down

Tree on property blown apart lughtning strike

I went for the basement

Well phone surfing stinks. Will chime in tomorrow
Hope power is restored

Dunno tho abput 50 yard wide area decimated all trees and poles torn down

Just a mile away

Wow! Crazy! Get some pictures!!!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
469. goofyrider
12:20 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
Lighting thunder heavy rain at first + - 1 in 30 min. Second storm headed in .
Member Since: February 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2777
468. Hoynieva
12:17 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
We had torrential rains here in the city for about 45 minutes. There was lightning and thunder as well, along with some wind, but primarily very heavy rain. One last batch is moving through now and then it looks clear. I'm really enjoying this recent rainfall.
Member Since: January 20, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1503
467. WestchesterNY
12:06 AM GMT on July 30, 2011
P451 - Hope you are OK. I am just a bit south of you in Tarrytown. Very dark here for a while. Sprinkles and light rain for a few hours. 0.10 inches in the gauge. Lawn could have used more. What a fine line between damage and drought!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 26
465. PhillySnow
10:34 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Wow - I wasn't expecting anything today and now there are severe thunderstorms. Looks like mostly north of us again, although we could get some.

Stay safe, P, and the rest of you northerners!
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1234
464. MariettaMoon
10:30 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
FRIDAY 07/29 NORTHEAST RECORD HIGHS
Georgetown DE: 99F (t)
Glen Burnie (BWI) MD: 101F*
Dulles VA: 103F*
Arlington (DC) VA: 104F*
Wallops Island VA: 99F*
Richmond VA: 103F*
Bluefield WV: 89F*

OTHER FRIDAY 07/29 NORTHEAST 100F HIGHS
Baltimore Harbor MD: 104F (no records available)
Martinsburg WV: 102F
Charlottesville VA: 100F (no records available)
Danville VA: 100F
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
463. Gaara
10:06 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Yowza. That's one scary-ass tiny little speck of green on the radial velocity..



Member Since: December 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 375
459. goofyrider
9:28 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
I seem to have lost all my buttons on rt site of entry or is that just me never noticed it

P check out Sulls view.
Member Since: February 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2777
455. goofyrider
7:43 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
looks like sully is making a comeback
Member Since: February 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2777
453. Zachary Labe
6:45 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Severe Thunderstorm Watch!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
451. originalLT
3:12 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Sorry for being such a "Dummy"!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7511
450. originalLT
3:10 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Morning Guys, P451 or Blizz, what do you mean by "grading"? And what buttons?
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7511
449. wunderstorm87
2:59 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
The HRRR builds up about 3000 to 4000 j/kg of MUCAPE over much of central PA. This combined with even a small amount of SR-Helicity(25-50 m2/s2) and wind shear profiles favorable for supercells/multicells will create the risk for an isolated tornado or two today. The 12z NAM EHI peaks at about 2 for KMDT.

I'll be at Millersville so I probably won't be able to post unless I can from mobile.

Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
448. Zachary Labe
2:53 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Quoting P451:
Good morning, had a nice hit of rain overnight. Looks like there could be some action this afternoon as well possibly severe.


Also note we're being graded these days. Yay!... and now, whoever is trolling the + button, FESS UP.


What a useless tool. Ignore, report, and hide is all we need. The other stuff can stay on facebook or myspace and other useless places where popularity amongst strangers is apparently so very important.

hahaha... those buttons have always been there, but the rating being visible is new. I think wunderground blogs are trying to appeal to a larger crowd due to some loss in popularity this past year.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
445. Zachary Labe
2:01 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
Total of 1.52in from yesterday.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
444. goofyrider
12:41 PM GMT on July 29, 2011
<0.10 in this am.
Member Since: February 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2777
443. Zachary Labe
2:29 AM GMT on July 29, 2011
My twitter daily weather updates... Link
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
442. Zachary Labe
11:54 PM GMT on July 28, 2011
Been getting extremely heavy rain here last few hours. 1.44in of rain here with thunder and heavy rain!!!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
441. Zachary Labe
10:35 PM GMT on July 28, 2011
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:


that sounds great. I love white sweet corn...they used to call crunchy white sweet corn Silver Queen. I can't get red tomatoes. I have plenty of peppers and green beans and just made my beets yesterday. I love pickled beets. I think I have picked at least 200 cucumbers. I made pickles a week ago. They are still in the crock fermenting. My potato plants are dying and I will be digging up the potatoes within a week or two.

Shellfish is really good.

Yep Silver Queen! That is it; I couldn't remember the name. All of a sudden I have lots of tomatoes. I also tried one of those hanging ones, topsy turvy, but the plant has a disease and the bottom half of every tomato that ripens is black.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
440. TheRasberryPatch
9:17 PM GMT on July 28, 2011
Quoting Blizzard92:
Update from my garden... Picked 10 ears of corns of fantastic white sweet corn in the last day along with beets, my potatoes, lots of tomatoes, peppers, cucumber, zucchini, and yellow beans.


that sounds great. I love white sweet corn...they used to call crunchy white sweet corn Silver Queen. I can't get red tomatoes. I have plenty of peppers and green beans and just made my beets yesterday. I love pickled beets. I think I have picked at least 200 cucumbers. I made pickles a week ago. They are still in the crock fermenting. My potato plants are dying and I will be digging up the potatoes within a week or two.

Shellfish is really good.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6256
439. Zachary Labe
7:38 PM GMT on July 28, 2011
Update from my garden... Picked 10 ears of corns of fantastic white sweet corn in the last day along with beets, my potatoes, lots of tomatoes, peppers, cucumber, zucchini, and yellow beans.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112

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About Blizzard92

Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

Blizzard92's Recent Photos

Personal Weather Stations

Linglestown, PA
Elevation: 520 ft
Temperature: 24.2 °F
Dew Point: 15.2 °F
Humidity: 68%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 9.0 mph
Updated: 10:37 AM EST on January 18, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations