Observation Blog...

By: Zachary Labe , 7:14 PM GMT on March 14, 2011

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"Current Temperature"


"Current Dewpoint"


"Current Surface Map and Weekly History of Jet Stream Position"


"Regional Radar"


"Regional Satellite"


"Regional Advisories"


"Soil Moisture Anomalies and 5-day Precipitation Amounts from Hydro Prediction Center"


"Severe Weather Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"


"12hr Estimated Precipitation"


"Forecast Max Temperatures"


"Forecast Min Temperature"


"Forecast Weather at 2pm"


"Current Storm Reports"


"Fire Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(All maps courtesy of NOAA and Penn State Meteo.)

"Forecast Model Links"
-NAM model 12z...Link
-GFS model 12z...Link
-NMM model 12z...Link
-SREF model 9z...Link

"Severe Weather Links"
-Atmospheric Soundings Skewt T charts...Link
-SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pages...Link
-Public Spotter Reports for State College NWS...Link
-Severe Weather Model Forecast indices...Link
-Severe Weather Parameter Definitions...Link

"Flooding Links"
-Automated Pennsylvania Rainfall Recording Stations...Link
-Flash Flooding Guidance...Link
-HPC Forecasts for Excessive Rainfall...Link
-Hydrology Predictions for Lakes, Rivers, and Streams...Link

Lower Susquehanna Valley Doppler...

(Courtesy of WGAL)

"Here northeast of Harrisburg 2010-2011 winter statistics"
(Snow Stats)
Current Snow Cover- 0in of snow
Monthly Total (November)- Trace
Monthly Total (December)- 0.6in
Monthly Total (January)- 18.90in
Monthly Total (February)- 6.45in
Monthly Total (March)- 3.1in
Seasonal Total- 29.05in
Winter Weather Advisories- 9
Winter Storm Warnings- 2
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 1
Winter Storm Watches- 2

(Temperature Stats)
Lowest High Temperature- 23.7F
Lowest Low Temperature- -1.7F
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0

(Snow Storms Stats)
First accumulating snow - December 10 - 0.50in of snow
Clipper light snow - January 7-8 - 2.25in then another 1in of snow
Double Barrel Low - January 11 - 4.5in of snow
Coastal Low - January 17-17 - 1.8in of snow/sleet
Arctic Front - January 20-21 - 2.1in of snow
Upper level/coastal low - January 26 - 5.75in of snow
Two clippers - January 28-29 - 1.5in of snow
Overrunning Snow - February 21 - 5.0in of snow
Rain to snow - March 6 - 3.0in of snow

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Rain snow mix, 35.3 and falling in lower bucks county PA. No snow in the forecast.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
Quoting wunderstorm87:

I like to tell people I look forward to the first day of spring thunderstorms like I do Christmas. In reality I actually look forward to the storms more.


:-) I totally understand...no stresses and shoulds, just wonder.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5483
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:
just curious don't you need Physical Geography for Meteorology? I remember taking Physical Geography and it taught me a lot about the weather.

Blizz - Parents know best hahahaha

Here is like a course catalog of some of my required courses over the four years at Cornell... Link
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15088
just curious don't you need Physical Geography for Meteorology? I remember taking Physical Geography and it taught me a lot about the weather.

Blizz - Parents know best hahahaha
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
TT, I think a geography minor would be great with your Meteorology major, it's a good fit. I would just try to stay away from "economic geography" type classes--that is getting away from what I think "we" like, found them pretty boring. Physical geography courses would be great, also any "soil science" courses if they are offered would be interesting(however, they may be in the Geology Dept. if your school has one). I don't know what is being offered now, I've been out of that realm for well over 35 years!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7415
Quoting Blizzard92:
I cannot wait for Spring convection!

It looks like we have a chance Tuesday. The long range outlook from the SPC is quite colorful for areas to the south and west. Given the modeled dewpoints and temperatures some severe tstorms could even make it up here depending on timing.

I like to tell people I look forward to the first day of spring thunderstorms like I do Christmas. In reality I actually look forward to the storms more.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
From what I have seen of your expertise on this blog you should be teaching, not taking these courses
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Spring Convection!!!!! Wooo, you said it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TrentonThunder- Cornell is similar. There are no required core classes like at other colleges such as a foreign language, etc. Therefore I can start right away at my meteorology classes and utilize junior and senior years for my internship type things for credit.

Freshman Fall/Spring Semester Meteorology Classes

-Principles of Meteorology
-Basic Meteorology Lab
-Computer Programming/Meteorology Software

LivelySnow- Yep, I pretty much done and have been for a little while. I cannot wait for Spring convection!

TheRasberryPatch- Lol, my parents have been teasing me that it will be like the warmest winter ever for the Northeast up through Ithaca, New York.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15088
Quoting LivelySnow:
UGH!!!! I got burned again!!! Thank Goodness this winter is officially over....I'm tired of being teased endlessly by the models only to have them "shift" at the last minute. Ahh....until next winter!!! Now, it's time to focus on those gorgeous 65-70 degree days where I can walk in peace in my garden!!!!!


Just think, next winter Blizz will miss all the big snows that will hit the area...hahahahaha....and the LES will be non-existant.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
UGH!!!! I got burned again!!! Thank Goodness this winter is officially over....I'm tired of being teased endlessly by the models only to have them "shift" at the last minute. Ahh....until next winter!!! Now, it's time to focus on those gorgeous 65-70 degree days where I can walk in peace in my garden!!!!!
Member Since: January 29, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 53
Blizz: Thanks. I'm excited about it. Looking forward to taking University paid trips to Wallops Island VA Science Consortium. I'll be abe to start low-level Meteorology courses this Fall. One of the draws they use is that incoming Freshman (I'll be a Junior transfer) can take a low-level Meteorology course as soon as they get there. You have to wait until Junior year at most schools before the Met classes. When can you start them at Cornell?

RAS: I wouldn't be surprised at this though either; given the rapid changes northeastward and tight consensus on it, that this thing would just about miss the U.S. and hit the Maritimes lol.

Thanks Philly. To be honest, the snow vanished from over my head the moment that P451 moved to New York. He's the lucky charm.



Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
Upper 40s here in springfield, not all that cold. NWS offices still in somewhat disagreement i've noticed. Albany and Taunton,MA never seem to be on the same page though.
Member Since: February 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 676
Well it is snowing here in Smithfield, RI, not sticking, but this was supposed to be rain showers and it was supposed to be in the upper 40's - 50, it never made it above 42-43 and now snow.....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Exciting news, TT! Congratulations. A friend's daughter went to Millersville, and she loved it. Maybe you'll bring the snow with you. :)

Still cold and drizzling here. Wishing for a miracle, but I'd settle for 60 degrees.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1229
as quick as the models changed from this morning, I wouldn't doubt if they change again. how many times did it happen this winter?
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
Crazy, radical changes this afternoon in the modeling. Appears the formation of this coastal will be too far northeast to have much effect on the region.

Quoting TrentonThunder:


RAS: Thanks. Yeah, I golf occasionally. My father is an avid golfer and that's good to know for when he comes out and visits. Sure we'll be checking that out. Loving the fact we'll be right there at the river.

Youngy: I'm transferring to Millersville University for the Fall 2011 semester, Meteorology major. We'll start moving in around mid-May and be living there full time come June. We'll be on West Market St near the square. Think we'll be having lunch for the first time at McCleary's this Saturday. We'll be out there signing some papers.

Congrats! Millersville had a great meteorology weather center!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15088
Quoting TrentonThunder:
Thanks Listener. LT, Im considering a Geography minor. How did you like it?

Terrible 12z runs. We're talkin C"-1" in the LSV and 1"-3" in the Poconos with those crappy runs.


Just like that the forecast changed to what you said TT. That didn't take long
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
Thanks Listener. LT, Im considering a Geography minor. How did you like it?

Terrible 12z runs. We're talkin C"-1" in the LSV and 1"-3" in the Poconos with those crappy runs.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:
oh right it was Letty...zotty/letty...similar lettering hahahaha

Letty - do you golf? not too far from you is a nice course called Mansion Ridge. There was talk of a bear that roamed around the 14th green, but I never saw it.


Definitely not a golfer! But I have seen bears running around Warwick. :-) Those suckers can move pretty fast when they want to!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I AGREE WITH YOU P451, JUST TOO WARM. FOR THOSE OF US NEAR, OR AS YOU SAID WITHIN 30 MILES OF THE COAST.. TT, glad you liked the site. I used it the other week to see how far I was from Buchannon NY, the Indian Point reactor, and it showed 23 miles to my NW, with a nice map. I've always loved maps too, I guess that's one of the reasons I was a Geography Major in College, and Grad. School!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7415
maybe they thought the storms would be able to funnel in colder air that was below freezing. 37F here with light mist
Campbelltown, PA
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
they have the forecast here for the LSV of 2-4 inches this evening and into tomorrow a total of 3-5 inches. now if this was in Maryland and DC they would be cancelling schools to tomorrow. hahahahaha
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
Quoting TrentonThunder:


RAS: Thanks. Yeah, I golf occasionally. My father is an avid golfer and that's good to know for when he comes out and visits. Sure we'll be checking that out. Loving the fact we'll be right there at the river.

Youngy: I'm transferring to Millersville University for the Fall 2011 semester, Meteorology major. We'll start moving in around mid-May and be living there full time come June. We'll be on West Market St near the square. Think we'll be having lunch for the first time at McCleary's this Saturday. We'll be out there signing some papers.


Congrats on your move and you've picked the right major!
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 83
Just rain here, low 37.7. Im thinking up to a dusting here Friday morning.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
Quoting listenerVT:
Sweet Congratulations, TrentonThunder!

Don't forget about us when you're wildly busy. :-)


Thanks. I think Im busy now with Life & Health, Contemporary Social Problems, Chemistry 101 and Pre-Calculus. Wait until next year.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
Quoting originalLT:
Also, found a cool site which gives distances between cities, "as the crow flies" both in miles and kilometers. The site is, WWW.distancefromto.net ,Try it out, like I did between Stamford Ct. and Croton On Hudson NY where P451 is, it's about 21 miles or 34KM. It also gives you a map with a straight line drawn in between the two cities you are checking.


Cool. I love maps for some reason.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
Quoting originalLT:
Congrats TT, will you be changing your "handle"?

Thanks. Yes, oh yes, there will be a handle change. Funnily enough Ive already thought of that.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
a light dusting on the grass and other soft surfaces. 34F

Campbelltown, PA
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
If the 12z ECMWF comes on board, we could be talking 2-5in for the Lower Susquehanna Valley with 4-9in for parts of northeastern Pennsylvania. Stay tuned!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15088
Sweet Congratulations, TrentonThunder!

Don't forget about us when you're wildly busy. :-)
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5483
Quoting P451:


Burlington VT

Albany NY

Tauton MA

NYC

Mount Holly NJ


Notice they don't blend well station to station. There is absolute disagreement between offices regarding accumulations.


GFS 120 HR Total Accum

Earls Model Page (Many Snowfall Maps)


Awesome! Thanks so much.
Looks like 8-10" for me.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5483
Also, found a cool site which gives distances between cities, "as the crow flies" both in miles and kilometers. The site is, WWW.distancefromto.net ,Try it out, like I did between Stamford Ct. and Croton On Hudson NY where P451 is, it's about 21 miles or 34KM. It also gives you a map with a straight line drawn in between the two cities you are checking.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7415
Congrats TT, will you be changing your "handle"?
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7415
Quoting youngy333:
Nice, TT. I work in Marietta...nice little historic town. You'll enjoy Shank's Tavern and McCleary's Public House. If you don't mind me asking, what brings you to Marietta?


RAS: Thanks. Yeah, I golf occasionally. My father is an avid golfer and that's good to know for when he comes out and visits. Sure we'll be checking that out. Loving the fact we'll be right there at the river.

Youngy: I'm transferring to Millersville University for the Fall 2011 semester, Meteorology major. We'll start moving in around mid-May and be living there full time come June. We'll be on West Market St near the square. Think we'll be having lunch for the first time at McCleary's this Saturday. We'll be out there signing some papers.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
Quoting TrentonThunder:
Well, I'll officially be a member of the LSV (right on the S) by this summer. Got an apartment in historic Marietta Pennsylvania which is between Lancaster, York and Harrisburg, but a litte closer to Lancaster and York. We're just 2 blocks from the Susquehanna in western Lancaster County.
Nice, TT. I work in Marietta...nice little historic town. You'll enjoy Shank's Tavern and McCleary's Public House. If you don't mind me asking, what brings you to Marietta?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TT - welcome TT...you will pretty much be due south of me. If you golf there is a nice course on the other side of the river from you and the south side of rt 30 called Cool Creek. It is challenging. There are a few nice restaurants in that area as well. The Susquehanna river is a beautiful river.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
Well, I'll officially be a member of the LSV (right on the S) by this summer. Got an apartment in historic Marietta Pennsylvania which is between Lancaster, York and Harrisburg, but a litte closer to Lancaster and York. We're just 2 blocks from the Susquehanna in western Lancaster County.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 796
Quoting Blizzard92:



Deform band looks sweet!
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Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15088
Quoting Blizzard92:


Go away, hahaha. Only rain/snow here with the temperature of 37F. Did you see the 18z GFS for tomorrow night??!!



Not yet. What's the update? Just measured 0.7"
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Blizzard92:


Go away, hahaha. Only rain/snow here with the temperature of 37F. Did you see the 18z GFS for tomorrow night??!!


NO we didn't...why don't you tell us....hahahaha

rain/snow/sleet mix with temps falling...36F
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6248
Quoting Mason803:
closing in on 1" of snow here in cashtown. very nice!!


Go away, hahaha. Only rain/snow here with the temperature of 37F. Did you see the 18z GFS for tomorrow night??!!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 282 Comments: 15088

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About Blizzard92

Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

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Elevation: 520 ft
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