Astro's Blog

In Response to Stu Ostro
Posted by: Astrometeor, 4:45 AM GMT on January 23, 2013 +2
"Um...What is your point then?"

Obviously my reply may be one with some rather scathing remarks. My point did not lie with destruction, but rather with annoyance. So is the tone of this reply. It too, is also one of annoyance, one that is annoyed at the person who targeted someone's statement without reading the context that came before which I concur with. Understanding my dissatisfaction with The Weather Channel's choice to name winter storms.

To start things off, I do not know whether (weather if you prefer) or not this is true, but some of the bloggers on Dr. Master's blog have said that Bryan Norcross admitted the naming system was for the ratings and not so much for awareness. If this is true I do not know, however, the accusation itself points to severe negligence or perhaps nonprofessional acts stemming from TWC's producers and script-writers.

On the topic of my quote, I said the naming of winter storms is
1. not approved my NWS for good reason
2. winter storms cause annoyance, not destruction
I did not say or imply that all tropical cyclones create damage, on the contrary my implication is most, if not all "winter storms" cause annoyance, not destruction. If the public is caught unawares, it is rarely the standard meteorologist's fault. In this day and age of internet and social media and inter-connectivity, if you do not know something, even the weather, most would have a gaping-mouth expression upon their faces.

Statement from NWS:


Now while the NWS does not give any reasons for their displeasure, I am sure I could think up of some. For one thing, what is in a name? The awareness issue is bypassed here, in the sense that people will say, "Hey, what do you think of the possible snowstorm coming up?" Notice no name in there. Now I have heard the names used, "Did you hear what the TWC named this? Caesar. I mean, huh? Who names a snowstorm Caesar?!" Often from people I know, the reaction to each name is one of confusion and disbelief. Never have I heard that the naming was good. This is all without my biased input. I have heard however, things like, "Weird" or "Funny". But the names themselves are not taken seriously. Because the storms themselves happen with considerable distance between them, the public can tell the difference between the storms. Not so for tropical ones. One of the main reasons that the NWS began naming the storms in the first place (if I am not mistaken), was because often there are multiple at once, and so names are easier to distinguish between the storms. In the short time that I have been alive, I have not seen many winter storms impact the U.S.A. at the same time. Maybe I am wrong on that.

Now, perhaps my first paragraph was a bit harsh. I am willing to be lenient after thinking this through. Mr. Ostro, you construed and rearranged my words and refuted an argument I did not present. Yes, most storms of the tropical nature do not do damage (poor shipping industry!), however, when impacting the United States or elsewhere, the damage can be catastrophic. Compared with a "winter storm", whose damage can be negligible in comparison.

Mr. Stu Ostro, I hope this answers your question as to what my point is. My point, sir, is thus: the naming of a system that occurs with regular frequency and happenstance is a practice that is bound to fail. Look to the public, the poor people can't tell the difference between NWS + TWC, let alone Athena and/or Iago. I am completely against this poor excuse of "awareness". Rather it is something just for the ratings, for more viewers. Now one could argue that that will increase awareness, but that assumption deals an insult to the local news stations whom come out with the same forecasts but on smaller budgets than the media giant TWC does.


"I won't back down"- Tom Petty
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1. GardenGrrl 10:55 AM GMT on January 23, 2013    
I was wundering what was up with this naming of the winter weather systems thing. They use these names on local news now too. Seems kind of silly.
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2. AussieStorm 11:28 AM GMT on January 23, 2013    
Here is the episode of WeatherBrains which Brian Norcross is a guest and talks about naming winter storms. Watch till the end, the guys discuss it after Brian leaves.

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3. Astrometeor 12:58 AM GMT on January 24, 2013    
I need to watch that video Aussie on the weekend when I have more time, lol, but thanks.
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4. TropicalAnalystwx13 4:01 AM GMT on January 24, 2013    
Given your harsh rebuttal in chat, I'll ask more clearly here...

"what is in a name?"

- If this is one of your many bases for your argument against The Weather Channel naming winter storms, then surely you must be against hurricanes being named, right? It's just a name, right?
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5. Astrometeor 4:10 AM GMT on January 24, 2013    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Given your harsh rebuttal in chat, I'll ask more clearly here...

"what is in a name?"

- If this is one of your many bases for your argument against The Weather Channel naming winter storms, then surely you must be against hurricanes being named, right? It's just a name, right?


Okay, okay, calm down there buddy. I am sorry.

On the question: no, I am not against the naming of tropical cyclones, those are (how to phrase) more personified I guess in the world today. Plus, weren't they named because there are often more than one tropical cyclones at once? To avoid confusion in discussion, correct?

Now winter storms, on the other hand, are more of what I consider regular occurrences and are WAY less of a threat to the interests of the United States and so do not need to be named.

Otherwise the slope will bring us to naming everything, floods, tornadoes, sunny days, whatever you like. Bit hyperbolic, but I believe the point is addressed.

Now, Cody, if you believe otherwise, that's fine, but I am mainly stating what I see in this.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 27 Comments: 1251
6. wxchaser97 4:17 AM GMT on January 24, 2013    
Quoting Astrometeor:


Okay, okay, calm down there buddy. I am sorry.

On the question: no, I am not against the naming of tropical cyclones, those are (how to phrase) more personified I guess in the world today. Plus, weren't they named because there are often more than one tropical cyclones at once? To avoid confusion in discussion, correct?

Now winter storms, on the other hand, are more of what I consider regular occurrences and are WAY less of a threat to the interests of the United States and so do not need to be named.

Otherwise the slope will bring us to naming everything, floods, tornadoes, sunny days, whatever you like. Bit hyperbolic, but I believe the point is addressed.

Now, Cody, if you believe otherwise, that's fine, but I am mainly stating what I see in this.

I believe otherwise...
There have been those extreme winter storms that really impact the United States in negative ways. I think a name would give more awareness to a storm, especially if it will be extremely bad. I do support the idea of naming winter storms. Do I think the current system is perfect, of course not. I think there should be some changes in criteria and the names themselves. However, I don't think naming winter storms would lead to the naming of other weather events. No hard feelings though, Astro.
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7. DocNDswamp 8:00 PM GMT on January 24, 2013    
Hi Astro, and others posting on this topic - as I can agree with some points from all. But just to briefly touch on the subject, here's a good example of issues in the naming scheme in two events that occurred this month over the Gulf South, particularly over TX, LA and MS.

The most destructive system to impact the area so far threatening loss of life and affecting property was not named as lacked Winter cold and associated components to classify as such, occurring under warm regime - yet, extremely heavy rainfall and severe flooding, tornadoes, wind damage all resulted from multi-day event between Jan 8-11... While the one that was named (lol, don't remember it's name now) on Jan 15-17 featured some frz rain / caution for drivers and brief, light icing but essentially was more a short-lived novelty snowfall event centered over MS with little consequence as a serious "threat" (although some hvy amts later reported over Appalachian Mts).

I'll remember both events, but what's in a name?
Not much in this example.

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8. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:50 AM GMT on January 25, 2013    
Here, that's my fav part

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9. Stu Ostro, Senior Meteorologist
7:57 PM GMT on February 02, 2013
   
Hi Astrometeor,

I have been very busy with the weather, and was traveling, and dealt with a laptop which died, and am finally catching up ...

Thank you for posting this response to our exchange of comments via Dr. Masters' blog. I appreciate your thoughts, and I am well aware that many people have had a negative reaction to TWC naming winter storms.

My original point remains valid, which was simply that your statement, context notwithstanding, of "The NWS doesn't like it, for good reason. naming storms that just cause annoyance and not destruction is a horrible idea" was specious, since the NWS, as I noted at the time and TropicalAnalystwx13 alludes to here, names many tropical cyclones that don't cause destruction.

And while winter storms generally do not bring the type of devastation that tropical cyclones are capable of, they can cause destruction (e.g. severe coastal flooding from the Blizzard of '78 in New England), and the number one cause of weather-related fatalities is not hurricanes or tornadoes or heat, it's vehicular accidents caused by snowy, icy, or wet roads.

In regard to the history of naming tropical cyclones, while, as stated on the National Hurricane Center's page about it, "The use of easily remembered names greatly reduces confusion when two or more tropical storms occur at the same time" (and BTW, not all of TWC's named winter storms have had considerable time between them), the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), which is responsible for maintaining the lists of names of tropical cyclones, says in its historical background on t.c. naming, "The practice of naming storms (tropical cyclones) began years ago in order to help in the quick identification of storms in warning messages because names are presumed to be far easier to remember than numbers and technical terms. Many agree that appending names to storms makes it easier for the media to report on tropical cyclones, heightens interest in warnings and increases community preparedness."

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10. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:48 AM GMT on March 05, 2013    
Thanks Astro...
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11. Astrometeor 3:51 AM GMT on March 05, 2013    
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Thanks Astro...


You are welcome? This post is really old Max. lol
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12. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:55 AM GMT on March 05, 2013    
Quoting Astrometeor:


You are welcome? This post is really old Max. lol


don't ask me...I just clicked on a random blog of yours to write that...
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13. Astrometeor 3:58 AM GMT on March 05, 2013    
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


don't ask me...I just clicked on a random blog of yours to write that...


Hey, I am your friend and friends help each other out; no need to thank me for it. I always stand by my friends and you are one, so I stand by you.

;)
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 27 Comments: 1251
14. trHUrrIXC5MMX 4:00 AM GMT on March 05, 2013    
Quoting Astrometeor:


Hey, I am your friend and friends help each other out; no need to thank me for it. I always stand by my friends and you are one, so I stand by you.

;)


I like that Astro, . ..did you get my e-mail btw.?.
typed it overnight after I came from church
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 32 Comments: 7890
15. Astrometeor 4:03 AM GMT on March 05, 2013    
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I like that Astro, . ..did you get my e-mail btw.?.
typed it overnight after I came from church


The one you sent at 12:23 a.m. local time for you? Yeah, I got it.

Good response to her text, coming out true with those emotions that will remain with you for a while. Reminds me of Catullus 85, which I just read, "I hate and I love, Odi et Amo."
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16. WunderAlertBot (Admin) 8:52 PM GMT on March 07, 2013    
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About Astrometeor
almost 16 years old, b-day is aug. 27. Go to school at MLK High in Nashville,TN. Love football, soccer, frisbee, Boy Scouts, and Science Olympiad.

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