October Nor'easter???

By: Zachary Labe , 1:53 AM GMT on October 12, 2009

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I must say this has to be one of my favorite Octobers in the last few years. I took one of my typical hikes Sunday afternoon up on the trail that strattles the summit of Blue Mountain near Linglestown for a few miles to the power line clearing/hawk migration viewing location. Fall leaves were looking pretty nice with oaks even beginning to show some yellow color change. Colors are about a week ahead of schedule with maples reaching their peak here in the Lower Susquehanna Vally by the end of this coming week. Then this evening my church held a nice fall festival function with bonfires, hayrides, and overall just a nice community get together. While I was sitting their chit-chatting with all the locals at the bonfire on this clear and cool October night, it just is that great feeling you get that everything is great. To me an open fire with stars in the sky in an open field is so relaxing, I just can never see myself ever living in a city. This Sunday evening sure was beautiful with the temperature already down in the mid 40s by 8pm with a wonderful sunset in the midst of Fall leaves. And looking ahead this wonderful cool weather pattern is going to continue. The weather pattern is indeed fascinating and I gather from many people it brings back memories of a typical Autumn with cool, breezy days and cold nights. Looking back at my daily weather journals I can definitely concur we have had our fair share of 80 and even a 90degree days in the last few Octobers, especially October 2007. Forecasting the weather is not just be able to analyze data from computer models and weather maps, but it is also necessary to be able recall past weather events/synoptic setups and apply them to present weather forecasting. This blog is going to take a look at the current weather pattern for the week ahead and take a look at a possible nor'easter setup towards the weekend, which in my opinion is foreshadowing what is yet to come this winter! I am going to try to do my best to recall other past October nor'easter and rain/snow events to summarize the scenarios present for the upcoming week.


Fig 1.1- (Courtesy of HPC) Looking across the current surface map a few features are evident including a large and expansive high pressure over the middle of the nation, a trough over 2/3rds of the continental United States, and an approaching low pressure towards the California coast.

Frost and freeze advisories/warnings are out for a large portion of the Northeast including parts of the northern Middle Atlantic in much of Pennsylvania and western Maryland. This is courtesy of a trough over the east coast with cool Canadian air funneling down with a high pressure to the west allowing for ideal radiational cooling conditions. Many areas in the northern 2/3rds of Pennsylvania will see an abrupt end to their growing season. As the week progresses a shortwave will progress through the eastern United States later on Monday through Tuesday enhancing the cold air and amplifying the jet stream with a ridge in west/trough in east orientation. This is where the forecast takes a turn to a more interesting approach which may prove as a good test for some of us to renew our coastal storm forecasting skills (that would be me hahaha). In any case it appears several scenarios will present themeselves with interesting thermal progressions that may allow for some wrap-around rain/snow showers in northern Pennsylvania.

Before we look at the current synoptic setup, lets review a few past October nor'easter events. The one of recent memory is the 28-29 October 2008 nor'easter special for northeastern Pennsylvania.

Fig. 2.1- (Courtesy of NWS BGM) This is a 12z October 28 surface map indicating a 992mb low off the New Jersey coast.

The event featured a negatively tilted trough under a deep amplified jet allowing a low pressure to move up along the New Jersey coast north through the Connecticut Valley up through Canada. Now keep in mind being this was the very end of October, there was a bit more cold air to present itself. Bufkit profiles indicating winds of 50-60mph a few thousand feet aloft allowed for some strong winds to occur across eastern Pennsylvania. Across the higher elevations coupled with H85s near (-4)-(-6) blizzard conditions occurred resulting in some areas of 2ft of snow from Luzerne up through Wayne Counties.

Halloween seems to be a common time for nor'easters to strike the eastern seaboard. Another similar low track occurred in 2005 on October 24-25 when remnants of Tropical Storm Alpha and Hurricane Wilma allowed moisture to stream along the negatively orientated trough with an upper level low over the Great Lakes. This setup allowed for moderate snowfall totals to occur over the mountains of Pennsylvania with rainfall for elevations below 1900ft. As cooler air funneled in from the northwest courtesy of the upper level low, the complex synoptic setup featured up to 10inches over the ridges of the Laurel Highlands up through the north central mountains.

Fig 3.1- (Courtesy of the NWS CTP) This surface map shows the 984mb primary low off of Long Island coast with the moisture from the water vapor loop indicating heavy precipitation over Pennsylvania. Rainfall totals for much of eastern Pennsylvania totaled over 1-2inches.

Now once again what is important to observe in these short case studies is the date of the events. Many nor'easters in October are featured in the later half of the month. Remember the perfect storm in 1991, again featured at the very end of the month. Archives prove October has featured some very harsh nor'easters and cold Outbreaks as it is a transition month. The month is very similar to April or May with complex storm systems across the mid section of the Nation and sharp temperature contrasts from cold fronts and ridge orientations. So why all of this talk about nor'easters? Well the end of the week poses a few interesting possibilities.

Interesting 500mb initiations from models for the end of this week as a large -EPO fueled ridge will allow for a large ridge across the west coast.

Fig. 4.1- (Courtesy of Raleighwx Models) Current GFS predictions indicate the negative EPO to last through the end of this week before it rises to positive for a short time before once again transitioning negative by the end of the month. A negative EPO and positive PNA are typical for a western United States ridge formation.

Looking at the NAO, which is a general rule of thumb with the AO for eastern troughing events. A decent theory is the idea of a progression from an extended negative NAO to a positive NAO or an extended positive NAO to a negative NAO is usually coupled with a large east coast storm.

Fig 5.1- (Courtesy of CPC) Once again note the transition from negative to positive occuring around the 15-17th of October, which is the exact period for the possibilities of a coastal storm.

Current 10/11/09 18UTC GFS took an interesting approach for the low pressure and is more in line with 0UTC ECMWF guidance. Model guidance has generally been extremely poor for the last few weeks so this end of the week system can be taken with a grain of salt. But I am going to lay out the scenarios is pose my highest threat scenario. As the week progresses I will update through comments on the possibility. For all we know this system may not even exist by Thursday. But generally this a decent model consensus on a general progression as followed...

06UTC Friday...

Generally a low pressure tracks across the Tennessee Valley as moisture moves up from the south from the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile a large expansive western ridge with orient an approaching trough from the Great Lakes to cause colder air to funnel into the system.

18UTC Friday...

Transfer from primary low to coastal low off Virginia coastline will allow for double barrel low to continue to produce heavy precipitation over the Middle Atlantic. While H85s are below 0C for much of Pennsylvania, that does not mean snow. I will talk more about this later. Also take note of the deformation band axis over the I-80 corridor in Pennsylvania.

06UTC Saturday...

Finally the low pressure begins to weaken and move to the northeast over the region with some residual rain/snow showers over western Maryland and western Pennsylvania.

So it appears the setup is isentropic lift allowing for some rain to start towards Thursday along a quasi-stationary boundary over the Middle Atlantic. Then a low pressure will transition from across the Tennessee Valley and reform along the eastern seaboard tracking towards 40/70 benchmark and on northeastward. Meanwhile high pressure will be over southern Canada trying to funnel in marginally cold air to the rear northwest flank of the system. Thermal layers from GFS bufkit data indicate most of the Middle Atlantic to range from 1000-500mb thickness around 541-549dam, which especially in October is not cold enough for snow even in the highest of elevations. It generally looks like a rain event for most areas for a large portion of the event which may feature some moderate to heavy rain.

12z ECMWF indicates a similar forecast to the 18z GFS, except the track is a bit closer to the coast near KACY. As the system wraps up is when the potential for snow flakes exists as cold air rushes into the back-end of the system with the potential for some snow over the higher elevations especially towards northeastern Pennsylvania. Latest ECMWF, GGEM, GFS consensus definitely is leaning towards H85s well below 0C with 540dam thickness as far south as Mason-Dixon line. I think for this event a few things are possible. For one I have noticed a slight south trend in model data within the past few days. Previous runs, especially of the GFS had an over-amplifyied 992mb low up the east coast under a negatively tilted trough with cold air rushing down the spine of the Appalachians. Also I would like to see the high pressure about 5mb stronger to reinforce blocking and cold air into the system. The pressure gradient is relatively tight and the easterly flow coupled with high historical astronomical tides this year may pose for a large coastal erosion and flooding threat with 40-45mph gusts along the coast. So in conclusion it appears a moderate to high threat of a coastal storm is likely towards Thursday and Friday. I think the GFS is a bit slow in the lows progression. I think as model runs progress the actual track may be a bit farther to the south and slightly weaker. Moderate to heavy rain is possible over the Middle Atlantic in this time frame with breezy conditions. Coastal flooding and erosion is extremely likely along the Chesapeake coastline and Atlantic Ocean. Depending on wet bulb heights and precipitation intensity, some snow may mix in on the rain towards the end of the system towards Friday night as a deep trough moves over the region. Though this time of year I would like to see H85s a bit colder. Although a good rule of thumb of October snows is usually you will only be able to predict if one will see snow flakes hours before the event. Stay tuned for updates throughout the week. The general pattern regime for this week is steady below normal temperatures. This is an exciting pattern that may be setting up for the winter. My call for a moderate El Nino looks set with an westerly wind burst really causing SSTs to rise again towards Nino region 3.4. The PDO is also rising, which is more good news. As long as we do not get a sudden switch, I think it is likely many areas see their first snowflakes at or before Thanksgiving.

"Here 10mi Northeast of Harrisburg, PA 2009 Statistics"
(Severe Weather Stats...)
Severe Thunderstorm Watches- 8
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings- 9
Tornado Watches- 0
Tornado Warnings- 0
Total Thunderstorms- 33

(Precipitation Stats...)
Flood Watches- 4
Flood Warnings- 1
Monthly Precipitation- 0.97inches
Yearly Precipitation- 33.50inches

(Temperature Stats...)
Heat Advisories- 2
Excessive Heat Warnings- 0
90degree Days- 9
Highest Temperature- 95degrees


KTHV (York-Thomasville, PA)...
Mason803- September 30
Blizzard92- October 4
Snowlover2010- October 5
wxgeek723- October 7
Lawntonlookers- October 14
TheRasberryPatch- October 15
hurricane30- October 17
Tazmanian- October 20

KMDT (Harrisburg-Middletown, PA)...
Snowlover2010- September 30
Blizzard92- October 7
TheRasberryPatch- October 8
wxgeek723- October 11
hurricane30- October 17
Lawtonlookers- October 21
Mason803- October 22
Tazmanian- October 30

KBFD (Bradford, PA)...
Snowlover2010- September 15
Mason803- September 18
hurricane30- September 18
Blizzard92- September 22
TheRasberryPatch- September 23
Lawtonlookers- September 28
wxgeek723- September 30
Tazmanian- October 1

KPIT (Pittsburgh, PA)...
Snowlover2010- September 28
Mason803- September 28
Blizzard92- October 1
Lawtonlookers- October 5
TheRasberryPatch- October 6
hurricane30- October 12
wxgeek723- October 14
Tazmanian- October 20

KPHL (Philadelphia, PA)...
Tazmanian- October 9
Snowlover2010- October 12
TheRasberryPatch- October 17
Blizzard92- October 27
Mason803- October 30
hurricane30- November 4
Lawtonlookers- November 5
wxgeek723- November 6

KIAD (Dulles International-Washington, DC)...
Tazmanian- October 15
Mason803- October 15
TheRasberryPatch- October 15
hurricane30- October 22
Snowlover2010- October 27
Blizzard92- October 28
Lawtonlookers- October 28
wxgeek723- November 9

KHGR (Hagerstown, MD)...
Blizzard92- October 6
TheRasberryPatch- October 8
Tazmanian- October 10
Snowlover2010- October 10
Lawtonlookers- October 14
wxgeek723- October 16
hurricane30- October 17
Mason803- October 20

KBWI (Baltimore, MD)...
Tazmanian- October 7
TheRasberryPatch- October 17
Snowlover2010- October 25
Blizzard92- October 25
Lawtonlookers- November 1
Mason802- November 4
wxgeek723- November 9

KILG (Wilmington, DE)...
Tazmanian- October 15
TheRasberryPatch- October 20
Weathergeek5- October 24
Blizzard92- October 25
Snowlover2010- October 27
Mason803- October 29
hurricane30- October 29
wxgeek723- November 3
Lawtonlookers- November 5

KSBY (Salisbury, MD)...
TheRasberryPatch- October 25
Snowlover2010- October 27
Mason803- November 3
hurricane30- November 4
Tazmanian- November 5
Lawtonlookers- November 8
wxgeek723- November 15
Blizzard92- November 18

Autumn's festival of colors... (Blizzard92)
Leaves beginning to really show along Blue Mountain near Harrisburg at the top with an elevation around 1230ft.
Autumn's festival of colors...

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Hi Patch,
Well glad you didn't get snow if you didn't want any. It does seem awfully early. It is nice to enjoy October. It has been too cold and windy and wet for the beach. Even so, I'm sure it was beautiful, but I just couldn't get it together to go out there and put my feet in the sand.
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hurigo - i didn't get snow and proud of it. no thanks. not this time of year. most of the trees have leaves on them.

i prefer October weather.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
Congratulations and Thanks Blizz for a great blog. You did a very good job.
And Congratulations to all you up there that had snow. What a way to start a season, with so many record breakers. So much more pleasant than Tropical stuff.
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Blizz- Got my first real frost this AM, 28.6F, looks like another sub-freezing morning tomorrow.
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Monster storm again this weekend, but much warmer this go around.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 248 Comments: 3970
Forgot to mention, I received a total of 1.08" of rain for both storms, .53" for the first, .55" for the second... pretty even!!
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27 for a low here. 28 at carroll valley. we had a frost delay and the golf course till 9am this morning. nws can stop issueing freeze warnings and frost advisories anytime now as i've already hit 32 or lower twice and have had two widespread heavy frost as well.
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the dewpt has been pretty low all day. high temp so far is 54F which is now.

i am back to no reception. hmmmmmm. i need to get that battery, but you wouldn't expect a problem on a sunny day. i may have to move my instruments anyway. since i put my station up, tons of volunteer locust trees have grown up 15' in 2 years on top of the hill. my station is about 10' from the top of the hill and the trees are maybe 20' from the station with the station at the bottom of the hill. i have a place in mind on top of my shed. the problem is its about 50' to 70' from the house and the house will end up blocking winds out of SE i suspect
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
TheRasberryPatch- Dewpoints were in the 20s by early dawn hours, it was plenty cold. High today is still around 8degrees below normal. Winds have to decouple for temperatures to fall. Even a slight shift in direction will allow the temperature to rise a degree or two. Tonight looks like a better chance for winds to decouple, but there could be some clouds towards morning; not quite sure.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
Blizz - they have a frost warning out for this evening, but it doesn't seem like the temps will be as cold.
even though the winds didn't decouple, still not cold enough air in the area. nothing to just give a good hard freeze. we need one of those, especially to get rid of the ticks and stink bugs and bees looking to get in the house
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
TheRasberryPatch- Winds did not quite decouple over the Hershey area. Winds much be absolutely calm for radiational cooling. Tonight should be pretty chilly.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
i had a frost, but no freeze. not sure what happened especially since York even got to freezing. i was out at 230am letting the dog out to do his business. that is so much fun. hahaha. anyway, it was clear skies. brilliant stars all around. the temp at the time was 37F
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
TheRasberryPatch- Dropped down to 29.4 as final low. Pretty chilly. You seemed to have been a warm spot last night comparing lows. Hershey had similar lows to you being the warm spots other than typical spots in the lower susquehanna valley such as Middletown.

originalLT- Beautiful day. It has been a while since we have seen the sun for a full day.

synthman19872003- Wow, looks like most of the east coast saw a frost or freeze.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
Got down to 31.8F here this morning, with frost! You can see it on the cars between midnight and sunrise...

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Finally here too, 32.0 F !! Also now 44.1 F, baro 1024mb rising, wind N 8-12mph. and toally clear, brillliant sunshine.
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not here.

33.3F for the low.

frost on the grassy areas for the most part
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
Finally...

29.6degrees here this morning.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
Congratulations!!!

Tazmanian-October 20-York
Tazmanian-October 20-Pittsburgh


upweatherdog- There is not too much cold available across the entire country. It looks like a marginal situation so I would take the more cautious approach.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
Evening Blizzard.

The 18utc GFS shows snow across the U.P about between 140 and 180 from a large storm system that will move into the Great Lakes this week. The GFS spits out around 0.50 to 0.75 inches of QPF over the northcentral U.P. The bufkit data for KSAW supports light to moderate snow with a few bursts of heavy snow, with temperatures around 32F. Snow to water ratios around 10/1 would support around 5 to 7 inches of snow. Do you think the GFS is correct with the solution? Our NWS office says this system will be lacking enough CAA to support accumulating snowfall.
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At least we will have a rest with the weather this week. I hear that in 2 weeks it could be stormy but that is conjecture at this moment.
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
TheRasberryPatch- Yep, until the weekend. I will try to get a blog out mid week or Friday night. This week looks busy for me.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
i take it not much of a weather week coming up? sunny and seasonal?
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
TheRasberryPatch- It is due to the fact we have had such strong cold air advection northwest flows accompanying after the cold fronts bringing in the well below normal air. Typically we usually get some high pressures following fronts in the Fall which allows for the cold night. I think we are running -4.5degrees for the month here in Harrisburg. I will have to check tomorrow morning.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
yea Blizz. i would have thought we would have had a frost and freeze by now. like you said especially with the cold weather we have had this October. it just didn't seem like the below freezing air never got in our area. I don't think lower Michigan or Ohio have had much in below freezing
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
TheRasberryPatch- No I didn't I mean you have one of the if not the coldest October several day outbreak breaking nearly 5-10 earliest snowfall reports on record with records kept since 1800s. You have freezes down into Georgia, and mins in the negative teens across the Midwest. Now who would have thought that we couldn't get a freeze out of that. The cold was well predicted; but anytime we had a chance to get a frost, a factor did not fit in the frost equation. So I guess we will see what happens tonight.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:
great set up Mason. don't think i would want to climb that tower for any problems though hahaha

finally a below freezing for many in the area, huh Blizz? don't think you thought we would go this long to get down to or below 32F


yeah i know lol, thats going to be an issue for sure. i'll need a firetruck to get up there.
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thanks everyone, the height is just over 40 ft. i dug a hole just under 5 ft deep and 2 ft wide and used 16 bags over 80 lb. concrete total. it is very stable and i can shake it very hard it it doesn't sway a bit. i'm going to wait until a good wind event to decide whether or not to install guide wires. currently i have ropes tied to the tower which helped in getting the thing up. i'll take them down once the concrete has more time to set and i can put a ladder up against the tower
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great set up Mason. don't think i would want to climb that tower for any problems though hahaha

finally a below freezing for many in the area, huh Blizz? don't think you thought we would go this long to get down to or below 32F
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
Nice set-up, yeah, how high is that?
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Mason-nice! what is your height on that? Are those guide wires on it?
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KTHV (York-Thomasville, PA)...
Mason803- September 30
Blizzard92- October 4
Snowlover2010- October 5
wxgeek723- October 7
Lawntonlookers- October 14
TheRasberryPatch- October 15
hurricane30- October 17
Tazmanian- October 20

KMDT (Harrisburg-Middletown, PA)...
Snowlover2010- September 30
Blizzard92- October 7
TheRasberryPatch- October 8
wxgeek723- October 11
hurricane30- October 17
Lawtonlookers- October 21
Mason803- October 22
Tazmanian- October 30

KBFD (Bradford, PA)...
Snowlover2010- September 15
Mason803- September 18
hurricane30- September 18
Blizzard92- September 22
TheRasberryPatch- September 23
Lawtonlookers- September 28
wxgeek723- September 30
Tazmanian- October 1

KPIT (Pittsburgh, PA)...
Snowlover2010- September 28
Mason803- September 28
Blizzard92- October 1
Lawtonlookers- October 5
TheRasberryPatch- October 6
hurricane30- October 12
wxgeek723- October 14
Tazmanian- October 20

KPHL (Philadelphia, PA)...
Tazmanian- October 9
Snowlover2010- October 12
TheRasberryPatch- October 17
Blizzard92- October 27
Mason803- October 30
hurricane30- November 4
Lawtonlookers- November 5
wxgeek723- November 6

KIAD (Dulles International-Washington, DC)...
Tazmanian- October 15
Mason803- October 15
TheRasberryPatch- October 15
hurricane30- October 22
Snowlover2010- October 27
Blizzard92- October 28
Lawtonlookers- October 28
wxgeek723- November 9

KHGR (Hagerstown, MD)...
Blizzard92- October 6
TheRasberryPatch- October 8
Tazmanian- October 10
Snowlover2010- October 10
Lawtonlookers- October 14
wxgeek723- October 16
hurricane30- October 17
Mason803- October 20

KBWI (Baltimore, MD)...
Tazmanian- October 7
TheRasberryPatch- October 17
Snowlover2010- October 25
Blizzard92- October 25
Lawtonlookers- November 1
Mason802- November 4
wxgeek723- November 9

KILG (Wilmington, DE)...
Tazmanian- October 15
TheRasberryPatch- October 20
Weathergeek5- October 24
Blizzard92- October 25
Snowlover2010- October 27
Mason803- October 29
hurricane30- October 29
wxgeek723- November 3
Lawtonlookers- November 5

KSBY (Salisbury, MD)...
TheRasberryPatch- October 25
Snowlover2010- October 27
Mason803- November 3
hurricane30- November 4
Tazmanian- November 5
Lawtonlookers- November 8
wxgeek723- November 15
Blizzard92- November 18
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
weathergeek5- Ideal radiational cooling tonight. I could be in the 20s here under a freeze warning and end to the growing season. Let me go pull the freeze statistics out because there will be some winners.

Mason803- Hey, that is great! I am really jealous.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
well it stopped raining so i finally got a chance to take some pics of my new anemometer setup. here it is:

this pic is looking northeast

this pic is looking westnorthwest

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Frost advisory for me:

Frost advisory in effect from 2 am to 10 am EDT Monday...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a frost
advisory... which is in effect from 2 am to 10 am EDT Monday.

The low that brought the inclement weather will depart allowing
high pressure to build in from the west. This means skies will
clear late tonight and winds will diminish. Temperatures should
fall to the lower and middle 30s.

Even though the frost advisory is also in effect for Philadelphia,
most of the frost that forms should be away from the highly
urbanized areas.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A frost advisory means that frost is possible. Sensitive outdoor
plants may be killed if left uncovered.

Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
synthman19872003- No, I had a hole over me, lol. Snow was reported to my north, south, west, and east. Even locations in cities or lower valleys reported snow. But here along Blue Ridge, nothing.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
Snowing at the New England Patriots game. A good inch or two on the field.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 248 Comments: 3970
Blizz, did you get any snow where you live? I haven't really been following that storm very closely, but I have noticed that up to your NW around State College they've gotten a lot!
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rainfall totals for adams county:

orrtanna 2.94"
carroll valley 3.09"
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blizz- looks like next chance of precip. will be next weekend when energy from the hurricane in the Pacific(2nd strongest ever in Eastern Pacific) is drawn up the coast bringing with it warm gulf moisture. GFS is painting a large swath of heavy rain. Until then enjoy the week ahead it should be beautiful!
Member Since: December 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 58
originalLT- Ah, wasn't sure on the conversion. Thanks for the info!

TheRasberryPatch- Temperatures were in the mid 30s. Freeze watch out tonight with warmer conditions for next week; I must admit I am even ready!

cchamp6- Looks like Berkshires should get a decent snowfall.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
Down to 37 now. Damn miserable outside with the wind.
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Thanks for the link cchamp6, you are right, looks like its moving SE. Very clear vis. satellite. Here in SW Ct. its 42.1F just raining, no snow flakes here.
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Link
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Looks like an eye moving southeast off the coast to me. Strange direction its moving. Thought it was gonna move northeast. 38 here in northwest ct with rain snow mix trending towards wet snow now.
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Blizz, is that an "eye like" feature to the storm off the virginia coast?
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aahhhh Yes it looks like we will finally get out of this funk and back to normal October weather this week.

nice snow depth map. it even looks like Deep Creek has some snow.

any idea what the temps were when that band of snow moved into central MD?
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6276
Also, that snow depth map is great! its amazing for this time of year.
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Blizz, first goodmorning, are you guys in your area in the clear right now? Looks like it on Vis. satellite. Now I am finally getting the rain, it started here after 1:30 am. Have so far 0.32". Still raining. Elements are rotating northwestward from off shore so it could take a while to move out.Baro. 1017mb, N wind 5-10mph. And Blizz there is a conversion scale from mb to inches or vice/versa, you can Google it.
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Pennsylvania current snow depth...
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
TheRasberryPatch- Many parts of central Maryland saw snow last night including areas near Baltimore, Manchester. Frederick, and others. It was a pretty dynamic band than formed just to our south.

Mason803- Congrats!!! No snow on Blue Mountain this morning. The band never got this far north.

shoreacres- Thanks! I think most of us are ready for the warmer temperatures and sunshine this week after this early taste of winter.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
Good morning, Blizzard,

They kept putting the words Western PA and snow together in the same sentence on the radio yesterday, so I thought I'd better pop over and see if there was any evidence of the excitement. Yep! Love the pic of the pumpkin in the snow especially.

And I really enjoyed your header. Cool air, bonfires, clear skies - nothing better. Hope the rest of your weekend is great.
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About Blizzard92

Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

Local Weather

Partly Cloudy
21 °F
Partly Cloudy

Blizzard92's Recent Photos

Fall in Ithaca
Snow Fluff
Deep Creek and Wisp, MD
Deep Creek and Wisp, MD

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