Update with new ice storm pictures (quite something)!

By: Zachary Labe , 9:39 PM GMT on December 14, 2007

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Well a major winter storm is headed east towards the northeast. This storm is going to be difficult to forecast due to the invasion of the warm air coming from the gulf of mexico. Precipitation types are still not yet certain.

Current Radar shows precipitation breaking out over central plains and Ohio valley all headed northeast. The low will be tracking west of the mountains.

Current weather map 900am...

***NEW update as of 1030am...
Well central pennyslvania has suffered horribly. Here in Harrisburg we started with a half inch of sleet, then we picked up another .5inch of frz rain. Tree limbs are down and power is out to at least 30,000 in my county. The highest snow total I saw was out near Bradford with about 5inch of snow. I also think those numbers will rise with lake effect and wrap around snow showers. In the snowbelts they may see over 3inches of snow and in the central part about an inch. Maybe a coating in Philadelphia today. I doubt it though. I noticed already many locations have just changed to snow including Altoona, State College, Clearfield, Johnstown, Bradford, Du Bois, and Erie. This is caused by the coastal deeping low that is bringing in cooler air aloft. This transition will take place across the state from west to east. It will be interesting to see how much snow wraps around this system.

I will have another update soon...

***More updates are coming throughout the day...

Regional Preliminary Forecast for Pennyslvania...
Winter Storm Warning for Laural Highlands...
Winter Storm Warning for northern parts of the state...
Winter Storm Watch for eastern areas...
Winter Weather Advisory for central through northeastern areas...
High Wind Watch for eastern areas...

Eastern- (Allentown, Southern Poconos)-
totals- 1inch sleet, .25inch of frz rain

South Central (Harrisburg, York, Lancaster)(my home)-
totals- 1nch sleet, .25-.5 of frz rain

Southern- (Philadelphia)-
totals- trace of sleet, .1 of frz rain, .5 rain

Central- (State College)-
totals- 3inch of sleet, .5inch of frz rain

Northern- (Bradford, Williamsport, Erie)-
totals- 5-9inch of snow, 1inch of sleet
Western- (Pittsburg)
totals- .5inch of sleet, .2inch of frz rain

Johnstown, Altoona-
totals- major freezing rain, more than .5

Subject to change...

Ice Map overall for upcoming storm for Pennyslvania...

Ice Map...

I will issue forecasts for the winter for regions of Pennyslvania...

Overall- This storm will cause major travel headaches across the state with a major ice storm possible. Sorry Philadelphia and I95 mostly rain, a little snow on beginning and backlash of storm. Little snow looks likely for hardly anyone now. Maybe just far northern areas such as erie and bradford. The track still remains uncertain.


Long term outlook- On december 26 gfs shows a major all out snowstorm. That will be one of the next storms to track.

Picture of ice on trees in my backyard from December 16 (today).

.5inch of frz rain

mountain covered in ice

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54. lawntonlookers
2:12 PM GMT on December 17, 2007
Out in the Lawnton area, except for the trees down we didn't have much of a proplem. Other areas around us had power loss. What are we going to get with the next storm. It appears by the forcast that next weekend we may get another round. I will have to check a few other blogs to see how others did.
Member Since: March 22, 2006 Posts: 9 Comments: 1570
53. Zachary Labe
10:23 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
Well the wind is moving in with alot of ice on trees. We also picked up a coating of snow from a squall. Our power is flickering again. Probably my last post for the evening. We are here preparing for the worst.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
52. MDFirefighter
6:59 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
well good to know you probably won't lose power. hope your home didn't suffer any damage
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
51. Zachary Labe
6:53 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
Everyone in our neighborhood is out surveying the damage. Everyone in our neighborhood has trees down. Our powerlines are underground so we dont usually lose power. This is the worst winter storm i have probably ever seen in terms of damage.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
50. MDFirefighter
6:06 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
amazing pictures Blizzard. Hope you & your family make it through the night safe, warm & with power.
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
49. Zachary Labe
6:05 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
It is now snowing lightly to moderately north of harrisburg at my home.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
48. Zachary Labe
5:18 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
it is now sleeting here
a tree in the backyard lost large branches and a cherry tree split
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
47. MDFirefighter
3:58 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
Long term outlook- On december 26 gfs shows a major all out snowstorm. That will be one of the next storms to track.

I sure hope so. Thanks for the updates Blizzard!!
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
46. Zachary Labe
3:43 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
Currently north of harrisburg...
30degrees
calm winds
heavy frz rain
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
45. Zachary Labe
2:26 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
my power has only flickered
im afraid though with these winds coming it will get worse
radar shows also precip. coming
does anybody think it will still get above freezing in harrisburg???
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
44. lawntonlookers
2:03 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
What time did the power go out. Down on Derry Street they were off sometime during the night, were on this morning. Some tree limbs down, but at 31 F it may not melt much before the winds start this afternoon.
Member Since: March 22, 2006 Posts: 9 Comments: 1570
43. Zachary Labe
12:50 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
Could anyone explain to me why my temperature has dropped from 32 to 28 in the last hour north of harrisburg???
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
42. Zachary Labe
12:14 PM GMT on December 16, 2007
my lights just went on then off
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
41. MDFirefighter
11:58 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
639 Baltimore Gas & Electric customers out of 98,954 are without power in my county.
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
40. Zachary Labe
11:50 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
17032 people without power in my area
i am afraid i will lose power when the wind comes in
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
39. MDFirefighter
11:32 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
What a difference a "few" miles makes lol. Absolutely no freezing here at all. Flooded roads is about it.
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
38. Zachary Labe
11:29 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
WOW!!! Here in harrisburg it is another situation. We have almost .5inch of frz rain. Our trees in our yard are bent over completely.
Power outages are around.
Roads are ice covered
still 31degrees with lgt frz rain
scary situation
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
37. MDFirefighter
11:21 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
well Blizzard, nothing but rain here. been that way all night since about 2200 hrs. i'm somewhat glad though since we had a house fire this morning around 0130 and if this was freezing rain, it would've been a MESS. lol
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
36. CampHillWeatherNut
2:42 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
light freeging rain in Camp Hill.. 31 degrees
35. Zachary Labe
2:29 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
Now again i just went outside...
we have lgt. sleet and frz rain
29degrees
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
34. Zachary Labe
2:27 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
Current conditions...
29 degrees
cloudy
breezy
precip moving in from the southwest
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
33. Zachary Labe
2:24 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
I noticed that surface observations in Pittsburgh went from snow to frz rain already and state college went from snow to sleet so already warming above. I will drastically cut down snow amounts. I expect none over most of the southern teer. The NWS wants to change us over to rain. I highly doubt this though. The only areas that may change over to rain for a time will be Philadelphi up through chester and maybe lancaster counties. Also on a side note temperatures across the state are about 3degrees colder than originally forecasted. Hmmm????
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
32. Bonsai
2:00 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
Still looking for some hourly observations in the "WEEKEND WINTER STORM OBESRVATION BLOG"
Please stop by and log in!! Would like to hear whats going on in the mid-west.
Member Since: January 7, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 1470
31. Zachary Labe
1:31 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
Yea i know the precip. is late...
Look at my dumb nws forecast for this storm

Tonight: Periods of sleet before 3am, then periods of rain. Low around 31. East wind between 11 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Sunday: Periods of rain showers, mainly before 11am, then periods of rain showers, mainly between 3pm and 4pm. High near 37. East wind 6 to 14 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday Night: Scattered flurries. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Breezy, with a west wind between 22 and 25 mph.

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Breezy, with a west wind between 17 and 21 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
30. MDFirefighter
1:25 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
so much for the "precip being here by 4pm". stupid a$$ local weather men
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
29. Zachary Labe
1:24 AM GMT on December 16, 2007
Currently 30degrees here in harrisburg...
Just cloudy
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
28. MDFirefighter
8:11 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
i sure hope so. it looks that way for atleast the next few weeks
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
27. Zachary Labe
8:03 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
I have faith in this winter for some reason!
Originally it was supposed to be mild now.
But the warm longterm keeps getting delayed.
I think this winter will be a cold one.
The la nina does not seem to be bringing the warm air originally forecasted for the long term.
Maybe this pattern will continue all winter.
Let us hope so.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
26. MDFirefighter
7:56 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
no problem, anytime. hopefully before this winter is over, the mid-atlantic will have "the big one".....it sure has been awhile.
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
25. Zachary Labe
7:58 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
yes it will be a very interesting night
thanks for you input
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
24. MDFirefighter
7:52 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
if we get almost 18-24 hours of straight freezing rain & sleet.....it's going to be nasty.
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
23. MDFirefighter
7:53 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
only for a short period around 10a tomorrow morning. if you hover your mouse over precip type during the hours tomorrow, it only shows us getting straight rain around 10a. every other time shows either a mix or ice and then ending as snow.
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
22. Zachary Labe
7:53 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
but it we dont get above freezing we are in for a possibly destructive
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
21. Zachary Labe
7:52 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
it still shows us getting above freezing doesnt it?
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
20. MDFirefighter
7:44 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
check this out Blizzard...

Link

I'm not really worried about rain at all now. Looks like the only time I'll be seeing rain is anywhere between 10a & 1p tomorrow
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
19. Zachary Labe
6:28 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
Current weather Report from Harrisburg
30degrees
12dewpoint
cloudy
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
18. MDFirefighter
5:46 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
Gotcha. Thanks for the info :)

Luckily I get off @ 5 tonight, but I have to work tomorrow :\
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
17. Zachary Labe
5:42 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
MDFirefighter- well I think it is a tough call for you. I believe we all will get snow on the beginning maybe an inch but then you and I switch to frz rain. I believe that we both should be under ice storm warnings. .25 or more
watch out for power outages due to wind and ice
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
16. seflagamma
5:37 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
Thanks.. I was hopping you didn't just delete me...I have posted before in a new blog which interested me and they took out my posts LOL

Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 302 Comments: 40956
15. MDFirefighter
5:36 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
Yes
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
14. Zachary Labe
5:36 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
Are you just south of the Mason Dixon line?
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
13. MDFirefighter
5:33 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
Blizzard, I know your blog focuses on PA, but if you don't mind.....what can I expect in Harford County, MD (just south of York)?
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1201
12. Zachary Labe
5:31 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
i dont know what happened to your post sry
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
11. seflagamma
5:29 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
oh my, I know I posted here a while ago but I guess you decided to delete my post..

strange..

unless it went into the dark hole where sometimes our posts can disappear into..
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 302 Comments: 40956
10. Zachary Labe
5:28 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
I updated with new snow and ice maps.
Overall I am thinking this could be a dangerous ice storm!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
8. Zachary Labe
4:52 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
30 degrees here in harriburg PA,
Preparing for storm
I should have storm reports throughout the storm
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
7. Winterstormsblog
2:28 PM GMT on December 15, 2007
hey blizzard! I like your blog!

Ill be posting some videos of the storm here in Michigan today and tommorow over on my blog...

good luck with the storm over there...
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 86 Comments: 5650
6. Zachary Labe
1:52 AM GMT on December 15, 2007
There will be alot of diverse weather across the state during this storm. Allentown I think you will have a short period of snow then a long time of sleet. You probably will not change to rain. Hopefully the storm shifts further se and we all get snow!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 285 Comments: 15140
5. edhanna
1:40 AM GMT on December 15, 2007
Howdy there! I'm quite glad you included the Allenotwn area in your forecast, enjoy having a blogger from the area, makes the storm more exciting. Looking forward to reading future blogs.
4. WxWyz
11:30 PM GMT on December 14, 2007
Welcome! Getting a couple of inches of snow here in northeast Oklahoma by tomorrow

WxWyz

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Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

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