Severe Weather Threat 4/27-30/14

By: Astrometeor , 4:29 AM GMT on April 27, 2014

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There is a severe weather threat for April 27, 2014 through the morning of April 30, 2014. This storm will be a multi-day, multi-threat event, and everyone in the area should stayed tuned to the local news channels and the National Weather Service for the most up-to-date information regarding the storms. This outbreak is expected to be the worst one yet this year, and possibly the worst one since April 27, 2011, but not approaching that intensity.

For Sunday, April 27, 2014, the threat is as follows: Clear, hot and sunny Sunday morning and afternoon with highs in the 80-85 range. The severe weather threat for Sunday night is mainly damaging winds and large hail, but one can not rule out the chance for an isolated tornado.

For Monday, April 28, 2014, the threat escalates. There is a good possibility the SPC will issue a HIGH risk for portions of Tennessee and Mississippi. Temperatures for Monday will be in the low 80s, but the dewpoint shall rise to create hot and muggy conditions-perfect for severe storms and tornadoes. The threat includes: tornadoes, damaging winds, large hail, and flash flooding.

For Tuesday April 29, 2014, the threat level diminishes slightly with a nearly identical weather forecast as Monday's. Same threats as well. Flash flood risk will escalate on Tuesday as the last heavy rains arrive. By this time, 2-4” of rain may have already fallen. Even though Middle Tennessee has been dry in recent times, anytime there is a heavy amount of rain in a short period, expect flooding to happen.

By Wednesday, April 30, 2014, the severe weather conglomerate should exit Middle Tennessee and allow us to breathe easy again. There's a slight chance for t-storms on Wednesday from the NWS, just in case we have any stragglers from the main system. Temperature will be more comfortable, with highs in the low to mid 70s.

Make sure to have several ways of getting storm warning information as the power may not be able to stay on throughout this long event. Stay safe, everyone!

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33. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
3:55 AM GMT on May 02, 2014
Astrometeor has created a new entry.
32. Astrometeor
3:53 AM GMT on May 02, 2014
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Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
31. Astrometeor
1:56 AM GMT on May 02, 2014
Yeah...Pallis has some of the strangest comments. I didn't understand that one at all.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
30. Bluestorm5
1:21 AM GMT on May 02, 2014
No comment needed.

Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8046
29. Astrometeor
5:41 AM GMT on May 01, 2014
Quoting Bluestorm5:
Congrats on your college choice! I've heard many good things about Millersville University since I started my study at UNCA and I'm positive you'll do great there! Millersville is definitely a better meteorology school than UNCA in many ways and I'm very happy for you :) You made the right decision IMO.


Thanks Kyle!
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
28. Bluestorm5
3:10 AM GMT on May 01, 2014
Congrats on your college choice! I've heard many good things about Millersville University since I started my study at UNCA and I'm positive you'll do great there! Millersville is definitely a better meteorology school than UNCA in many ways and I'm very happy for you :) You made the right decision IMO.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8046
27. BaltimoreBrian
11:15 PM GMT on April 29, 2014
How would Nathan do in 18th century Harvard? For those not aware of the old British monetary denominations, 12 pence made up a shilling and 20 shillings a pound. The abbreviation for penny was d.

Fineable Offenses for Naughty 18th-Century Students at Harvard

Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8813
26. BaltimoreBrian
8:34 PM GMT on April 29, 2014
A Peek Inside the Mother-Daughter Collaboration That Brought Us the Little House Series As always, right click on images to enlarge.





Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8813
24. Astrometeor
6:50 AM GMT on April 29, 2014
On April 28, 1989...
Temperature at Nashville reaches 91 for the 2nd consecutive day.

On April 28, 2002...
Severe thunderstorms produce widespread wind damage and large hail across Middle Tennessee. An F3 tornado touches down at 734 AM in Rutherford County, about 8 miles southeast of Murfreesboro, injuring 20, and damaging 10-15 homes. In southeast Maury County, a two-story home is destroyed by fire following a lightning strike.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
23. Astrometeor
6:49 AM GMT on April 29, 2014
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
22. Astrometeor
5:58 AM GMT on April 29, 2014
Link


SPC did pretty good today.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
21. Astrometeor
5:54 AM GMT on April 29, 2014
Quoting MaxWeather:
tornado alerts were kept south of south Nashville... you're good Astro.


The squall line followed by several hours of heavy rain squashed any chance at severe weather. I was 90% sure by noon I wasn't going to see anything...you should've seen how many counties around me closed early though...lol, I want to know where they get their information from.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
20. MaxWeather
4:12 AM GMT on April 29, 2014
tornado alerts were kept south of south Nashville... you're good Astro.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 28 Comments: 1362
19. Astrometeor
2:39 AM GMT on April 29, 2014
Quoting palmettobug53:


Isn't it cool to see where folks check your blog from? (I know that's bad grammar but I don't care!)

I was amazed at the folks/places that viewed my Dad's blog. Esp since he never posted. It was just a place for me to post a daily 'hello' to him, since both of us were/are about deaf as posts and couldn't call each other.

Blew Dad's mind. "Who are these people and why are they visiting ME?" he'd ask me. I'd just shrug and explain that folks visit WU from all over the world.

Anyhoo, I was just checking in to see how you managed overnight. I was glued to TWC from about 9:00 EDT until past my bedtime.

Since you're posting, as usual, I'll take it that you got no more than lots of rain and thunder. May you continue to get just that.


Yup, just rain and thunder. As of 4:00pm today, we had 2.10" in my CoCoRaHS gauge.

During weather events in India and China (like Phailin in India for example), I noticed an uptick in visitors from those areas. But it always amazes me that people from so far away read my puny little blog.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
18. palmettobug53
10:35 PM GMT on April 28, 2014
Oh, and I was a skinny minnie in my senior year: 85 lbs. While I wouldn't want to get back to that, I could stand to lose 15-20. Age and a lowered metabolism will really put those pounds on!

Sitting in front of the TV or computer don't help me any, either.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 238 Comments: 25355
17. palmettobug53
10:31 PM GMT on April 28, 2014
Quoting 11. Astrometeor:
Zambia Yesterday @ 1:00 am 1

^That person should win a prize. Thanks to whoever visited my blog from the heart of Africa.


Isn't it cool to see where folks check your blog from? (I know that's bad grammar but I don't care!)

I was amazed at the folks/places that viewed my Dad's blog. Esp since he never posted. It was just a place for me to post a daily 'hello' to him, since both of us were/are about deaf as posts and couldn't call each other.

Blew Dad's mind. "Who are these people and why are they visiting ME?" he'd ask me. I'd just shrug and explain that folks visit WU from all over the world.

Anyhoo, I was just checking in to see how you managed overnight. I was glued to TWC from about 9:00 EDT until past my bedtime.

Since you're posting, as usual, I'll take it that you got no more than lots of rain and thunder. May you continue to get just that.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 238 Comments: 25355
16. Andrebrooks
6:04 PM GMT on April 28, 2014
New PDS TORNADO WATCH FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTH.
Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1341
15. Astrometeor
6:20 AM GMT on April 28, 2014
Quoting palmettobug53:
I'll say the same thing to you that I said to Wab: Keep your head down and your eyes and ears open.

WeatherWise is in TN, visiting her daughter and family, and their preps scared the willies out of her. She doesn't get many tornados where she lives in VA. I told her to just be glad that the kids know how to prepare for these severe threats and remember to breathe.

BTW, congrats on your college choice. It sounds like a good fit for you.

Eat some scrapple for me, when you get there. Be sure to check out The Central Market. You'll find that there's farmers markets all over the place, with plenty of fresh produce and baked goods. The Amish will be a very big presence. You can blame your freshman '10' on them. YUM

Farmer's Market Locator


I think my grandmother will be happy if I manage to gain 10 or 15 pounds freshman year. She sounds aghast every time I tell her my weight.

I will try to check out the farmers markets sometime, have one here in Nashville, great place for food and garden lovers.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
14. Astrometeor
6:18 AM GMT on April 28, 2014
This will self-update.

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
13. Astrometeor
6:14 AM GMT on April 28, 2014
Threat levels for Tuesday, looks like the SPC upped the odds a bit, but it's still less than Monday's odds.



Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
12. Astrometeor
6:12 AM GMT on April 28, 2014
This is for Monday:



Nashville is on the northern end of the hatched area for 10% chance of significant tornadoes:


Wind:


Again, Nashville's on northern edge. Hail:
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
11. Astrometeor
6:07 AM GMT on April 28, 2014
Zambia Yesterday @ 1:00 am 1

^That person should win a prize. Thanks to whoever visited my blog from the heart of Africa.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
10. palmettobug53
10:06 PM GMT on April 27, 2014
I'll say the same thing to you that I said to Wab: Keep your head down and your eyes and ears open.

WeatherWise is in TN, visiting her daughter and family, and their preps scared the willies out of her. She doesn't get many tornados where she lives in VA. I told her to just be glad that the kids know how to prepare for these severe threats and remember to breathe.

BTW, congrats on your college choice. It sounds like a good fit for you.

Eat some scrapple for me, when you get there. Be sure to check out The Central Market. You'll find that there's farmers markets all over the place, with plenty of fresh produce and baked goods. The Amish will be a very big presence. You can blame your freshman '10' on them. YUM

Farmer's Market Locator
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 238 Comments: 25355
9. Astrometeor
9:50 PM GMT on April 27, 2014
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
8. Astrometeor
8:59 PM GMT on April 27, 2014
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
7. Astrometeor
8:36 PM GMT on April 27, 2014
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
6. Astrometeor
8:30 PM GMT on April 27, 2014


First HIGH risk of the year issued:
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
5. Astrometeor
6:10 AM GMT on April 27, 2014
Sunday threat (as of 600z):

Tornado probabilities:


Hail probabilities:


Wind probabilities:
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
4. Astrometeor
6:08 AM GMT on April 27, 2014
For Monday:

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
3. Astrometeor
4:44 AM GMT on April 27, 2014
This should shift north a bit and most likely expand in areal coverage.

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467
2. Andrebrooks
4:36 AM GMT on April 27, 2014
All I can say is get ready.
Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1341
1. Astrometeor
4:31 AM GMT on April 27, 2014
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10467

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About Astrometeor

Age: 18, b-day is 8/27. Graduate of MLK High in Nashville, TN. Will attend MU in PA. Love football, soccer, Frisbee, Scouts, Science Olympiad.

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